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Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers – Rd. 5

Pete looks at the player trends following round five.

With such a short turnaround fantasy coaches are up against it to absorb crucial information this week, DPP’s have been added to throw an extra layer on decisions prior to Round 6.

Here are some quick grabs from Round 5.

Article by @aflratingsPete

PLAYER TRENDS

Adelaide

Bryce Gibbs started in a half-back role against the Suns scoring 96pts, he recorded a season high 8 Marks.

Brisbane

Lachie Neale recorded a season low 76pts against Collingwood, he had averaged 111.3pts in his last 3 games against the Magpies prior to Round 5.

Carlton

Sam Petrevski-Seton recorded a career high 35 Disposals in Round 5 (106pts), it was the first time he has recorded 30 Disposals in a game.

Collingwood

Taylor Adams has scored 100pts or more in 1 of 3 games this season, he recorded a season low 56 points in Round 5 & has averaged 73.5pts in his last 4 games against Brisbane.

Essendon

Dylan Shiel recorded his 3rd career highest score in Round 5 (127pts), he has averaged 109.0pts from his last 4 games.

Fremantle

Matt Taberner recorded a career high 13 Marks in Round 5, he has recorded 8 Marks or more in 4 of 5 games this season (Ave: 8.6, AFL Rank 8).

Geelong

Sam Menegola is yet to record 100pts in a game this season (2018: 52.2%), he is averaging 75.2pts per game.

Gold Coast

Brayden Fiorini recorded his 3rd consecutive 100pts game in Round 5, he is averaging 109.4pts this season (+17.8pts compared to 2018).

GWS Giants

Josh Kelly has recorded 100pts or more in his opening 3 games of the season, he is averaging 106.7pts.

Hawthorn

Ricky Henderson has averaged 116.3pts from his last 4 games, he has never averaged more than 90pts in a season over his career (2019 Ave: 110.4).

Melbourne

Despite the 1-4 start by the Demons Angus Brayshaw is averaging 105.8pts, he has scored 100pts or more in 4 of 5 games this season.

Nth Melbourne

Todd Goldstein is yet to record 100pts in a game this season, he is averaging 78.4pts this season (-15.0pts compared to 2018).

Port Adelaide

Travis Boak recorded a season low 79pts against West Coast in Round 5, he was shadowed by Mark Hutchings.

Richmond

Dustin Martin scored his opening 100pt game of the season in Round 5, he kicked 3 Goals on his way to 110pts. Martin averaged 100.2pts when kicking 1 Goal or more & 105.3pts when kicking 2 Goals or more in 2018.

St Kilda

Jack Billings is averaging 103.0pts this season (+17.9pts compared to 2018), he has averaged 112.3pts from his last 3 games.

Sydney

Jake Lloyd has exceeded 120pts or more in each game this season, he is averaging 125.2pts (+23.5pts compared to 2018).

West Coast

Dom Sheed has averaged 81.0pts since Andrew Gaff has returned, he is averaging 96.4pts this season.

Western Bulldogs

Caleb Daniel has averaged 29.3 Disposals from his last 4 games, he is averaging 92.0pts this season (+14.2pts compared to 2018).

FIVE TAKEAWAYS

1.Richmond conceded 464 Disposals against Sydney in Round 5, the Tigers have conceded 400 Disposals in 4 of 5 games this season. Richmond conceded 400 Disposals in 5 games in the 2018 H&A season.

2. Gold Coast has conceded an average of 159.7 more fantasy team points then their opponents over the last 3 weeks, the Suns conceded 7 100pt games vs Adelaide in Round 5.

3. Alex Witherden averaged 79.0pts from his opening 2 games of the season, he has averaged 100.7pts from his last 3 games.

4. Rory Sloane has recorded 120pts or more in 3 of 5 games this season, he is averaging 25.3pts more than the 2018 H&A season.

5. Melbourne has not recorded more Disposals than their opponents in any game this season (-42.0 average Differential), the Demons averaged 391.0 Disposals in the 2018 H&A season (Rank 2).

Warnie, Cal & Roy discuss these takeaways on the Traders Podcast (8:15).

Listen to the AFL Fantasy Podcast with The Traders at Apple Podcasts, Spotify and Google Podcasts.

Pete is our numbers man. Covering all things Fantasy, DFS and betting through his website and social platforms, at aflratings.com.au, knowledge is everything.




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