Inside the Numbers – Rd. 21

With just 18 games remaining in the 2019 H&A season the scramble is on to find unique options that will be the difference between success & failure.

Quite a few will look to empty bank accounts assuming that the most expensive players are the best & will provide instant reward, pivoting away from this strategy will almost certainly create a unique line-up which will create movement in your overall rank.

No Risk = No Reward.

Good luck for Round 22.

Article by @aflratingsPete

PLAYER TRENDS

Adelaide

Bryce Gibbs has averaged 106.5pts in his 2 games since returning to the team in Round 20, he averaged 79.9pts in his 8 previous games this season.

Brisbane

Jarryd Lyons scored a career 158pts in Round 21, he has averaged 116.5pts since the Brisbane Round 13 Bye.

Carlton

Nic Newman has scored 100pts or more in 5 of 7 games since the Carlton Round 14 Bye, he has averaged 107.1pts over the same period.

Collingwood

Adam Treloar has scored 100pts or more in each of his last 9 games, he has averaged 120.1pts over the same period.

Essendon

Zach Merrett has scored 100pts or more in 4 of his last 5 games, he has averaged 119.0pts over the same period.

Fremantle

Nat Fyfe has scored 100pts or more in each of his last 4 games, he has averaged 116.5pts over the same period.

Geelong

Tim Kelly scored 103pts in Round 21, that was his first score over 100pts since Round 15.

Gold Coast

Jarrod Witts has scored 100pts or more in 45.0% of games this season, he scored 100pts or more in 31.8% of games in 2018.

GWS Giants

Toby Greene has averaged 134.6pts from his last 5 games, he averaged 80.3pts in his previous 10 games prior to Round 17.

Hawthorn

James Worpel has scored 100pts or more 5 of his last 7 games, he has averaged 107.0pts over the same period.

Melbourne

Clayton Oliver has scored 100pts or more in 7 of his last 8 games, he has averaged 108.5pts over the same period.

Nth Melbourne

Todd Goldstein has scored 100pts or more in 15.0% of games this season, he scored 100pts or more in 36.4% of games in 2018.

Port Adelaide

Dan Houston has averaged 110.0pts from his last 3 games, he averaged 73.2pts from his previous 16 games.

Richmond

Dion Prestia has scored 100pts or more in 8 of his last 9 games, he has averaged 110.2pts over the same period.

St Kilda

Seb Ross has scored 100pts or more in 2 of his last 3 games, he has averaged 118.3pts over the same period.

Sydney

Isaac Heeney has scored 100pts or more in 6 of his last 9 games, he has averaged 101.4pts over the same period.

West Coast

Jack Darling scored a season high 120pts in Round 21, he has averaged 99.5pts from his last 4 games.

Western Bulldogs

Josh Dunkley has scored 100pts or more in 12 of his last 14 games, he has averaged 123.1pts over the same period.

FIVE TAKEAWAYS

1. Bottom ranked teams for average points differential in the last 4 weeks:
18. Gold Coast -253.0pts
17. Essendon -242.3pts
18. Sydney -151.0

2. Top ranked teams for average points differential in the last 4 weeks:
1. Port Adelaide +180.8
2. Western Bulldogs +168.0
3. Adelaide +95.0

3. Essendon have conceded 400 Disposals or more in 4 of their last 6 games, they conceded only 2 in their first 14 games of 2019.

4. Matt Crouch scored a career high 151pts in Round 21, he has averaged 138.5pts from his last 2 games.

5. Sam Walsh (Round 21: 69pts) scored fewer than 70pts for the first time in his 20 game career, he is averaging 93.2pts in his 1st year.

Warnie, Cal & Roy discuss these takeaways on the Traders Podcast (24:33).

 

Listen to the AFL Fantasy Podcast with The Traders at Apple Podcasts, Spotify and Google Podcasts.