Despite an awful start to the 2017 H&A season Hawthorn remained fantasy relevant throughout the majority of the year, in the opening 4 games the Hawks averaged 1564.0 fantasy team points and closed out their remaining 18 games averaging 1704.8pts (Collingwood Rank 1: 1725.1 Ave). Hawthorn averaged 1721.8pts from their final 6 games of the 2017 H&A season, they should be a more settled line-up at Round 1 in 2018 compared to 2017.
Tom Mitchell was the only Hawk to average more than 25 Disposals in 2017 (Disposal Average: 35.8), considering the Hawks will likely be very fantasy relevant again in 2018 there is likely to be a decent amount of value about.
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Tom Mitchell MID $896K
2017 was a staggering fantasy year by Mitchell, he averaged 127.2pts scoring 100pts or more in 90.9% of games & 120pts or more in 68.2% of games. Mitchell did average 114.8pts from his final 5 games of the season, coaches not willing to take Mitchell at Round 1 with an enormous price tag could grab him at a discount after a few games but how often do trades really pan out the way you want. Take Mitchell at Round 1 and have peace of mind or wait and hopefully there are no other issues to deal with at a possible cheaper price?
Jaeger O’Meara MID $438k
Yes O’Meara has had knee injuries, yes he has not played a substantial amount of games in recent years, yes he did burn most of us in 2017 but at his low price he can’t be ignored. Ensure you have a back-up plan if you are selecting O’Meara (Playing MID Bench & DPP options), otherwise it could be quite painful & decision time on the odd Thursday night.
James Sicily DEF/FWD $523K
Sicily averaged 74.3pts in the 2017 H&A season, a role change mid-year resulted in plenty of defensive time averaging 89.8pts between Rounds 14-23 & 93.3pts between Rounds 18-23 which included a low score of 24pts and 4 games over 100pts. There is value remaining in the price tag for Sicily, but if you are considering selecting him then you need to track his pre-season defensive positioning throughout the JLT Series. A split Forward/Defensive role could destroy his value.
Ryan Burton DEF $594K
After a breakout 2017 season averaging 84.4pts Burton appears to be on his way to a decent AFL Career, when recording 20 Disposals or more he averaged 92.9pts & 25 Disposals or more that average jumped to 101.8pts in 2017. With Hodge having departed Hawthorn the role for Burton across half-back should be further enhanced which could see his numbers further spike in 2018, 45.0% of Burton’s scores in 2017 were sub 80pts and that should decrease as his career extends. Burton should be strongly considered at Round 1.
Harry Morrison DEF $396K / David Mirra DEF $170K
Morrison made his debut in Round 23 and recorded 21 Disposals & 75pts, “Harry Morrsion has been a standout, the way he’s comeback in the condition he has” Alastair Clarkson in early December at a NZ pre-season camp. One to watch over the pre-season.
Mirra (26) was selected in the 2017 Rookie Draft by the Hawks, he averaged 19 Disposals & 5 Marks in 2017 for Box Hill in the VFL. Grab him if/when he is named for the Hawks.
Hawthorn: "Harry Morrsion has been a standout, the way he's comeback in the condition he has" Alastair Clarkson #AFL pic.twitter.com/jN9n9AQMPK
— aflratings.com.au (@aflratings) December 8, 2017
Note: If on a smartphone, turn it to landscape mode to view prices easier.
| Player | Pos | 2017 Avg | 2017 Gms | 2018 Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitchell, Tom | MID | 127.18 | 22 | $896000 |
| Smith, Isaac | MID | 92.45 | 22 | $651000 |
| McEvoy, Ben | RUC | 91.41 | 22 | $644000 |
| Shiels, Liam | MID | 90.81 | 21 | $640000 |
| Henderson, Ricky | MID | 87.28 | 18 | $615000 |
| Gunston, Jack | FWD | 84.95 | 22 | $598000 |
| Burton, Ryan | DEF | 84.4 | 20 | $594000 |
| Roughead, Jarryd | FWD | 84.18 | 22 | $593000 |
| Burgoyne, Shaun | MID | 81.36 | 22 | $573000 |
| Rioli, Cyril | FWD | 59.57 | 7 | $543000 |
| Howe, Daniel | MID | 75.89 | 18 | $534000 |
| Sicily, James | DEF/FWD | 74.32 | 19 | $523000 |
| Breust, Luke | FWD | 71.19 | 21 | $501000 |
| Langford, Will | MID/FWD | 70.25 | 20 | $495000 |
| Whitecross, Brendan | FWD | 60.38 | 8 | $487000 |
| Birchall, Grant | DEF | 68.8 | 5 | $485000 |
| Puopolo, Paul | FWD | 66.73 | 15 | $470000 |
| Duryea, Taylor | DEF/FWD | 65.07 | 15 | $458000 |
| O'Brien, Tim | FWD | 63.44 | 16 | $447000 |
| Brand, Kaiden | DEF | 62.94 | 17 | $443000 |
| O'Meara, Jaeger | MID | 70.67 | 6 | $438000 |
| Hardwick, Blake | DEF | 61.21 | 19 | $431000 |
| Frawley, James | DEF | 62 | 8 | $410000 |
| Impey, Jarman | FWD | 57.26 | 19 | $403000 |
| Morrison, Harry | DEF | 75 | 1 | $396000 |
| Schoenmakers, Ryan | FWD | 52.91 | 11 | $373000 |
| Stratton, Ben | DEF | 53.5 | 8 | $354000 |
| Ceglar, Jonathon | RUC | 0 | 0 | $342000 |
| Vickery, Ty | FWD | 54.67 | 6 | $339000 |
| Glass, Conor | DEF | 53 | 6 | $328000 |
| Heatherley, Kurt | DEF | 48.75 | 4 | $312000 |
| Cousins, James | MID | 55.33 | 3 | $308000 |
| O'Rourke, Jono | MID | 0 | 0 | $277000 |
| Willsmore, Dallas | MID | 51 | 2 | $273000 |
| Miles, Teia | DEF/FWD | 46 | 4 | $266000 |
| Lovell, Kieran | MID | 0 | 0 | $210000 |
| Pittonet, Marc | RUC | 0 | 0 | $196000 |
| Worpel, James | MID | 0 | 0 | $182000 |
| Nash, Connor | DEF | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Moore, Dylan | MID | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Jones, Harry | MID | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Ross, Jackson | MID/FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Hanrahan, Oliver | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Lewis, Mitch | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Jiath, Changkuoth | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Mirra, David | DEF | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
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