Connect with us

Deck of Dream Team

Patrick Cripps – Deck of DT 2021

Cam from the Draft Doctors gives his take on Crippa.

Name: Patrick Cripps
Team: Carlton
Position: MID
Price: $718,000
Bye round: 13
2020 average: 75.04
2020 adjusted average:
93.80
2020 games played: 17
Predicted average: 103
Draft range: ADP of 61 on TheDraftDoctors mock draft site (Round 6-7)

Click here for 2021 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

Some say that I asked to write the Patrick Cripps article because I wanted that sweet Search Engine Optimisation for promotion of TheDraftDoctors 2021 Draft Kit. Others say it was just to keep Roy away from writing about another Carlton player and mentioning Zac Williams again. In truth, it’s far more simple than that. I really like Fish ‘n’ Chips. This whole article is going to use comparisons to different Fish ‘n’ Chippery experience and menu items, so I suggest if you aren’t too brushed up on your knowledge – head down to your local, get a crumbed bit of barra and some delicious beer battered chips and prepare for yourself for…

FISH ‘n’ CRIPPS.

Patrick Cripps had a pretty underwhelming season 2021 from a fantasy perspective. It mostly resembled a really expensive piece of salmon at a trendy Fish ‘n’ Chip joint in Prahran, and when you bite into it, you find a bone. What an expensive (but trendy) let down. He was still immense from an actual footballing perspective – ranking third for clearances across the competition – but it just wasn’t translating into the elite tier of fantasy scores.

There were multiple things that contribtued to his poor form, but the main reason.. he was battered (!). I think he’ll be the first to say that his whole body was injured the entire season. The main injury of course was to his back, as he tried to carry carlton for another season – but even Cripps succumbed to this weight. This lead to some up-and-down scoring, including a 30 in what would have been the grand final of the majority of competitive leagues.

Going into 2021, what this creates is a massive amount of opportunity – Cripps comes in priced at an average of 93.8, his lowest average since his 2nd year. At an absolute minimum, this has Cripps underpriced by about 6 average points. As i’ve said in previous articles, you need to find the bargains that are going to gain cash, but also produce a decent score – and he certainly looks like he could do that. The Barrmundi Monday special.

Another element to consider is that the burden should be eased on him, with the supporting cast of calamari (Williams), prawns (Walsh), and mystery stick (Dow) all another year older, and ready to hopefully take some of the load. I feel like i’ve said that for the last three years… but maybe this time!

The icing on the cake of course is that it’s a contract year. He has explicitly asked the Blues to STFU about his contract until later in the season – and that tells me he is keen to gain some upside at the trade table, which usually results in some fantastic fantasy scores.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Just like when you order two fishermans baskets just for yourself, Cripps is guaranteed to receive a lot of attention. At times last year, teams were dedicating two or more players to take him out of the contest at stoppages, and it worked – with the rest of the Blues midfield unable to take advantage of the space it created. Combined with the injuries, this relentless tagging saw Cripps spend a lot more time forward than he normally would, and unfortunately, he didn’t have an overly fruitful time there managing just the 7 goals. Despite the increase forward time, his goals per game reduced year-on-year.

Unfortunately for Cripps, just as you lather tartare sauce on your crumbed cod, the tag will seemingly always be applied until you eventually run out of tartare and have to ask for more tartare but they tell you it’s $1 for a tub, and you’re like whaaaaaaaat get outta here.

From a fixture perspective, Cripps faces an awkward set of opponents in the Tigers, Lions, and Pies in the first three rounds. It’s a bit of a double edged swordfish – none of these teams historically deploy a tagger, but the Lions and Tigers restrict their opponents disposals and subsequently, fantasy scores. The Lions in particular concede  the third least amount of fantasy points from their opposition.

Deck of DT Rating.

QUEEN

I’m one of the 10% of coaches that will be starting Cripps in my side in the classic format – I think he’s slightly underpriced, and when considering some of the other premiums that have inflated prices, provides a good balance of points to the dollar. I’m a little concerned about his first three fixtures, but when considering other options in his price range, the only other player that stands out is Brad Crouch – who could also be a cheeky good option – but of the two I have more faith in Fish’n’.

From a draft perspective, he’s currently going at an ADP of 61 on the mock draft site (mock.thedraftdoctors.com.au), but there’s a very real chance that he slides later depending your league. In the couple of drafts I have done with the fantasy community, midfielders are being prioritised late, in favour for snapping up decent forwards from the thin pool. Anything later than that and it’s a steal – like a 60 cent Potatocake from the local.

Buy our 2021 Draft Kit FFS!

2021 AFLFantasy and SuperCoach Draft Kit

 

FOLLOW US  ON TWITTER: @DTTALK for all thing AFL Fantasy (and more). Got something to say about the deck or AFL Fantasy in general? Join the conversation and use the hashtag… #AFLFantasy.

Writer and panelist at TheDraftDoctors fantasy footy podcast.

9 Comments

9 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Patty

    February 14, 2021 at 10:11 am

    Are there enough points to go round in the engine room for Williams, Walsh and Cripps to hit their expected averages? Carlton are much better but obviously still a developing side.

    • Avatar

      Cam McLachlan

      February 14, 2021 at 3:38 pm

      Walsh and Cripps will probably be the two consistent scorer. Williams will be good, but expect more variance.

  2. Avatar

    Christopher MARTIN

    February 14, 2021 at 4:03 pm

    Queen?! Preposterous.

  3. rossco1

    rossco1

    February 14, 2021 at 4:27 pm

    As a Cripps owner for all of 2020, he’s pretty much locked onto my never again list.

    Tread carefully people, just because he’s underpriced doesn’t mean you should be jumping into a player who 1) is the most tagged players in the league and 2) when copping the tag, can go for sub-60 scores.

    No thanks.

  4. Avatar

    BzG

    February 14, 2021 at 5:42 pm

    I know we should never say “never again”, but …. NEVER AGAIN!

  5. Avatar

    Brian Smith

    February 14, 2021 at 7:21 pm

    How is everyone planning on handling R14 – Max, Grundy, ROB & Marshall all on byes. Are you hoping Pruess will already be upgraded to eg Witts, Nank to lead ruck in R14? Plus a playing rook somewhere?

    • Avatar

      Brian Smith

      February 14, 2021 at 7:22 pm

      Bugger – wrong place!! I’ll repost this in the ‘My Team’ chat!!!!

  6. Avatar

    Ben

    February 14, 2021 at 10:26 pm

    Every year, we hear that Carlton have recruited well and Cripps will not have to carry the entire team, there will be others that need to be tagged and Cripps will be allowed to run rampant etc, etc, etc. Guess what, every year that turns out to be a big load of BS. Guess what – it will be the same in 2021. Fantasy-wise, there is a potentially under-priced Williams who has potential to be a bonanza. Walsh will be good. However, teams will quickly learn that it’s the same old-same old – stop Cripps, you stop Carlton. Cripps is an absolute jet if he is allowed freedom, but any opposition coach that doesn’t set a hard tag on Cripps will be fired shortly after.

  7. Avatar

    Rich

    February 15, 2021 at 3:40 am

    Has proven a flop on too many occasions to be trusted, including last year’s GF which really stung. A clear pass from me. His body is too banged up and he can’t handle close attention, which is guaranteed each week thanks to his brilliance in non-fantasy terms.

Leave a Reply

More in Deck of Dream Team