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Jamarra Ugle-Hagan – Deck of DT 2021

Following the success of Sam Walsh and Matt Rowell are you willing to pay up for this year’s most expensive draftee?

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Name: Jamarra Ugle-Hagan
Team: Western Bulldogs
Position: FWD
Price: $270,000
Bye round: 13
2020 average: 65
2020 games played: 9
Predicted average: 63
Draft range: Undrafted/late-round flier
Keeper league draft range: 2nd/3rd round

Click here for 2021 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

For the past two years, fantasy coaches haven’t even batted an eye when it comes to paying up for the top draft pick. At $270K Sam Walsh put forth one of the best fantasy seasons we’d ever seen from a rookie in 2019 and Matt Rowell continued the trend with a breathtaking start in his first season of pro footy – averaging an adjusted 88 points through 5 games (an average of 110 if you subtract his injury affected 0). Paying up for this year’s creme of the crop in Jamarra Ugle-Hagan isn’t as clear cut as year’s past, with the 2020 No. 1 choice far from a guaranteed fantasy success.

Don’t get me wrong, Ugle-Hagan is a special talent, with the now Bulldogs forward drawing comparisons during his junior days to Swans superstar Lance Franklin. His speed and agility saw his stocks skyrocket as Ugle-Hagan burst onto the draft scene, possessing an extraordinary goal sense that made him a lethal threat inside-50. He, like many of Victoria’s top draft prospects, didn’t take to the field in 2020, although during his 2019 NAB League season JUH shone as an under-ager, kicking 24 goals from 9 contests with an average fantasy score of 65. The impressive part of that season was Ugle-Hagan’s final seven games for the Oakleigh Chargers, where he averaged 11.3 disposals, 6.1 marks and 3.3 goals – including a memorable four-goal haul against Sandringham in the preliminary final.

While a member of that Chargers team, Ugle-Hagan played with some premier young guns including Noah Anderson, Finlay Macrae, Will Phillips, Matt Rowell and Trent Bianco. Luckily for him, in 2021 he’ll once again be provided with silver service out of the midfield, with the arrival of Stefan Martin and Adam Treloar only strengthening the Bulldogs midfield group. Throw in the mix of Josh Dunkley, Lachie Hunter and Jack Macrae supplying avenues to attack and it’s hard to see a scenario where Ugle-Hagan doesn’t succeed as a tall target alongside Aaron Naughton.

Regardless of how the dazzling forward actually fairs on the field, it’s widely expected that the club will be eager to get games into their top recruit. Having spent time in the Western Bulldogs academy it’s was clear they weren’t going to let this generational talent slip through their grasp on draft night. As one of the most active clubs in the trade period, the Bulldogs armed themselves with picks 29, 33, 41, 42, 52 & 54 – eventually giving all those selections up for the right to select Ugle-Hagan. Having already built bonds and relationships with not only the players but the coaching staff in his days as an academy Dog, I’d be stunned if Ugle-Hagan wasn’t unveiled in Round 1 against the Collingwood.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

There’s always a but.

Jamarra Ugle-Hagan offers plenty of pluses, but is it wiser to spend your dollars elsewhere? While he’s bound to get games early, big fantasy scores aren’t what we usually expect from key forwards. Tom Hawkins, the bloke that won the Coleman Medal last year, was the only recognised key forward to finish in the top 15 FWD’s for total fantasy points in 2020, with Jack Gunston (18th) and Charlie Dixon (24th) the only other players of note.

JUH doesn’t have to set the world on fire for us, but it would be nice to be able to plug him on our field with little doubt. There are a lot of mouths to feed (pun intended) at the Bulldogs this year and as we’ve seen in the past, someone has to suffer from a fantasy perspective. Jack Macrae and Josh Dunkley have both shown how their numbers can fluctuate depending on their role and if Dunkley and some of the other versatile MID’s are forced to play inside-50 more, it could limit Ugle-Hagan’s influence.

In the past scores in the 50/60 range have been acceptable from a rookie and the Bulldogs prodigy should be able to hit those numbers without too many issues. However, if you were to choose, for example, his draft peer in Archie Perkins (MID/FWD, $254K) instead, there’s every chance Perkins can produce bigger scores if he’s closer to the ball at Essendon’s midfield. Now, there’s no certainty of Perk even getting that midfield clock, but if he can put up similar numbers to Ugle-Hagan you can’t tell me that extra $16K couldn’t come in hand somewhere else.

Deck of DT Rating.

KING

Simply put, Jamarra Ugle-Hagan is going to matter as a fantasy cash cow this year and there are too many positives to avoid picking him. The Dogs will likely pour games into their rookie and even if he only rises $150-$200K in price he could serve a similar role to what Max King did in 2020 – a decent trade chip by the time the byes roll around, or someone to hold on to as a playable cash cow late in the season. While he’s not a midfield piglet like Walsh and Rowell were, Ugle-Hagan still deserves to be picked in your starting side.

How do you rate Jamarra Ugle-Hagan heading into 2021?

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An Australian coffee/burrito enthusiast who is the frustrated owner of 16 fantasy teams. Writer for SportsbyFry and DT Talk ?

7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Yourmumsfantasy

    January 9, 2021 at 11:58 am

    Not paying up for the number 1 rookie this year as he is not a mid, its that simple

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      Fry

      January 9, 2021 at 12:37 pm

      Makes a lot of sense

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      Luke Parker

      January 9, 2021 at 1:37 pm

      True but then one factor of paying up for Rowell and Walsh was job security and JUH should definitely have that, therefore offering a safe fwd rookie. Doesn’t have to be a mid.

      • Avatar

        Fry

        January 9, 2021 at 3:26 pm

        Yeah, I’m still in on him to start the season as I’ve said above. I can see why people aren’t willing to pay up but the job security and cash generation he offers makes him a lock for me

  2. Avatar

    The Chosen Won

    January 9, 2021 at 8:34 pm

    At $270K JUH will max out around $440K making around $170K @ 60ish average.

    A $170K Rookie will max out at around $400K @ 50ish average making $230K BUT gives you and extra 100K to use elsewhere Round 1 so affectively you are making $330K V $170K.

    Good Luck™®©

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      Grovers Guns

      January 9, 2021 at 9:24 pm

      That sound perfect except are their enough $170k rookies to have on your field as well as all bench positions with good job security?
      I think not and you don’t want to spend every week swapping cheap rookies considering you may need to trade for injuries as well.
      I take job security at the start, every day of the week

      • Avatar

        The Chosen Won

        January 9, 2021 at 9:59 pm

        Only time and Round 1 can answer that question.

        Good Luck™®©

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