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Deck of Dream Team

Josh Dunkley – Deck of DT 2022

We’ve seen Dunkley outperform his starting price by 20 pts before. A lock?

Name: Josh Dunkley
Team: Western Bulldogs
Position: MID/FWD
Price: $767,000
Bye round: 13
2021 average: 91.5
2021 games played: 11
Predicted Average: 105
Draft range: 1st Round

Click here for 2022 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

Fantasy coaches are well and truly spoilt for choice this season, with a plethora of elite players available for selection in the forward line. There are few better options upfront than Josh Dunkley of the Western Bulldogs who is available as a MID/FWD in 2022.

Coaches would be hard-pressed to have forgotten his blistering start to the 2021 season, reeling off an impressive average of 118.6 from his opening five games and placing him in the ‘must own’ category for many. This purple patch saw him score over 100 in all five games with a high score of 151 coming in round five over the Gold Coast Suns. Splitting his time between the midfield and forward line worked a treat during this period, where he averaged 30 disposals and 1.2 goals a game. Having seen Dunkley score 20 points higher than his starting price in 2021, I’ve got no doubt in his ability to do it again this season.

One of the only knocks on Dunks within the fantasy community was that he didn’t seem to get the high number of CBAs (Centre Bounce Attendances) often needed to rack up decent fantasy scores, as is often preferred for our premium players. This reduced attendance is understandable given the immense depth in the Western Bulldogs on-ball brigade often resulting in CBAs being shared around a bit more than what they might be at other clubs. In the table below we see that he well and truly debunked this myth and showed that he can score handsomely without spending too much time in the middle. Across his first six games of the 2021 season prior to his shoulder injury layoff, we witnessed Dunkley scoring at a click of 115 per match from an average of only 47% of CBAs per game.

Round # Score TOG CBA’s CBA %
1 107 83% 14 67%
2 117 81% 14 44%
3 110 81% 14 41%
4 108 77% 9 41%
5 151 80% 14 50%
6 100 72% 11 41%

With his nine of his first ten games of the season being in Victoria, everything seems to point towards Dunkley kicking off season 2022 in a rich vein of form likewise to 2021 and outperforming his starting price yet again.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

The Western Bulldogs boast one of the premier midfield groups of the competition, with a star-studded lineup led by Marcus Bontempelli that also features Jack Macrae, Adam Treloar, Tom Liberatore, Bailey Smith and Lachie Hunter. With such quality and depth across the middle of the ground, we’ve seen Bulldogs coach Luke Beveridge switch the magnets around more often than we’d like as fantasy coaches. The unpredictability of who will be attending the bulk of the CBAs for the dogs can be a bit of a concern for those wanting to see Dunkley spending more time in the middle.

In round 6 last year we unfortunately saw Dunkley go down with a shoulder injury that required surgery, ruling him out for half of the 2021 campaign. Whilst he still made it back in time for the end of the regular season and the dogs’ finals campaign, it proved to be another instance where he’s failed to play more than 14 games in a season for the fourth time in six years. This lack of consistency is one of the few knocks on Dunkley. With his poor track record of not playing the bulk of home and away games in a season, some coaches may be deterred and instead turn to more durable and consistent options up forward.

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE

Having seen Dunkley go 20 points better than his starting price last season without massive CBA numbers, he’s an ace in the Deck of DT. This season could be one where we see Josh push back towards and potentially past his 110 average that we witnessed in 2019, making him must own as a FWD priced at only 91.5. A preseason fancy who is already owned by 43% of coaches at the time of writing, it’s more of a case of is he your F1/F2/F3 rather than whether he makes your team.

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James is a Port Adelaide aficionado who spends a ridiculous amount of time deep-diving into AFL data and statistics. Always happy for a yarn @Jimsanity_

17 Comments

17 Comments

  1. Euman

    January 4, 2022 at 8:08 am

    Dunkley or Trelor?

    • The Chosen Won™®©

      January 4, 2022 at 8:56 am

      I think both provide great value and it will be hard not to start both.

      I smashed da Minj ©™

      Good Luck 2022™®©

      • Euman

        January 4, 2022 at 9:06 am

        Yeah stil lvery undecided currently have Taranto, Trelor, Thomas. I like Degoey as well. Could easily swap Taranto to Dunks save some cash either upgrade Thomas or someone else

        • James

          January 4, 2022 at 9:46 am

          With The Chosen Won here, both almost too much value to ignore!

    • Squid

      January 4, 2022 at 9:57 am

      Dunkley for me but like Chosen said both are fwd line gifts.

  2. Blake Rookledge

    January 4, 2022 at 9:56 am

    Bargain

  3. BREVERARD

    January 4, 2022 at 10:27 am

    Im going wingard thomas over treloar dunkley. They all have value should be trying to get the lot bargaon fwds this year

    • Mighty Puds

      January 4, 2022 at 1:40 pm

      Really ballsy move, personally can’t see Wingard getting as much mid time as the two dogs and then for Thomas Greenwood might steal some of his minutes in the midfield. Plus both Dunkley and Treloar are value imo, both arguably 10 points under so imo they’re bargains.

      • Euman

        January 4, 2022 at 6:15 pm

        Forgot about Greenwood, Nth also got some good kids coming through

  4. Squid

    January 4, 2022 at 10:50 am

    That sounds like a recipe for losing an average of 40-50points a week over the season unless you can find some major work for the relatively small $ savings you make. Still you never know I guess, that’s kind of how this works otherwise we’d all win all the time.

    • Euman

      January 4, 2022 at 6:17 pm

      Sorry not sure what thread you are commenting on, what sounds like bad recipe?

      • Squid

        January 5, 2022 at 11:18 am

        Sorry, Wingard & Thomas over Treloar & Dunkley. Hit the wrong thingy

  5. Gozzi

    January 4, 2022 at 5:45 pm

    FWD line pretty weak or at least mid priced at the moment, currently going with Treloar, Thomas, Butters, Gresham, Brodie, Rachele. Do you think it would be worth down grading Rachele to Hollands and upgrading Thomas/Butters for Dunkley? Not sure what performance Rachele will be capable of, I was under the impression he’ll be playing forward and may score similar to Hollands?

    Any advice I’m happy to hear

    • BREVERARD

      January 4, 2022 at 6:38 pm

      Exactly what should be done hollands should be your f6. Butters upgraded to treloar if possible

      • Gozzi

        January 4, 2022 at 7:26 pm

        Already have Treloar so I will upgrade him to Dunkley instead, best of both worlds hahaha. I feel rachele will be a Rowe from last year type rookie, super inconsistent fwd rookie but this time for a higher price tag – cheers for the advice!

  6. Brian Smith

    January 5, 2022 at 6:34 pm

    I’m currently rolling with Jed Anderson, Dunks, Thomas, Martin, Rayner, Brodie, But holding an option to trade Jed down to Treloar / Cogs / Wingard to help avoid 2 onfield rooks in Def. Sound reasonable for now?

    • Phteven

      January 5, 2022 at 7:26 pm

      I’ve gone with Milera at d6. No on field 190ers in defence. They’re in the forward line and one (potential) midfielder.

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