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The Season

Weekend Forecast – Round 15

Get yourself sorted for round 15 with Bails!

***Live stream of the Weekend Forecast will be on my YouTube channel. Make sure to tune in as I will be answering your questions during the live stream. Also, feel free to subscribe to my YouTube channel and leave a like on the video. Would be very much appreciated.***

The byes are gone, but the carnage isn’t, with many coaches copping at least one bullet, but many copping 3 or 4+. It started last Saturday night, with Braydon Preuss being subbed out injured, while also being suspended for his tackle on Tim English, who is another massive out after suffering from delayed concussion as a result of that tackle. Zak Butters is the other massive out with a knee injury, but it came at the worst time as he was on fire before the injury. Some coaches also had to hold Max Gawn, who didn’t play last night, Brynn Teakle would have been very useful for English owners, but he is out for a while after breaking his collarbone, Dayne Zorko didn’t play with his hamstring injury, Darcy Parish is out again, and some coaches even have Jordan De Goey who is also missing. If you didn’t cop a bullet, then you should buy yourself a lotto ticket!

 

We had another Thursday night game so lets get stuck into what happened.

Melbourne vs Brisbane @ MCG

Hugh McCluggage (136) – Another big game from Hugh McCluggage. His last 3 scores are 118, 114 and 136. He’s too expensive for me to be an option, but if you have him you would have enjoyed.

Luke Jackson (125) – The big performer has to go to Luke Jackson. The most traded in player for the week delivered as the solo ruck. I didn’t jump on, but congrats if you did. I didn’t see a 125 coming.

Jack Viney (118) – Backed up his 157 before the bye with a 118. Probably the best Viney has looked. Similar to McCluggage, too expensive to consider.

Oscar McInerney (116) – Seems it was a ruck feast out there, with the Big O having his season high score.

Daniel Rich (112) – Has responded well after that poor 37 in round 11, following up with 125, 97 and 112 in his last 3. I don’t see him being a top 6 defender, but he has been solid for most of the year.

Christian Petracca (107) – This could have been a lot bigger. Was burned about 4-5 times in the first quarter. Looked really good, and the bye looked to have really helped. I see him averaging 108+ for the remainder of the season, and is underpriced. Great option that could push the top 8 mids.

Angus Brayshaw (105) – Steven May being back didn’t change his role. That’s now 4 tons in a row, and he looks really good in that D50. Will push the top 6 defenders, but I have him just outside at the moment, but someone to look at.

Clayton Oliver (102) – Slowed after half time, with a 42 point second half. Really expensive now over 950k, I would prefer other options, but will be a top 8 mid.

Keidean Coleman (90) – sIf you are still riding with Kiddy, you would have been quite happy with another 90. Back to back 90’s has meant he is still generating cash, so you could hold for another week or two.

Lachie Neale (79) – Poor night for Lachie, but was tagged all night by James Harmes. Could we see this more on the run home?

Christian Salem (61) – Had a knee concern earlier in the game but played the rest of the game out.

Jarryd Lyons (42) – Copped a massive hit from Fritsch in the 2nd quarter, and I was surprised he cam back out, but was eventually subbed out in the last quarter.

James Tunstill (31) – Quiet night for the debutant, and with Brisbane losing bad and playing poor, I wouldn’t be surprised if he was dropped next week.

Now, lets get into the rest of the Weekend Forecast.

 

Western Bulldogs vs Hawthorn @ Marvel Stadium

Weather Forecast

***Roof Closed***

Team Lineups

Western Bulldogs

IN

Jordon Sweet, Hayden Crozier

OUT

Taylor Duryea (Injured), Tim English (Injured), Lachlan McNeil (Medi-Sub)

Hawthorn

IN

James Blanck, Jarman Impey, Mitch Lewis, James Worpel, Connor Macdonald

OUT

Sam Frost (Injured), Kyle Hartigan (Omitted), Jackson Callow (Omitted), Chad Wingard (Injured), Will Day (HS Protocols), Josh Morris (Medi-Sub)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Jack Macrae, Marcus Bontempelli, Josh Dunkley, Adam Treloar

Other players to watch: Tom Mitchell, Tom Liberatore, James Sicily, James Blanck

Captain/VC Options: Jack Macrae, Josh Dunkley

West Coast vs Essendon @ Optus Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 14°C, mostly clear

Team Lineups

West Coast

IN

Tim Kelly, Josh Rotham, Liam Ryan

OUT

Dom Sheed (Injured), Greg Clark (Medi-Sub), Jackson Nelson (Omitted), Jeremy McGovern (Injured)

Essendon

IN

Kyle Langford, Will Snelling, Nick Bryan

OUT

Andrew Phillips (Managed), James Stewart (Medi-Sub), Brayden Ham (Omitted), Andrew McGrath (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Massimo D’Ambrosio, Zach Merrett,

Other players to watch: Elliot Yeo, Nic Martin, Callum Jamieson, Ben Hobbs

Captain/VC Options: Zach Merrett (Smoky VC pick)

 

Carlton vs Fremantle @ Marvel Stadium

Weather Forecast

***Roof Closed***

Team Lineups

Carlton

IN

Brodie Kemp, Josh Honey

OUT

Lachie Fogarty (Medi-Sub), Sam Durdin (Injured), Jack Martin (Injured)

Fremantle

IN

Michael Frederick, Liam Henry, Matt Taberner

OUT

Sam Switkowski (Injured), Darcy Tucker (Medi-Sub), Blake Acres (Injured), Michael Walters (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Sam Docherty, Andrew Brayshaw, Sam Walsh, George Hewett, Sean Darcy

Other players to watch: Patrick Cripps, Luke Ryan, Will Brodie

Captain/VC Options: Sam Docherty, Andrew Brayshaw

 

Geelong vs Richmond @ MCG

Weather Forecast

Around 15°C, partly cloudy

Team Lineups

Geelong

IN

Max Holmes,  Jack Henry, Gary Rohan

OUT

Luke Dahlhaus (Omitted), Cooper Stephens (Omitted), Francis Evans (Medi-Sub), Zach Guthrie (Managed)

Richmond

IN

Dustin Martin, Jack Ross, Ivan Soldo

OUT

Kane Lambert (Injured), Trent Cotchin (Injured), Noah Balta (Injured), Hugo Ralphsmith (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Tom Stewart, Cam Guthrie, Toby Nankervis,

Other players to watch: Mitch Duncan, Jayden Short, Liam Baker,

Captain/VC Options: None

 

Sydney vs St Kilda @ SCG

Weather Forecast

Around 16°C, clear

Team Lineups

Sydney

IN

Ryan Clarke, Tom Hickey

OUT

Sam Wicks (Omitted), Peter Ladhams (Suspension), Colin O’Riordan (Injured)

St Kilda

IN

Jack Steele, Cooper Sharman

OUT

Bradley Hill (Personal Reasons), Paddy Ryder (Managed), Jack Higgins (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Luke Parker, Jack Sinclair, Callum Mills, Rowan Marshall, Jack Steele

Other players to watch: Jade Gresham

Captain/VC Options: Callum Mills

 

North Melbourne vs Adelaide @ Blundstone Arena

Weather Forecast

Around 1o°C, partly cloudy

Team Lineups

North Melbourne

IN

Tarryn Thomas, Cameron Zurhaar, Callum Coleman-Jones, Ben McKay, Aiden Bonar, Jackson Archer

OUT

Lachie Young (Suspension), Jason Horne-Francis (Suspension), Jack Ziebell (Injured)

Adelaide

IN

Chayce Jones, Harry Schoenberg, Mitchell Hinge, Elliott Himmelberg

OUT

Riley Thilthorpe (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Jackson Archer, Rory Laird, Jordan Dawson, Patrick Parnell, Reilly O’Brien

Other players to watch: Jake Soligo, Aaron Hall, Tarryn Thomas, Jed Anderson, Ben Keays, Matt Crouch

Captain/VC Options: Rory Laird, Jordan Dawson

 

Collingwood vs GWS @ MCG

Weather Forecast

Around 13°C, cloudy and potential showers (75% chance of rain)

Team Lineups

Collingwood

IN

Trey Ruscoe, Aiden Begg, Isaac Chugg, Caleb Poulter

OUT

Jordan De Goey (Personal Reasons)

GWS

IN

Callum Brown, Phil Davis, Wade Derksen, Daniel Lloyd, Kieren Briggs, Tim Taranto, Xavier O’Halloran

OUT

Ryan Angwin (Injured), James Peatling (Injured), Braydon Preuss (Suspension), Zach Sproule (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Stephen Coniglio, Harry Himmelberg, Jack Crisp, Lachie Whitfield, Darcy Cameron, Tim Taranto

Other players to watch: Nick Daicos, Josh Kelly, Jacob Wehr

Captain/VC Options: Josh Kelly

Port Adelaide vs Gold Coast @ Adelaide Oval

Weather Forecast

Around 14°C, cloudy and potential showers (74% chance of rain)

Team Lineups

Port Adelaide

IN

Miles Bergman, Taj Schofield, Steven Motlop, Jase Burgoyne, Travis Boak, Trent McKenzie

OUT

Zak Butters (Injured), Brynn Teakle (Injured), Tom Clurey (HS Protocols)

Gold Coast

IN

Elijah Hollands, Malcolm Rosas, Chris Burgess, Brayden Fiorini, Rory Atkins, Sam Day

OUT

Joel Jeffrey (Injured), Connor Budarick (Injured), Wil Powell (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Trade Targets: Connor Rozee, Jarrod Witts

Other players to watch: Dan Houston, Ollie Wines, Touk Miller

Captain/VC Options: Touk Miller

 

My Trades

English -> Darcy/Witts

Butters -> Bontempelli

 

Trades are pretty simple this week. I am trading English as I have no rookies on field (apart from Daicos), so I am being aggressive and going for points on field, plus I think English could miss 2 weeks. I am looking at one of Darcy and Witts. Both have great matchups. I like the ceiling of Darcy, but worried about his injury history. With Witts, I don’t see his ceiling being as high as Darcy, but less injury risk. At this stage, I am leaning towards Darcy. With my other trade, I will get enough money from the English move to allow me to go Butters up to Bontempelli. I think I would personally pick Bont over Treloar and Parker anyway, but I can’t actually afford them so it makes the decision even easier.

 

Anyway, thanks again everyone for reading the Weekend Forecast. If you have any questions about your starting teams, or anything else, leave your questions in the comments section below or hit me up at my Twitter or Instagram (links provided below).

Good luck for round 15!

Instagram: @baileyirrgang

Twitter: @baileyirrgang

I am a lover of all sports, especially the AFL. Some of the teams I support include the Adelaide Crows, Manchester United, Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Rams just to name a few. I am also a big fan of fantasy sports, particularly AFL Fantasy and NFL Fantasy.

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Loz
Loz
11 months ago

Torn between Walsh and Laird. Do you think Walsh can get close to Laird for the rest of the season? The extra cash will come in handy.

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago
Reply to  Loz

No, not a chance. Go Laird.
We all should have gone Laird from the start..
But noooooo… we didn’t, did we?
Gun in a mediocre team..

DeathAdders22
DeathAdders22
11 months ago
Reply to  BestowedMisery

Hahah what a tool ! No wonder your right down the pack. Had him before the byes now I’m in the top 200. Where are you spud, hope you didn’t forget to do your homework last night

Jake
Jake
11 months ago
Reply to  DeathAdders22

DeathAdders22 what’s your team name?

The Choozler
The Choozler
11 months ago
Reply to  Jake

Jake. I believe his team is called sword swallowers.

Jay1
Jay1
11 months ago
Reply to  Jake

probably called ‘delusional’

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago
Reply to  DeathAdders22

Hi there life loser, Adderall.. 🤣
I’m right up the other end, the pointy end.
An area that you’re not familiar with.
Grammar you imbecile, do you know how to use it? 🤣🤡

Darce
Darce
11 months ago

Need to field one of SDK/J.Clarke this weekend, awful but who should I lean on?

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

I brought in Jackson for Hayes and was very happy with that trade.

Jay1
Jay1
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

I did too, but most of my league opponents also did and I guess so did the majority of coaches above me in rank. So I don’t think I’m making much ground with the Jackson in trade (but at least, not slipping back if I didn’t make that trade).

NP
NP
11 months ago

have Preuss and English, so need to trade one/hold one.

What is the rank of ruck options – I have ROB/Nank/Witts/Darcy (Darcy’s 40 scores are gross)

(Note: Already traded Butters for Jackson)

stuart
stuart
11 months ago

Cogs or bont?

Jay1
Jay1
11 months ago
Reply to  stuart

I think cogs will be the more consistent + higher scorer from here on. Bont still hasn’t given me a ton since I brought him in, while cogs has gone bang 4 times his 49

stuart
stuart
11 months ago
Reply to  Jay1

Yep, thinking along the same lines. Love the bont but Cogs hard to pass up. cheers.

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago
Reply to  stuart

I’ve got Cogs.. who’d you pick between Taranto and Bont?

jjbkeeper
11 months ago

J. Mead of SDK to field?

jjbkeeper
11 months ago
Reply to  jjbkeeper

Or Windhager

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago
Reply to  jjbkeeper

Mead @ home. He’s on my bench.
Don’t know much about the other 2 though..

Miyagi-san
Miyagi-san
11 months ago

As always, good read bails.

Trade 1 was massively kissed, zorko to Jackson (holding English).

Any thoughts on 2nd trade?
– Rozee to Andy Brayshaw?
– Daicos to any def?
– Hately to Steele (or Dawson?)
– something else? Cant get hobbs or SDK to anyone good this week, so will bite the bullet, field them and see how we go!

Cheers legend!

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Miyagi-san

Bring in Brayshaw

Brisman
Brisman
11 months ago

Great. Port has a late out for H&S protocol and Sam Hayes is NOW in.
Gotta love the brutality of fantasy football!

Bill
Bill
11 months ago
Reply to  Brisman

The way Port don’t seem to rate him he will be back out again next week.

J
J
11 months ago
Reply to  Brisman

seems he is back out now haha

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Brisman

Source? He is not even listed as an emergency at the moment

J
J
11 months ago

For a short while he was listed as an in, and on field at HB on the afl app

Dulcify
Dulcify
11 months ago
Reply to  J

It was a spelling error. Was meant to be Sam Mayes.

Ando the brain dead barfly
Ando the brain dead barfly
11 months ago

Who to ditch out of Preuss and DeKoning?

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Preuss has been suspended three times- best to get rid of him you don’t need him for cover next week.

De Koning has a permanent place in the Geelong side, even if his scores are sometimes mediocre.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

I’m now using De Koning as an emergency cover for DEF.

He could also be used as a cover for the FWD’s.

With so many outs lately he could still be handy.

Ando the brain dead barfly
Ando the brain dead barfly
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

Thanks Bill. Preussy goneski

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago

Preuss

Scott
Scott
11 months ago

Traded Preuss to Jackson, what to do with Butters. Do I play 1 ruck short and upgrade him to premo midfielder ($914K to spend) which puts Soligo on bench or trade him for Cameron so as to play 2 rucks.

brian Smith
brian Smith
11 months ago
Reply to  Scott

Soligo plus Cameron should get you more points than one premo plus a ruck donut.

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  brian Smith

Agree

Scott
Scott
11 months ago
Reply to  brian Smith

Thanks Brian (and Pendles). I’m not thinking straight after watching my Lions last night – still in shock!

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago

With a couple of rookies named, I am feeling divided. My first trade was Butters to Jackson, which I am very happy about. I had already made my second trade McCartin to Whitfield, and I would have only Soligo remaining as a rook on field. However, my bench sucks and won’t generate a lot of cash, with Durdens, Owens and Teakle injured, and Cleary, Clark and Carroll struggling to get named. Would it be best to switch Clark for Chugg/Archer to give myself more cash and hopefully cash generation, but sacrifice points until next week.

Who would be better: Archer or Chugg?

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago

My original plan was to fix up my rooks next week, but the only available rooks may be more expensive.

Steve
Steve
11 months ago

Wait a week and see how they go and if they stay in the team, unlikely to go up more than 20k.
If you dont have Parnell or Ambro you should be picking them up this week.

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago

Definitely not Archer.
Chugg or Blanc. But I know little about either.
Fry may have mentioned them, not sure as I don’t need any rookies this week.

John1
John1
11 months ago

decided to skip getting in jackson and field jamieson instead 🤦

Jay1
Jay1
11 months ago
Reply to  John1

Sorry for your loss. See you in 2023

JT & Frenchy, Gangsta Boyz
JT & Frenchy, Gangsta Boyz
11 months ago

Luke Jackson trade in = Happy Face 😄
Fielding Jamieson and Hobbs = 💩

O.G., Cry Baby and the homie big rock
O.G., Cry Baby and the homie big rock
11 months ago

Traded English to Draper (Fielded Jamieson & accidentally set him as captain 😅😅
Fielded Hobbs, v.c Jackson lol

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago

I won’t whinge about my C on Macca anymore

Andy
Andy
11 months ago

That’s gold (but I am sorry)

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Tom Mitchell doesn’t produce the scores he used to.

Look for a trade once I’ve cleaned up my remaining rookies? Or persist with him?

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

His price will go down this week, and probably the next two. It will level out after he plays Adelaide. He had a run of three games where he actually reached 120, but they were Lions, Suns & Pies; three of the easiest teams to score against. In the past, you would have expected 140+ from him in those matches. He has a pretty easy run to come, but is he going to smash it? I think that is unlikely. Is he going to be a top 8 mid in the next 8 rounds? I doubt it. He’s a luxury trade; only if you don’t have other more pressing issues.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Two rookie forwards to upgrade first- next week, as long as more players don’t go out with injury/ suspension.

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

I have been saying that last clause every week. There have been so many injuries that have hampered my team. That’s why I still have Soligo on the field, and a number of injured, or unselectable, rooks on the bench.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Talking about suspensions… how long will Stewart get? 1 week, or 2?

I’ll hold him in any case. I have back up rookies.

Pendles4brownlow
Pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

Off the ball (very late), left the ground, high contact, deliberate, severe outcome. He goes straight to the tribunal. Should be 4 weeks minimum, but as a Geelong player he will get the Geelong discount, so probably a week. Seriously, if he is offered 2 weeks, he will consider himself kissed. It was very bad.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Sounds like a Collingwood supporter’s views there. Tom Hawkins gets suspended when he sneezes.

Pendles4Brownlow
Pendles4Brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

If it was a Pie who did that, they might as well start their off-season now. Stewart, by his own admission, chose to run past the ball and make the bump (deliberate), contact was high and forceful, and Prestia was subbed off early in the match and will miss another on concussion protocols. If Stewart gets 1 week, he serves less than Prestia.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Sure, Stewart’s bump doesn’t look good, and I’m sure he will accept what ever suspension he gets.

What I object to is your assertion that Geelong players get the ‘Geelong discount’ which is not based on any fact at all, or any semblance of reason. Seems like a very, very silly thing to say.

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

You seem to be asking for that discount. You say 1 or 2 weeks. The MRO guidelines are deliberate high contact = 3 weeks. Deliberate, high contact with severe consequence is straight to the tribunal. 1 or 2 weeks does not come into it. It is 3 minimum. It is funny that Scott has spoken about the incident. Normally, he doesn’t even acknowledge that a player has done anything wrong, and says that whatever it was was nothing. This time, he knows it is bad, so he is trying to mitigate the sentence by talking about Stewart’s character, but by Stewart’s own admission, he ran past the ball and chose to bump – deliberate. It was head high. Three weeks minimum. Was Prestia’s convulsing on the ground severe? I think so. He should be sent to the tribunal.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

I was listening on the radio, and presumed the penalty would be 1 to 2 weeks. Having watched it on video it may indeed be more.

I don’t care what Scott says. IMO he’s an idiot and should have been sacked as coach years ago, and I’m a Geelong supporter.

pendles4brownlow
pendles4brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

True, Tom Hawkins has received his fair share of suspensions. It’s actually Scott’s performances that get my hackles up the most.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

All good. We agree on this.

Geelong keep resigning Scott because he has a good winning record.
But he doesn’t win premierships.

22 GUNS
22 GUNS
11 months ago
Reply to  Bill

hinkley and scot both hopefully they wont resign funkley time for new direction

Dulcify
Dulcify
11 months ago

Pendles, Mitchell has hit 120 only once, round 10 against Brisbane.

Pendles4Brownlow
Pendles4Brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  Dulcify

Maybe my wording was poor. He had three ok games, one of which he hit 120. I was not implying he was a good pick up. He has an easy run to come, but his record this year does not indicate he is worth getting. If you have him, which I don’t, it is a luxury trade, and you would only trade him out if you no longer have a rook on the ground.

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago

Well, I was planning to ask you all what to do with Brodie..
Looks like he’s a better option than Cripps.

Pendles4Brownlow
Pendles4Brownlow
11 months ago
Reply to  BestowedMisery

As a fwd, he Brodie sits on the cusp of the top 6 available fwds. By available, I mean excluding Speakano and Headbutt. Obviously, you have no actual team issues. Brodie is one of the last trades to make, surely. Push to get the top 8 mids first.

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago

Yeah P4B, glad I brought in Nanks after his bye.
Got Jackson too.. 😉
But, I’ve got Stewart, he’ll miss 2-3 weeks so I’ll probably get to bring in Doch. Finally.
Treloar is my lowest score so far. So I might have to wait a week to upgrade him to Speakano.
Daicos is my only rookie on field. He’s scoring well.
Got 5 playing rookies that I can sell.
As always, there’s FMDT waiting to ruin..

Clear form
Clear form
11 months ago

What a sh*t week for captains

Jay1
Jay1
11 months ago

Anyone trade out Will Brodie?

Russell Pindick
Russell Pindick
11 months ago

Anyone else trade out Lloyd?

Trevor
Trevor
11 months ago

Nope, had him from the start, set him as captain last night and currently in the top 20. Good luck in 2023 young fella

The Octopus
The Octopus
11 months ago
Reply to  Trevor

Brave move captaining him with only 3 scores over 100 and last score below 50. Well done

BestowedMisery
BestowedMisery
11 months ago
Reply to  Trevor

What’s your team’s name?

Mike
Mike
11 months ago
Reply to  Trevor

No one named Trevor in the top 20?
No Trevor in the top 50?
What gives?

Justin Stitchup
Justin Stitchup
11 months ago
Reply to  Mike

Trevor tells porkies. I need Toby Greene to lift. Can’t believe I got sucked in to buying him again this year after a couple of good games. Rocks and diamonds

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Stewart: 2 weeks suspension I’ll probably hold him, as he’s unlikely to do something as stupid as that again.
3 or 4 weeks out and he will probably have to go.

Something always gets in the road when you’re trying to get rid of rookies.

Bill
Bill
11 months ago

Stewart straight to the tribunal. Minimum of 3 games ban.

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