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Cal’s Scale of Hardness – Rd. 13-18

Who has the easiest run home? The Prince has crunched the numbers.

With the new schedule released, it was my duty to crunch the numbers to see which players have the best and worst runs home.  Remember, this is only a guide. A guide to assist you with any 50/50 calls and hopefully give you an advantage on your other league members.

FAQ

Where are the forwards? Forwards are not covered, they don’t need to be. Any forward you are bringing in now is basically a midfielder anyway.

What do the colours mean, and where did you get the data? The data is based on what Fantasy scores teams have been giving up to each position so far this year. I have not added my own spin on this, the data is exactly that. Not my opinion, real numbers.

The colours look amazing, why don’t you copyright them? Thanks. I had the idea one day driving through traffic lights. Green means GO (like, yep trade them in) and red was like STOP, (don’t trade them in). I also don’t think you can copyright colours and this simple concept of red and green. But… blue for the bye though, that genius.

Why are you called the People’s Prince? I provide. I help. I look out for others. Plus, on one actually calls me that, it’s what I call myself and it’s starting to stick.

DEFENDERS

There’s a few juicy options here as far as defenders go, so let’s starts with what is coming up for the GWS. They will get a nice run over the last few round where I’m expecting a spike in scores from Nick Haynes and even Zac Williams. Now, Haynes is coming off a dirty 25, but he won’t be tagged each week and doesn’t meet a “hard” team for the remainder if the year. The big smokie to consider here is Luke McDonald who is sitting in just 1% of teams. He has averaged 94 in his last five games with scores of 88 and 123 coming in his last two. He has a great run coming up and will feature in a few more teams in the weeks to come.

On the flipside, Sydney have a shocking run home and face some very tough teams. If you’re not a Jake Lloyd owner, you could probably hold off until 2021.

RUCKS

Will Max Gawn return? Will he be fit and firing? Because if he is… his run home is ridiculous. Out of this world easy! Everyone this year has posted good scores against his upcoming opponents and Max has also dominated them in his most recent games scores of 105 (WBD), 128 (STK), 111 (SYD), 129 (FREM), 132 (GWS) and 107 (ESS). Hurry back Max – we need you. Nic Naitanui is an interesting one and although you’d never trade him in, he is coming off scores of 78 and 77… and as you can see, he too has a pretty enticing run home as well.

MIDFIELDERS

If Mitch Duncan can play both games before his bye, he is an amazing pick up. Not only does he play the broken witches hats (Adelaide) this week, his average (86) is now good enough to roll with during his rest in round 15. If you take out his injured 11, then he would be averaging 93.5 (BCV: 117). After his bye he meets easy teams, Essendon who he had 120 on last year and Richmond who he destroyed for 144. Tim Taranto and his GWS mates are also worth mentioning. Taranto’s uniqueness is awesome as he sits in just 3% of teams at the moment an up until last week’s 62, he was on fire with back to back 100+ scores. He plays the Blues in round 15, a team he scored 155 against last year.

Do you need a Captain? Then Calvin will help you out. Don't want a Captain? Calvin will tell you anyway. The man who digs deep into stats will help you pick a great captain and give you plenty of Fantasy advice. Follow him on Twitter: @CalvinDT

10 Comments

10 Comments

  1. Doug

    at

    Nice one Prince (PP?)!!

    Given the traffic light charts, is Parfitt out (easy run) a higher priority or Maynard (tough run)??

  2. Sohail Deeplaul

    at

    Hi All :D

    I stupidly held Gawn this week….. Would you guys say trade him this coming week regardless fo if he plays or not or hold him???

    4 rookies on field still (1 def 2 mid 1 fwd) plus d.cameron in the ruck covering gawn for now…

    ****

    I can go 1 premo in mid/ c.glass in def and a rookie swap

    OR

    Gawn out draper in and get 1 prem mid 1 prem def and a rookie swap.

    What do you guys think?

    Thanks legends

    • llizardofoz

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      If Gawn returns to play out the season you have a sensational advantage over most of the competition. Chances like this don’t present often.

      • ken taylor

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        but if he drops down to ROB, he banks 83 bye points and gets 220k which could be a double upgrade. max has break even of 134, thats a lot of cash going to waste, even if he goes 120.

  3. Huxley

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    Very handy article! Thanks!

  4. Jag67

    at

    You can copyright colours.
    Ask Cadbury

  5. HT

    at

    What does everyone think about these…
    OUT: Gawn, M.Kennedy, Georgiades
    IN: Draper, Zorko, Duncan

    • terrain

      at

      Max to Draper is a huge risk to take. If Draper gets a week off, how do you cover it? If you spend all that cash you won’t be able to trade him up.

  6. John

    at

    Duncan and Williams or Brayshaw and Haynes/Witho + 150 for next week?

  7. Your welcome mate

    at

    Brayshaw and witho

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