Roy’s Rolling 22 and Trade Talk: Rd 20

It’s Finals time! Here is the current Rolling 22, as well as a few players who might help you get over the line this week.

Rolling 22

Defenders:

Rory Laird
Gus Brayshaw
Elliot Yeo
Lachie Whitfield
Jake Lloyd
Kade Simpson

Who to bring in? Heath Shaw (DEF, $573,000) If you can’t afford someone in the Rolling back six, Heater isn’t a bad play if you need to take a punt on a cheaper player. Now we know he isn’t a player for the faint hearted coach, affectionately known Headache Heath over his career as he can back up the highest of highs with devastating lows. He is in great form for the resurgent Giants with a three game average of 100 including a nice ceiling of 121 in that time. He has ten scores over 90 this year and has the Blues for the first round of the Finals.

Midfielders:

Tom Mitchell
Andrew Gaff
Jack Macrae
Dayne Beams
Zach Merrett
Clayton Oliver
Matt Crouch
Stephen Coniglio OUT Patrick Cripps IN

Who to bring in? Patrick Cripps (MID, $755,000) Is a genuine beast! And he is converting his brilliance into awesome Fantasy form. Crippa has certainly been treating his 24% of coaches with a three round average of 133 and a five round average of 120. In fact, in the last seven weeks he has gone under triple figures on just one occasion with 96, which is his lowest score under 109 in that time while also reaching the lofty heights of 146 and 162. He has a break even of just 81 which reflects his good form given his heft price tag.

Gary Ablett (MID, $677,000) What an exciting inclusion the little master would be in a finals campaign, especially for the underdogs out there chasing  a unique option given he is owned by just 5% of the competition. He is in ripping form with a three game average of 117 on the back of his 130 on the weekend and in the last nine weeks, he has only two scores under triple figures.  He has six scores in the last eight weeks over 110 but of course there is a risk that he will be managed leading into finals, but given the Cats struggles, they may not have the luxury.


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Ruck:

Brodie Grundy
Max Gawn

Forward:

Devon Smith
Justin Westhoff
Patrick Dangerfield
Isaac Heeney OUT Josh Dunkley IN
Chad Wingard
Tom Rockliff

Who to bring in? Josh Dunkley (FWD/MID, $635,000) has done it again and as a result has forced himself into the rolling six. He has been amazing since being unleashed in the midfield following the bye. He has a five round average of 108 with a lowest score of 99 in that time and two scores over 110 making him the most the most consistent premium forward at the minute. We have seen enough data to have confidence in the player and the role to making him an awesome unique to carry into the finals at an ownership of just 1%.

Downgrade target:

Jarrod Lienert (DEF, $243,000) backed up his excellent debut last week with 15 possessions, five marks and two tackles. He showed his potential in an excellent first half where he finished the second quarter on 50 points. He has good job security based on form and ball use and would serve as a good emergency and last minute cash cow.

My Trades:

Sier to a Freeman,

Hurley to Whitfield

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43 Comments

  • 1. Dusty to Macrae

    2. Neale to Macrae (Neale, Hutchings tag this week)

    3. Dusty to Shuey
    Neale to Ablett?

  • RDT, one trade left. Options:

    1) Hurley to ??, fielding Dusty and Fritsch / Ahern
    2) Dusty to Cripps / Macrae, fielding Hurley and Fritsch / Ahern
    3) Fritsch to Dunkley, fielding Hurley and Dusty

    Be farked if I know which is the best option here…

  • Am I missing something here?

    Last week Josh Kelly was in the rolling 22. So how is Cogs out for Cripps?

    AS I said in last weeks article:
    Nostro July 24, 2018 10:38 am
    ……..

    As for Kelly still making the rolling 22, I think that’s way off. His numbers have been down since Cog’s has returned, other than his first week back. Cripp’s numbers easily eclipse Kelly’s over the same period of time. Without looking at all of the midfield numbers, at a guess I’d assume guys like Redden also have a higher average over the past 5 weeks.

    First things first, I do look forward to this article and to the rest of the hard working boys giving all of us their thoughts on the site. Mistakes can happen and it’s good to see Cripps ‘in’ – at least taking his rightful place, albeit a week late. Shame I can’t afford him. The post bye Curnow (instead of Gaff) was a costly mistake, luckily he is gone, but couldn’t be turned into Cripps.

    Just remember Roy: a week’s a long time in footy, but not that long that your punters can’t recall what was written.

    Keep up the good work and good luck in the finals! Sitting just over 6000 now and going backwards the past few weeks my season starting aim of top 1000 is highly unlikely. Actually, it’s never seemed likely after a rocky start mostly through injuries. Luckily, finals do beckon for me, although really I’m looking to improve my overall ranking.

    Cheers!

    • Throughout the week, it might have been on the Thursday night FB live show, Roy changed it and said Kelly was out instead of Cogs due to Kelly’s scores being worse than Cog’s the past couple of weeks. Even if it was a mistake (which it wasn’t) there’s no need to get your knickers in such a knot.

    • I wouldnt worry about it to much mate.

      They have Simpson in the top 6, but also say dont bring him in. He has scored 494 in the past 6 weeks, yes I include the late out he had.
      Hurn has scored 574 in the past 6 weeks, but considered boring and will never be considered top 6. He plays Freo this week who he dominates 124,137,90 his past 3.

      They have Danger in the top 6, but say expect 60’s and dont bring him in.

      At the end of the back your gut, the players flagged are not must haves and will change week to week.

      I havent really been paying attention to the rolling 22 and ranked 81, with 16 currently in it

  • 1. Hurley to Simpson

    3. Ahern to Macrae

    Seriously don’t know what to do here, i’ll end up trading in both at some point but I don’t know what to do first.
    Cheers!

  • Who to keep at F6, Buddy or Ahern? 1 has to go to bring in Whitfield

  • Thoughts??

    1. Hurley to Witherden

    2. Dusty to Macrae/M.Crouch

    3. Stef to Grundy

  • Hey all.

    Team is a rabble can’t afford much.

    What’s better.

    Franklin to Sloane, Steven or Curnow??

  • Thoughts Please on Going Seedsman and Buddy to Dunkley and Lienert, Fielding Ahern for the Round.

    Team with Trades + $124K.

    DEF: Laird, Yeo, Brayshaw, Witherden, Hurn, Hurley (Lienert, Brown)
    MID: Titch, Jelly, Coniglio, Cripps, Heppell, Taranto, Shuey, Ahern (Smith, Sier)
    RUC: Gawn, Sinclair (Cameron, Abbott)
    FWD: Smith, Westhoff, McLean, Dunkley, McDonald, Robinson (Battle, Greene)

    Next week I’m looking at Downgrading Bench Cover then Upgrading Ahern to a UBER Premium Midfielder

  • Which trade here guys?

    A) curnow/neale to macrae
    B) stef martin to grundy

    Who will score better? Macrae vs Saints or Grundy vs Swans?

    Thx

  • hey guys do I cash in ahern or keep rolling with him against Brisbane this week good for 80 I reckon.

    which means duman-freeman and either parker-gaff or stef martin-grundy

    if I cash in on ahern ill go ahern-freeman and duman for 593k which is looking like tom McDonald against gold coast should be good for 90+

    love some feedback on which is the best option cheers

  • Trade my last rookie on field for Mitch Duncan + 5k, Dyson Heppell + 2k, Marc Murphy + 3k, Cunnington + 15k, Gibbs + 18k or Josh Dunkley + 37k?

    Am thiking Dunkley as I don’t have any DPP’s currently in the mid and as an underperforming forward (eg. Heeney or McLean) could well be traded up to a Cripps or Macrae within the next two weeks.

  • Thoughts?

    1.
    Hurley -> Simpson/Witherden
    Sier -> Freeman
    O’Riordan on field
    $47k in bank

    2.
    O’Riordan -> Lienert (would only have ~$450k to play with if I trade him and no-one else worth bringing in at that price range)
    Sier -> Freeman
    Hurley on field
    $160k in bank

    3.
    O’Riordan -> Lienert
    Hurley -> McDonald/Shaw ($600k to spend)
    $30k in bank

  • Finished 5th on the ladder, so must win game

    Def: Whitfield, Yeo, Brayshaw, Laird, Lloyd, Simpson (Morgan, Ridley)
    Mid: Titch, Gaff, Cripps, Merrett, JKelly, Cogs, Danger, Wines (J Smith, Farrell)
    Ruc: Grundy, Gawn (Flynn, Cameron)
    Fwd: Smith, Westhoff, Rocky, Wingard, Taranto, Heeney (Z Langdon, Wilson)
    Bank : $171K

    Can do 1 trade anyone to anyone (except Heeney to Oliver I am $16K short). From there it is sideways, dependant on value

    Option 1: Heeney/Wines to Macrae/Murphy leaving 3K
    Option 2: Wines/Danger to Oliver/Beams, leaving 17K (or any other combination of mids)

    Appreciate any feedback/options, thanks in advance

  • What would be the order to which I should trade out

    DBJ
    Cong
    Phillips
    Ahern
    Goldy
    Heeney
    McLean
    Taranto

  • Any swans supporters out there no any info about Alex Johnson, making his debut this week and I’m not sure what his role is but I have him known to play years ago… thoughts as a downgrade ??

  • Macrae or Crouch?

  • Surely it’s time to get rid of ed curnow this week I think. They are playing GWS who we all know have arguably the best midfield at the moment, if Carlton were to have ANY chance that curnow would be tagging either kelly or Ward or Shiel this week, thoughts ??

  • Gray > Devon
    Ahern > Dunkley

    Which one?

  • Crisp > Whitfeild
    or
    Ahern > Dunkley

  • westhoff or dunkley??

  • Is it worth trading out Shuey, Tmac or Heeney for Whitfield? Considering his scores have lost me 4/5 of my past matches?

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