Inside the Numbers – Round 9

Targeting players over the Bye weeks could provide an edge over your opponents be it in overall rank or league match-ups. This week we’ll identify teams that have conceded huge Disposal numbers in recent weeks, hopefully this information will provide an improved outlook in order to make informed decisions at the trade table.

 

Gold Coast

The Suns have conceded the most amount of 400 Disposal games this year (5), after a bright start to the year conceding an average of 373.3 Disposals per game they have fallen away likely due to a heavy travel schedule conceding 410.5 Disposals from their last 6 games.

It is worth noting the Gold Coast do have the Bye in Round 10 & could freshen up which could result in a better output, Gold Coast however still travel in 2 of the 3 major Bye weeks.

Opponents:

Round 12: GWS Giants (A – SPO)

Round 13: St Kilda (H – MS)

Round 14: Hawthorn (A -UTAS)

 

St Kilda

St Kilda are in a free fall with a season shot to pieces after high expectations, at some stage with Finals out of the question it is possible the Saints will head down the youth path but asking for that policy to be implemented this soon could be a little optimistic.

St Kilda conceded an average of 374.0 Disposals from their opening 5 games this season, since Round 6 they have conceded a league worst 423.5 Disposals per game including 453 Disposals last week against Collingwood.

Opponents:

Round 12: Sydney (H – ES)

Round 13: Gold Coast (A – MS)

Round 14: BYE

 

Brisbane

Despite securing their opening win of the 2018 H&A season against Hawthorn on Sunday Brisbane are conceding Disposals in big numbers, the Lions conceded an average of 388.0 Disposals from their opening 5 games of the year but that has increased to conceding an average of 408.8 Disposals since Round 6 (Rank 16).

Opponents:

Round 12: Essendon (H – Gabba)

Round 13: BYE

Round 14: GWS Giants (H – G)

 

Summary: The Giants popped up twice (Round 12 vs Gold Coast & Round 14 vs Brisbane) as a possible target option over the major Bye weeks, taking into consideration the balance of your Bye structure it is possible there are a few options in orange.

Maybe the return of Josh Kelly as a unique play might be an option but certainly holding Taranto or throwing the C on Coniglio could be provide a benefit to your team, Lachie Whitfield could also be a target considering the amount of Rooks that are still in our backline.

Round 9 High Team Disposals

453 Collingwood
427 Sydney
408 St Kilda

Collingwood have recorded 400 Disposals or more in 7 of 9 games this season

Round 9 Low Team Disposals

296 Richmond
330 Adelaide
336 Gold Coast

296 Disposals by Richmond is the lowest by any team this season

Season Team Disposals FOR

411.3 Collingwood
391.7 Western Bulldogs
389.0 Port Adelaide

The Bulldogs have averaged 403.6 Disposals from their last 7 games

Season Best Team Disposals AGA

355.1 Port Adelaide
354.9 West Coast
361.4 Western Bulldogs

The Power have conceded an average of 336.0 Disposals from their last 2 games

Season Worst Team Disposals AGA

398.1 Gold Coast
397.2 Brisbane
396.0 St Kilda

The Saints have conceded an average of 423.5 Disposals in the last 4 weeks (Rank 18)

Round 9 High Team Points

1870 Collingwood
1861 Essendon
1768 Melbourne

The Magpies have averaged 1752.5pts from their last 4 games (Rank 1)

Round 9 Low Team Points

1172 Richmond
1339 GWS Giants
1422 Gold Coast

GWS have averaged 1385.7pts from their last 3 games (Rank 18)

Season Best Team Points

1689.3 Collingwood
1645.6 Adelaide
1632.2 Port Adelaide

Adelaide have averaged 1531.5pts from their last 2 games

Season Worst Team Points

1481.8 Richmond
1493.8 Carlton
1504.0 Gold Coast

Richmond averaged 1556.1pts in the 2017 H&A season

 

Good Luck for Round 10

 

13 Comments

  • Hey guys in NEED of help…2 options
    Double downgrade DoedeeDoe Ridley and waterman to Dylan Clark. This gets me to just scrape the barrel and go Tim Kelly to macrae as well as Billings to rockliff next round with 15k to spare for price changes
    OR
    Do the traditional down and up with
    Finlayson to Ridley
    Doedee to Simpson (good bye)
    Next round get Billings to rockliff and mabye fix up something else
    Any other suggestions?
    Help would be appreciated cheers legends

    • Whilst getting Macrae is most people’s priority, if you can’t find a way to get there this week I would wait till after his bye rather than spend all that for 1 week then sit him on the pine for a week.
      Can’t get Doedee to Ridley and Billings to Macrae this week?

      • Cheers for the reply. No sadly I can’t do that trade because i was low on coin. I will ponder what you said. Do you personally think then that I should go the second option downgrade and upgrade. If so Simpson for his good bye or someone else. Problem is I can’t go any higher than Simpson :(. After doing that I can get rocky in for Billings next week as well as a downgrade and the week after do another downgrade which should net Kelly to macrae? Lastly, should i priortise Doedee or finlayson to trade first, considering I’m low on finlaysons bye but I reckon he will score less

        Geeza that’s massive appreciate it Belly

        • Yes I think go the up/down this week. I’ve had Simpson since the start, generally he’s pretty solid but does have the odd game where he seems to tune out, hopefully you’ve just missed one for a while…only thing is he highly likely to lose cash this week as his BE is 120ish, but if your getting him in it’s to keep for the season so not really relevant.
          Do you have Sicily already?
          I ditched Finlay last week over Doedee and it was the right choice, but they can both spud up and get a 40 out of nowhere but I feel Doedee is the safer option to get 70 which is his BE and Finlayson has less chance of getting his at 75, but Finlay does have dpp which could be handy over the byes if you thought you could keep him till his bye.

          • Yep just thought knsgead of getting billings to a premium fwd and then moving fritch on for Rocky next week as well as a dowmgrade so after macraes bye I can get him for either t Kelly or a brayshaw depending on cash

          • So at the moment I’m sitting with finlayson to Ridley and Billings to buddy. Is that better than Doedee to Simpson. Also considering that fritch has to be the out for Rocky next week not Billings like planned? Cheers mate

  • Grundy will be huge against the dogs if roughhead doesn’t get up as English is out for 4. Captain material

    • Agree mate. Went Grundy against titch as captain last round. Got burnt by 40. Always risky going againt titch as captain

  • Doedee to*

  • I feed of this website, thank you for your content

  • Can anyone answer my above question…

  • Couldn’t double downgrade last week cos of Hurley so did Holman > Phillips and Crowden > Rocky

    Needed points and Rocky will make cash. Holman tons up!

    Mind says double downgrade this week but how can I pass up Hurley > Lloyd and Nic Nat > Grundy!!!! Leaves me with 3 starting rookie mids but heart says yessssssss

    • Ooh tough one. I’d say the second option is better because Hurley needs to go. But make sure that you commit to the downgrade next week if you want macrae after his bye

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