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Inside the Numbers

Inside the Numbers – Rd. 18

Pete goes inside the numbers from round 18.

As teams start to become more common finding those 1 or 2 unique options can be the difference in a successful finish to the season, teams that sit at the top of a league ladder can be inclined to stay put on a current team and allow for opponents to take the extra risk as well as blocking points of difference in your team with trades.

The challenge in the final 5 weeks of the season is identifying players that your opponent won’t trade, top tier options that are currently scoring well won’t be moved on but those players that have fluctuating form may be an area of weakness that you can target.

Go well!

Article by @aflratingsPete

PLAYER TRENDS

Adelaide

Brad Crouch has averaged 129.0pts from his last 2 games (Season Ave: 111.3pts), he has scored 100pts or more in 76.5 % of games this season.

Brisbane

Jarryd Lyons has scored 100pts or more in 4 of his last 5 games, he has averaged 116.0pts over the same period.

Carlton

Ed Curnow has averaged 112.0pts from his last 4 games, he averaged 79.4pts from his opening 13 games of the season.

Collingwood

Brodie Grundy has averaged 138.0 from his last 5 games, he has scored 120pts or more in 52.9% of games this season.

Essendon

After scoring 57pts in Round 16 Zach Merrett has averaged 120.0pts from his last 2 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 70.6% of games this season.

Fremantle

Luke Ryan has averaged 106.5pts from his last 2 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 29.4% of games this season.

Geelong

Tom Stewart has averaged 99.0pts in games at GMHBA Stadium this season, he has averaged 94.1pts at all other venues.

Gold Coast

Brayden Fiorini scored 125pts in Round 18, he averaged 80.5pts from his previous 4 games.

GWS Giants

Tim Taranto scored a team high 145pts in Round 18, he has scored 120pts or more in 41.2% of games this season.

Hawthorn

Daniel Howe scored a season high 108pts in Round 18, he has averaged 98.0pts from his last 2 games.

Melbourne

James Harmes has averaged 100.3pts from his last 3 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 41.2% of games this season.

Nth Melbourne

Shaun Higgins scored a team high 116pts in Round 18, he has scored 100pts or more in 41.7% of games this season.

Port Adelaide

Darcy Byrne-Jones has averaged 103.0pts from his last 4 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 23.5% of games this season.

Richmond

Dion Prestia has averaged 105.0pts from his last 9 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 52.9% of games this season.

St Kilda

Jack Billings has scored 100pts or more in 5 of his last 6 games, he has averaged 120.7pts over the same period.

Sydney

Jake Lloyd has averaged 120.7pts from his last 3 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 76.5% of games this season

West Coast

Dom Sheed has averaged 105.1pts from his last 11 games, he has scored 100pts or more in 47.1% of games this season.

Western Bulldogs

Josh Dunkley has averaged 127.7pts from his last 11 games, he averaged 77.5pts from his opening 6 games of the season.

FIVE TAKEAWAYS

1. St Kilda have the worst Disposal differential compared to last season, the Saints are averaging 359.3 Disposals in 2019 (-29.4 Compared to 2018).

2. Melbourne have the worst AFL Fantasy points differential compared to last season, the Demons are averaging 1524.3pts in 2019 (-124.6pts compared to the 2018 H&A season).

3. Hunter Clark (DEF) has averaged 98.3pts from his last 4 games, this includes an average of 112.0pts from his last 2 games.

4. Darcy MacPherson (FWD) has averaged 109.3pts from his last 4 games, he has averaged 22.0 Disposals & 7.0 Tackles over the same period.

5. Tim Kelly has averaged 78.7pts from his last 3 games, he averaged 103.2pts from his opening 14 games of the season.

Warnie, Cal & Roy discuss these takeaways on the Traders Podcast (6:32).

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