Connect with us

Deck of Dream Team

Jy Simpkin – Deck of DT 2022

2x hat winner Holmesy Heroes thinks more than 1% should be on this Roo.

Name: Jy Simpkin
Team: North Melbourne
Position: MID
Price: $801,000
Bye round: 14
2021 average: 95.4
2021 games played: 22
Predicted average: 105
Draft range: 4th Round

Click here for 2022 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

One of the key components of being successful in AFL Fantasy Classic is being able to pick players in your starting squad that present value. Put simply, these players need to score in-line with the top 6-8 players in their lines, whilst also improving on their starting average. When it comes to midfielders, the players I have picked in the past have been priced in the 80’s to low 90’s, but have the ability to go 105+ and score close enough to the top 8 midfielders. These players fall into two categories.

The first are players who have demonstrated they can score like a top 8 midfielder in the past, but for some reason had a down season and are priced below their best. Last season, this was Tim Taranto who had averaged 114 before, but was priced at 94 due to the corona ball affected season. The other category is the young gun who is primed to break out, off the back of solid end of season form the previous year. Last year Sam Walsh was priced at 97 off the back of averaging 111 in the back half of the previous season. Both of these players would average 108 and 109 respectively and were key components in me coming 2nd in the competition last season.

Jy Simpkin’s fantasy prospects have been steadily building, with averages of 49, 59.5, 66.7, 88.5 (adjusted) and 95.4 in the 5 years he has been in the competition. Last season, the 2016 first round draft pick became a full blown midfielder, averaging 79% CBA’s whilst also taking his TOG from 77% to 83%. Even with Ben Cunnington taking big midfield minutes, Simpkin became the main man for the Kangaroos in 2021. With Cunnington now out, there is even more potential for Simpkin to break out. Unless he already has?

Simpkin’s average of 95.4 in season 2021 was actually a tail of 2 halves. In the first half of the season when the Kangaroos were struggling, he was up and down like a yo-yo averaging 86. In the second half the young Kangaroos began to click, playing some decent footy that translated into some pretty handy fantasy scores. Simpkin played a massive role in this, averaging 105 in the back half of the season. If we take out a random tagged game of 49 against Sydney in round 22 (thanks Calvin), his average was 110 with a low score of just 96. Fantasy scores in the back half of the season are often good indicators of what we can expect to begin the next season and with Simpkin about to enter his prime at age 24 next season, I believe he is capable of being a 105+ midfielder.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Was the random tagged game random, or is this more of what we should expect in 2022? With Cunnington’s future unclear, Simpkin now becomes the main target for opposition clubs. If tags become more of a feature towards him next season, his floor becomes considerably lower which will affect his fantasy output. That combined with the fact he is priced at 95, he would need to go 105+ to score in-line with the top midfielders and prove a valuable pick, or else you are wasting a midfield spot. This average would have him inside the top 20 midfielders in the competition, which is not an easy thing to accomplish. Let’s not also forget, the Kangaroos are still rebuilding off the back of only winning 4 games in 2021. It could be another tough year for the club, with fantasy scoring sometimes difficult if your team is getting flogged. Although we saw Laird and Keays both average close to 110 when playing for Adelaide, it is still a concern when your team is down the bottom of the ladder.

Deck of DT Rating.

KING

At this point in time, I am all in on Simpkin. Players like this are high risk, but the key to winning this competition is about taking risks and sometimes going against the norm. Off the back of a breakout season where he won his first Best and Fairest, I believe he has the tools to take his fantasy game to the next level, scoring in-line with the top 10-15 midfielders and proving to be a value pick in our starting squads.

FOLLOW US  ON TWITTER: @DTTALK for all things AFL Fantasy (and more). Got something to say about the deck or AFL Fantasy in general? Join the conversation and use the hashtag… #AFLFantasy.

2 x #AFLFantasy top 10 finisher. Car hunter. 🚗

22 Comments

22 Comments

  1. Roger

    January 5, 2022 at 8:15 am

    Great article. Cunners played 6games after the bye, he will be the #1 mid for them and Greenwood coming into the side, it’s a no from me.

    • Chatta

      January 5, 2022 at 4:55 pm

      I assume your credentials are way higher than Holmesy. Which years did you win the car 🤔🤣

  2. Henry

    January 5, 2022 at 10:10 am

    Has anyone noticed that DTLive’s Drawing Board is currently out by $10,000s for some players? Example, it has Sicily priced at $474,900. But on AFL Classic he’s $510,000. I have identical squads on both sites but a $155,500 difference in salary cap.

    • Blake Rookledge

      January 5, 2022 at 10:21 am

      Lock

    • Blake Rookledge

      January 5, 2022 at 10:22 am

      Yes they are out. Willie rioli and marchbank 2 more examples

      • Phteven

        January 5, 2022 at 11:07 am

        Would love to get marchbank for 190k

  3. Squid

    January 5, 2022 at 11:54 am

    Nah, you’re just saying what you are thinking, please get educated or just stop rather than run the risk of looking foolish.

    COVID is real and killing people while leaving many more with chronic health issues. The current situation IS learning to live with it.

    Players miss games for various injuries and illnesses all the time, gastro, flu, concussion, mental health, various cancers, criminal conduct, being bitten by dogs, falling off bikes, jumping off bridges, watersking, playing basketball, getting in car crashes not to mention suspensions for various on and off field misconducts……… missing with COVID is no different so perhaps you need to pull your head out of the sand and learn to live with life.

    Perhaps I’m the one “Just saying what most maybe thinkig or scared to” say to you because it might start you banging on endlessly about unfounded poorly reasoned inaccurate garbage no one wants to hear.

    Also thanks, nice write up Holmesy but pass for me, if I had to pick a speculative Roos mid I’d be leaning towards Anderson at around the same price but dpp as well.

    • Warnie

      January 5, 2022 at 3:35 pm

      FYI – I’ve deleted the posts from that commenter (they were using another pseudonym than their usual feet in slime rubbish)… comments from that email address will be moderated.

    • Iridium192

      January 5, 2022 at 5:08 pm

      +1 Squid. Well written and to the point

    • saz

      January 5, 2022 at 8:24 pm

      I have to laugh at ur comments.

      3 things we dont talk about at the moment

      religion
      politics
      covid

      i know we all have our own thoughts on covid.
      But I am pretty sure it was reported that Christian Petracca did go to the AFL to see if they have to take the jab.

      I’m sorry we are in a communist state, and country. and if this comment gets deleted, then my point is proved right.
      Not sure what was said, sounds like a comment was deleted for what ever reason.

      covid is real, I agree, but to have a jab mandated is totally wrong.
      If someone is jabbed, and they get covid, and a player misses a game, why was the jab mandated.

      What u can’t get covid as bad??
      Isn’t the best immunity to get covid so our body can get on with what is has done for hundreds of years lol.

      U do your research, have a look at the soccer players falling over on the pitch, and know with heart condition.
      Do we want to see that this year in the AFL, God forbid.

      all I’m saying there is more news than channel 7,9,10 and the ABC.
      U do your research.
      there are so many nurses, ambos, that have not takin it.

      We have searched for cures for cancers for years and years,
      Big Phama comes up with 3-4 in 9 months, even ur not that stupid squid.

      bring on the footy fantasy and hope we can have an uninterrupted season

      • Mighty Puds

        January 5, 2022 at 8:59 pm

        Maybe it’s best to use these comments to discuss fantasy rather than the specifics of covid, vaccines and what kind of country we live in. Hence why most comments like this are deleted.

        • saz

          January 5, 2022 at 9:28 pm

          yeah I agree just responding to what was said lol

          I’m all for the footy to come on can’t wait, but we can’t bury our heads in the sand, and we all have the right to have freedom of speech,

          but I think it is fantasy relevant if players miss a good chunk and have to do a 7 day iso,
          this can of worms could be opened wider but i’ll leave it there and go back to my team.

          all thoughts should be welcomed on most things lol

          • Squid

            January 6, 2022 at 10:38 am

            You’re the same person though aren’t you? That or you really don’t know the content of the original post, for the record in case this is a different poster it was total tripe and you’re actually speaking garbage too for the most part again/now, FYI freedom of speach is not what you believe it to be by the way, there are rules, you can’t just spout whatever nonsense bubbles to the top of your addled mind without consequence.

            Apologies to the rest of the community, my aim is to educate but I really should know better than to try by now, I will now turn my cephalapodic attentions to the imaginary footy and trust in admin to monitor the trolls.

      • Trumpisbackincharge!!

        January 6, 2022 at 12:01 am

        Soccer players have been falling over on the pitch for decades!!

        • Squid

          January 6, 2022 at 10:22 am

          Haha, this made me spray my coffee, so true.

          • zoro

            January 6, 2022 at 6:44 pm

            My aim is to educate!!! made me spray my coffee also… it’s a footy forum lads , stick to the fantasy advice

  4. Aluniesheis

    January 5, 2022 at 7:33 pm

    Great write up. Simpkin would really interest me if he was around 90 as I think he might go 100. The tag is an interesting point.

    • Phteven

      January 5, 2022 at 10:03 pm

      Hi. Big fan of your work. I know it’s early, but I have a question. Witts and Hall or Grundy and Hayden Young. Your advice would be most appreciated.

    • Gabe

      January 5, 2022 at 10:04 pm

      Hey Aluniesheis, I’m trying to put together a really competitive league. Would love it if you would join? Pin is 7PJWWTS6 :)

      • Double Parked

        January 5, 2022 at 11:25 pm

        Hope you don’t mind me joining…
        Hardly special but was ~400th last year

  5. 22 guns

    January 7, 2022 at 2:31 pm

    gabe have rejoined have flirted with top ten for a few weeks some years ago do finnish high in rankings most years would love to compete in competitive league

  6. Scott

    January 11, 2022 at 9:05 pm

    Great write up. While probably not for me, his numbers after the bye are definitely eyebrow raising. If only he was slightly cheaper.

Leave a Reply to Phteven Cancel reply

More in Deck of Dream Team