The Friday Scramble: Round 12

FridayScrambleAs we have been ambling through this season thinking… we won’t worry about the bye rounds this year as they are a long way away.  Well to quote someone (no idea who it was) “Sh*t is about to get real”.  This is our last chance to prepare for the byes.  Not only do we have to deal with that we have a Monday game to negotiate.  So, let’s jump in and get on with it!

Byes… Friend or Foe?

Whilst many are worried about the byes and are always a little concerned about them.  However, they can be a massive advantage in your chase for rankings glory.  In AF most leagues don’t play during the bye period, but this isn’t a time to go to sleep.  It is a time to strike!  If you set your team up correctly then you can really dominate and launch yourself through the rankings.  And in SC and RDT you are probably playing through the bye period, so you need to get your best team on the park.  If you can win at least two of the three weeks you are doing just fine.

Remember… during the byes in all competition types it is your BEST 18 that count towards your score.  Now, just remember, it is not those on the bench unless they are an emergency and come on as per normal.  So if you have your 6 guys on the field in the backline as well as having a bench player all playing, you will ONLY get 6 scores at most out of those 7 players.  So when you are going through and counting who you have playing, take that into account.

Also, be realistic as to who is actually playing.  If you have someone like a Goetz  from the Dogs sitting on your bench, don’t count him, as there is very little chance that he will play at all!

Queen’s Birthday Footy

Whilst we all LOVE a public holiday, it can be a bit of a nightmare for your dreamteam.  Particularly in the case of the rookies and guys on the edge.  At the point of lockout in AFL Fantasy and RealDreamteam on Friday night we will not know final teams for the Melb v Collingwood game on Monday.  So if you have some guys on the fringe that you might be relying on, make sure you have some cover on the bench just in case!  The guys on the extended bench that look to be in the most danger are Goodyear and Kennedy.  However, I severely doubt that you would be playing either of these guys on your field.

Selection Table

Well not too much really to report this week… DAMN Aaron Hall!  However, this shouldn’t come as a massive surprise, he wasn’t playing well, but I think it was more through injury than poor form.  A 59 in rubbish conditions against Sydney after three 90’s in a row doesn’t scream omission to me.  They have the round 13 bye so I suspect this is to give him two weeks to get that shoulder right before the back half of the season.  Personally I will be holding Hall this week, I think he has enough of a body of work to suggest he can come back.  However, we need to see him named in round 14 otherwise you may want to cash him in and upgrade him.

Speaking of injuries, we were all concerned about Nick Riewoldt and it seems this wasn’t without foundation.  He is out with an injured knee and hence he now gets two weeks off to get this right.  Seeing a trend here?  To be fair we all thought Nick would get a rest at some point and this is the first game he has missed this year so I think we can cut him some slack.  If you have him, definitely hold.

McDonald-Tipungwuti is out this week with a Rest.  Couldn’t they have waited til his bye?  But, what this does is opens some options for you.  He is no longer a forced trade due to price/BE concerns.  You can now hold him this week if you want to make trades elsewhere (*assuming you have sufficient cover of course) because his price won’t change (much like how Hartley has been on my bench for a week or two).  I think this could be a wise move as you would think he comes back in next week after his rest and to have a warm body on the field next week (even if he might lose a few dollars) could be vital to your bye strategy (or in some cases like mine complete lack of strategy).

Sam Mitchell hasn’t been great lately apart from his 109 last week, so how long has he had this back injury?  Did he have it during that three week period where he was fairly ordinary?  They are a round 15 bye team, so this isn’t just an excuse for a two week rest.  At this stage I still say hold as he isn’t listed on the injury report from Tuesday.

The only other relevant out is George Hewett with concussion.  I think most have traded him anyway, his low score before his concussion means he will plummet in price and hence you need to unload him.

On the plus side we get Goldy back!  That will be a relief for those that copped a donut last game like I did in RDT.  Is anyone rejoicing that Menadue is back this week?  Not sure how many still have him, but now his BE is in play and hence he could start leaking cash.  Tom Lee comes back in for his third game of the season, not sure if people are all that keen on him, but he is there if you need a bubble boy and already have Collins.

Bye Strategy

There are all sorts of strategies in trading this week.  What a lot of people are doing is double downgrading this week or next week to build a war chest to go on an upgrading raid once the byes are over.  I don’t mind this strategy at all and I could be tempted into it.  The key to trading this week is to make sure you will have enough guys on the park for round 13.  I wouldn’t be bringing someone in that has a R13 bye if you can avoid it.  Really you want a R15 bye player that has some element of job security so that they can fatten up over a short period and then in R15 you can trade them for someone that has already had their bye.

Things to Remember

  • Not all leagues play the byes.  So just beware of this, but if your league isn’t playing the bye round, that doesn’t mean go to sleep!  You should be looking to improve your team still.
  • Not all rookies will play all the bye rounds.  We have all been burnt by this before.  Some coaches see this time of year as a good one to give our rookies a two week rest.
  • Plans may need to change.  Just because your trading plans through the byes are all sorted, doesn’t mean that the AFL coaches are on board with that plan.  You may need to change them on the fly, so be prepared.
  • Thursday games mean a short turnaround.  During the bye period, starting in round 14 we have a run of 4 Thursday night games.  Be prepared.

That is it from me this week guys, sorry if it is a little short, but I have been struck down by the evil Man Flu which has cut short the amount of time that I have available to me tonight as I am stuffed! Best of luck this week unless your team name is #Grade1Tear as I need the win in that league to avoid copping too much shit at work!  Cheers and raise a glass to the Queen on Monday as we sit back and watch the footy!  Happy Birthday Queen Liz from @pkd73 (even though I know it isn’t your real birthday, we still thank you for the day off work!)

MB-AFL-10K-Gold-DEMvsMAG (1)

145 Comments

  • I have some cash for a defender upgrade.
    Who do i push the button on?
    Callum Mills
    Jesse Lonergan
    Ryan Harwood ?

    Leaning towards Lonergan as he is under abit of an injury cloud from last weekend .. ?

  • Bringing in a replacement for tippa;
    Rank these please

    Laird, Suckles, Guthrie, Mcviegh, Gibbo

    Cheers

    • Only option is Suckles, so underpriced

    • Laird if you have the extra $$$ otherwise the pig

    • Suckling
      Laird
      Guthrie
      McVeigh
      Gibson

      In my opinion the value of Suckling is too good to ignore. Gibson and McVeigh not consistent enough for me at that price tag this year. Can’t go wrong with any in the top 3 imo

  • Does anyone know why Kommer isn’t named in the Essendon VFL side this weekend?

  • shoudl get suckling???? is he still going down in price

    • now is the time, get him in (I myself am getting him in for Tippa)

    • Suckling’s 3game rolling price will remove the injury effected 15 points he suffered back in round5 against Brizzy.

      He has a very achievable breakeven as a result and should add some value. According to freako his BE is actually 78, which seems kinda high? If thats correct, he wont stand to make more than 10-20k at the absolute most. *shrug*

  • Who to field: S Collins or S T Ruggles?

  • thoughts on tippa & Hall -> suckling & wells

  • Hall to I.Smith and Mills to Rocky
    V
    Mathieson to Phillips and Mills to Rocky
    V
    Hartley to Austin and Mills to Rocky??

    Which one lads? Hall has only gone under 94 once this season so should he really go? Cheers greatly lads

    • Hey Shane, I’d hold Hall for now. Maybe wait after GC’s bye to make that decision? Could come back firing with a rest. Just don’t know though if there are club politics involved. I’d hold for now though IMO.
      I’d go third option, Hartley to Austin, Mills to Rocky.

  • Hey guys what’s your thoughts, I have one more premo midfield spot to fill.
    Who should I bring in out of:
    A. Ward
    B. Hunter
    C. Hannas
    D. TItchell
    E. Treloar

    • Depends on your bye structure man but I’d go Hanners out of that lot. So consistent and can pump out some huge scores. Very very rarely goes sub 100 too. Titchell and Treloar both guns too. Can you help above? Cheers

  • Tippa, Sam Mitchell and hall out, do I downgrade ruggles to Collins this week and go Mitchell to rocky since he is versing freo???

    • Or I can go tippa to Collins and upgrade mills to rocky and play Jansen for mitchell

  • jordan lewis, ablett or rockliff??

  • Should I go suckling and make my bye structure 7/12/11 or Rosa and make it 8/11/11 ?

  • I think I have to trade Hall. He’s my F4 and I have Ronnie Gray behind him. I can’t play Petracca on the bench so I’ll get him to Suckling and put Walla on the bench.

    Hall > Suckling
    De Goey > Rockliff

    90k in bank, ranked 347 overall

  • Need help with my second trade this week:

    A) Hewett -> Rocky (leaving Z.Smith in Ruck)

    B) Z.Smith -> Goldstein (Leaving R.Davis/MMGov on field)

  • Hall to Wells, Suckling or I.Smith??

      • Agree to hold Hall.
        Eade (from Afl.com.au)

        “He’s just got to go back and work on those things. He’s certainly in our best side. I don’t think it’ll be long until he gets back.”

  • thoughts please… Tippa for Collins and McGovern (Crows) for Hunter…

  • Hall to I.Smith
    And
    Mills to Rocky

    Good trades?

  • Tippa to mullet & menadue to hams for me. $230,000 in the bank for next week. No rocky, holding hall

  • Now I’ve traded Tippa and Ruggles out for Collins and Rocky…I find myself torn. Back myself in – or reverse and look to swap Hall with Tippa in the double trade equation?

    • i would keep Hall personally. i think people will regret it after his bye and he comes back in. Got to back your gut though. Im double downgrading to have cash through the first bye

      • Thank man. I agree; holding Hall this week. Aside from that, if I decided to hold Tippa with a view to trading him out in the next week or so, guaranteed that other more pressing issues would arise – leaving me screwed. Not in the fun way either.

  • Lewis or Prestia?

  • I need a defender downgrade but already got collins last week. Any suggestions? Downgrading Lonergan

  • Trade Gaff to Rocky or not?? He’s been underperforming & Rocky will go up so much in cash this week.

  • mills or Collins on field?

  • Who is a better option out of Josh Kennedy (Syd) or Jack Macrae ?

  • Any last minute thoughts? This is what I have at the moment:

    DEF: Shaw, Boyd, Biggs, Dempsey, Collins, Fantasia (Brand, Marsh)
    MID: Danger, Titch, Gaz, Montagna, Ross, Dusty, Zaha, Mills (Stewart, Dale)
    RUCK: Goldy, Martin (Frost, Wyatt)
    FOR: Dalhaus, Franklin, Tippet, Gunston, Kerridge, McGov (Sumner, Willis).

    (this after trading Hall out).

  • James Kelly or B.Vince???????

  • Collins in and on field
    OR
    Hams in and Davis on field