St Kilda averaged 398.0 Disposals in 2017 (Rank 4) but they were slow out of the gate averaging just 353.0 Disposals between Rounds 1-3 (Rank 17), the Saints were the No.1 team in the AFL averaging 405.1 Disposals between Rounds 4-23 recording 400+ Disposals in 10 games (52.6%) during this time (Equal Rank 1). St Kilda averaged 1655.1 fantasy team points in 2017 (Rank 5), between Rounds 4-23 the Saints averaged 1680.2pts (Collingwood Rank 1: 1725.1 Ave).
Fantasy coaches will likely be targeting quite a few St Kilda players throughout the 2018 season, there is quite a bit of value at the Saints from under-priced premiums to uncovered rookies.
2018 Potential Targets:
Jack Billings FWD $666K
Billings finally emerged as an elite talent in 2017 averaging 94.6pts from 22 games, he scored 100pts or more in 50.0% of games (2016: 17.6%) and fewer than 80pts in 31.8% of games (2016: 52.9%). Billings averaged 116.5pts from his final 4 games of 2017 and scored a career high 151pts in Round 8 against Carlton, he should be strongly considered at Round 1. Hopefully opposition teams will not target him in 2018.
Jack Steven MID $661K
Steven averaged 93.8pts in 2017 well down from an average of 104.4pts in 2016, he finished the season poorly averaging just 83.0pts between Rounds 18-23. In 2016 Steven scored 100pts or more in 59.1% of games and 120pts or more in 31.8% of games, those numbers fell sharply in 2017 when he scored 100pts or more in 45.0% of games and 120pts or more in 10.0% of games. As the Saints mature in to a good team hopefully Steven will see less attention from opposition teams, he is still value at his current price to begin the 2018 season.
David Armitage MID $459K
After recording a career season high 107.0pts in 2015 Armitage regressed in 2016 averaging just 85.8pts from 22 games, his 2017 season was derailed early managing just 2 games at an average of 70.5pts. Contemplating Armitage at Round 1 comes with a world of risk, that 2015 season could have been an anomaly & his health entering a 12th season at AFL level is a major concern. Armitage is well worth considering but keep an eye on him during the pre-season & look at his points per minute during the JLT Series.
Nathan Freeman MID $170K / Bailey Rice DEF $170K
Freeman was drafted at pick 10 in the 2013 AFL Draft and is yet to play a game due to persistent hamstring issues, he will be a wildly popular selection if he plays in 2018 is quite good value at his price. The injury issues will always be a concern in the short term for Freeman, hopefully he can increase his salary at a rapid rate just in case we all need to hit the eject button.
Rice should be very close to a debut in 2018, a finger injury early in 2017 and a shin complaint late hampered his development. Rice will be good value at his price.
Hunter Clark MID $258K / Nicholas Coffield DEF/MID $256K
St Kilda drafted well for fantasy coaches here and both may see a lot of action in 2018, Clark averaged 26.8 Disposals & 6.7 Tackles in the TAC Cup in 2017. Get Clark in as soon as he is named, well worth spending the extra coin on this rookie.
Coffield will likely slot in to the St Kilda defence across half back at some stage, he averaged 22 Disposals for VIC Metro in the U18 National Championships and reads the play exceptionally well. Don’t hesitate selecting Coffield when he plays game No.1.
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|Brown, Nathan J.||DEF||23.14||22||$170000|