GWS regressed in 2017 averaging 1623.5 fantasy team points (Rank 8) compared to 2016 when they averaged 1667.4pts, the Giants averaged 385.0 Disposals during the H&A season recording 400+ Disposals in 6 of 22 games (Melbourne: 13). In the last 2 years only 2 players in each season have averaged more the 100.0pts (Incl. Finals), with a full uninterrupted pre-season all the above numbers will likely increase in 2018.
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2018 Potential Targets:
Josh Kelly MID $795K
Kelly was a beast in 2017 rewarding fantasy coaches that believed in his upside, he averaged 112.9pts during the H&A season & 120.7pts during the Finals. Kelly scored 100pts or more in 75.0% of games & 120pts or more in 29.2% of games last season (Incl. Finals), he scored 159pts or more in 2 games last year & finished the season scoring 100pts or more in 7 consecutive games. Kelly does come with a high price tag at Round 1, he is likely to be low owned compared to other premium MIDS and could be a genuine point of difference for your team. Kelly is worth the expensive price tag.
Rory Lobb FWD $467K
Shane Mumford has retired allowing Lobb to take over as No.1 Ruck at the Giants, his usage in the Ruck position is likely to be significant considering Dawson Simpson & Jonathan Patton loom as the major threats to restricting his output. Lobb averaged 85.3pts without Shane Mumford in 2017 including averaging 35.0 Hit Outs in 2 Finals as solo Ruck (Ave: 86.5pts). Lobb is a FWD only to begin 2018 & will be a very popular selection, he is highly likely to upgraded to a RUCK/FWD at Round 6 adding flexibility to your team. No need to swim against the stream on this pick.
Callan Ward MID $659K
Ward started very slowly in 2017 averaging 75.7pts from his opening 9 games, he averaged 108.6pts from his final 16 games (Incl. Finals) scoring 100pts or more in 68.8% of games and 120pts or more in 31.3% of games. Ward is priced at 93.5 to begin the 2018 and does represent some value, he will likely be low owned at Round 1.
Stephen Coniglio MID $663K
Coniglio was severely hampered by injury in 2017 and still managed to average 95.7pts from 7 H&A games, he was dominant during the Finals and averaged 115.0pts. In 2016 Coniglio averaged 103.3pts scoring 100pts or more in 60.9% of games and 120pts or more in 26.1% of games (Incl. Finals), in 2017 he scored 100pts or more in 50.0% of games and 120pts or more in 20.0% of games (Incl. Finals). Coniglio has a definite upside in 2018, worth considering.
Heath Shaw DEF $565K / Jacob Hopper MID $461K
Click and close your eyes if you are starting with Shaw in 2018, he is priced at 80.3pts which still could be a trap if his volatile scoring continues. In the last 2 years he has dropped off significantly in the 2nd half of the year, in 2017 he averaged 86.5pts between Rounds 1-11 & 74.0pts between Rounds 12-23. In 2016 he averaged 112.0pts between Rounds 1-11 & 91.5pts between Rounds 12-23. The risk may be too high this year, however he will likely be very unique.
Year 3 for Hopper does open up the possibility of a breakout season, he is priced at 65.1pts to begin 2018 & averaged 79.0pts in the 2017 Finals. The time is right for Leon Cameron to increase Hopper’s midfield minutes, strongly consider if he completes a full pre-season.
Adam Tomlinson DEF $400K / Lachlan Keeffe DEF/FWD $170K
Tomlinson scored 110pts in a standout performance in the 2017 Preliminary Final, he was used more in an offensive role due to game match-ups against the Tigers. We know he has a fantasy game, hopefully the Giants can keep him more around the ball. Keep an eye on during the pre-season for positioning.
Keefe was delisted by Collingwood at the end of last season, he is a bottom price player that could be useful for fantasy coaches at some stage during 2018. His highest average was 52.6 in 2013 (Incl. Finals).
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| Player | Pos | 2017 Avg | 2017 Gms | 2018 Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly, Josh | MID | 112.9 | 21 | $795000 |
| Whitfield, Lachie | MID | 97.93 | 15 | $690000 |
| Shiel, Dylan | MID | 94.55 | 22 | $666000 |
| Coniglio, Stephen | MID | 95.71 | 7 | $663000 |
| Ward, Callan | MID | 93.55 | 22 | $659000 |
| Greene, Toby | FWD | 91.44 | 16 | $644000 |
| Cameron, Jeremy | FWD | 88.33 | 18 | $622000 |
| Williams, Zac | DEF | 82.85 | 20 | $583000 |
| Scully, Tom | MID | 81.86 | 21 | $576000 |
| Shaw, Heath | DEF | 80.27 | 22 | $565000 |
| Deledio, Brett | FWD | 72.75 | 4 | $530000 |
| Haynes, Nick | DEF | 72.5 | 16 | $511000 |
| Patton, Jonathon | FWD | 71.32 | 19 | $502000 |
| Griffen, Ryan | MID | 54.67 | 3 | $470000 |
| Lobb, Rory | FWD | 66.29 | 17 | $467000 |
| Hopper, Jacob | MID | 65.5 | 10 | $461000 |
| Taranto, Tim | MID/FWD | 61.42 | 12 | $433000 |
| Simpson, Dawson | RUC | 78.5 | 2 | $420000 |
| Tomlinson, Adam | DEF | 56.86 | 21 | $400000 |
| de Boer, Matt | FWD | 55 | 12 | $387000 |
| Davis, Phil | DEF | 53.9 | 21 | $380000 |
| Perryman, Harry | DEF | 55.25 | 8 | $366000 |
| Kennedy, Adam | DEF/MID | 50.29 | 7 | $358000 |
| Himmelberg, Harrison | DEF | 45.56 | 9 | $347000 |
| Corr, Aidan | DEF | 48.2 | 20 | $339000 |
| Reid, Sam J. | FWD | 46 | 13 | $324000 |
| Lloyd, Daniel | FWD | 49.29 | 7 | $316000 |
| Buckley, Dylan | DEF | 26 | 1 | $305000 |
| Setterfield, Will | MID/FWD | 49.5 | 2 | $265000 |
| Bonar, Aiden | MID/FWD | 0 | 0 | $250000 |
| Buntine, Matt | DEF | 45.5 | 2 | $244000 |
| Daniels, Brent | MID/FWD | 0 | 0 | $218000 |
| Mohr, Tim | DEF | 41 | 1 | $217000 |
| Taylor, Sam | DEF | 0 | 0 | $216000 |
| Buckley, Jack | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Stein, Jake | DEF | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Giles-Langdon, Zac | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Shipley, Nicholas | MID | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Cumming, Isaac | DEF | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Sproule, Zachary | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Flynn, Matthew | RUC/FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Tiziani, Lachlan | FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
| Finlayson, Jeremy | DEF/MID | 20 | 1 | $170000 |
| Keeffe, Lachlan | DEF/FWD | 0 | 0 | $170000 |
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