Inside the Numbers – Round 13

It will be the last time we have 3 Trades in a week to work with, setting your team up for the run home is now more important than ever before. There are only 6 weeks remaining in the AFL Fantasy League season, finding POD’s at this time of the year can make all the difference to your Ladder finish position.

For those targeting overall ranking hitting optimal scores for the remaining 10 games is obviously a priority, the time has come to make calculated and smart decisions.

During the Bye weeks we will take a look at each of the 18 AFL Clubs with a view to finding a relevant player that is under-priced or significantly improved compared to the 2017 H&A season. (Part 2 Gold Coast-Port Adelaide)

GOLD COAST

Tom Lynch FWD $410K 65.3 AVE (2017 AVE: 80.3) BE 72

There aren’t too many options at the Suns to assist a fantasy team post the Bye weeks so any player selected does represent high risk, Tom Lynch is averaging 15.0pts less than last year and is $156K below his 2018 starting price. Lynch is value but is definitely a high risk option.

GWS GIANTS

Josh Kelly MID $739K 112.7 AVE (2017 AVE: 112.9) BE 94

Kelly is going to be a popular target especially for those selling their position on Jack Macrae, Kelly has scored 100pts or more in 50.0% of games this season well short of the 75.0% last season. The short term prospects (opponents) for Kelly are good, keeping Week 1 AFL Fantasy Finals in mind the Giants play Carlton in Round 20.

HAWTHORN

James Sicily DEF/FWD 618K 93.9 AVE (2017: 74.3) BE 97

Apart from Tom Mitchell the next player of interest at the Hawks should be Sicily, he has quietly averaged 100.0pts from his last 7 games. Owning Sicily can be quite frustrating but targeting him this week may be an instant positive against Gold Coast, he is the perfect D5/6 option.

MELBOURNE

Jack Viney MID 579K 81.5 AVE (2017 AVE: 90.7) BE 97)

Most won’t remember Viney averaged 101.2pts in 2016 so there is a little value in targeting him for the run home, be aware of his injury history and the development of Oliver since the start of the 2017 season. Viney returned from injury in Round 9 and should be fresh off the Bye, he did have a decent ceiling in 2016 but whether he can hit those heights again in 2018 remains to be seen.

NTH MELBOURNE

Shaun Higgins MD $641K 94.5 AVE (2017 AVE: 94.4) BE 70

Many won’t even bother to look at the Kangaroos from a fantasy perspective but the Higgins option should be worth investigating, he has averaged 102.2pts from his last 6 games which includes averaging 121.0pts from his last 2 games. One of the better POD’s going around.

PORT ADELAIDE

Chad Wingard MID/FWD 514K 74.7 (2017 AVE: 92.2) BE 32

A role change out of the forward line to across half back in the last 2 weeks has seen the numbers spike significantly for Wingard, he averaged 64.1pts from his opening 9 games of the season and 122.5pts from his last 2 games. Wingard was a popular trade target last week and will be again for Round 14, he is a definite option if he maintains his current role.

Round 13 High Team Disposals

415 Hawthorn
410 Sydney
386 Port Adelaide

Sydney have averaged 405 Disposals in the last 2 weeks

Round 13 Low Team Disposals

295 Gold Coast
305 Western Bulldogs
333 West Coast

Gold Coast 3 consecutive games recording fewer than 300 Disposals (3 Game Ave: 293.3)

Season High Ave Team Disposals

415.9 Collingwood
394.6 Melbourne
389.0 St Kilda

St Kilda have averaged 401.0 Disposals since Round 8 (Rank 3)

Season Low Ave Team Disposals

337.4 Gold Coast
343.1 Carlton
357.8 West Coast

West Coast have averages 349.3 Disposals since Round 9

Adelaide have conceded an average of 413.8 Disposals from their last 6 games (Rank 18)

Round 13 High Team Points

1680 Port Adelaide
1640 Fremantle
1636 Hawthorn

Port Adelaide have averaged 1679.0pts from their last 2 games

Round 13 Low Team Points

1259 Western Bulldogs
1355 Geelong
1383 Gold Coast

Western Bulldogs have averaged 1466.8pts from their last 4 games

Season High Ave Team Points

1720.7 Collingwood
1650.2 Melbourne
1620.5 Port Adelaide

Port Adelaide only have 1 player averaging 100pts or more (Justin Westhoff 101.4)

Season Low Ave Team Points

1465.9 Gold Coast
1485.2 Richmond
1486.3 Carlton

Gold Coast have not scored 1500pts or more from their last 5 games (5 Game Ave: 1370.8)

Adelaide have a -231.6 Point Differential Since Round 8 (Rank 17), Rounds 1-7 +146.3 Point Differential (Rank 1)

Good Luck for Round 14