Inside the Numbers – Rd. 15

Key injuries may well dictate trades ahead of Round 16, with a highly concentrated level of ownership on premium players trade decisions may well open the game up for highly ranked coaches.

All coaches in the Top 10 currently own Max Gawn & Caleb Daniel, uncertainty over Gawn this week & the unavailability of Daniel in the short term will initiate movement in team line-ups.

For those just outside the Top 10, now would be the perfect time to pivot away from popular trades in order to make up ground.

With 8 weeks remaining in the H&A season, this week could be decisive in the run home for overall winner.

Article by @aflratingsPete

PLAYER TRENDS

Adelaide

Reilly O’Brien has scored 100pts or more in 4 of his last 5 games, he has averaged 107.6pts over the same period.

Brisbane

Dayne Zorko has scored 120pts or more in 4 of his last 8 games, he has averaged 113.8pts over the same period.

Carlton

Sam Petrevski-Seton averaged 78.6pts between Rounds 1-9, he has averaged 91.2pts from his last 5 games.

Collingwood

Adam Treloar has scored 100pts or more in 78.6% of games this season, he has averaged 127.0pts from his last 3 games.

Essendon

Zach Merrett has scored 100pts or more in 10 of his last 11 games, he has averaged 115.4pts over the same period.

Fremantle

Nat Fyfe scored a season high 133pts in Round 15, he has averaged 113.4pts from his last 5 games.

Geelong

Tom Stewart averaged 82.8pts between Rounds 8-11, he has averaged 99.0pts from his last 3 games (Season Ave: 96.2).

Gold Coast

Jarrod Witts has scored 100pts or more in 35.7% of games this season, he has scored fewer than 80pts in 7.1% of games.

GWS Giants

Stephen Coniglio has scored 100pts or more in 61.5% of games this season, he has averaged 114.0pts from his last 2 games (Season Ave: 108.4).

Hawthorn

Liam Shiels has scored 100pts or more in 63.6% of games this season, he has averaged 115.3pts from his last 3 games.

Melbourne

Clayton Oliver has scored 100pts or more in 3 of his last 4 games, he has averaged 107.5pts over the same period.

Nth Melbourne

Ben Cunnington scored 106pts in Round 15 against Collingwood, he has scored 100pts or more in 28.6% of games this season.

Port Adelaide

Travis Boak has scored 100pts or more in 85.7% of games this season, he has averaged 113.5pts from his last 4 games.

Richmond

Dustin Martin has scored 100pts or more in each of his last 6 games, he has averaged 119.8pts over the same period.

St Kilda

Seb Ross has scored 100pts or more in each of his last 3 games, he has averaged 104.7pts over the same period.

Sydney

Luke Parker has scored 100pts or more in each of his last 6 games, he has averaged 121.2pts over the same period.

West Coast

Luke Shuey scored a season high 142pts in Round 15, he has scored 100pts or more in 50.0% of games this season.

Western Bulldogs

After averaging 77.5pts from his opening 6 games Josh Dunkley has averaged 123.0pts from his last 8 games.

FIVE TAKEAWAYS

1. Collingwood conceded 420 Disposals in Round 15, the Magpies have conceded 400 Disposals or more in each of their last 3 games (Last 3 Game Ave 431.3). Collingwood conceded an average of 358.1 Disposals between Rounds 1-11.

2. Richmond have conceded an average of 1668.6 fantasy team points this season (Rank 18), the Tigers have conceded an average of 1742.0pts from their last 3 games.

3. Josh Kelly has scored 100pts or more in each game this season, he has averaged 134.2pts from his last 5 games. Ownership 18%.

4. Jack Macrae averaged 90.5pts between Rounds 6-11, since the Bye he has averaged 151.7pts. Ownership 37%.

5. Scott Lycett has averaged 135pts from his last 2 games, his next 4 games: R16 vs Crows – O’Brien, R17 vs Lions – Martin, R18 vs Tigers – Soldo or Nankervis, R19 vs Giants – Mumford. Ownership 5%.

Warnie, Cal & Roy discuss these takeaways on the Traders Podcast (12:15).