Roy, Calvin and Warnie’s 2016 AFL Fantasy Classic team reveals

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  • Classic: JYJPS2C9
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  • Tipping: AMUVYN9E

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CALVINATOR

The biggest change to my team from the team I revealed during the week an afl.com.au is the fact that I have dumped Dusty Martin for Mitch Robinson.

I can see so much upside in Robbo over the first 5 rounds where he plays quite easy teams without Dayne Beams. He should dominate and potentially average 100 for the year. Dusty on the other hand, has had a terrible NAB Challenge and carries a shocking record into the Carlton game tonight. I’m sure I’ll be proven wrong and can’t actually believe I’m backing in the ‘loose’ Robbo but I do have a an extra $70k in my pocket that I’ve used elsewhere.

After dumping Dusty, my forwards and very much 50/50. What am I thinking? Forwards that I want in my team that haven’t currently made the cut (yet) include, Jordan De Goey, Jack Steele and the on fire Aaron Hall (I love Sam Gray). I’m not sure how I can squeeze these guys in, but after selection tonight I’ll be reassessing and attempting to squeeze 10 players into 6 spots (good luck with that).

MY TIP: When selecting your team and the combinations you are looking at, my tip is simple… write them down with predicted averages and then add them up.

Dusty (105), De Goey (80), M. Adams (55) = 240
Robbo (100), Kerridge (80), Lonergan (75) = 255

This obvious and simple method will help you plan out your team, with the best combo that suits your desired structure.
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WARNE DAWGS

I have left $89K in the bank due to some shuffling that may occur tonight when teams are finalised. I can’t see myself bringing in Weitering, however, there is always a chance if some other players aren’t named that I am expecting.

Overall, I’m happy with the structure of my squad however… which has changed a little. 5 ‘big’ premium midfielders with Brad Crouch as M6 my only true midpricer. I’ve gone with a light on backline and a half-decent forwardline where I am banking on a few guys to improve. The chat with Maxy this week really has me sold on Steele. Let’s hope it comes off. Sauce as my R2 seems unique. I just feel he is safer than Gawn. Geez… I hope I don’t panic with a Good Friday thought of bringing in Leuenberger!

I’m happy with the rookies I’ve gone with, but these could obviously change based on selection tonight.

Oh – I am slightly concerned with starting with Gaz, but should be fine… everyone else is doing it, right?!

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destROY

My team is probably 80% complete at the moment and I have left 100K in the bank to make adjustments when teams are named tonight. Apart from projected breakout defenders Jesse Lonergan (DEF/MID, $346,000) and Tom Sheridan (DEF, $359,000) my backline looks very weak. I was comfortable with that setup last night until I was reminded about the vulnerability of cheap defenders when Nathan Broad (DEF, 125,000) couldn’t even get a run as emergency. I am eyeing off upgrading Daniel Howe (DEF, $265,000) when he is no doubt named on an extended bench for Monday.

I am happy with my five set and forget mids, and Lachie Hunter (MID, $433,000) is my favourite mid-priced on-baller who will be getting the nod at this stage.

Max Gawn (RUC, $509,000) gets his chance as my second ruck, but there are safer names constantly ringing in my ears.

I really like my forward line, and in many ways it makes up for the poor showing down back. Despite a great pre-season, I am still a bit worried that (Sam Kerridge FWD/MID, $299,000) is getting a free ride, but I would prefer to take a mid-priced risk in the forward line than the mids.

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70 Comments

  • Theres quite a few players you mentioned that are in your teams that aren’t even there? Roy emphasised on having Robbo over Dusty, yet the screenshot shows Dustin, whilst Roy said Hunter was in his midfield but the screenshot shows Crouch? aha

  • Those backlines are disgusting, just disgusting.

  • LOL how Calvin’s team is best.

  • The fact that Roy has Aaron Hall as F2 and Barlow as F3 makes my OCD sick to my stomach.

  • I wouldn’t have the Brisbane guys R1 , none will get 100+ .

  • just wondering why people are so keen to go midpriced in defence knowing that there are two or three guys pretty much guranteed to be top 6 defenders at years end wouldnt u be best served starting with them in your team rather than chasing them all year i personally will be starting with houli shaw and boyd as i think they are probably the only reliable high scoring defenders. others will score well one week then fall off the next i prefer spending on midpricers in the fwd line as i feel the gap in point scoring potential between the mid priced fwds and premos will be a lot closer then in defence and they will generate cash faster allowing upgrades sooner: eg i feel comfortable having hall, wells or kerridge over say buddy robinson or dalhaus at the start of the year rather than having suckling sheridan or dan howe over boyd houli and shaw.

    • I think it’s because you’re better off spending 400-450k on a Matt Crouch, Lachie Hunter, or Mitch Duncan in the midfield as they will probably outscore a Houli/Laird and are cheaper. Plus the Dea/Tippa rookies in the defence have a better job security than a Clayton Oliver/Ryan Davis etc.

      • crouch, hunter and duncan are mids not fwds bro i have got a packed mid and still have cash for defence and attack but im talking about guys spending tiny down back with no real premos and spending big up forward

    • Totally agree, these defences are gonna kill people this year.

      Sheridan and Lonergan confirmed burnmen of 2016.

    • we all know shaw and boyd go huge and houli gets it done week in week out i recon boyd will be a big scorer in the front half of the year 7 games at etihad to start the year confirms it for me. points are hard to catch in the back half of the year so those huge score put up by premo defenders will be gold

  • They all look good, but those backlines… jeez. No Houli/Laird at all. And only one Shaw!

  • No Heath Shaw in Roy and Warnie’s team and no Laird/Houli is terrible.

    • Spending a lot of coin on Shaw. Happy not to have Houli. Remember the money I save in the backs is spent elsewhere.

  • Warnie,
    you talk about Steele but i cant see him in your side is this an error?

  • i remember in school when everyone copied of the same assignment and changed theirs just enough to not get caught. that’s what these teams look like!

  • This shapes up as potentially the best year of fantasy with vastly different strategies seemingly viable. Gone are the cookiecutter starting sides from years gone by.. Just wait for next year if you long for purely guns & rooks.

    The year of the Midpricer is just that, one year.. This year. Removal of vests throws up alot of underpriced players coming into the primes of their careers. You’d almost be remiss NOT going with a heavily mid priced backline given the potential value available.

    • Sheridan and Lonergan are not vest beneficiaries- they are typical midprice hype players that will crash and burn. Kerridge is possibly the same.

      This is not ‘the year of the midpricer’, it’s just a normal year where midprice hype players generally fail and premos generally succeed.

      • Yeah, Kerridge has me shaking in my boots as a viable Fantasy option. No value there at all. Wright, Hrovat, Gregson all have more upside.

        For the sake of most of you out there though, I hope I’m wrong

      • Tho i didnt single out any players, the two you mentioned actually are underpriced as a result of vests from 2015.

        Sheridan had 2 green vests and one red, resulting in ~40dt average in those games.

        Lonergan only had the 1 green vest but after comming on late in that game only managed a score of 4.

  • There goes Rich as my POD…Just watch Rich bring in a bigger score than Houli and Laird and for 80k less.

  • I’m avoiding Stefan Martin. I figure Gawn can get within 20 points of him, and that $120K saved might be handy later on..

  • Will Hewett play rd1?

  • Best option?

    Houli + Ben Kennedy
    Or
    Lonergen + jack steel

    • Option one for sure matey Kennedy will go well at Melbourne and houli is safe as houses for 85 average at least

  • Each of Calvin’s, Warne’s, Roy’s teams have 3/4rookies that won’t get a game. No real drama’s there. They’ll swap them out. My BIGGEST question is. Why do they all have Gary Ablett? (Pretty sure Roy has been saying all pre season to remain claim and not get him too Warne at least) & Roy has no Tommy Mitchell.
    Warne can you honestly say any of you will start with Ablett?

    • The fact that he is named is all I care about,
      Against Essendon, he may not score a 110 but even an 80 for his first game since last year will still prove that he is a worthy pick, and you’ll just have to waste a trade on getting him in.

    • 90% locked for me. He’s playing, he’s Gary Ablett.

  • Maybe everyone can jump off Matt crouch now 😊. Also, am I the only one considering Cutler over Sheridan?

    • I sure as hell hope not. Cutler busting out a 90 is waaaaaay more likely than Sheridan doing it

  • Just putting it out there…….
    The joy and lack of stress I have going into a new fantasy season knowing that I don’t have to worry about the green vest before every game is immeasurable!

  • Does anyone know when C.Petracca is likely to play. He,s not listed on the AFL INJURY LIST.I want to bench him in RDT N Supercoach.

  • Not trusting Roy or Warnie with backline advice ever again after I’m see their structures

  • Can someone please explain to me why there is no talk of Greenwood as a viable mid-pricer? Pies stacked with mids so he’ll get no attention, they traded him in last year so obviously value him… Has had a good NAB do seems as though injury is behind him too. Not sure if I’m missing something?

    • We have spoken about him a bit. I like it, there are just so many others there at the moment around the same price AND it’s hard to squeeze him ahead of others due to the beast Pies midfield.

    • If he doesn’t tag he could be a viable option. Weather he will be top 15 by the end of the year… unlikely

  • warnie, do you think Sheridan or lonergan will average more in fantasy?, cant fit them both in due to structure.

  • Warnie, Do you think lonergan or Sheridan will average more in fantasy this year?

  • Warnie:

    Kent or Milera?

    S.Gray + Hewett
    OR
    B.Kennedy + Oliver (with 93k remaining)

  • shiel or robinson?

  • Davis or hewett m8?

  • I’d be very surprised if you all started with 5 premo mids, given that you need to find cash for better rooks as a lot of the basement priced rooks you’ve selected are either not playing or have poor JS. (More so Calvin and Roy than Warnie).

    Downgrading a T Adams type to either Crouch brother, Hunter or even Duncan is well worth it to give you ~150k which can potentially fix all your bench rook issues. The way I look at, a 10-20 point sacrifice early on (could even be less) is well worth it to ensure you have good cash generation /bench cover from your D8 M10 and F8 positions.