Geelong AFL Fantasy Classic Prices 2018

Despite a Top 4 finish Geelong averaged 384.4 Disposals (Rank 10) & 1616.6 fantasy team points (Rank 9) in 2017, the Cats recorded 400+ Disposals in 6 games (Melbourne 13) including only 1 from their final 7 games of the H&A season. Patrick Dangerfield, Mitch Duncan & Joel Selwood were the only players to average 25.0 or more Disposals in 2017 (Incl. Finals), Gary Ablett returns to Geelong in 2018 having averaged 33.0 Disposals in his final year at Gold Coast.

With the addition of Ablett the Cats are likely to increase their Disposal average in 2018, if not then the distribution of fantasy points may be uncertain for other top tier players such as Dangerfield, Duncan & J.Selwood.

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2018 Potential Targets:

Gary Ablett MID $837K

There is no disputing the fantasy talent of Ablett, in his last year at Gold Coast he averaged 118.8pts recording 30 Disposals or more in 71.4% of games. Ablett scored 100pts or more in 78.6% of games and 120pts or more in 42.9% of games, he scored 150pts or more in 3 games including s season high 162pts against Nth Melbourne in Round 6. Longevity will be a concern for fantasy coaches in determining whether to take Ablett or not, since the beginning of 2014 he only played in 55.7% of games at Gold Coast. If you plan on having excellent bench cover this season then Ablett is definitely worth considering.

Patrick Dangerfield MID $849K

Dangerfield put together another outstanding year averaging 120.5pts in the 2017 H&A season, he scored 100pts or more in 83.3% of games & 120pts or more in 50.0% of games (Incl. Finals). Dangerfield kicked at least 1 Goal in 20 of 24 games last season, when he kicked 3 Goals or more he averaged 132.7pts per game. Dangerfield should be a Round 1 target or an upgrade target early in the year, pairing he and Ablett in the same team should also be a consideration.

Joel Selwood MID $670K

Selwood does represent value based on his price tag to begin 2018, he averaged 94.0pts last season which included an average of 70.7pts between Rounds 13-23. The low 2^nd half of the year average included 2pts after being concussed early in Round 14 and 64pts after injuring his ankle in Round 20 subsequently missing the final 3 games of the H&A season, many would not remember the 110.6 average Selwood delivered between Rounds 1-11. Selwood could thrive as 3^rd banana at the Cats, imagine opposition teams letting both Dangerfield & Ablett loose, if not then Selwood scores well.

Mitch Duncan MID $793K

Duncan smashed out a PB (Personal Best) averaging 112.6pts during the 2017 H&A season, he also averaged 133.7pts in the Finals for Geelong. Duncan scored 100pts or more in 70.8% of games & 120pts or more in 33.3% of games last season (Incl. Finals), he scored a season high 169pts against the Bulldogs in Round 9. The addition of Ablett does put up an initial red flag for Duncan having averaged more than 100.0pts only once in his career (2017), more research is needed throughout the JLT Series to witness any impact on his points per minute.

Tim Kelly MID $224K

Motlop moves out of Geelong and Kelly moves in, the talented WA product is sure to be utilised by Geelong this season. “Tim Kelly is a bit older but we think he could help us, if not straight away, but pretty early in his tenure at Geelong” Chris Scott. If Kelly is named in Round 1, just click on the + button.

 

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Player	Pos	2017 Avg	2017 Gms	2018 Price
Dangerfield, Patrick	MID	120.52	21	$849000
Ablett, Gary	MID	118.86	14	$837000
Duncan, Mitch	MID	112.57	21	$793000
Menegola, Sam	MID/FWD	102.11	19	$719000
Selwood, Scott	MID	99.91	11	$704000
Selwood, Joel	MID	95.11	18	$670000
Tuohy, Zach	DEF	85.59	22	$603000
Smith, Zac	RUC	84.61	18	$596000
Hawkins, Tom	FWD	78.37	19	$552000
Blicavs, Mark	MID	78	17	$549000
Murdoch, Jordan	MID/FWD	74.14	21	$522000
Stanley, Rhys	RUC/FWD	71.18	11	$501000
Henderson, Lachie	DEF	70.21	19	$494000
Guthrie, Cameron	MID	68.84	19	$485000
Horlin-Smith, George	MID	73.57	7	$471000
Taylor, Harry	DEF/FWD	65.45	22	$461000
Menzel, Daniel	FWD	64.65	17	$455000
Black, Aaron	FWD	73.75	4	$426000
Stewart, Tom	DEF	60.28	18	$424000
Kolodjashnij, Jake	DEF	58	15	$408000
Parfitt, Brandan	MID/FWD	56.08	12	$395000
Thurlow, Jackson	DEF/MID	55.2	10	$389000
Cockatoo, Nakia	FWD	51.1	10	$360000
Bews, Jed	DEF	51.06	16	$360000
Parsons, James	FWD	46.5	18	$327000
Crameri, Stewart	FWD	60.5	2	$324000
McCarthy, Lincoln	FWD	55.33	3	$308000
Buzza, Wylie	RUC/FWD	49	6	$304000
Gregson, Cory	FWD	0	0	$283000
Guthrie, Zach	DEF	37	7	$237000
Simpson, Sam	FWD	39.4	5	$236000
Fogarty, Lachlan	MID	0	0	$228000
Kelly, Tim	MID	0	0	$224000
Cunico, Jordan	MID	42	1	$222000
Constable, Charlie	MID	0	0	$200000
O'Connor, Mark	DEF/MID	36	2	$193000
Abbott, Ryan	RUC	0	0	$170000
Miers, Gryan	FWD	0	0	$170000
Ratugolea, Esava	FWD	0	0	$170000
Henry, Jack	FWD	0	0	$170000
Narkle, Quinton	MID	0	0	$170000
Jones, Jamaine	FWD	0	0	$170000
Gardner, Ryan	DEF	0	0	$170000
Hayball, Matthew	DEF	0	0	$170000
House, Timm	FWD	0	0	$170000

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