The Friday Scramble: Round 9

FridayScrambleOk, so who upset the Fantasy Gods? We all thought this season was going poorly but things just keep going from bad to worse for us.  We have more injuries this week, a key suspension and on top of that players still out injured who we hoped would be back by now.  All we can do is make the best of the bad situation.  So let’s have a look at some of the issues and what options we have.

Donut City!

Ouch, bloody ouch!  So… looking at the teams this week there is just carnage in every direction.  So, rather than tell you who to bring in as many will have heaps of issues to deal with, here are some random thoughts from me on each of the ins and  outs.  If you aren’t eating a donut this week, you have certainly done very well!!

Down the backline this week we will be missing… Boyd, Houli, Howe (omitted), Ruggles (omitted).  This means that we are going to have to rely on guys like Dea, Tippa and Brown again.  On top of this still no sign of Adams or Laird back.  This may mean that we need to trade our way to a full backline this week.  If you are in this situation, my recommendation would be to trade out Adams.  He has a BE of 74 in AF and 60 in RDT.  So even if he does go up, it won’t be much more.  He is also priced well such that if you have some cash in the bank or make a downgrade you can go up to almost anyone.  The next person that I would look at moving would be Brown as his BE is also high.  If you can hold Ruggles do so as he still has a very low BE.  Just in the nick of time, Weitering returns for those that held him all this time.  That will certainly help!  Another backman Sheridan also returned this week.

As for Midfield both the Crouch brothers are out.  More worrying is that Brad is out omitted whilst Matt has suffered from a general visit.  For me, this is a great excuse to kill off the Brad Crouch experiment.  He hasn’t done what we thought he would and taken over the vacancy left by Danger.  His price is not as high as we would like and you will need cash to get him to a premium.  However, don’t get caught in the trap of trading him to another mid pricer as that simply means you need to use another trade to upgrade him later on.

Don’t miss the big articles of the week.

As suspected, Ablett is also out with concussion.  Papley will miss with a shin injury and with his BE at 53 in RDT then this means I would be looking at moving him on.  Brendon Ah Chee will miss for Port as he has been omitted.  The other one that we all knew about was Dayne Beams who is out for the long term so you can move him on.

One positive for the Blues midfielders like Gibbs and Murphy is that Ben Jacobs is out for the rest of the season with a foot injury.  So, this takes out the Kangaroos best tagger.  The Gibbs and Murphy owners can rejoice.  He won’t cause them any discomfort this week.  He has taken a couple of scalps recently which was a concern.  Thankfully we don’t need to worry about that for the rest of the year!!

Whilst we have some outs, thankfully we have some ins.  Robbie Gray comes back, if you don’t have him though, it would be wise to wait a week as he has a BE of 167 in RDT and 150 in AF.  He is priced at just over $510k in both games and hence should drop below $500k this week.  That would be a good time to strike.

Good to see Josh P Kennedy back for the Swans this week, that will help some teams replace some of the issues in the midfield!  Cotchin returns also for the Tigers.  This may have some impact on the points that Deledio got last week, but shouldn’t be a big issue.  The other name that has come back is Toby Greene and his rollercoaster scoring.  Hopefully for his owners the ups and downs are over and he can be a steady good scorer.

Up forward, we are still lacking Michael Barlow.  Ross is just taking the piss now, the guy had 39 touches in the WAFL when he was played in his correct spot, the midfield, and he still can’t get back in yet old mate Dawson got back in??  I am still going to hold Barlow, he has to come back in soon, hopefully another big game in the WAFL will get him over the line.  The other guy that we haven’t got back yet is Wells, but we hear it is an achillies injury which is what kept him out previously, but it was the other leg.  Still doesn’t instill confidence even though the injury list showed him as a test (clearly one he failed).

The big out that will hurt us is Aaron Hall who is out with a shoulder which should be only the one week.  The one consolation with Hall is that he is owned by big proportions of all the competitions which means that most will be in the same boat.

So that is a huge list of ins and outs this week!  Not much we can do about it except suck it up and deal with it!

#AskDunny

So do I get the $1m if I get it right?  For me I bring in Vince.  The guy is a midfielder by nature and is more likely to rack up the points in my opinion.  Simpson has had 5 100’s and two 90’s in there which I like.  He does face North and Geelong in the next two.  His scoring profile is very similar to Bernie who faces Brisbane, Port and Collingwood in three of his next 4 games.  Docherty simply hasn’t had the volume of big scores the other two have.

For me this is a very easy answer.  Houli is out for 12 weeks, Gaz will be back next week.  So quite simply, you don’t have to trade Gaz but you do have to trade Houli.  So, no brainer, Houli.

For me, I don’t trade out premiums that are out for less than three weeks.  Mainly because it can often be hard to get them back in as we don’t know what other carnage will hit in future weeks.  Mid pricers have to be traded out at some stage anyway, so if they are out for over 2 weeks, then they are gone!

This is a great question.  Normally I am ultra prepared for the bye rounds and have a plan from day one.  However, this year I haven’t been as diligent on this because the bye rounds are much later than previous season.  My plans for the byes are generally to ensure I have enough players on field and usually one more.  I lean towards having more in the later bye rounds so that as guys have finished their bye in the first round they are traded in for those guys in the later two rounds.  Once I get the the byes, I normally like to have my team pretty much completed by the end of them.  I trade hard in the byes.

Mate you are Fev at the brownlow as well as having him pop into Club 23 afterwards!  Hope none of the other carnage has hit you as well!

This is a tough question, simply because McPherson is on the bubble this week (I am assuming you are referring to RDT or SC) and Hopper next week.  If you take the risk and wait for Hopper next week, we don’t know what he will score in his second game and he could get injured.  Whereas you go McPherson this week as we know he will rise but then Hopper could go huge again.  For me, I am probably going to do both to be honest.  If I only wanted to do one downgrade?  I think I go Hopper.  McPherson is good, but in a Suns lineup that is struggling, you just never know what will happen.  Hopper is in a good side, but was a high draft pick who is highly regarded and as we saw, has plenty of talent.

 

Things to Remember

  • Don’t sell the farm to cover a donut this week.  This is a long game and we are 8 weeks into a 23 week marathon.
  • Check out Calvin’s Captains, in a week where carnage has abounded, your captain choice may be crucial.
  • In AF, you may want to check out Brisbane’s ins, they have three brand new guys in this week.  As we know, in that game we have to get in on the ground floor.

So, there is an end to the carnage somewhere, and hopefully you can still put a full squad on the park, if you have a donut, don’t panic, so you lose this week or have a poor score, by trading for the sake of it you may simply ruin your structure and your squad.  Look towards your end game.

Best of luck and I hope you have a good weekend of scoring!  Cheers @pkd73

 

 

 

170 Comments

  • Merrett or Montagna?

  • Warnie. Wanna watch The Traders round 9 preview. Its past midday

  • Good decisions this year: not taking Ablett, Fyfe or Beams, and not bringing Rocky back in.

    Bad decisions: bringing in Johannisen the week he broke down; believing all the hype about Sheridan and M. Crouch; taking Weitering was a waste of time; should have taken Matthew Wright and made all that cash- he was a good player at Adelaide but was never given a chance.

    There have been other poor decision, but I’m not on my Robinson Kreuzer there…

  • Gonna trade out wells, whos best guy to bring in under 498000? cripps, lewis, caddy, shuey or others?

    • Hammer Hartlett! Great POD too with good run coming up!

    • Marcus Bontompelli for me…
      Had a poor start and lost money due to playing mainly forward early on, but has killed it the last 2-3 weeks. Slight element of risk as he plays GWS and also Koby Stevens back in might effect his midfield time…. But I think he’ll be right – I was trading him in before the teams were announced, got bigger problems to fix now.

      Other reliable option for 50k more is Jordan Lewis.

      • I’m gonna go with Cripps but I’m biased. Had him since round 1 solely for consistency and he’s given me exactly that, lowest of 86.

  • Weather Forcast for the Freo vs Richmond game sat night (from afl website).

    “….Hail, rain, storms and damaging winds are forecast for Perth tomorrow, with 10-20mm of rain. ”

    Trading in Dustin Martin this week. Reason to reconsider? or are we confident of his wet weather abilities?

  • Dusty vs Freo in bad weather
    or
    Nick Riewoldt vs Essendon and make as Captain?

  • Who’s the best defensive downgrade target out of Mohr and Brand?

  • A: Wells and McCarthy -> Macpherson and Montagna

    B: Wells and Ablett -> Walters and Montagna

    C: Wells and Cameron -> Macpherson and Simpson

  • Playing RDT?? Have 128k in the bank!

    Need help with trades this week??

    So much carnage this week with wells, Rockliff, Ablett, Barlow, hall and papley!

    Shaw,Biggs, Birch, Kolo, Brown, wagner(Dea, Cameron)

    Tmitch, danger, selwood, pendles,ablett, liba, rockliff, smith(patracca. davis, Gresham)

    gawn, goldy,(Grimley)

    Hall, barlow, kerridge, wells,Roo, papley,( cox, kommer)

    • Can you narrow it down a bit more ? I would hold all those guys you think are out, as they are likely to come in next week – except papley who you can cull cause he’s a cash cow. Look at the double/single downgrade this week to someone who is on the bubble.

      • I was thinking papley- move brown to the forwards- and get Trengove and then kommer-because he is shit- move Barlow to forwards and get macperson??? Thoughts please

      • Take a chance and name Barlow on the field, bad weather expected and he might sneak back in….. as long as you have cover…Wells and Papley out, bring in MacPherson and Montagna using DPP of Petracca… good luck..

  • Pick 2 to field out of Sumner, Davis and Menadue

  • Field Mathieson or Blakely ?

  • I’ve got a couple of questions..

    #1 trade hoili to vince or wait the week and get boyd after suspension?(if so im upgrading de goey to montag or merret…will be a coin toss but prob montag)

    #2 if i have callum mills as emerg on my bench in the mid will his score still cover if someone doesn’t play in the back line?

    Thoughts cheers

  • Need a hand,
    1. Gaz & wells -> Shaw & petracca
    2. Gaz & wells -> treloar & petracca
    3. Gaz & papley -> docherty/vince & petracca

  • why is it a bad idea to get walters for hall?

  • Is hall expected to be out for a while? If so, who is a good replacement???

  • Field byrne or hartley ?
    And what’s peoples thoughts on dusty, reckon he’ll flourish in the wet conditions or the opposite ?

    • I’ve decided on Byrne on field and Hartley on the bench….
      Reasons…..Bugger all really is a toss of the coin…just remember Byrne having a 32 point quarter a few games back (think he only ended with 63) but that just has me thinking he is always a chance of going bigger than Hartley….In saying that Byrne did have a 32 point GAME last week!!!

  • Thanks to cash in the bank I can go M.Crouch and Ablett to Danger and JJK.

    Is Kennedy likely to continue to score well?

  • McCarthy to Montagna OR Cameron to Simpson?

    Leaning towards Simpson because next week if Hall is back, I’ll have Petracca at F7 which is a waste in my opinion

  • What is everyone doing with Ablett ? Hold or Trade ?

  • +1 for the R9 preview video. Funny stuff lads!

  • Mathieson or Mills on field?

  • Is it better to get rid of Fantasia this week and cop a donut or keep him and field a full team knowing he will probably lose another 15K?

    • I’m in the same boat. I’m holding. I’m on a carb free dream team diet

      • Yeah he’s still there at the moment but I just read Ruggles might be a late in for Lonergan. Might put Ruggles on the field and roll the dice

  • Libba or Sloane? 80k diff (Libba cheaper) both good BE’s can’t keep ablett, average 90’s in the last 5 rounds!

  • hold wells?

  • 2 to trade out of:
    Ablett
    Fantasia
    Wells.
    If i don’t trade wells, cox is backup.

  • So i need $106K to trade M.Crouch to Dusty. My 2 options are Ruggles > Mohr or Wells > Mathieson. Mohr will be pushed to the bench when Boyd comes back but Mathieson will have to be kept on the field. Currently sitting with the first option, hoping to bring in Mathieson for Menadue next week. Thoughts?

    • I prefer the 2nd trade of Wells to Mathieson.

      Mohr JS more questionable imo and his scoring potential is significantly lower as a KPP I feel.

      • I agree than Mathieson is easily the better pick of the 2, but is having him in my best 22 too risky? Option 1 means Mohr can just be a slow burner on the bench with Wells being safer on the field whenever hes back. Thanks for your input.

        • Go with the Ruggles to Mohr option if you believe that Wells has more to offer and that he will be back next week. Also have to consider if Mohr will go straight back out of the team when Davis comes back.

          Cash generation is key and Ruggles still has a pretty nice BE although not playing this week, while Wells really doesn’t have much more growth. Mathieson also likely to make far more money than Mohr. Short term it may not be great carrying Mathieson on your field for 2-3 weeks, however long term in my opinion you are in a better position.
          (also feel like I should note, that I’m mostly just playing for leagues at the moment and my thoughts follow this)

  • field byrne, hartley or harwood?

  • Start Josh Smith or McPherson?

  • RDT opinions sought.

    Houli and Adams > Simpson and Docherty or Simpson and Dangerfield. DEF pre trading stands as Shaw, Boyd, Houli, Brown, AMT, Wagner, DBJ, Ruggles…..so not sure whether to take Dangerfield as midfield is ok just looking to upgrade while I have the cash or to go Docherty (or other ‘premo’ def) as back line leaking massive points!

  • Mohr, Brand or Collins as DEF downgrade?

  • Which trade would you guys recommend:

    1) Wells and McCarthy to Monty and Mathieson + 90k
    2) Wells and Gaz to Monty and Vince + 0k

    I was going with trade 2 but Gaz is likely back next week and I can ride out his poor form till team completion. Alternatively, Vince feels safer and it would be nice to have another premium on ground this week.

  • which option?
    1. ablett to macpherson, fantasia to vince. 215k (cox on field)(hold wells)
    2. ablett to macpherson, wells to zorko/merret/montagna/dusty 180k
    3. papley to macpherson, fantasia to vince, 25k (hold ablett and wells)(cox on field)
    4. wells to macpherson, fantasia to vince 110k (hold ablett) (cox on field)

  • HELP:

    Ablett –> Montagna

    and

    Wells –> zorko

    2k left over

    or Ablett –> Montagna

    and

    Wells –> Franklin/Walters??

  • With M. Crouch, Wells, Ablett and Hall out for me I decided to keep the later two. Ablett and Hall should be back next week and I can’t avoid a donut.

    M. Crouch to MacPherson
    Wells to Lewis

    Accepting some carnage this week and 260 k in the bank for upgrades next round.

    Goldy as captain!

  • after all the panicking I’ve ended up doing what I was going to do before the carnage anyway. Mills and Papley out, Docherty and Macpherson in.

  • Hold Wells or Ablett?

  • Sam Mitchell? Tom Mitchell, Neale, Gibbs or one of the Collingwood midfielders

  • Hall I imagine will be back next week so I’m holding and if he absolutely spuds it then away he goes, but I think it’s wise to hold as I have hams as emergency

    Thoughts ?!!