Carlton AFL Fantasy Prices 2017

With each AFL Fantasy team price reveal, Peter from aflratings.com.au takes a look at five potential targets from each club.

Carlton improved team fantasy points in Brendon Bolton’s first year as head coach, the Blues were ranked 17^th in 2015 averaging 1428.3pts and jumped to 13^th in 2016 averaging 1550.7pt per game. There were significant individual opportunities at Carlton last year including Ed Curnow, Bryce Gibbs, Patrick Cripps & the backline duo in Kade Simpson and Sam Docherty. It will be a little more challenging to find value in 2017 as most seem to be appropriately priced at an expected average with the exception of Marc Murphy, once again the Blues turned over a significant amount of players in the trade period so pre-season games are a must watch to see how the new players fit in.

Carlton are likely to produce similar fantasy numbers in 2017, again they will be highly ranked in listed defenders and lowly ranked at the forward positions.

Here are 5 potential targets for Carlton in 2017

Sam Docherty (DEF, $609,000)

One of the most requested answers in fantasy last year was Docherty or Simpson, looking at their final player splits the only significant differential of note is the age of each player (Docherty 23 & Simpson 32). After averaging 82.2pts in 2015 Docherty relished his role around half back racking up disposals with ease, he finished the 2016 season averaging 25.7 Disposals and a 101.0 fantasy average. Most importantly as the Blues continue to rebuild Docherty averaged 102.0 in losing games, he should deliver another positive year as a backline option in 2017.

Kade Simpson (DEF, $611,000)

Despite getting on in age Simpson was a rock in defence last season averaging 101.1pts per game from a full season, Simpson is very durable having missed only 2 of a possible 95 games dating back to 2012. Simpson scored 100pts or more at a 54.5% S/R (Strike Rate) which was the same as Docherty, he finished the 2016 season off strong averaging 103.5pts between Rounds 12-23. At this point there is no wrong answer in the Simpson or Docherty debate, maybe even consider both in 2017.

Marc Murphy (MID, 482,000)

After another tortured year dealing with injury Marc Murphy’s durability is starting to become an issue for fantasy coaches, Murphy has played in only 74.2% of the 66 games available since the beginning of the 2014 season. There were a few positive indicators for Murphy in 2016 that proved he has not lost his fantasy scoring ability, he scored 100pts or more in his opening 6 games which included a season high 126pts against Richmond in Round 1. Opposition teams still tended to not allow Murphy to get of the chain in 2016, hopefully they will avoid him in 2017 and allow fantasy coaches taking the risk to be rewarded.

Bryce Gibbs (MID, $636,000)

Gibbs seemed to benefit from the close attention paid to Murphy by posting his highest season average since 2011, Gibbs averaged 105.4pts in 2016 which was an increase of 23.4pts compared to 2015. Gibbs jumped out early in 2016 averaging 112.5pts from his first 10 games, unfortunately Murphy was injured in Round 10 and Gibbs scored just 58 & 75 points in his next 2 games but recovered in his final 10 games to average 106.1pts. Gibbs scored 100pts or more at a 68.2% S/R (Top 10 AFL Rank) and 120pts or more at a 31.8% S/R, he should post similar numbers again in 2017.

Patrick Cripps (MID, $601,000)

Cripps is evolving in to a fairly decent fantasy option so early in his career, in just his 3^rd year he posted a 99.5 average in a team that won just 6 games for the season. Whilst the moderate 33.3% S/R scoring 100pts or more wasn’t quite noteworthy in his final 7 games of the year Cripps averaged an outstanding 116.7pts which included a season high 140pts against Sydney in Round 18 at the SCG, Cripps was ranked 2^nd in the AFL for average contested possessions (16.9) and a clear 1^st in average clearances (8.8). Unfortunately Cripps is recovering from a stress reaction in his back that was revealed in late November, he is likely to resume full training in late January and with no more setbacks should be a strong consideration for any Round 1 team.

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Player	Club	Pos	2016 Avg	2016 Gms	2017 Price
Gibbs, Bryce	CAR	MID	105.41	22	$636000
Curnow, Ed	CAR	MID	101.76	21	$614000
Simpson, Kade	CAR	DEF	101.14	22	$611000
Docherty, Sam	CAR	DEF	101	22	$609000
Cripps, Patrick	CAR	MID	99.48	21	$601000
Wright, Matthew	CAR	FWD	84.36	22	$509000
Kerridge, Sam	CAR	MID	80.33	21	$485000
Graham, Nick	CAR	MID/FWD	80.33	12	$485000
Murphy, Marc	CAR	MID	79.8	10	$482000
Thomas, Dale	CAR	MID	74.78	18	$451000
Kreuzer, Matthew	CAR	RUC	71.48	21	$431000
Palmer, Rhys	CAR	FWD	65	11	$393000
Armfield, Dennis	CAR	FWD	63.87	15	$385000
Byrne, Ciaran	CAR	DEF	62.91	11	$380000
White, Simon	CAR	DEF	61.12	17	$369000
Buckley, Dylan	CAR	FWD	57.82	11	$349000
Lamb, Jed	CAR	FWD	57.6	15	$348000
Weitering, Jacob	CAR	DEF	57.4	20	$347000
Gorringe, Daniel	CAR	RUC/FWD	66	4	$327000
Casboult, Levi	CAR	FWD	51.55	20	$311000
Boekhorst, Blaine	CAR	MID/FWD	55.57	7	$305000
Silvagni, Jack	CAR	FWD	53.38	8	$303000
Silvagni, Alex	CAR	DEF	58	5	$298000
Phillips, Andrew	CAR	RUC	49.44	16	$298000
Plowman, Lachie	CAR	DEF	49.32	19	$298000
Jones, Liam	CAR	FWD	49.5	8	$281000
Sumner, Liam	CAR	FWD	46.19	16	$278000
Cuningham, David	CAR	MID	55	3	$262000
Smedts, Billie	CAR	MID/FWD	57	1	$259000
Petrevski-Seton, Sam	CAR	MID	0	0	$240000
Curnow, Charlie	CAR	FWD	44.5	6	$237000
Rowe, Sam	CAR	DEF	38.45	22	$232000
Marchbank, Caleb	CAR	DEF	44.5	2	$205000
Jaksch, Kristian	CAR	DEF/FWD	38	1	$202000
Fisher, Zac	CAR	MID	0	0	$198000
Macreadie, Harrison	CAR	DEF	0	0	$158000
Gallucci, Andrew	CAR	FWD	0	0	$150000
Pickett, Jarrod	CAR	MID/FWD	0	0	$150000
Lebois, Kym	CAR	FWD	0	0	$150000
Sheehan, Ciaran	CAR	DEF	0	0	$150000
Polson, Cameron	CAR	FWD	0	0	$150000
Kerr, Pat	CAR	FWD	0	0	$150000
Williamson, Tom	CAR	DEF	0	0	$150000
Glass-McCasker, Jesse	CAR	DEF	0	0	$150000
McKay, Harry	CAR	FWD	0	0	$150000
Korcheck, Matthew	CAR	RUC	0	0	$150000

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