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The Thursday Scramble

The Thursday Scramble: Round 1

Round 1 is here already and it is probably the biggest Scramble of the season!

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Can you believe that we are back at round 1 again! It has been one of the most difficult pre seasons for us Fantasy Coaches. We have no 2020 data for the Victorian rookies, we only had one AAMI Series game and the depth of rookies is one of the lowest we have seen. But we still find ourselves here, just a few hours away from the first bounce (depending on when you read this of course). How is your team looking? As bad as mine? Well let’s see if I can help you get you a little closer to the ideal starting squad.

Rookies are Gold

We all want the guy that scores 120+ every week but whilst they boost your score each week it is the rookies that make your season! For those that are seasoned players we all know that we need to generate cash to upgrade our team so we can get close to Roy’s Rolling 22 and hopefully Fantasy Glory! Not only do we need the cheap players but we need the guys that are going to play regularly and score too!

There are plenty of experts out there but we have our very on guy and that is Fry!  So be sure to have a very good read of Fry’s Cash Cows from earlier this week. You need to know everything there is to know about the rookies for season 2021 prior to the first game starting tonight.

Rookie Rucks?

At this stage I am still unsure of which way I am going to go, I currently have Gawn and Grundy but am really toying with the idea of downgrading Grundy now that we have a plethora of rookie ruck options. The one thing holding me back is the knowledge that it can be incredibly hard to get these very expensive guys once the season has started!

Why do I want a Rolling Lockout?

Unfortunately we have had the Rolling Lockout thrust upon us in season 2021. Those of us that play Real Dreamteam and Supercoach are very used to this concept but those that have stuck to AFL Fantasy would have only had a taste of it last year.

With teams only being announced 24 hours prior to the games it makes it very unfair to lock us out of our teams on the Friday night when we don’t know who is playing on Sunday.

What does this mean for you? It means you need to be on your to toes all weekend. It means you need to check your team each Wednesday, Thursday, Friday and Saturday nights (and even Sunday nights when there is a Monday game).

The best way to deal with a rolling lockout is to remain flexible in your team. These are the key golden rules I apply to rolling lockout games:

  • Don’t trade until you absolutely have to. You may have a slam dunk trade that you are going to make but you never know what else may pop up in the lead up to that game, particularly if that game is on a Sunday. Leave it as late as you can to give yourself the most flexibility you can.
  • Have a couple of different scenarios planned. In conjunction with what I said above, you need to make sure you have a couple of plans just in case. If there is a whisper one of your players may be a late out or not make a cut as a rookie, then have a plan for them being in and then another plan for them being out! This way, when we get to final teams 60 mins out from game time you won’t be scrambling to find a solution to a problem you sort of already knew about.
  • Don’t Panic early in a round. Be calm and execute your plan. If you have a minor hiccup on the first couple of games, like a bench rookie isn’t named, and you have a big upgrade planned elsewhere, don’t panic and fix the rookie you weren’t using anyway, do your upgrade and then look to move your rookie on next week. If they don’t play they don’t lose any value.

The Floating Donut
One tactic that is often used in games with Rolling Lockouts is that of a Floating Donut. That is a player that is never going to play and you use to loophole either captains scores or emergency scores off the bench. I am an advocate for the floating donut as it can help boost your score. But unless there are no bargain basement rucks playing I won’t start the season with one. So this year with Flynn, Meek and Hunter all set to play round 1 you can’t pass up the opportunity to get some cash generation from them. You will have a non-playing player on your bench soon enough to use as a loophole!

Captains… oh yeah, we need one of them.

As we all know there is only one man… sorry, Pirate, that we should be listening to when we want a Captain and that is of course our very own Calvin. Make sure you have checked out his latest installment of Calvin’s Captains and follow his advice. Importantly this week he explains the Loophole (for about the millionth time) so if you aren’t sure how it works then have a read and get on board.

With the rolling lockouts you can use the loophole or even delay your selection of a captain until later in the round if you like but just make sure you don’t get caught out. I have seen it done and I have done it myself! As games tick over and players get locked in position you may find yourself unable to get a non-playing player on field and hence ruin your chance of using the Captain Loophole. Similarly you may even outsmart yourself and leave yourself extremely limited in having a captain to pick!

So my advice here is to still have your VC as early as you can in a round so it gives you far more options and ability to get your non playing player on field if you need to. It also gives you a much wider range of captains to pick from.

A New Rule Already??

So yesterday we were hit with this new “Injury Sub” which looks set to cause us even more concerns. Here are a few of my thoughts on this position and what impact it will have on us.

  • Sub to come from the emergencies. So this sounds well and good, but if we get to that 60mins before the game and the coach wants one of the emergencies to play the whole game you may still find someone from within the 22 lines up as the injury sub after being replaced in the 22 by an emergency. Hopefully we don’t see this too often but I wouldn’t put it past the coaches to do this (looking at you Chris Scott).
  • It could kill cash generation for a rookie. If your rookie is on the fringe and finds themselves demoted to injury sub one week and they come on for the last qtr or even worse last 15 mins, their score will count and it will mean they are virtually zero chance of reaching their break even. So, you don’t want your players as the sub and if they are just sit there and pray to the fantasy gods for no injuries!
  • It may make some rookies cheaper than their starting price. If a rookie hasn’t played a game yet and we haven’t selected them, this could work in our favour. In the same example as above where they come on for the last few minutes you may find that if they score poorly their BE could actually drop from its’ starting point. And if the player they replaced is out longer term they may find themselves with a full game and a ridiculously low BE the following week making them an even bigger lock to select.

As with any rule, the coaches will find a way to exploit it. But I do hope that doesn’t happen here. I think the only way this rule can have any integrity is that the player coming off is mandated that they miss the following week. No exceptions.

League Play.

Get your leagues sorted out ASAP. As the weekend rolls through we will find that the 1’s and 0’s of the computer systems that run these wonderful fantasy games will start to fill up your leagues to make sure that you don’t have a bye (we all remember how much they sucked). So fill them up before the weekend and then you know who you are playing against.  If you get real stuck in AF, shoot me a tweet and I will try join if I see it in time.

In the meantime here are a couple of leagues for you to join, PLEASE only join one of them to allow others to get in too.

AF: MM3Z5XPA

AF: NM4AU43C

RDT: 736565

RDT: 817632

I ran out of SC leagues to create one unfortunately.

Things to Remember:

  • You won’t win the comp in round 1. Don’t panic if one of your stars has a quiet round 1. It happens all the time.
  • Trust your research. You have done your research so don’t go picking up the next Relton Roberts tonight!
  • Have Fun! This game wasn’t created to stress us out (although it does a good job of it), it is there to have some fun with our mates and hopefully win a car (or in some people’s case a third car hey Selby!).

There we have it, hopefully you are all set for round 1 starting tonight and you are in for a great season ahead. I will be back next Thursday to hopefully sift through what has been a successful round 1. If not, then that is fine too, gives me more things to write about!!  Until then, enjoy having the footy back!

A passionate Port Adelaide Fan who simply loves footy! That is how I would describe myself. Catch my weekly article "The Thursday Scramble" with all the last minute things to think about for the weekend Follow: @pkd73.

57 Comments

57 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Brucey Don't Like Rusty

    March 18, 2021 at 7:21 am

    Which Swan? Logan McDonald or Chad Warner? Thanks

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      Daniel

      March 18, 2021 at 8:05 am

      Chad

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        Dunny

        March 18, 2021 at 9:31 am

        Chad

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      Dukx

      March 18, 2021 at 3:57 pm

      I wouldn’t pick either. But the obvious one to pick out of the 2 I would pick Warner. The reason I wouldn’t pick either is because the Swans have a young side and I doubt Warner will last long and McDonald is only playing because Buddy is injured but when Bud comes back in McDonald will more than likely not play. Plus there are much better Rookies around. I’m a Swans fan and would love to add Warner but. Warner will make more money than McDonald.

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    Henry

    March 18, 2021 at 8:16 am

    Warner. Scoring potential and JS probably roughly the same as Lmac’s but lower price means better cash generation.

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      Jag67

      March 18, 2021 at 12:31 pm

      If I heard right yesterday, the Traders said that Swans were gonna name Gulden, Campbell & McDonald. No mention of Warner.

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        Mighty Puds

        March 18, 2021 at 12:35 pm

        Warner played two games last year so he has already debuted and hence they don’t have to name him up ahead of time. More likely IF he plays that you’ll have to wait until tomorrow night when teams for Saturday drop.

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    Thebopper58

    March 18, 2021 at 8:30 am

    Welcome back Dunny
    Thanks for the leagues also!!
    Your thoughts on Jones chances of playing – it’ll be tough as it’s a strong back 6
    Also now with no Rozee out does that guarantee Butters more mid time or does the likes of Drew quell the idea?
    Where’s Ken – he’s usually out of the blocks quick but Bevo/Horse have beaten him :)
    Finally I’ve got two spots in my SC league you could join or are you in too many??

    Good luck for the upcoming season

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 9:33 am

      Cheers mate, good to be back.
      I think Jones will play at some stage, but not sure when, it is a tough back 6 to break into. If Hartlett is still injured he has a good chance but who knows.
      I think Butters time in the middle won’t change much. Drew could play the Rozee time but not sure on the role.
      Unlike Ken to be this slow, I agree!
      Sorry, I am full on SC League spots, would love to have joined though.
      Have a great year.

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    ShredderPigs

    March 18, 2021 at 8:37 am

    Last minute scramble, short and hind or Daniel and Stevenson. I can’t decide! Cheers lads

    • Will

      Will

      March 18, 2021 at 9:14 am

      daniel & stevenson

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 9:34 am

      I would go Daniel and Stevenson

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        ShredderPigs

        March 18, 2021 at 12:09 pm

        Thanks fellas 🤙🏽

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    Green Weevil

    March 18, 2021 at 9:13 am

    Cumming, Markov or Jiath?

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 9:34 am

      Got any other options? Don’t really like any of them.

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        Green Weevil

        March 18, 2021 at 9:45 am

        I could move Fantasia to DEF & chose between Dow & Wicks FWD

        • Will

          Will

          March 18, 2021 at 11:38 am

          so much mid price madness. Each year it seems that only about 1/4 of the pre season hyped mid pricers ever amount to anything in the H&A season. Theres also some we never see coming, so save your trades. go for more rookies and guns, and downsize the number of mid pricers youre going for

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    Dulcify

    March 18, 2021 at 9:56 am

    Excellent stuff Dunny. With you 100% on any players subbed out should also automatically be out for the following game.

    Good luck also in our SRL UF League. May I ask what division in Shiva are you in?
    Good luck for the season.

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 5:45 pm

      I’m in Div 2 mate. Good Luck to you too.

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        Dulcify

        March 18, 2021 at 6:06 pm

        Thanks Dunny. I’m in div 8.

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    Paddy Wow

    March 18, 2021 at 10:05 am

    James Rowe or Chad Warner?

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      Shaun

      March 18, 2021 at 11:09 am

      Rowe for the JS but Warner has the higher scoring ceiling.

      I have both for the record.

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        Paddy Wow

        March 18, 2021 at 11:14 am

        Thanks Shaun

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        Dunny

        March 18, 2021 at 5:45 pm

        I agree with this

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    SlavicPrincess

    March 18, 2021 at 10:37 am

    Zorko or Dunkley?

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      David

      March 18, 2021 at 10:59 am

      Dunk

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    Jasper Pittard

    March 18, 2021 at 10:38 am

    Gawn and Daniel or Grundy and Stewart

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      Nick

      March 18, 2021 at 10:57 am

      Gawn and Dow or Grundy and HInd?

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        Dunny

        March 18, 2021 at 5:46 pm

        Gawn and Dow

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 5:46 pm

      Gawn and Daniel

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    Sohail

    March 18, 2021 at 11:18 am

    Hi Guys,

    Lloyd + Hind

    OR

    Laird + Caldwell

    Thanks legends

  11. Avatar

    Shaun

    March 18, 2021 at 11:19 am

    Witts or De Goey?

    170k at R2/F6 depending on who I select/don’t select.

  12. Avatar

    Jordan

    March 18, 2021 at 11:23 am

    Jeremy Howe or Caleb Daniel?

    And a side note, do you think Howe will average above his price?

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    Petracca

    March 18, 2021 at 11:33 am

    $105k in the bank, any ideas on how to use?
    Possible thoughts:
    1. Serong to Dunkley (I really like Serong at his price however)
    2. Hind to Caldwell (feels sideways, think Hind is better value)
    3. Macrae / Fantasia / Markov to Dunkley / Idun / Docherty
    4. Keep the cash to upgrade the worst performing mid-price defender to Zac Williams in round 2

    Laird, Daniel, Clark, Markov, Fantasia, Young (Kos, Highmore)

    Merrett, Macrae, Gaff, Taranto, Serong, Rowell, Powell, Gulden (Brockman, Jordon)

    Grundy, Hunter (Flynn)

    Danger, Phillips, Hind, Dow, Campbell, Warner (Rowe, Scott)

    (util: Meek)

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    SlavicPrincess

    March 18, 2021 at 11:48 am

    Ridley or Crisp?

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      Bec

      March 18, 2021 at 1:43 pm

      Crisp for sure thx a high ceiling. and more consistent

      from the girl who loves her feet slimed

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    Ethan Rumball

    March 18, 2021 at 12:03 pm

    League of Champions
    Fanatic League
    Get on it!

    TMMVK2PL

  16. Avatar

    The Cricket

    March 18, 2021 at 12:16 pm

    Welcome back, Dunny.
    Agree with you completely about the sub rule. Making all players who’re subbed off (including those not concussed) miss for the next 12 days too is the only way to stop clubs rorting the system.
    Bah, humbug! Remembering the days of the dreaded green vest … nasty!

  17. Avatar

    the internet

    March 18, 2021 at 12:47 pm

    Cheers Dunny! Great that we are finally back to this stage of the year. Feels a bit more settled than this time last year. If anyone has a spare RDT league; here’s a code 136497

  18. Avatar

    Leo

    March 18, 2021 at 1:15 pm

    Join league LNASHNHX for s**ts and giggles

  19. Avatar

    Bec

    March 18, 2021 at 1:41 pm

    r there spots still available?,

    from the girl who loves her feet slimed

  20. Avatar

    Jay

    March 18, 2021 at 1:58 pm

    Couple of spots available in this league guys: 5TKFPENN

  21. Avatar

    Jay

    March 18, 2021 at 1:58 pm

    Join up: HL6M645F

  22. Avatar

    Jarrad

    March 18, 2021 at 2:38 pm

    So my league is set at 18 and due to start in round 3 so we all play each other once (no H2H in the byes)
    I only have 13 teams locked in with a couple of mates dragging their feet thinking they have until round 3 to join the league. Is that the case or are leagues locked by the start of tonights games?

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 5:53 pm

      Usually they are filled up this weekend. Get them in or face randoms.

  23. Avatar

    Alan J

    March 18, 2021 at 3:00 pm

    Any word on if Downie is getting a starting gig? If I start him at M8, then I put Dunkley at F1, but if I swap to Brockman at M8, I can plug in Danger at F1..

    1. Dunkley & Downie
    2. Danger & Brockman

    Also is Braden Campbell worth $262k with the amount of rookies that are likely to start R1 like Bruhn, Jones, Jordan, Scott, Fullarton, Rowe, Henry, Bergmann, McNeil etc??

  24. Avatar

    Jeff

    March 18, 2021 at 3:31 pm

    Do I go with Dow at f4 or Stephenson considering that Dow was named at rover tonight. I can save over 150k but do I go with the more reliable Stephenson?

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      Dunny

      March 18, 2021 at 5:53 pm

      I have Dow.

  25. Avatar

    Shags

    March 18, 2021 at 3:45 pm

    Heeeeeyyyy.

    Join my League (Its old skool DTer Shags ;)

    Z6YDWDSY

  26. Avatar

    BM

    March 18, 2021 at 5:26 pm

    Looking to challenge myself against some seasoned players – join my league: 72UJ4UE9

  27. Avatar

    Allsorts

    March 18, 2021 at 5:29 pm

    Late league for anyone interested
    SUFN2AY4

    • Avatar

      ShredderPigs

      March 18, 2021 at 6:53 pm

      Late league if anyone’s keen

      MC3RWFZY

  28. Avatar

    MAC

    March 18, 2021 at 6:21 pm

    is anyone consider Adam Saad as an option??

  29. Avatar

    Luka

    March 18, 2021 at 9:11 pm

    thoughts on lachie weller

  30. Avatar

    Vig

    March 18, 2021 at 11:10 pm

    Website not working properly, that’s all we need at this time! (Says unlimited trades but won’t let you do them!)

  31. Avatar

    Dan

    March 19, 2021 at 1:30 am

    1. Dunkley and Markov
    2. Daniel and Tom Green

  32. Avatar

    Blake

    March 19, 2021 at 3:46 pm

    Cumming or Fantasia???

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