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Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers – Rd. 7

Pete goes inside the Fantasy numbers for this week.

It was a tough week for nearly all fantasy coaches dealing with under performing premium players & injuries, if you somehow avoided most of the major issues then a massive jump in rank was the likely result.

Bye planning should be well underway, as always those that plan accordingly will come out the other side with an improved rank.

As Round 8 approaches it would be wise to pay close attention to any type of injury news (insert Patrick Dangerfield) in order to gain an advantage over your opponents.

Here are some quick grabs from Round 7.

Article by @aflratingsPete

PLAYER TRENDS

Adelaide

Matt Crouch has scored 100pts or more in each game this season, he has scored 120pts or more in 2 of 6 games (28.6%). Last season he scored 120pts or more in 33.3% of games.

Brisbane

Daniel Rich has averaged 100.3pts from his last 3 games, he is averaging 96.7pts this season (2018 Ave: 71.5).

Carlton

Patrick Cripps scored 111pts in Round 7, he has scored 100pts or more in 88.2% of his last 17 games.

Collingwood

Scott Pendlebury has averaged 37.0 Disposals from his last 2 games (Last 2 Ave: 137.0pts), he averaged 90.2pts from his opening 5 games of the season.

Essendon

Dylan Shiel has scored 100pts or more in 5 of his last 6 games (83.3%), he is averaging 107.3pts this season. Shiel has never averaged more than 100.0pts in a season (Incl. Finals).

Fremantle

David Mundy scored 112pts in Round 7 against Adelaide, he has averaged 110.3pts from his last 4 games.

Geelong

Cam Guthrie has averaged 100.7pts from his opening 3 games of the season, he has a career season high average (Incl. Finals) of 84.6pts in 2015.

Gold Coast

Brayden Fiorini scored a season low 76pts in Round 7, he is averaging 108.6pts this season.

GWS Giants

Zac Williams scored a season high 112pts in Round 7, he has averaged 100.0pts from his last 3 games.

Hawthorn

Ricky Henderson averaged 110.4pts from his opening 5 games of the season, he has averaged 75.0pts from his last 2 games.

Melbourne

Angus Brayshaw scored a season low 65pts in Round 7 against Hawthorn, he is averaging 99.7pts this season.

Nth Melbourne

Jack Ziebell averaged 66.8pts from his opening 5 games of the season, he has averaged 102.5pts from his last 2 games.

Port Adelaide

Travis Boak has scored 100pts or more in 6 of 7 games this season (85.7%), he scored 100pts or more in 13.6% of games last season.

Richmond

Liam Baker is averaging 18.8 Disposals this season, he has averaged 79.0pts from his opening 4 games of the season.

St Kilda

The Saints recorded a season low 307 Disposals in Round 7, Seb Ross recorded a team high 26 Disposals (86pts).

Sydney

Josh Kennedy has averaged 112.3pts from his last 3 games (Season Ave: 108.1), he averaged 89.8pts last season (Incl. Finals).

West Coast

Elliot Yeo averaged 78.3pts from his opening 3 games of the season, he has averaged 106.5pts from his last 4 games including 146pts against Gold Coast in Round 7.

Western Bulldogs

Tom Liberatore averaged 105.0pts from his opening 4 games of the season, he has averaged 56.0pts from his last 3 games.

FIVE TAKEAWAYS

1.Adelaide have averaged 434.7 Disposals from their last 3 games (Rank 1), over the same period Matt Crouch has averaged 37.0 Disposals, Brad Crouch 32.3, Rory Laird 31.0 & Rory Sloane 28.7.

2. Richmond conceded 440 Disposals in Round 7 against the Bulldogs, the Tigers have now conceded 400 Disposals or more in 5 of 7 games (2018 H&A season 400+ Disposals conceded: 5).

3. Zach Merrett scored 50pts in Round 1, he has averaged 112.8pts from his last 6 games.

4. Bailey Smith averaged 38.0pts from his first 2 career games for the Bulldogs, he has averaged 78.8pts from his last 5 games.

5. Port Adelaide have conceded 400 Disposals or more in their last 2 games (Last 2 game Ave Disposals AGA: 423.0, Rank 18), Power next 3 opponents: R8 Adelaide, R9 Gold Coast, R10 Hawthorn.

Warnie, Cal & Roy discuss these takeaways on the Traders Podcast (14:30).

Pete is our numbers man. Covering all things Fantasy, DFS and betting through his website and social platforms, at aflratings.com.au, knowledge is everything.




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