It was an indifferent season for Sydney in 2018, the Swans were 8-2 in all Travel games yet managed just a 5-7 record at the SCG.
Sydney averaged 373.2 Disposals in the 2018 H&A season (Rank 12), the Swans averaged 386.6 Disposals from winning games & 357.0 Disposals from losing games at the SCG (Incl. Finals).
Only 1 player managed to average more than 100pts last season at Sydney (Jake Lloyd 100.5pts Incl. Finals), Josh Kennedy was the only midfielder to average more than 25.0 Disposals in otherwise what was a poor season for the midfield group at the Swans.
As a result of the poor midfield numbers for Sydney last season they conceded 55.4 Inside 50s per game during the H&A season (Rank 15), between Rounds 12-23 the Swans conceded 57.6 Inside 50s (Rank 17) to which Jake Lloyd averaged 105.0pts.
If the Swans continue to concede high Inside 50s in 2019 then expect the defensive group to benefit again.
2019 Potential Targets:
Jake Lloyd DEF $738K
Lloyd averaged a career season high 100.5pts last season (Incl. Finals), he scored 100pts or more in 47.8% of games & 120pts or more in 21.7% of games.
As mentioned above Lloyd benefited from a defensive game plan at the Swans last season, he also recorded a league highest number of Kick-ins with 151 in the H&A season.
Lloyd will likely assume a similar type defensive role again in 2019, he is likely under-priced with the additional recorded Disposals to be added with the introduction of the Kick-in rule in 2019.
Lloyd may be highly owned at Round 1, he is likely worth the investment.
Luke Parker MID $694K
Parker was quite a volatile own last season, he averaged 95.4pts in the H&A season and scored 108pts in an Elimination Final loss to GWS.
Parker scored 100pts or more in 40.9% of games & 120pts or more in 9.1% of games last season, he scored fewer than 80pts in 27.3% of games which was a significant increase compared to the 2017 season (12.5%).
If Sydney can return as a successful club in 2019 then Parker is likely to benefit, he averaged 103.4pts from winning games compared to 85.4pts from losing games last season.
The Swans have a decent early fixture to start the 2019 H&A season, Parker may be an option especially to go along with what is likely to be a low ownership.
Isaac Heeney MID/FWD $658K
With the departure of Dan Hannebery during the recent trade period Heeney could be elevated up the Swans midfield depth chart in 2019, he has averaged in the low 20’s for Disposals in the last 2 years in his Mid/Fwd role at the Swans.
The addition of Dan Menzel and the emergence of Ben Ronke last season should alleviate the pressure on scoring, for midfielders such as Heeney next season an increase in midfield usage could see his numbers spike as a result.
Heeney scored 100pts or more in 40.9% of games last season, he did not score 120pts or more in any game.
With his DPP status expect Heeney to be a target for fantasy coaches at Round 1, an increase in midfield usage should see him deliver a healthy 2019 average.
|Kennedy, Josh P.||MID||90.14||22||$654000|