Essendon v St Kilda – AAMI Fantasy Notes

Let’s not talk about the result… well, there’s not a lot to actually talk about in this game if I’m being honest. Really felt like one of those pre-season going through the motions game. The scoring was spread with only one player scoring a ton and just seven over eighty. Time on ground was limited for some key players and with some players missing, it wasn’t exactly a best 22 hitout for both sides.

Anyway, in the tradition of fantasy footy research … let’s read a whole lot into it that we probably shouldn’t.

Notable absentees: Jake Stringer, Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti, Michael Hurley, Jake Kelly

Centre bounce attendances

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	TOTAL
Darcy Parish	7	7	3	2	19
Sam Draper	5	7	4	3	19
Will Snelling	6	2	2	2	12
Jye Caldwell	3	2	4	3	12
Zach Merrett	6	5			11
Andrew McGrath	2	2	3	2	9
Peter Wright	3		1	2	6
Archie Perkins		2	1	2	5
Nick Cox			1	2	3

Zach Merrett (MID $925k)

Dominated the first half before sitting out from the main break. Merrett would have had a 120+ game had he played it out, racking up 18 disposals, 4 marks and a tackle for his 62 from 45% time on ground. While he was a mainstay at the centre bounces, you could see that any rotation for him will be to the back half. Won’t be enough for DEF status, but most likely a better Fantasy role than if he’s having to rest forward.

Darcy Parish (MID $885k)

Scored 79 form 77% TOG. He’s a gun. He’s a midfielder. We should expect more of the same in 2022. I think that 105 he’s at is fair and although Shiel (managed, even though he was named as emergency) was missing, he was going at over a PPM so all is sweet. Second round Draft selection, an upgrade target in Classic.

Jye Caldwell (MID $488k)

Was the big winner when Merrett rested. Scored 67 of his 98 points in the second half, as his CBA usage increased. Caldwell had 75% TOG. Again, no Shiel – or Stringer, but he was used significantly more through the middle in this match compared to that praccy game a week or so ago. Caldwell was around a lot of stoppages and had double figure contested possessions and a handful of clearances. I’m still not sure on picking him. Definite value, but is it enough? I took Caldwell late in a draft the other day with some hope he might gain FWD status. Not sure that will happen either.

Jordan Ridley (DEF $672k)

Took 5 of the Bombers’ 9 kick-ins (Cutler 2, Hind 2) and played on for all of them. Missing Jake Kelly probably showed a little as he may not have been freed up to do all he wanted, but a solid game with a game-high 8 marks. Don’t think he’s a Classic option as he’d need to take that 80 to well into the 90s. Definitely draftable around that 86-88-ish average range for me.

Rookie watch

Playing a full game Kaine Baldwin (FWD $190k) might be a marking forward they could go with in round one. The 2021 SSP took three marks and kicked a goal for a score of 52 (80% TOG). Certainly won’t be a high scorer, but maybe a heartbeat on the bench. Nick Martin (FWD $190k) came on in the second half and played off the wing. He racked up 16 touches, 2 marks and 3 tackles. In the presser after the game, Rutten said that he’s a chance for round one. Put a line through Ben Hobbs… he didn’t hit the ground.

Others of note

• Sam Draper (RUC $481k) – 75 (79% TOG) – Looked good. Shared ruck duties with 2-metre Peter, but was good around the ground taking four marks and laying five tackles. Got on the scoreboard with 1.2. Late, late round draft pick.
• Will Snelling (FWD $656k) – 73 (83% TOG) – Used at CBAs. Averaged 78 last year. Going late in drafts, worth a punt if he can get himself into the rotation, even a couple of times a quarter. There’s upside.
• Archie Perkins (FWD $421k) – 81 (83% TOG) – That 50 average next to his name? Bump it up by 20 at least. Steal in drafts.

Notable absentees: Zak Jones, Dan Hannebery, Paddy Ryder, Jarryn Geary

Centre bounce attendances

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	TOTAL
Jack Steele	6	7	4	3	20
Seb Ross	7	5	3	4	19
Rowan Marshall	6	5	5	2	18
Brad Crouch	5	6	3		14
Hunter Clark	4	2	3	1	10
Jack Hayes	2	2		2	6
Jade Gresham	2	1	2		5
Mitch Owens				4	4

Rowan Marshall (RUC $752k)

We all know what a gun he is when Ryder isn’t there. He top scored with 101 from 81% TOG. Only had the 18 hitouts (compared to Wright 17, Draper 24 … and supported by SSP Hayes with 4), but had 17 kicks, 7 handballs and 5 marks. Massively aided by 6 free kicks for. Ryder is battling an Achilles issue, but who knows when he’s back – could need everything to go right for R1 – but it’s there in waiting. Marshall was a 26 point better player last year when Ryder was out. I don’t think you can do it.

Jack Steele (MID $1.02m)

DON’T READ ANYTHING INTO YOUR PREMIUMS’ PERFORMANCE IN THE PRE-SEASON … however … the price tag may make you think twice and look for a better ‘value’ option. He was going throught he motions, scoring 86 from 82% TOG. Hit his main stat lines with 8 marks and 5 tackles, but only had the 20 disposals. I’ve been super-keen on him being my M1, but with lack of rookies coming through, it might be someone else.

Brad Hill (DEF $597k)

Worth a look in draft as he’s played every game of the last three seasons (this surprised me tbh). 28 disposals and 5 marks off half-back was a great return for a praccy match.

Rookie watch

Signed last week as an SSP, Jack Hayes (RUC/FWD $190k) could find himself in the team if Ryder is out. Scored 50 (78% TOG) playing a forward role and rotating in the ruck. Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera (DEF/MID $270k) came on in the second half and got busy with 7 disposals, 3 marks and 2 tackles for 36 points in 33% TOG. Mitch Owens (MID $226k) got a run on the ball late for 27 from 24% TOG.

Others of note

• Jack Billings (MID $699k) – 21 (42% TOG) – Hamstring. That late pick in draft with the hope of FWD status … don’t bother. By the time he’s back, it could be a round 12 addition.
• Hunter Clark (DEF/MID $609k) – 65 (68% TOG) – It was happening. More of a midfield role, but now it looks like he’ll miss six weeks with a shoulder. Could require surgery.
• Jade Gresham (MID/FWD $509k) – 53 (77% TOG) – He might pop up for some good scores during the season, but even with his cheaper price tag, it’s not worth considering. I’ve put a line through him with all the other options available up forward.