Jeppa’s Juniors – Round 15

The bye rounds are done and dusted so now we can finally look to the business end of the season. No matter what your agenda is, taking a risk or two at this stage of the season can seriously pay off. For those that don’t mind living on the edge, consider Stephen Coniglio, Jason Johannisen and Brett Deledio all of whom are owned by less than 5% of coaches in Fantasy and Dreamteam. If you want to get ahead, pick a point of difference!

THOSE THAT MATTER

Screen Shot 2016-07-06 at 1.51.51 AMJack Silvagni (Fwd. $146,000, -9 be AF. $121,300 DT) – Watching Jack was uncanny. The long sleeves, the chest mark, the sideways movement…all like his old man. When Silvagni was named Thursday night I was skeptical trading him in given he’s a young tall forward but he exceeded expectations on debut. ‘Son of Jo’ racked up 15 touches, 6 marks, 4 tackles and 76 Fantasy points. Bolton loved his work rate and he had a team high 7 score involvements too. Stats like that will keep in him the team and as Fantasy bench backup you have my blessing to trade him in. Wait the extra week for Dreamteam just in case. There is a risk that Silvagni plays only a handful of games.

Matthew Hammelmann (Def/Fwd. $131,000, 17 be AF. $121,300 DT) – Hammertime was poor back in Round 14 so don’t be surprised if he’s dropped this week. If Hammelmann is given another chance, I’d love him to play with a bit of freedom because he can be damaging with the ball in hand. If you don’t own him, I’d look to others instead.

Clay Smith (Fwd/Mid. $190,000, 13 be AF. $233,800 DT) – As expected, Smith took his senior opportunity with both hands and played like it was his last ever game. Coming back from three knee reconstructions is bloody tough but the kid’s got grit and now it’s about playing good, consistent team footy. Against a tough side in the Swans, Smith had 69 Fantasy points from 16 possessions, 2 marks and 6 trademark tackles. This is right on his scoring range and even though he’s a little pricey, I consider him the number one trade down option this week Note his dual position forward / mid status which makes him perfect bench cover.

Ryan Clarke (Mid. $164,000, 33 be AF. $121,300 DT) – Sourcing an accumulator at this time of year is rare but Clarke definitely knows how to find the footy. The young midfielder plays inside and is a tackling machine too. Unfortunately, North Melbourne has a pretty settled team and even if he does play, his job security will always be a concern but I remain hopeful. Scoring 70+ for a couple of games might suit a few coaches. It’s a case of high risk, high reward.

Tom Phillips (Fwd/Mid. $208,000, 0 be AF. $182,800, -32 be DT) – Phillips owners should be a little nervous. A poor game last week combined with an early Taylor Adams return is looking to be a big problem. I’m hoping one off game doesn’t result in Phillips axed but you never know with Buckley. In a perfect world, we get two more matches from Phillips and then we move on. Pray to the Fantasy gods!

Rhys Mathieson (Mid. $223,000, -10 be AF. $187,500, -45 be DT) – With 96 Fantasy points in his last outing, Mathieson has shown his ceiling and no doubt Fantasy coaches want more. Coming off the bye, Brisbane’s next four opponents are the Suns, Giants, Essendon and Port so the outlook is good. If you don’t own him and don’t mind spending the extra then trade him in!

Jesse Joyce (Def/Mid. $158,000, 3 be AF. $152,300, -18 be DT) – A couple of decent on field performances and the Suns current injury list bodes well for Joyce. Initially, it wasn’t expected that he would stick around in the seniors for long but Eade cant drop him in the short term. Playing a lock down defender role, Joyce isn’t going to be a great scorer but he’s a heartbeat with dual position status. Consider.

Screen Shot 2016-07-06 at 1.53.18 AMJason Castagna (Def. $143,000, 12 be AF. $121,300, -12 be DT) – Castagna’s hot form in the VFL has to be rewarded by Hardwick this week. The running defender has averaged an impressive 14 kicks, 11 handballs, 4 marks, 5 tackles, 1 goal and 102 Fantasy points from his last three outings. He failed to make an impression in his two AFL games earlier in the season but the lessons learned are now priceless. Castagna will probably take Broad’s spot and should average close to 60 Fantasy points per game. A decent option for those needing a cheap defender.

Sam Menegola (Mid. $127,000, 25 be AF. $121,300 DT) – I suspect that Chris Scott is still not happy with his R14 loss to the Saints and Menegola is one of a few showing form in the magoos for the Cats. The mature age mid can score at a decent click but job security will always be a worry given Geelong’s depth. Probably smart to wait a week with Menegola if he’s named.

TOP 5 LISTS

Considering price, scoring potential and job security, here’s my Top 5 rookie options for Round 16:

Fantasy

  1. Clay Smith
  2. Jack Silvagni
  3. Rhys Mathieson
  4. Jason Castagna
  5. Ryan Clarke

Dreamteam

  1. Rhys Mathieson
  2. Jack Silvagni
  3. Jason Castagna
  4. Clay Smith
  5. Jesse Joyce

Twitter Q&A

Absolutely not. One bad game isn’t a deal breaker and I expect Essendon to give him another opportunity this week. Hold him unless the upgrade is significant.

No but for Fantasy I’d grab Clay Smith ahead of Mathieson for his dual position status.

Yep, he’s not a Top 6 forward. Trade aggressively. Don’t be shy.

In order I’d offload Wagner first (injured*) then Davis, Dea and Blakely last.

Smith for sure.

Zorko the great!

If we’re talking sole job security then pick Mathieson. Yes, Smith’s DPP is huge and timely I might add. I’m trading in Smith this week.

Clay Smith.

 

Feel free to ask me a question below and don’t forget to add me on Twitter @JeppaDT for all things Fantasy and more. Happy trading!

beanie_swanny620

98 Comments

  • in order which two should I be trading first out of Ruggles, Tucker, Collins, Davis or Kerridge

    • Collins is ideal bench cover for the finals in my opinion ,I won’t be trading him. However Should I trade kerridge ahead of Davis this week?

      • Kerridge is going backwards now if you don’t trade you do so knowing he’ll drop 20-30k unless he pumps out a big score

        • do you think he’ll play hard against old team? Might be worth keeping him for this week, trading next.

    • Tucker, Davis, Ruggles & Kerridge

  • Bryne –> Boyd
    Zaha –> Downgrade to Clay Smith

    150K in the bank for next week

  • Is Silvagni viable to play at F6?

  • Has rose topped out or got more money to make?

  • In the tweet above asking about who to field out of Smith, Ruggles and Collins, is it referring to Josh Smith or Clay Smith?

  • Worth trading out a Sam Reid for a Silvagni if we have 200k in the bank already?

  • what does everyone think…

    1
    Barlow -> Johannisen via Suckling
    Mills -> Williams
    $16k left and Kerridge on my ground

    or

    2
    Barlow -> Johannisen via Suckling
    Kerridge -> Zorko
    $18k left & Mills or Smith on my ground still

    help please haha

    • Barlow likely playing this week or next so scrap those! By the looks of your team on here I would be downgrading one of Kerridge/Mills/Smith then upgrading another

    • Not too sure why you would trade out barlow mate! Keep him in

      • I thought Barlow was out for a month last week? Miraculous recovery?

        • oh not too sure.. i thought it was just a finger injury.. if out for 3 weeks + then trade

          • Yeah, its been on twitter, Ross said he’s more likely than not to play

          • I read that he was out for a month.. but that was 2 weeks ago! so I will happily be proved wrong if someone can haha much rather keep him in my team!

  • Thanks for answering my question Jeppa, your article has made me want Smith ahead of Silvagni so now i have some dilemmas about fielding:

    Blakely or Mathieson
    and
    C Smith, Hams or Phillips (2 would be great in case ells doesnt play)

    Cheers guys

  • Is worth trading out nick kommer or is it kind of a waste? his the only player in my side not fantasy relevent.

    Darcy Byrne jones to Jack Silvagni (suckers moved into def)
    Nick Kommer to Clay Smith

    leaves me with
    DEF: Suckling, Simpson, Pittard, Vince, Mvveigh, Shaw (ruggles,Collins)
    MID: Danger, Rocky, hannebry, Merrett, wines, Zaha, Petracca, Blakely (phillips, Mathieson)
    RUCK: Trengove, Goldstein (Currie,S.Frost)
    FWD: Montagna, Franklin, Martin, Gray, Hall, clay smith (silvagni, Hams)

    would you downgrade anyone else instead and just leave him as a F8 ?

  • Nah, the only other you could downgrade is Petracca then field Mathieson, but i would be getting rid of Kommer first if you’ve got those trades sorted (in terms of cash). I know from experience of having Gault since R1. You will never find a way to trade and it loses you cash generation from other rookies. Trade when you have the chance because you likely wont get another chance with injuries and cash issues etc.

    • would leave me with 121k in the bank.. think im just going to do that.. i think petracca still will improve and mathieson has more money to make. interested to see if phillip gets dropped

  • Who should I trade first….

    Petracca – Gibs or steven ?

    or

    Kedge – Zorko ?

    • I would get rid of petracca and go to Gibbs. Looking at the scale of hardness, Carlton have the easiest runs homes so gibs will go big!
      Kerridge still has a high ceiling and will score bigger scores over the long run than petracca, so hold for now.

    • Petracca to Steven

  • Who do I trade first out of McGovern, Kerridge or De Goey?

    • De Goey first for mine…especially as he plays the Giants this week up there I believe so points will be hard to come by..
      McGovern second and then Kerridge…looking at Kerridge this season he seems to bounce back from a bad score fairly well..

  • should I be downgrading cox/Currie to fund an upgrade, or downgrade petracca/kerridge to smith (would play on field)

  • Great article as always.
    Start mills, Ryan davis or Phillips on the field?

  • kerridge or petracca bigger trade priority?

  • I’ve gone for cash this week … 350K in bank for double upgrade next week … Mills and Petracca only rookies left on field … Byrne and Frost out … Castaga and CSmith in (pending teams) … Cheers Jeppa

  • Can you miss clay silvangi Mathesion this week to do and up/side trade? I have Zara Bryne Barlow and Wagner. Assuming Wagner gets up this week is it worth trading Zara and Barlow for two equal priced players? I want to win league

    • Same predicament, common sense tells sideways for league wins but if C Smith scores as well as a poor round from a premium you’d be spewing.

    • clay smith should score well enough i think. do a downgrade/upgrade i say.. youll be better off

    • Barlow could play this week, so hold him, but i’d be happy trading Zaha, Gaff is an obvious choice, or a little more S.Mitchell. Or could do a full upgrade downgrade with Byrne out and Zaha upgraded.

    • Come finals you be a step behind. Look to make an upgrade

    • cluelsss you have no ided. click delete team now

  • I have 330k in the bank and need league wins to reach the finals. Would you upgrade Mill/Smith in backline to Shaw/Hanley or Johanasen or keep one of Mills/Smith and upgrade Zaha. Would love to get either of Silvagni or C Smith this week but really need to win leagues. Zaha has poor cover, Phillips/Sumner. I could hold Zaha and get C Smith to cover him trading Phillips/Sumner/reid and only have one trade in backline. What are people’s advise……thanks in advance.

    • id hold zaha for now.. (i am).. getting in one of clay smith or silvagni should be a priority this week for most i think. and yes i would look at upgrading mills or smith to shaw or johanason.. just do one for this week and try do another upgrade next week!

      • Shaw’s BE is massive you could almost wait another week. Get JJ and then you may save another 10-15k on Shaw the week after (unless he kills it this week)

    • that’s a lot of money and points to be benched!
      i would definitely trade Zaha, no reason to keep him. Parker or Neale are good options
      you could even move sumner to clay as well

  • just curious to know how many (if any) players everyone has on their bench that are not really fantasy relevant anymore.

    i have nick kommer and am thinking of trading him out for clay smith. is that too much of a luxury trade? would you just keep the one non-playing player and concentrate on downgrading/upgrading everyone else?

    • eg.. instead of trading out nick kommer for clay smith.. would you rather trade petracca or blakely out instead to generate more cash and just keep a non playing player stuck on your bench?

      • I have Mohr and Reid but I think I’m keeping them as long as I can improve my team through other trades

  • Neale, Sloane or Pendles & why?

    • all great picks, dont think you will go too wrong either way. Safe option will probs be pendlebury.. but id go for sloane for sure.. his on fie and a nice soft draw for the rest of the season.

    • I vote Neale for consistency, but Sloane has been awesome lately and Adelaide have an easy run home. The pies have a tough month coming up which is why i think pendles last out of the three.

    • Sloane for his soft draw

  • Good article. Thanks.

    Already have Silvagni, C.Smith and Phillips (none of them on the field).
    Had Mathieson before, and not going back there.
    Will be looking at Menegola if he gets a run.

  • which cash cows do i trade out first?

    petracca / cox who are bleeding cash?
    josh smith who is worth a lot, and with his form and playing GWS could loose cash?
    or byrne / currie who are definitely not playing?

  • clay smith or jack silvagni????????

    • did you read the article? Jeppa clearly says smith… however if you need the cash go with silvagni if he’s just bench cover.

  • Who to field out of:
    Smith, Mills, Collins in def (pick 1)
    Jansen, Phillips, C. Smith in Midfield (pick 1)
    Silvagni, Hams, C. Smith. Phillips in Fwd? (pick 1) -can move phillips/c.smith with dpp

  • Is Clay Smith worth the extra 50k over Silvagni if he’s on the bench?

    • i had this dilemma last week and went with Clay. may not be worth it if it’s purely a bench option but each to their own.

      i reckon Silvagni will struggle for points over the next few games with swans and hawks coming up

  • Shaw, vince, laird, williams, Biggs, smith (Collins, Hartley)
    Danger, hunter, Titchell, Steven, rocky, Ablett, b Ellis, Davis (Mathieson, Reid)
    Gawn, Jacobs (cox, Currie)
    Zorko, hall, dusty, monty, Franklin, kerridge (Philips, hams)

    Have 105k in bank

    Who needs to go and who needs to be traded in

  • my first year in dt so be nice. i thinking of doing

    danger – zaharakis
    shaw – hurn

    this will give me loads of cash to then next week do

    ablett – zac dawson
    parker – zac clarke

    have 20 trades left and looking at overall…currently ranked 344,732..

  • Trade Kerridge or Tracca first?

  • Thoughts on zaha – sammy mitchell. Low price high ceiling

  • Should I field Hams or Phillips?