What a week! With my top-10 captains averaging 113 for the weekend, my swagger is well and truly up and about. This week, it’s obvious… it’s all about the match-ups.
|Key Stats||Cal’s Comments|
|1. Max Gawn|
|#1 man based on form averaging 130 in his last three||Gawn v Max Lynch... yes please. Ladhams scored 107 against Lynch last week and over the years, the Hawks rate as Gawn's favourite team of all time with a career-average of 115. And now with Jackson out due to Covid, hopefully the points will flow even more.|
|2. Clayton Oliver|
|Hawks are #1 easiest for MIDS as Mills (162) found last week.||Oliver scored 126, 121 and 145 in his last three against the Hawks and is running on hot form scoring 129 and 111 in his last two.|
|3. Jack Steele |
|149 and 106 is what Steele had on the Power last year.||Steele has now averaged 117 in his last three games and loves playing at Cazaly's where he scored 133 last year. Fills ALL the stat lines.|
|4. Josh Dunkley|
|138 last week and #3 man on form over last 3 weeks.||Amazingly... Dunkley's record against the Bombers is horrible with previous scores of 53 and 58. He is here based on form alone.|
|5. Callum Mills|
|Scored 121 on the Lions last year and is running hot.||Coming off 162, Mills meets a team that allowed Anderson (118), Ainsworth (112) and Touk (111) to score well against them last week.|
|6. Christian Petracca|
|Plays the Hawks, should bounce back.||76 last week was terrible and over his career, Petracca's record against the Hawks is shocking (career-worst team). He scored 90 and 102 against them last year.|
|7. Patrick Cripps|
|Averaging 124 when you take out his injured game.||Geelong had 5x100+ against the Roos last week who are giving up points. Cripper had 88 against them last year but is a different beast in 2022.|
|8. Touk Miller|
|Laid 8 tackles for his 111 last week. He's back!||Meets one of his favourite teams here and even managed 130 against them last week. Top-3 Essendon MIDs averaged 112 and 37 touches on the Pies last week.|
|9. Bailey Smith|
|Averaging 127 despite a season-low 92 last week.||Six Bulldog MIDs attended 40% or more of the CBAs last week and Smith only managed 52%. Unpredictable rotations as always.|
|Season-high 117 last week and only getting better||Only managed 72 on the Roos last year but they still rate as one of the easiest teams to score against, rankig fifth easiest.|
As I haven’t got a video this week (holidays and ran out of time), here are some explanations as to why some players missed the cut. Here is the round 7 fixture so you can check out when to use that all important VC.
Andrew Brayshaw – Gets the Mark O’Connor tag and only managed 96 on the Cats last year. This one is at the Cattery and having a captain there is always a risk. Does play first up on Saturday though so you can VC him if you like.
Keays and Laird – GWS use taggers nearly every week, Bruhn had a go last week and as we have sent his year, Ash also gets jobs. Pass and pass, despite being in Adelaide.
Ollie Wines – St Kilda rank as #2 hardest. Big pass.
Jack Macrae – 52% and 53% CBAs in recent weeks (down 20% from the start of the year). Prefers the MCG and had 88 and 119 in his last two this year.
Darcy Parish – Ankle concerns… just couldn’t risk it.
Zach Merrett – Great return with 115, but we’ll need to see more before we captain him again. Also plays the Dogs who rank as #3 hardest for MIDs at the moment.
Lachie Neale – Only had 68 on the Swans last year and hasn’t hit 100 against them in his last five games. They are easily his worst team to play.
Jarryd Lyons – A huge 128 last week but hasn’t hit a ton in his last four against the Swans.
Tom Mitchell – Melbourne are #3 easiest at the moment and the pig is coming off a nice 109. Scored 144 and 103 on the Demons last year. Should be fine.
Tim Taranto – Only had 65 and 92 in his last two this year and ranked as the seventh most used player at the Giants in CBAs (32%).
Jack Crisp – Could have a day out against the #4 rated Suns. They’re easy and Crisp should lap it up.
Jayden Short – First game (FRI v WCE) and could get you the 120+ you need. He has hit 125+ in three of his last five this year and had a season-high 122 on the Eagles last year and in 2022, they’re much worse.
Simple for me this week…. Max Gawn (VC – 4:35 Saturday)) into Jack Steele (Saturday night). I also should have either Mead or McEntee not playing in the same game so this should give me the option of taking Gawn. I think Gawn and Oliver are the safest 120+ scores going around this week and should get the job done for us all.