Connect with us

Trade Talk

Roy’s Trade and Rolling 22 Talk – Rd. 9

Roy has a look at some prime targets to trade in including fallen premiums, uniques and of course a Pig that is set to feast this weekend.

  • Roy

Get them in:

Josh Dunkley (FWD/MID, $645,000)
Okay, we have seen enough. After a shocking start to the year (not entirely his fault) playing a variety of roles that weren’t necessarily Fantasy friendly, popular round one selection, Dunkley, managed a high score of 85 in the first six rounds. Since then however, he is back in the middle where he belongs and his scoring has reflected that with 145 and 127 in the last two rounds. He is down to 12 per cent ownership after everyone traded him out and has a break even of just 49. He has a couple of tough games leading up to the bye including the Cats and Eagles, but at this price, with that ceiling he has to be a priority.

Mitch Duncan (MID, $750,000)
The forgotten Cat is in fact the form player of the competition and if you are in the market for a unique player, look no further. His last three weeks have been an absolute master class with an average of 131 after scores of 130, 120 and 142 in his last three. In that time, his marking has been a highlight recording 12, 10 and 12 which racking up a handy amount of possessions and tackles around that. He has a break even of 80 and has a one per cent ownership leading into a dream run of games against the Dogs, Suns, Swans and Tigers.

Tom Rockliff (MID, $697,000)
Is having an under rated season. Remove the game when we was knocked out and he has only had one bad game for the year while on the flip-side, rewarded his coaches with four scores of 115 or over, three scores of 132 or over, two scores of 149 or over and one thumping score of 166, all within eight weeks. He is still truly in the elite bracket and with Ollie Wines out, coupled with a run home that includes games against the Suns, Hawks and Saints leading into the bye… The snout will be on full display over the next three weeks.

James Sicily (DEF, $659,000)
Has had a solid start to the season but the writing is on the wall that he is ready to go bang… And bang he will this week. In the last five weeks he has three scores over 110 which is rare for a defender and he will do it again this week with interest as he is coming up against the point leaking Tigers. If you love instant reward, jump on the Sic Dawg who will easily cover his break even of 97.

Tim Kelly (FWD/MID, $699,000)
Although he is nearly 700K, if you are one of the 64 per cent of the competition that doesn’t own Kelly, you need to work out how to make it happen. He is averaging 118 in his last three on the back of a massive game against the Roos where he scored a season high 141 and he is carrying a BE of just 67 in a game against the Dogs where he will probably double that. The fact he plays the Suns, Swans and Tigers after that means this is the last time you will see him under $700,000 for a long time.

Listen to the AFL Fantasy Podcast with The Traders at Apple Podcasts, Spotify and Google Podcasts.

You… Get the Chop

Angus Brayshaw (MID, $670,000)
I full understand if you gave Gus one last chance against the Suns who leak points to everybody, but somehow, even despite his putrid role change, couldn’t get it done, scoring just 76 to back up from his 65 the week before. He has a break even of 137 leading into a tough matchups with the Eagles and then Giants in his next two and is a problem you don’t need. Trade.

My Trades

At this stage my trades are Walsh and Wilkie to Dunkley and Bewley

Rolling 22

Update following round eight.

Defenders

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

D1

Lachie Whitfield
GWS Giants, DEF/MID
-112

D2

Jake Lloyd
Sydney Swans, DEF
93115

D3

Tom Stewart
Geelong, DEF
98103

D4

Rory Laird
Adelaide, DEF
9596

D5

James Sicily
Hawthorn, DEF
114101

D6

Shannon Hurn
West Coast, DEF
7998

In the mix: Crisp

Midfielders

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

M1

Patrick Cripps
Carlton, MID
115115

M2

Andrew Gaff
West Coast, MID
108115

M3

Adam Treloar
Collingwood, MID
116114

M4

Zach Merrett
Essendon, MID
136108

M5

Mitch Duncan
Geelong, MID
143108

M6

Nat Fyfe
Fremantle, MID
111107

M7

Tom Rockliff
Port Adelaide, MID
149108

M8

Rory Sloane
Adelaide, MID
130112

In the mix: M Crouch, Oliver

Rucks

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

R1

Brodie Grundy
Collingwood, RUC
149115

R2

Max Gawn
Melbourne, RUC
91104

In the mix:  Witts

Forwards

   Last
Week
2019
Avg
Change

F1

Travis Boak
Port Adelaide, MID/FWD
113117

F2

Patrick Dangerfield
Geelong, MID/FWD
96101

F3

Tim Kelly
Geelong, MID/FWD
141101

F4

Josh Dunkley
Western Bulldogs, MID/FWD
12792

F5

Brad Ebert
Port Adelaide, MID/FWD
91

F6

Caleb Daniel
Western Bulldogs, DEF/FWD
6494

In the mix: Billings, Robinson,  Mundy, Ablett

72 Comments

72 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Harry

    May 14, 2019 at 6:48 pm

    Dunkley vs T Kelly ?

    • Avatar

      bort22

      May 14, 2019 at 6:52 pm

      T Kelly as you know his role won’t change

      • Avatar

        bomberpap

        May 14, 2019 at 8:41 pm

        Yep 100% Kelly. Ideally both, but without Kelly you’re missing out on a guaranteed Top 6 forward that won’t suffer a role change, whereas with Bevo coaching you never know which Bulldogs players are gonna be good from week to week.

  2. Avatar

    bort22

    May 14, 2019 at 6:51 pm

    And just like that Guthrie is gone. Wish he could disappear from my team that easily too lmao.

    Also i’m annoyed at Duncan, where was this scoring last year ya pleb, all you gave me was mediocre 90s and low 100s.

    Anyway, going Walsh to T Kelly due to the breakeven situation, and despite the rolling 22 will probs jump on fallen premos such as Yeo, O’Meara, Neale in the coming weeks to complete my team by the byes

    • Avatar

      bomberpap

      May 14, 2019 at 8:43 pm

      Feeling you on the Duncan disappointment. I started with him last year and he was a pain then got injured. Just chose the wrong year to get on him. I also feel like Yeo could be a good selection, he was such a gun last year I’m tempted to reward him with another call up haha

  3. Avatar

    Andrew Stace

    May 14, 2019 at 6:53 pm

    Dunkley or Duncan for a mid spot? Been burnt by Duncan before, but the run of games! Also, Dunkley can take Drew’s spot forward.

    Personally, I hope Naish comes in for Richmond to take Ross’ place so I can flick Scrimshaw for him. 29 and 4 goals on a wing from a 170k DEF? YUMMY. That, or Bewley for Atkins will suffice.

    • Avatar

      Pendles4Brownlow

      May 14, 2019 at 9:52 pm

      I just don’t trust Bevo; the premos from the dogs can be high flyers for a few weeks, then their role changes and down they go.

  4. Avatar

    Tyran

    May 14, 2019 at 7:04 pm

    Am I absolutely crazy to field Noah Balta this week in stead of Willem drew?? Will be at F6

    • Avatar

      Squid

      May 14, 2019 at 7:20 pm

      Not absolutely crazy, but pretty close, kind of depends on your other options

    • Avatar

      Zane

      May 14, 2019 at 7:32 pm

      Thoughts on Macrae > Rocky
      Walsh > Dunkley

    • Avatar

      Screech

      May 14, 2019 at 9:07 pm

      Drew is playing GC this week, not the crows. It is at Adelaide Oval. Balta will be good, especially if Soldo doesn’t play, but leave him on the bench mate.

  5. Avatar

    Dazza

    May 14, 2019 at 7:34 pm

    Boak or Dunkley a priority

    • Avatar

      EmeraldIllusion

      May 14, 2019 at 7:59 pm

      Boak, without a doubt.

      • Avatar

        bomberpap

        May 14, 2019 at 8:37 pm

        +1, definitely Boak. He’s the number 1 player in the game right now, and has a good fixture too. Dangerous to go further without him.

        • Avatar

          Pendles4Brownlow

          May 14, 2019 at 9:54 pm

          Boak for sure. I am so glad I got him early.

        • Avatar

          Dazza

          May 15, 2019 at 1:42 am

          Comes with a price….100k extra..might be the difference between upgrading to an uber premium elswehere or a sub premium elsewhere……if Dunkley keeps his form only about a 10-15 a week difference but exponentiated as a result..not as clear cut I feel

  6. Avatar

    Petracca

    May 14, 2019 at 7:56 pm

    1) Brayshaw & Ross -> Danger & Dunkley
    2) Rozee & Walsh -> Dunkley & Duncan (give Danger another week with the high B.E)

  7. Reciprocatory

    Reciprocatory

    May 14, 2019 at 8:04 pm

    Bray and Ross out definitely

    • Avatar

      bomberpap

      May 14, 2019 at 8:35 pm

      +1 … I’m a fan of keeping Rozee until his bye given Port’s favourable fixture.

  8. Avatar

    Liam

    May 14, 2019 at 8:05 pm

    Hey legends, thoughts on what trades I should do this week. Got 19k in bank
    Thoughts on brayshaw, should we hold and hope he comes good or trade before he bleeds cash?

    Thoughts on Scrim via dpp – bewley(if named) then walsh/brayshaw- anyone. thinking Merrett/Duncan/Rocky

    Whitfield, Lloyd, Hurn,Smith, Williams, Hore (Stack, Scrimshaw)
    Macrae, Cripps, Mcrouch, Brayshaw, Bcrouch, Fyfe, Walsh, Lockart (Hayes Hately)
    Grundy, O’brian
    Danger, Kelly, Daniel, Worpel,Rozee, Drew(Corbett,Atkins)

    • Avatar

      Screech

      May 14, 2019 at 9:08 pm

      Brayshaw to anybody mentioned in Roys article

  9. Avatar

    Miyagi-san

    May 14, 2019 at 8:25 pm

    Hey guys, anyone got any trade thoughts here? 121k bank

    D: Lloyd Houli Witho Z.Will B.Smith Hore (Stack/Young)
    M: Zerrett Rocky Mrouch Brouch Conig Bray Drew Hayes (Ross/Answerth)
    R: Grundy Gawn (ROB/Cameron)
    F: Boak Danger Kelly Worpel Newnes Miers (Corbett/Burgess)

    Ross/Drew gets me to a 170k Mid/Def + 717k (Dunkley + 72k perhaps?). Also have Mrouch concerns, and Brayshaw… any other ideas?

  10. Avatar

    bomberpap

    May 14, 2019 at 8:34 pm

    Trades this week are Brayshaw > Merrett, Worpel > Dunkley… thoughts? I don’t mind keeping Worpel, but having actually watched his games the last few weeks, I can’t see him scoring much more than 70-90 each week, and turning him into Dunkley is a tasty proposition. Meanwhile, keeping Miers and Drew on the field to juice them both until the byes.

    Alternatively I could go Brayshaw to Dunkley, but really like the idea of getting Merrett in now that he looks like he can handle a tag, plus having Shiel in the team relaxes the pressure.

    • Avatar

      Screech

      May 14, 2019 at 9:09 pm

      Brilliant, love it!

      • Avatar

        bomberpap

        May 14, 2019 at 9:39 pm

        Thanks mate!

  11. Avatar

    Chris Flynn

    May 14, 2019 at 8:43 pm

    Any thoughts on Trading Macrae to Dunkley & Brayshaw to Kelly.

    • Avatar

      Sir Fartypants

      May 14, 2019 at 8:56 pm

      What’s your favourite wine movie starring Paul Giamatti?

    • Avatar

      bomberpap

      May 14, 2019 at 8:58 pm

      I like the idea of Dunkley & Kelly. Not sure I’d be trading out Macrae to get Dunkley though… can you move anyone out of your forward line instead?

    • Avatar

      Sir Fartypants

      May 14, 2019 at 10:51 pm

      I am not drinking f**king merlot!

  12. Avatar

    JR

    May 14, 2019 at 9:54 pm

    who to field out of Lockhart and Hore? Feel like whichever one I don’t pick will ton up.

    • Avatar

      bomberpap

      May 14, 2019 at 10:05 pm

      Currently fielding Hore, but Lockhart on the pine feels like a waste. I’ve also got Stack, Rozee and Duursma on the field in DEF.. but all of those seem slightly safer than Lockhart despite his last 2 matches.

      • Reciprocatory

        Reciprocatory

        May 14, 2019 at 11:02 pm

        Dees against WCE in Perth this week. It will b a tougher matchup then Suns!

  13. Avatar

    bobby

    May 14, 2019 at 10:38 pm

    Should I trade in corbett or bewley? Corbett will play most weeks from here it seems but Bewley is only 170k and surely a decent chance

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 14, 2019 at 11:02 pm

      Both r good choices. Depends on your team, bye structure etc.

  14. Avatar

    NDL

    May 15, 2019 at 1:01 am

    Hi Legends,

    Kinda stuck on what trades to do this week. Bank $129k

    D: Lloyd Laird Crisp Ellis B.Smith Hore (Answerth/Duursma)
    M: Treloar Taranto Rocky Mrouch Brouch Brayshaw Stack Ross (Hayes/Gibbons)
    R: ROB Gawn (Fort/Cameron)
    F: Danger Kelly Worpel D.Martin Rozee Miers (Drew/Setterfield)

    I’m thinking of trading the below:

    Ross –> H. Goddard
    Drew –> Dunkley

    Which would leave me to field this week (Bank $80k:
    D: Lloyd Laird Crisp Ellis B.Smith Duursma (Hore/H.Goddard)
    M: Treloar Taranto Rocky Mrouch Brouch Brayshaw Dunkley Stack (Hayes/Answerth)
    R: ROB Gawn (Fort/Cameron)
    F: Danger Kelly Worpel D.Martin Rozee Miers (Gibbons/Setterfield)

    Then I can switch Dunkley Fwd and trade Rozee for a premo next week and downgrade Setterfield.

    Really torn on what to do. Advice appreciated.

    Cheers and thanks in advance!!!

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 15, 2019 at 9:54 am

      Hopefully a better rook than Goddard is named this week, but thats solid. Only other trade I would consider is Bray to Boak instead. Keeping Rozee one more week is good.

    • Avatar

      Rory Shatkins

      May 15, 2019 at 10:52 am

      Brayshaw and Ross > premo mid and best rookie come thurs. If not Brayshaw, then Setters. Keep Drew.

  15. Avatar

    David C

    May 15, 2019 at 6:35 am

    Goddard probably only gets a gig for one week and then straight back out.

  16. Avatar

    James

    May 15, 2019 at 9:22 am

    Lloyd witherden Houli smith Williams Hore
    ( scrimshaw Answorth)

    Conigs Merrett m crouch b crouch rocky Walsh stack Haynes
    ( stocker Ross )

    Grundy goldy
    (Fort Flynn)

    Danger Kelly BOak daniel settlefield drew
    ( Balta larkey )

    357k

    Don’t know who to bring in this week any tips please

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 15, 2019 at 10:11 am

      Ross to Dunkley and Walsh to Crisp or Sicily

      • Reciprocatory

        Reciprocatory

        May 15, 2019 at 10:12 am

        Or if cant afford, than Houli who should b good this week

        • Avatar

          James

          May 15, 2019 at 10:20 am

          Already have Houli. Still undecided who to get first out of Cripps Kelly Duncan gaff

    • Avatar

      Rory Shatkins

      May 15, 2019 at 10:43 am

      Time to get another premo mid in.

      Walsh > premo (Duncan?) and Ross > rookie (Naish or Corbett via Setters DPP)

  17. Avatar

    Cripps

    May 15, 2019 at 9:56 am

    1. Welsh and scrimshaw to Zmerret and corbett or
    2. Brayshaw and heeney to dunkley and crisp ?

    1 or 2?

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 15, 2019 at 10:15 am

      I like Crisp but not that much. I feel the sensible thing to do is an upgrade downgrade

      • Avatar

        Rory Shatkins

        May 15, 2019 at 10:38 am

        Yeah, upgrade/downgrade. Someone better than Crisp will emerge as a must have in next couple of weeks. Maybe Hurn or Laird.

  18. Reciprocatory

    Reciprocatory

    May 15, 2019 at 10:10 am

    Ross to Dunkley and Walsh to Crisp or Sicily

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 15, 2019 at 10:13 am

      Sorry, replied in the wrong spot

  19. Avatar

    Rory Shatkins

    May 15, 2019 at 10:30 am

    Lloyd, Hurn, Smith, Hore, Stack, Lockhart, (Scrimshaw, Answerth)
    Cripps, Cogs, MCrouch, Rocky, Fyfe, BCrouch, Zerrett, Walsh, (Setterfield, Hayes)
    Gawn, O’Brien (Cameron, Fort)
    Danger, Boak, TKelly, Worpel, Miers, Drew (Balta, Gibbons)

    $181K, Rank 690

    Thinking Walsh>Duncan and Worpel>Corbett. Only downside is it puts Gibbons on the field.

    If Naish is named, I’ll keep Worpel and trade Scrimshaw. I’d like to upgrade a defender, but I’ve got a feeling Duncan is here to stay.

    Any other ideas?

  20. Avatar

    Lachlan Jukes

    May 15, 2019 at 10:56 am

    Would you rather go:
    1. Heeney > Boak & Brayshaw Gaff
    2. Drew > M. Lewis & Ross > someone sub $745K

    Cheers

  21. Avatar

    Rory Shatkins

    May 15, 2019 at 11:18 am

    Option 1 if Ross is the worst rook problem you’ve got (ie. the others are still all making money).

  22. Avatar

    Sami

    May 15, 2019 at 12:16 pm

    Does anyone know of anywhere we can get some data on players positions to anticipate what new DPP’s might drop in round 12? My forward line is currently the weakest part of my team but I’m not really happy with the quality of the FWD “premos” that I don’t already own.

    Wondering whether I should continue to upgrade the DEF/MID until round 12 with the hope that a quality MID gets upgraded to FWD?

  23. Avatar

    Michael Barker

    May 15, 2019 at 1:15 pm

    Unless a $170k gets a call up can upgrade Libba to Dunkley or Shiels .. leaning towards Shiels

    • Avatar

      Adam

      May 15, 2019 at 10:09 pm

      Dunkley because he is DPP

  24. Avatar

    Michael Barker

    May 15, 2019 at 1:26 pm

    BTW L Shiels

  25. Avatar

    GOATMAN

    May 15, 2019 at 10:57 pm

    Thoughts on Ross to bewley (if named) and westhoff to boak? Yeah Hoff could do alright against the suns but in the wet?

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 16, 2019 at 12:32 pm

      Good thinking, I like it

  26. Avatar

    Cripps

    May 16, 2019 at 8:21 am

    Help

    1. Brayshaw and scrimshaw to Zmerret and Lockhart
    Or
    2. Walsh and scrimshaw to Zmerret and corbett
    Or
    3. Walsh and Ross to Zmerret and 170k
    Or
    4. Scrimshaw and drew to dunkley and 170k

    1 2 3 or 4?

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 16, 2019 at 12:34 pm

      3 looks best if a decent 170k is named

  27. Avatar

    EK09

    May 16, 2019 at 8:41 am

    corbett or moore for bench cover

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 16, 2019 at 12:31 pm

      Corbett for job security and later bye

  28. Avatar

    Mango

    May 16, 2019 at 9:52 am

    No love for Salem as a defender?

  29. Avatar

    beanford

    May 16, 2019 at 10:01 am

    should I upgrade Walsh or give Dusty the chop? cheers for any advice :)

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 16, 2019 at 12:30 pm

      Dusty will come good. Walsh has a hard matchup this week.

      • Avatar

        beanford

        May 16, 2019 at 3:39 pm

        Man, I hope so! Thanks for your input.

  30. Avatar

    Crouch

    May 16, 2019 at 1:44 pm

    Trade
    Brayshaw
    Dusty
    Newnes
    Heeney
    Walsh

    • Reciprocatory

      Reciprocatory

      May 16, 2019 at 8:26 pm

      Keep Heeeney and Dusty. Dont know about Newnes. Brayshaw prehaps the one to trade, but look at your bye structure first.

  31. Avatar

    Ando1

    May 16, 2019 at 7:39 pm

    I’m thinking this.
    1. Walsh and drew to zmerret and corbett
    2. Walsh and constable to Zmerret and Lockhart

    1 or 2

  32. Avatar

    GOATMAN

    May 16, 2019 at 7:57 pm

    should i trade Westhoff, Dahlhaus, worpel or newnes to Boak?

  33. Avatar

    Ando1

    May 16, 2019 at 8:11 pm

    I’m thinking this.
    1. Walsh and drew to zmerret and corbett
    2. Walsh and constable to Zmerret and Lockhart
    3. Constable and Ross to crisp/dunkley and corbett

    1 2 or 3.

  34. Avatar

    Hawka

    May 17, 2019 at 2:21 am

    DEF: Whitfield, Lloyd, Hurn, Houli, Hore, Lockhart (Answerth, Burgess)
    MID: Cripps, Cogs, Fyfe, Brayshaw, Rocky, B.Crouch, Walsh, Hayes (Bewley, Scott)
    RUC: Grundy, Gawn (Fort, Cameron)
    FWD: Boak, Danger, Newnes, Worpel, Drew, Petrucelle (Balta, Ham)

    Original plan was Newnes > Kelly, Petrucelle > D.Moore until Cogs confirmed injured. I would hold Cogs like I held Whitfield, but I just haven’t been happy with him this season. I want to get rid of/upgrade Newnes, Brayshaw and Walsh over the next couple of weeks. I feel like I’d rather hold Newnes than Brayshaw though, and Walsh can wait. Thoughts on these:

    1. Cogs > Merrett & Brayshaw > Dunkley + 28k
    2. Cogs > T.Kelly & Brayshaw > Dunkley + 96k

    If I go option 2, in a perfect world with no injuries, over the next weeks I will go

    Newnes > Merrett, Petrucelle > Rookie

    Walsh > Premo mid, Drew > rookie

    So my MID/FWD will look like:

    Cripps, Merrett, Fyfe, (Premo), Rocky, B.Crouch, Hayes, (Rookie)

    Boak, Danger, Kelly, Dunkley, Worpel, (Rookie)

  35. Avatar

    mitchell

    May 17, 2019 at 11:08 am

    heeney and brayshaw to duncan and liam shiels ??????

Leave a Reply

Advertisement

Podcasts

Facebook

Advertisement

More in Trade Talk