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Deck of Dream Team

Andrew Brayshaw – Deck of Dream Team 2023

Can Andy Bray back it up from last year?

Player Andrew Brayshaw
Club Fremantle
Position MID
Price $995,000
Bye 12
2022 avg 112.4
2022 gms 22
Proj. avg 110-120
Draft range Round 1

Click here for 2023 Fantasy Classic prices.

Why should I pick him?

Every year the best and the not so best of us need to grab a couple or more of the top line Premo’s to start our year with. We need a pig or 2 to run out with our Round 1 team to carry the C and to be one of the set and forget guys for the year. Price is almost no object when picking these guys, but then again it also factors in as we make our final decisions and need to shave $10-$50k down off our squad to grab a mid or rook priced option we’ve come to love during the pre-season. Andy B will factor in to many Coaches considerations and rightly so. When considering a topline Mid the absolute non-negotiables for me and many others are durability, consistency and lack of that dickhead switch that might see a bloke suspended for a few. Brayshaw ticks all those boxes and is a super reliable Mid option for you who is so consistent as to be almost vanilla.

Whilst he’s almost vanilla, he does pound out the massive scores as well which keeps his flavour profile spicy enough to be fun. Last year he had 6 scores over 130 and 3 over 140 including a mind bending 181 against the Saints (and a 144 against them – no way Ross lets that happen this year I’ll bet). He can blow away teams and you’d think as he ages this would become more of regular occurrence rather than less.

I’ll get to the knocks on him in the next section but to deal quickly with one of those is the thought Brayshaw might have topped out and there is not only no growth in him this year, he may even drop away a bit. That’s a valid concern with the arrival of Jaeger O’Meara and the return to fitness of Nat Fyfe. That plus Freo being exposed by midfield units like Melbourne, Carlton and Collingwood (twice) might see a slightly altered CBA attendance for Brayshaw this year. Personally that doesn’t worry me as I think a non-CBA-ing Brayshaw will be seen on a wing and so his presence around the pill won’t be diminished. Instead it may even be enhanced as he’s used on the way out as opposed to watching the ball leave the area if he gets beat. His 2-way running is right at the pointiest end of elite and will likely be used to good effect even if he does see a CBA drop. The good effect of that could well help us Fantasy coaches. There’s also David Mundy’s CBA’s to share around so I don’t see this being too big an issue.

Brayshaw is also showing an increased ability to handle a tag. He had 3 games last year when he went over 100 whilst copping either a hard tag or a “cooler”. As a 23yr old rising Mid it’s also fair to assume he’s got some growth and development left in him yet and the physical presence of Fyfe and JOM may even make tagging him more difficult. When considering a tag there’s also the continued emergence of Caleb Serong who’s finish to last season may well make opposition coaches shift their defensive focus to him rather than Brayshaw.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Whilst Brayshaw is reliable and consistent and potentially still has some growth in him, he’s not at Pig status and yet he’s the number 2 priced player in the game this year. As a potential Pig but not one yet (Pig-lite?), it suggests value might best be grabbed elsewhere. When you look at the names cheaper than him it makes for juicy reading. The queries raised above re CBA’s and new faces also have substance to them. Fyfe will play a bit forward as will JOM but Freo coaches have raised CBA effectiveness as an issue so what the mix looks like for Freo in there is a query worth watching. Brayshaw’s CBA mix may drop and if the speedier options are preferred on a wing then that could well impact on Brayshaw’s scoring.

He also has shown he can be tagged. He’s had some good showings when tagged or cooled but he’s also had some poor ones. He finished with 96 in Derby 1 last year but that was because Simpson took off the tag when the game was gone and Brayshaw smacked out a 60 point second half. In Derby 2 he was held to 78 because the tag stayed all day. He also had a 78 against Sydney and a quiet half against Port when those opposition coaches decided to apply a clamp and keep it. Tagging may hurt his scoring on occasions, and those occasions may increase now Freo is a recognised threat so the option remains to wait until he has a quiet day as a result of a cooler or tagger and then grab him after the price drop.

Deck of DT Rating.

KING

Brayshaw won’t let you down if you grab him, he’s a King+ just not yet an Ace for mine. He’s got the potential to whack out massive scores for you and you could leave the C on him all year and rarely be upset by it. At 23 his chances to increase his average are almost as much as to see a drop. As a potential future Captain his role in the Freo team is unlikely to suffer to any great extent which hedges the risks identified slightly. However, he’s top priced and a potential for increase tags and the revised midfield mix at Freo is why I set his predicted average range at a 10 point swing and that’s enough to not quite give him the Ace.

Catch FlipperTC’s “Dicks of DT” article from earlier in the pre-season.

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9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. Mark

    January 17, 2023 at 10:47 am

    Is he a lock for the starting squad because of
    Saints; North; Eagles; Crows; Suns; Bulldogs; Lions; Hawks;
    7 of his first 8 are games where he could have big, big hundreds, come in Captain spinner?

    • FlipperTC

      January 17, 2023 at 11:28 am

      It makes for tasy reading doesn’t it. I’d be a tad concerned about week 1 though. His scores against the Saints last year were ASTROnomical – 144 and 181. I’d be worried about a tag from Windhager as I think Ross does that to him. Other than that though, load up!

  2. Daicos4Brownlow

    January 17, 2023 at 12:29 pm

    According to the article on afl.com.au (13 Jan 23), ‘FREMANTLE superstar Nat Fyfe looks set for increased time up forward as he looks to put an injury-plagued 2022 season behind him.’ So I do not believe Fyfe’s return will decrease Brayshaw’s CBAs. Brayshaw is Freo’s weapon in the midfield, but he is susceptible to a tag. I think we will find out in round 1 if tags are going to be used. If the Saints employ a tagger and win the match, the trend will be set. Whilst his following games seem juicy, there is that risk that a tag will be used, as I believe that if you stop Brayshaw, you stop Freo. So, there is some uncertainty and therefore risk. Brayshaw is clearly a jet, but Laird is a much less risky prospect. I don’t know about other Fantasy players, but I cannot afford both of them, so I will stick to the certainty in Laird to start. Brayshaw is definitely a player I want to upgrade to as early as possible.

    • Dulcify

      January 17, 2023 at 1:02 pm

      I couldn’t afford AB until round 18 last season and he was far from my best upgrade. Totalled 589 in six games with a 137 in that total. Several other players represent better value in my opinion.

      • Daicos4Brownlow

        January 17, 2023 at 3:10 pm

        I had him for much of last season. He was copping tags late in the season, and he may well cop them all year this year. I won’t have him at the start, but if he is not getting tagged, I would target him early. It’s a big ‘IF’ though.

  3. Another Arctic Flying wombat Panda of Doom named Drowning fish

    January 17, 2023 at 10:11 pm

    I highly recommend anyone considering Snea should instead direct their capital towards Laird, Docherty, and Neale, because I have got Snea so bugger off

    • The Diesel Driver

      January 18, 2023 at 7:47 am

      Who is Snea?

      • Double Smoked

        January 18, 2023 at 8:30 am

        It is Shannon Neale from Geelong. Pick 33 in the 2020 draft. Chris Scott has him pencilled in for Selwood’s spot averaged 120 in the VFL last year and is basement price. Nab him up early.

  4. FlipperTC

    January 18, 2023 at 11:20 am

    Snea is Brayshaw’s nickname within the team apparently. I think Panda is saying he’s grabbing Brayshaw so wants the rest of us to avoid him.

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