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The Season

Weekend Forecast – Round 12

Bailey debuts his Weekend Forecast.

With the first of the bye rounds coming up, there is a lot for fantasy coaches to consider. As we know, we will have 3 trades for each of the bye weeks so these 9 trades are going to be very important, and ultimately determine how the back half of our year is going to look like.

Let’s take a look at the weekend forecast and what we have to look forward to.

Melbourne vs Brisbane @ Giants Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 14°C, mostly cloudy with a small chance of showers

Team Lineups

Melbourne

IN

 

OUT

Ed Langdon (Injured)

Brisbane

IN

Ryan Lester, Lachie Neale

OUT

Tom Berry (Medi-Sub), Rhys Mathieson (Omitted), James Madden (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Max Gawn

Should have a big game tonight against the Big O. Has struggled against the Lions in the past, only averages 72.8 against them from 8 games. But I don’t think that will be the case.

Clayton Oliver

Clarry could be massive! Has a great record against the Lions, averging 112.8 in his career 5 games against them. The best VC loophole tonight.

James Harmes

Will be interesting if he goes to anyone like he did last week with Libba. If so, he will be in the guts and his scoring should be good.

Lachie Neale

Interesting to see how the Brownlow Medalist fairs in his first game in 6 weeks. Could he cop a Harmes tag straight up? I think that is a big possibility. I wouldn’t be picking him up this week, but if you are, be cautious.

Sydney vs St Kilda @ SCG

Weather Forecast

Around 16°C, Sunny

Team Lineups

Sydney

IN

Joel Amartey, Robbie Fox, Tom Hickey, Logan McDonald

OUT

Kaiden Brand (Omitted), Hayden McLean (Omitted), Callum Sinclair (Omitted), Dylan Stephens (Omitted), Lewis Taylor (Medi-Sub)

St Kilda

IN

Hunter Clark

OUT

Tom Highmore (Omitted), Jack Lonie (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Isaac Heeney

One of the value picks off the round! Coming off a 135 last week, priced at 539k and a breakeven of 25, great option and should be good once again. Definitely in my plans.

Jack Billings

I am interested to see how Jack scores this week. He is flirting with being a top 6 forward and if he can score big, I think he will be a good option post his round 13 bye.

Adelaide vs Collingwood @ Adelaide Oval

Weather Forecast

Around 17°C, cloudy with light rain expected later in the day

Team Lineups

Adelaide

IN

Ronin O’Connor

OUT

Sam Berry (Injured), Nick Murray (Omitted)

Collingwood

IN

Jamie Elliott, Max Lynch, Jay Rantall, Josh Thomas

OUT

Callum Brown (Omitted), Brodie Grundy (Injured), Finlay Macrae (Medi-Sub), Chris Mayne (Managed), Tom Wilson (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Rory Laird

Disappointing last week with Lairdy’s first real bad score of the season. However, he has a great matchup this week. Last year, Laird had a massive game against the Pies in what was his coming out party as a midfielder. 37 touches, 9 tackles and 139 points in a shortened game! And Collingwood still give up a truckload of points. Big bounce back coming.

Ronin O’Connor

I am interested to watch Ronin this week. Played decent in his first game with 8 tackles. Hope he gets more than 60% game time. A downgrade option to consider.

Jay Rantall

Finally back for Roy and the rest of his owners. Again, another rookie to keep an eye on this week to see what he does.

Jordan De Goey

Now, De Goat. I am not getting sucked in to one good game… However, if you can back it up again in the midfield, we can maybe revisit this next week.

Essendon vs Richmond @ Optus Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 21°C, partly cloudy

Team Lineups

Essendon

IN

Aaron Francis

OUT

Will Snelling (Injured), Brandon Zerk-Thatcher (Omitted)

Richmond

IN

Shane Edwards, Marlion Pickett

OUT

Toby Nankervis (Injured), Hugo Ralphsmith (Omitted), Daniel Rioli (Medi-Sub)

 

Players to Watch

Jordan Ridley

One of the value picks in defence a couple of weeks ago but has been disappointing for coaches who brought him in. Interested to see if he can bounce back again the tigers who do give up some points to defenders.

Dustin Martin

Dusty loves playing the Bombers, averages 111.4 in his 13 careers games against them. I wanna see a ton Dusty!

Mabior Chol/Callum Coleman-Jones

Now everyone is talking about CCJ but I think Mabior Chol is the more intriguing option out of the 2. Played more ruck time last week, and is named in the ruck. As we know, Nank is out for an extended period. I think CCJ will be playing the Tom Lynch role where he rucks inside forward 50 but plays more forward so I think Mabior will be the no.1 ruck from the team, maybe some Pickett thrown in as well. Will be interesting to see the split, I think Mabior, who is cheaper than CCJ at 348k, will be a great option in round 14…but I may be wrong and it might be CCJ. We see.

Carlton vs West Coast @ SCG

Weather Forecast

Around 18°C, Sunny

Team Lineups

Carlton

IN

Paddy Dow, Zac Fisher, Jack Newnes, Luke Parks

OUT

Michael Gibbons (Injured)

West Coast

IN

Brayden Ainsworth, Harry Edwards, Luke Edwards (Debut), Luke Foley, Zac Langdon, Xavier O’Neill, Zane Trew (Debut), Nathan Vardy

OUT

Brendon Ah Chee (Injured), Oscar Allen (Injured), Jarrod Brander (Injured), Tim Kelly (Injured), Josh Kennedy (Injured)

 

Players to Watch

Patrick Cripps

Another player that is value this week priced at 648k. Eagles have a depleted midfield, and I think Crippa and Walsh can take advantage. If Crippa gets another ton, that’s 4 in a row and a great option post his round 13 bye.

Zac Williams

Now I really want Zac to score something this week. Regardless of how poor he has been this season, he is only just over 500k and if he can show something this week, he will be another interesting proposition after his bye.

Andrew Gaff

Will he cop the Curnow tag? Potentially with both Shuey and Kelly out of the team. I hope not, as I have him. Really needs to score big as he has been poor by his standards this season.

Fremantle vs Western Bulldogs @ Optus Stadium

Weather Forecast

Around 20°C, overcast with showers expected during the day

Team Lineups

Fremantle

IN

Reece Conca, Griffin Logue, Matt Taberner, Joel Western (Debut)

OUT

Sam Switkowski (Injured)

Western Bulldogs

IN

Ryan Gardner, Mitch Hannan, Stefan Martin, Anthony Scott, Rhylee West

OUT

Riley Garcia (Injured), Lachlan McNeil (Omitted)

 

Players to Watch

Adam Cerra

Another underpriced option potentially to consider. Has 3 scores over 80 in a row priced under 600k. If he can score well against one of the hardest teams for mids to score against, I think he will come into calculations for a lot of coaches.

Jack Macrae

Just a small flag, but Macrae could potentially cop the Serong tag this week. I have my doubts as I think more teams will start going to Libba as they saw how well it worked for Melbourne last week but you just never know.

Lachie Hunter

Can Bevo please leave Hunter on a wing for a full game?! We all know he can score massive, but with the bye then the Cats at the Cattery, I will wait. But my hand could be forced if he goes massive.

Bailey Smith

Similar to Cerra, priced under 600k and playing in the guts more now with Treloar and Dunkley out. But similar to Hunter, bye then the Cats. Still a good value option in the midfield.

My Trades

Jiath -> Bianco

Warner -> Heeney

Phillips -> Oliver/Mills/Lloyd or Docherty/Bontempelli

My first 2 trades are pretty set. I bring in the must have rookie of the week in Bianco and the value pick of the week in Heeney. My only question I need to figure out is my last trade. I can get Oliver and have essentially no money, Mills and 50k or Lloyd and just over 100k. If however, West Coast and Richmond’s round 14 game is moved to round 13 (means both West Coast and Richmond might have byes moved to round 14) then I would need to look at a round 13 bye player with Docherty and Bontempelli at the top of my list. Cripps is value but I feel safer with the other 2. Other thing I could do is bank cash, miss out on Heeney and get Ronin O’Connor but I do like Heeney. Ahaha, I guess I have some thinking to do!

Thanks everyone for reading the Weekend Forecast. If you have any questions regarding trades, or anything else, leave your questions in the comments section below or hit me up at my Twitter or Instagram (link provided below).

Good luck for the first of the bye weeks!

 

Instagram: @baileyirrgang

Twitter: @baileyirrgang

I am a lover of all sports, especially the AFL. Some of the teams I support include the Adelaide Crows, Manchester United, Los Angeles Lakers and Los Angeles Rams just to name a few. I am also a big fan of fantasy sports, particularly AFL Fantasy and NFL Fantasy.

19 Comments

19 Comments

  1. Cino F

    June 4, 2021 at 3:54 pm

    Nice work Bailey. Interesting format
    Whats thoughts on Zorko for friday night ? Worth a VC ?

    • Bailey

      June 4, 2021 at 5:03 pm

      Zorko is still a good option, I just wonder what Neale coming back means for Zorko. If you have a Gawn/Oliver/Petracca I would go with one of those 3. If not, what I am looking at doing if I don’t get Oliver is VC on Merrett and captain Macrae

  2. Hilly Billy Bob

    June 4, 2021 at 4:26 pm

    McLovin the bye rounds

    • Bailey

      June 4, 2021 at 5:05 pm

      Yep gotta love em 😂

  3. Belly

    June 4, 2021 at 5:12 pm

    Nice write up Bailey, quick question, the Sub gets taken from those listed as Emergency in the team sheets doesnt it, it cant be one of the 4 on the IC (unless they make a late change).
    I have Rantall as my 19th player this week so have counted him as playing not able to be Sub.

    • Bailey

      June 4, 2021 at 5:24 pm

      Yeah that is correct Belly. Sub is from one of the 4 emergency players unless a late change so Rantall will be playing for you this week 👍

  4. Belly

    June 4, 2021 at 5:38 pm

    Thanks mate.

  5. llizardofoz

    June 4, 2021 at 5:51 pm

    Should the WCE v R be brought forward it will be a boon to those who have their bye structure halfway right.

    • Bailey

      June 4, 2021 at 6:04 pm

      Ahaha yeah a good question. From an AFL standpoint, it makes so much sense to play the West Coast Richmond game in round 13. Richmond already over there playing Bombers this weekend, so play Eagles week after then they can head home to Melbourne enjoy the bye week off with their families in their own home. But from an AFL Fantasy standpoint, it will create a lot of problems for a lot of coaches so I guess we will just have to wait and see

      • Bec

        June 6, 2021 at 1:05 pm

        yeah that would make sense.
        but I’m pretty sure they said last night the tigers will fly back to Sydney after the bombers game, and then fly back to Perth to play WCE.

        so if thats the case why are they having the bye the week after?

        they should stay in Perth for the week, correct me if I’m wrong any1

        from the girl who loves her feet slimed.

  6. JMD012

    June 4, 2021 at 6:41 pm

    Hey mate! Great article
    Quick questions
    Trade in Heeney or Dusty?
    Trade out Ralphsmith or Finlay?

    • Bailey

      June 4, 2021 at 6:51 pm

      Out of Heeney and Dusty, I go Dusty as he will be in your team most likely rest of year whereas I don’t see Heeney staying for us long term. And the rookie trade is a tough but I think Macrae has to go. If he is the sub again, he will start losing even more cash

      • JMD012

        June 4, 2021 at 7:40 pm

        Thankyou for your comment back, you make a good point about Dusty and Heeney.
        With the rookie trade I am torn. Because Finlay may get points but he may lose money whereas I think Ralphsmith is gone for good.

  7. Bec

    June 4, 2021 at 10:56 pm

    I’m guessing Madden will come back into the side after the bye with Lester injured again

    from the girl who loves her feet slimed

  8. Bill

    June 5, 2021 at 11:33 pm

    I’d like to axe Rowe next week. I don’t think I can wait until his bye.

  9. Bec

    June 6, 2021 at 12:59 pm

    same here Bill, he scraped to 38 and missed BE by 1,

    even me saying he scraped to 38 sounds bad, Isn’t hitting the score board either, and there were goals to be had.
    think it was 6 in the first QTR.
    Ive held him this long but time to aswell, hopefully we get an extra trade next week.
    I know SC has given an extra 2 trades over the next 2 weeks. So intead of 3 there is 4.

    from the girl who loves her feet slimed

  10. Leon

    June 6, 2021 at 5:23 pm

    Well we’ll well… so much for Cripps being a brave heart captain of his club… The biggest pivotal game in Carltons recent history and he has barely given a whimper for his side or his team mates..literally! PATHETIC EFFORT frankly!

    He dawdles around aimlessly hoping the ball comes to him… and being outmarked one on one with Gaff was plain embarrassing! At least tackle moron!

    Never again list you tool!

  11. Leon

    June 6, 2021 at 5:37 pm

    Well that’s karma…. just tried to give the Cripp(le) a rocket and what happens.. virtually first play after that he finally jumps for the ball and guess what… done his ankle!

    Soft c0ck if ever there was one! P1ss off out of my team!

  12. Tim

    June 6, 2021 at 7:52 pm

    Bailey Smith you’re a plonk. See ya later next round

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