Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 8

LAST WEEKS TOP 5

Dane Swan 143
Brent Stanton 140
Scott Pendlebury 119
Gary Ablett 106
Tom Rockliff 73

Before I get started… check out my top 5 from last week. Pretty solid (excluding old Rocky there) but the best thing about it is the order is pretty much on the money.  Yeah I know I don’t have Boyd in there for his massive 162pts, but you’d have to be pretty happy with any of those top 3 for your #1 job.

Grand Final Re-Match

This Friday night we will witness a massive match in DT for the week. This match could hold the key to your success over the weekend and it has some of the biggest guns playing. Scott Pendlebury had a nice 131pts in the Grand Final last year despite a rotating tag from Kelly and Corey. He has scored 4×100+ against the Cats in his last 5 games and with an average of 122 in his last 3 this year, he should be great once again. On the other hand, his partner in crime Dane Swan… had a terrible record against the Cats last year with scores of 68 and 84 in his last 2 games against them. But with Cameron Ling on the sidelines, things will now be much easier for him this year. Last week when the Crows played Geelong, Scott Thompson (138pts) was the only guy to crack a ton against them, although 7 others had 90+… and that was in a 50pt upset win to the Crows. Meaning, although they were pumped, the Cats made it tough to score. Swan has played in 3 Friday night games this year for scores of 102, 109 and 117 and has averaged 130 in his last 3 at the MCG with a massive 171 in his last. Taylor Hunt tagged Dangerfield (86) and will most likely go to one of these big Collingwood guns on Friday night. Joel Selwood is another guy certainly worth considering too. He had 119 (28d, 7t, 2g) in the GF last year and has scored 100+ in all of his last 4 games against Collingwood with a low of just 93 in his last 8 games. This week he goes for his 6th straight ton at the MCG and should certainly be looked at with the big “C”.

Ablett V Boyd

How big will this be? Both players could actually walk out of this game with huge scores next to their names and I’m tipping it will happen. Last week (as predicted), Gary Ablett wasn’t at his best. Yes, he managed 106 but after flying with 62pts at the half, he did slow down. Whether he is wearing a GC top or a Geelong top, Gazza loves playing the Bulldogs and had 118 and 115 on them last year and is going for his 7th straight 100+ on them this week. He has never played in Darwin but has averaged 121 in his last 3 this year. On the other hand, Matthew Boyd has played in Darwin several times before and averages 112 there in his last 3 games, with the most recent being in 2010 when he posted a nice 133. He played the Suns twice in 2011 for an average of 130 and finds himself coming off that ripper 162 last week against the Roos. My only concern (sorta) is that Boyd has had low scores of 84 and 94 in his last 4 games this year, but I’m brushing that aside. The weather is forecasted to be a high of 32 degrees during the day (yep I checked like a good pirate) and it may get hotter at night when these two lads get on fire. BOOM! Great creative writing!

A Few Other Seamen

Marc Murphy will bounce back this week I reckon after poor scores in his last 2 games (prick). He has had 126 and 144 in his last 2 against the Crows and will be back to his best this week.
Sam Mitchell usually gets the tag from Crowley but has still averaged 110 on the Dockers in his last 3. He had just 63pts when he was at Aurora earlier this year but did averaged 127 there in 2011. The Dockers are one of his better teams though as he goes for his 6th straight 100+ score on them this week.
Scott Thompson has averaged 100 in his last 3 games against the Blues but has previous scores of 86 and 88 against them. He only has 100+ score against them in his last 4 games and is a little bit of a worry this week.
Brent Stanton has continued his awesome run with 140 last week to average 137 in his last 3 games this year. He had 135 and 69 on Richmond last year and may cop the tag from Daniel Jackson. The Tigers didn’t give up a single 100+ score to the Swans last week and this one will be interesting.
Tom Rockliff plays the GWS and you’d be thinking he’d give them a DT lesson. Maybe. Will he be sat forward though like last week when he had just 73pts? Tough to call. He did crave up poor teams like Melbourne (130) and the Suns (143) earlier this year, so hopefully he’ll be back this week.

 

TWITTER FOLLOW: @CalvinDT

145 Comments

  • Thinking I might go with Rocky, extremely tempting. Against GWS he could absolutely carve. And by the sounds of it, he has been really disappointed with his performances’ of late. Apparently he was crook all week though, and with Voss the dumbshit continually putting him up forward, this move could backfire a lot.
    If I had boyd, I would be locking him in, but my options are Rocky or Swan. Swan can’t really go wrong but i’m not a fan of the friday night captains. Hopefully they both go huge!

    Also my trades for the week are..
    Ellis > Spurr
    Smith > Stevie J

    Need that 100k Spurr offers, and I think he should play a reasonable amount of games in the future. If my memory is correct he was a Mature Age Rookie, so if thats true Freo got him in to play.
    Smith is a jet but I need that 6th premo fwd to hold me steady until the byes.

    • Id go Swan, he hasnt scored less than 100 all year, thats good enough reason to pick him, Be wary of Spurr, Silvagni and Nick Lower are both doing well in the 2nd’s so a not so good game could see him straight out. Gotta pick up either Chappy or StevieJ this week though, theyre starting to find form again

  • I’m sticking with Swanny! All his past averages vs Geelong are BS now Ling isn’t there, besides, the cats are so rubbish this season, pies will probably flog the cats! Not going Gazza til he actually gets a strong score again, and not keen on going Boyd after peaking with 162…the only way is down for boydy (but I hope i’m wrong) The winner is….SWANNY! ;)

    • If I had Swanny I would captain him cos Geelong are struggling…if they were playing anyone but Melbourne 2 weeks ago they would of lost and then towelled by Adelaide. I’m gonna run with Gazza…I’m in the NT and think the night game on that ground will be right up his alley, Boyd will go good too but everyone time I captain him he spuds it!

  • Sam Mitchell????

    playing at Aurora this week…scored 64 there earlier this year, previous to that, his last 7 games there he has scored 100+ at an average of 122.

    He is playing Freo who he has scored 100+ in his last 5 against them at an avg of 120. In 2010 and 2011 he scored 129 in both games he played Freo in Tassie.

    Must have been 6th hey Calvin….

    • Only concern with Sammy is Crowley will tag him, especially if Hodge doesn’t play, which is looking likely.

  • Thoughts on Adam Kennedy to Conca using Smedts DPP and Cameron to Adams

    Cheers in advance

    Also cheers for the great read Calvin

    • Cameron to Adams would be a sideways trade so don’t do that one, probably best to wait for Zorko or Couch to be on the bubble and downgrade to one of them

      • Cheers for that make. Just thoutght Adams will make me more $ in thr long run. Thinking of Ellis to Spurr but like Ellis because of his RND 13 bye and keeping him, and Conca means I’ll have three Tigers defenders which aint great

  • More like Taylor shmunt – Pendles to dominate.

  • um what happened to CHook’s Rooks?

    • Yeah. I was reading it earlier today! Was it not meant to be posted yet?

      • Chook withdrew his article as he’s been upgraded to deckhand on Clavin’s pirtate ship after recent good form! (soz Chook :P)

        Yeah I read it earlier too, wtf?

        • Calvin* He’s not the CLAVENATOR!!!!!! :P

          • That’s weird. Definitely remember writing something… Maybe some Man City fan got shirty about mentioning the tears and got Warnie to pull it. Not sure what’s going on there.

      • DUN DUN DUN….the plot thickens! lol

  • Hi all – need some advice. Trying to conserve trades – only got 15 left. However also want to cash in on either spurr or smedts. Morris and Talia are my bench, but with a BE of 11, want to keep Morris a bit longer. Talia doesn’t look like getting a game any time soon.

    Worth a sideways trade from Talia to Spurr or Smedts?

    Only trade I am considering this week…as all rookies have low/-ve break evens still.

    Cheers

  • I just posted to chooks rooks from the front page.

    Is it crazy to trade Giles to sandi now if it fits my bye structure. Giles has the highest BE (at 49) out of my rooks. Cox and Giles have the bye in rd 11 so need to trade to avoid a doughnut.

    • Sandi is an injury risk. Maybe wait until round 12 to pull the plug. Giles is premo ruckman.

      • I’m 750 points off the leaders. Am no hope for the car but want to finish as high as possible. All going well this move alone could get me back 200 points if I pull the trigger.

    • Wait a week or so and think about it. Not an essential trade. I would do those kind of trades just before. Even then your just transferring a donut from one round to another. Have you got another ruck covering. Or are you hoping redden or big o play. If so then you will still have both out just at different byes.

      • I’m in the same boat as everyone. If I want to avoid a ruck doughnut I’ll need to double trade.

  • Team Name: Nt shaw if Serious
    Round 7 Score: 2342

    BACKS: Deledio, Goddard, Broughton, Waters, Hargrave, Clarke, Bugg ( Ellis, Townsend )

    MIDS: Boyd, Swan, Mitchell, Jelwood, magner, Horsley ( Treloar, J Mac )

    Rucks: Sandi, Giles ( Stephenson, Redden )

    FWDS: Franklin, Chappy, D.Martin, Dangerfield, Sidebottom, Pearce, R.Stanley ( D.Smith, A.Hall )

    Not looking to trade at all this week.
    Hoping Zorko can pull a decent score. And upgrade magner next week to a prem.

  • unrelated but does anyone know what is happening with sam darley from GWS? I thought he was touted as one of the best defender rookies pre season?

  • Is porps a potential keeper?

    • No.

    • i would have to say no

    • Yes. He is a potential f7/8 keeper. Or a finals upgrade to strengthen your team. I would be keeping him till after the byes if I had him at least.

    • To elaborate, he’s averaging 70. Could average 80 from now but too erratic. Will also probably play deep forward whilst walker is out, damaging his scoring. In fact, this is making me think of trading him now, instead of that Giles/sandi trade.

      • That is a good point. I just think that 70 ave is ok for your last forward and def spots while you sure everything else up. I didn’t think about the walker influence. It’s late at night. 50/50 call I think.

        • Yeah. I’m a crows fan so figure that’s what they’ll do. Porps can play tall. He’s been getting his points in midfield bursts. Also I live in Perth, so it’s not late!

    • Porps is currently 49th in terms of averages in the forward line. I’d be pretty disappointed if one of my keepers was doing that poorly all season.

  • Might ask a couple of quick team questions while I’m at it!

    DEF:
    Deledio, Goddard, Hargrave, Shaw, Grimes, Golby, Bugg (Morris, Ellis)

    MID:
    Swan, Watson, Ablett, Greene, Magner, HOrlsey (Shiel, McDonald)

    RUCK:
    Giles, Sandilands (redden, stephenson)

    FWD:
    Sidebottom, Franklin, Dangerfield, Beams, Martin, Devon Smith, Porlyzia (Milera, Hall)

    Got a lazy 500k sitting in the bank waiting to be spent, and have a few upgrades up my sleeve.

    At the moment I am considering Scotland, Stanton, Murphy, Robinson. I am in it to win my league and am wary that Stanton faces Collingwood in the grand final (he scored only 77 this year against them). Am I crazy to pass on him for this, or should I get hold of him now before his price shoots up? My rooks still have a few dollars to earn, other than Bugg and Golby who may leak a few dollars, but Scotland and Robinson could drop a few dollars this round as well. I’m not overly concerned about the byes, I am 5-0 at the moment and have weak matchups in rd11 and rd13.

    Thoughts?

    • u have to make it to the grand final first. Personally I u can get STanton GET HIM. Whenever i watch him he is everywhere doesnt stop running

  • I agree that Boyd is the way to go. It’s just too tempting given the form he showed last week together with the fact that he should rack them up against the GC. With the heat and humidity his fitness should really help him in the last quarter, so I can see a very big score.

    I traded Ablett but feel that he is too risky anyway. His knee looked a bit dodgy last week so I want to see a bit more before I want to get him back in, much less make him captain.

    Swan is a safe pick, but I don’t think he has anywhere near the ceiling that Boyd does this week.

    My biggest question is which 2 to start out of Horsley, Greene and McDonald. It’s a good problem to have, but it will still be annoying when I bench the highest scorer. #pointsonthebench

    • I think Boyd is definitely the way to go this week, been licking my lips since his 162 and saw him playing the Suns this week.

      Have the same nice problem of Horsely/Greene/McDonald. I think you’ve got to back Greene and Horsely’s form since J-Mac is consistent but hasn’t racked up a ton yet! (He has had a 98, 90 and a 92 but not century)

      • After some consideration I think Horsley is a lock. He’s averaging more than Joel Selwood lol. I think Greene/McDonald is closer. If they are both named on the ground then that decision may well go right down to the wire for me.

    • Opinions on Boyd vs Stanton in team selection

      • Huh? You have 7 mid premo’s?

        • Haha. How good would your team have to be to have to bench Boyd or Stanton.You’d have to have 3 Swans and 2 Abletts.

        • I assume he meant ‘which one should I bring in?’. If your byes allow for it I’d probably go Boyd. After watching Richmond last week I’m not sure this is the best week to bring Stanton in.

          • I think it depends a lot on byes. Even with Stanton’s low BE I think Boyd is better value this week. However, Mitchell at $473k is worth looking at for anyone doing a mid upgrade.

  • Had Frankllin last week, was pretty happy with 114 (would’ve been a lot better if he kicked 7.3 instead of 3.7, but oh well). Think I”ll go with Boyd this week.

  • Robinson or Chappy?

  • Thanks Calvin.

    i don’t have Boyd and I’m a little worried about Swanny against the Cats, so I’ve punted and thrown the C on Murphy…he owes me!

  • I’m thinking of going Redden as a roughy this week, playing GWS up at GABBA averaged about 120 last 2 weeks and could go boom this week with a 150

  • Swanny for me.
    Although Pendles, Ablett or Mitchell could all find the C before lockout such is the depth of the squad…

  • I think I will go with Boyd.

    Was tempted to go with Ablett but I agree, the knee, I need to see how he goes this week. I also have Pendles, Stanton and Thompson so spoilt for choice.

  • I made a decision a couple of weeks back to avoid putting my captain on against the Suns or Giants after getting burned a couple times. I’ve noticed the high scores from captain choices generally come about with stronger opposition.

    I’d love someone to crunch some numbers on it and find out the average Premo score against the weaker teams. (Suns/Giants/Melbourne)

  • Jobe Watson as a unique against Richmond?

  • Just wondering if its a good idea or a big risk which can turn out good or bad, putting the C on Thompson?