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Essendon v St Kilda – AAMI Fantasy Notes

Warnie’s takeaways from the Dons v Saints AAMI Community Series game.

Let’s not talk about the result… well, there’s not a lot to actually talk about in this game if I’m being honest. Really felt like one of those pre-season going through the motions game. The scoring was spread with only one player scoring a ton and just seven over eighty. Time on ground was limited for some key players and with some players missing, it wasn’t exactly a best 22 hitout for both sides.

Anyway, in the tradition of fantasy footy research … let’s read a whole lot into it that we probably shouldn’t.

Notable absentees: Jake Stringer, Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, Michael Hurley, Jake Kelly

Centre bounce attendances

 Q1Q2Q3Q4TOTAL
Darcy Parish773219
Sam Draper574319
Will Snelling622212
Jye Caldwell324312
Zach Merrett6511
Andrew McGrath22329
Peter Wright3126
Archie Perkins2125
Nick Cox123

Zach Merrett (MID $925k)

Dominated the first half before sitting out from the main break. Merrett would have had a 120+ game had he played it out, racking up 18 disposals, 4 marks and a tackle for his 62 from 45% time on ground. While he was a mainstay at the centre bounces, you could see that any rotation for him will be to the back half. Won’t be enough for DEF status, but most likely a better Fantasy role than if he’s having to rest forward.

Darcy Parish (MID $885k)

Scored 79 form 77% TOG. He’s a gun. He’s a midfielder. We should expect more of the same in 2022. I think that 105 he’s at is fair and although Shiel (managed, even though he was named as emergency) was missing, he was going at over a PPM so all is sweet. Second round Draft selection, an upgrade target in Classic.

Jye Caldwell (MID $488k)

Was the big winner when Merrett rested. Scored 67 of his 98 points in the second half, as his CBA usage increased. Caldwell had 75% TOG. Again, no Shiel – or Stringer, but he was used significantly more through the middle in this match compared to that praccy game a week or so ago. Caldwell was around a lot of stoppages and had double figure contested possessions and a handful of clearances. I’m still not sure on picking him. Definite value, but is it enough? I took Caldwell late in a draft the other day with some hope he might gain FWD status. Not sure that will happen either.

Jordan Ridley (DEF $672k)

Took 5 of the Bombers’ 9 kick-ins (Cutler 2, Hind 2) and played on for all of them. Missing Jake Kelly probably showed a little as he may not have been freed up to do all he wanted, but a solid game with a game-high 8 marks. Don’t think he’s a Classic option as he’d need to take that 80 to well into the 90s. Definitely draftable around that 86-88-ish average range for me.

Rookie watch

Playing a full game Kaine Baldwin (FWD $190k) might be a marking forward they could go with in round one. The 2021 SSP took three marks and kicked a goal for a score of 52 (80% TOG). Certainly won’t be a high scorer, but maybe a heartbeat on the bench. Nick Martin (FWD $190k) came on in the second half and played off the wing. He racked up 16 touches, 2 marks and 3 tackles. In the presser after the game, Rutten said that he’s a chance for round one. Put a line through Ben Hobbs… he didn’t hit the ground.

Others of note

  • Sam Draper (RUC $481k) – 75 (79% TOG) – Looked good. Shared ruck duties with 2-metre Peter, but was good around the ground taking four marks and laying five tackles. Got on the scoreboard with 1.2. Late, late round draft pick.
  • Will Snelling (FWD $656k) – 73 (83% TOG) – Used at CBAs. Averaged 78 last year. Going late in drafts, worth a punt if he can get himself into the rotation, even a couple of times a quarter. There’s upside.
  • Archie Perkins (FWD $421k) – 81 (83% TOG) – That 50 average next to his name? Bump it up by 20 at least. Steal in drafts.

Notable absentees: Zak Jones, Dan Hannebery, Paddy Ryder, Jarryn Geary

Centre bounce attendances

 Q1Q2Q3Q4TOTAL
Jack Steele674320
Seb Ross753419
Rowan Marshall655218
Brad Crouch56314
Hunter Clark423110
Jack Hayes2226
Jade Gresham2125
Mitch Owens44

Rowan Marshall (RUC $752k)

We all know what a gun he is when Ryder isn’t there. He top scored with 101 from 81% TOG. Only had the 18 hitouts (compared to Wright 17, Draper 24 … and supported by SSP Hayes with 4), but had 17 kicks, 7 handballs and 5 marks. Massively aided by 6 free kicks for. Ryder is battling an Achilles issue, but who knows when he’s back – could need everything to go right for R1 – but it’s there in waiting. Marshall was a 26 point better player last year when Ryder was out. I don’t think you can do it.

Jack Steele (MID $1.02m)

DON’T READ ANYTHING INTO YOUR PREMIUMS’ PERFORMANCE IN THE PRE-SEASON … however … the price tag may make you think twice and look for a better ‘value’ option. He was going throught he motions, scoring 86 from 82% TOG. Hit his main stat lines with 8 marks and 5 tackles, but only had the 20 disposals. I’ve been super-keen on him being my M1, but with lack of rookies coming through, it might be someone else.

Brad Hill (DEF $597k)

Worth a look in draft as he’s played every game of the last three seasons (this surprised me tbh). 28 disposals and 5 marks off half-back was a great return for a praccy match.

Rookie watch

Signed last week as an SSP, Jack Hayes (RUC/FWD $190k) could find himself in the team if Ryder is out. Scored 50 (78% TOG) playing a forward role and rotating in the ruck. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (DEF/MID $270k) came on in the second half and got busy with 7 disposals, 3 marks and 2 tackles for 36 points in 33% TOG. Mitch Owens (MID $226k) got a run on the ball late for 27 from 24% TOG.

Others of note

  • Jack Billings (MID $699k) – 21 (42% TOG) – Hamstring. That late pick in draft with the hope of FWD status … don’t bother. By the time he’s back, it could be a round 12 addition.
  • Hunter Clark (DEF/MID $609k) – 65 (68% TOG) – It was happening. More of a midfield role, but now it looks like he’ll miss six weeks with a shoulder. Could require surgery.
  • Jade Gresham (MID/FWD $509k) – 53 (77% TOG) – He might pop up for some good scores during the season, but even with his cheaper price tag, it’s not worth considering. I’ve put a line through him with all the other options available up forward.

 

Co-captain of DT Talk since we started this thing in 2007. Best finish was 13th in 2009... that was a long time ago. Follow on Twitter: @WarnieDT

7 Comments

7 Comments

  1. Stevo

    March 6, 2022 at 12:36 pm

    Great write-up Warnie. The lack of 190K rooks, except maybe for forwards, is becoming a real crisis. A prediction, after looking at Sunday teams-the cheapest available playing Rd 1 mid “rook” will be Ralphsmith, at $258K. And for backs, I reckon Boyd (Carlton) and De Koning (Geelong version) are the only remaining hopes for 190K defenders. After that, Gibcus at 274K looks next cheapest.

    • Mighty Puds

      March 6, 2022 at 12:55 pm

      Connor MacDonald at 240k in the mids and Paddy McCartin at 271 fwd/def are other options to keep an eye on

      • Squid

        March 6, 2022 at 1:31 pm

        Yep, should be enough rooks but apart from a few PSS fwds & rucks bottom price is not looking promising, we will need to pay up in mids but there’s plenty to choose from, def is looking a bit tricky but we should get 4 which should be enough with how most are setting up anyway.

  2. Squids

    March 6, 2022 at 3:11 pm

    That Jack Hayes is a good cheap bench option for Ruck

  3. pendles4brownlow

    March 6, 2022 at 4:35 pm

    Or Dixon

  4. Sainters22

    March 7, 2022 at 7:43 am

    Max King will have a big year. He’ll be a match winner more than once.

  5. Wayne Kerr

    March 10, 2022 at 12:49 am

    Caldwell is a tough pic.

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