Inside the Numbers – Rd. 2
Change is coming says Pete from aflratings.com.au.
We are already 2 rounds into the AFL season with corrective trades flying around everywhere and the regular early season issue of trying to find cash out of nowhere, the common mistake made by many is the expectation that what we have seen in the opening 18 games will hold up throughout the rest of the H&A season and the answer is it won’t.
Like winter, change is coming!
Article by @aflratingsPete
Rory Sloane has punched out solid scores to open his season, after recording 36 Disposals in Round 1 he regressed with 23 Disposals but added 7 Tackles for 110pts.
Daniel Rich has been one player to take advantage of the new kick-in rules averaging 104pts, the Lions are utilising his penetrating kick to exit the defensive 50m zone.
Nic Newman could be a volatile own this season, after recording 26 Disposals & 9 Marks in Round 1 he regressed to record 20 Disposals & 2 Marks last week albeit in the rain in the second half.
Brodie Grundy bounced back in Round 2 scoring 111pts, he still has upside averaging just 30.5 Hit Outs this season (2018 Hit Out Ave: 39.9).
The Bombers are averaging 334.5 Disposals this season (Rank 18), Dylan Shiel is Ranked No.1 averaging 26.0 Disposals.
Brad Hill is on fire to start the season, he is averaging 30.0 Disposals & 121.0pts.
Luke Dahlhaus is on the radar as a Forward option, he has averaged 22.5 Disposals, 8.5 Tackles & 1.5 Goals in his first 2 games at Geelong.
It might be the last week to grab Wil Powell, he is averaging 88.5pts from his 2 games and still has an enticing BE.
Lachie Whitfield was the only player to score 100pts or more in a loss against West Coast, he is averaging 121.0pts (AFL Defender Rank: 2).
Injuries to Liam Shiels & Shaun Burgoyne should see a bump in midfield usage for James Worpel & James Cousins, both are currently exceeding value and still have low BE’s.
Angus Brayshaw recorded a solid 33 Disposals in Round 2, second only to Clayton Oliver (44 Disposals) at Melbourne.
Aaron Hall was everywhere in the first half against Brisbane scoring 88pts but did slowdown in the second half (18pts), he has the ceiling & is just 1% owned.
The noise in the pre-season was all about Travis Boak returning to the midfield, he hasn’t disappointed averaging 141.0pts from his first 2 games.
Dustin Martin hasn’t recorded a Tackle in his opening 2 games, he recorded 6 Disposals in the second half against Collingwood.
The midfield restructure at the Saints has impacted Seb Ross, he is averaging 25.0 Disposals & 83.5pts and has a BE of 137pts heading into Round 3.
Thankfully (Sarcasm) John Longmire informed the footy world that Isaac Heeney is still struggling with an ankle injury sustained in JLT 2, he is playing more forward as a result.
The junk time late in Round 2 was beneficial for quite a few players at West Coast, Luke Shuey & Dom Sheed recorded an equal team high 28 Disposals.
Marcus Bontempelli didn’t slow down in Round 2, he is averaging 119.5pts & has recorded 6 centre clearances for the season (AFL Rank: Eq7).
1. Brisbane held Nth Melbourne to 1377pts in Round 2 (AF), they are the No.1 Ranked Team for Points AGA since Round 14 last season.
2. Hawthorn have conceded an average of 434.0 Disposals from their first 2 games (Rank 18).
3. Jack Macrae has recorded 30 Disposals or more in 7 straight games.. 18 of his last 21 games since Round 1 last season.
4. Andrew Gaff returns this week, he has scored 100pts or more in 13 of his last 17 games (Ave: 112.6).
5. Only 2 Defenders rank in the Top 10 for Average after 2 games, Jake Lloyd (124.5) & Lachie Whitfield (121.0).
Warnie, Cal & Roy discuss these takeaways on the Traders Podcast (17:50).