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Deck of Dream Team

Lance Franklin – Deck of DT 2021

Are you among the 22% of coaches with Buddy in their team?

  • Ben

Name: Lance Franklin
Team: Sydney Swans
Position: FWD
Price: $377,000
Bye round: 14
2019 average: 70.5
2019 games played:
10
2020 games played: 0
Predicted average: 80
Draft range: Late bench spot

Click here for 2021 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

Buddy is priced at 49.4 points thanks to playing zero games last year and it’s the cheapest he’s been since his debut season in 2005. He only averaged 70.5 in 2019 but pumped out 91.7, 96.1 and 94.2 in the three seasons before. If we split the difference and predict that he manages 80 this season, he’s got 30 points of upside and will generate a heap of cash in a hurry.

But what about the injuries that kept him gameless in 2020? A thing of the past, according to the reports coming out of the Swans’ camp. He returned to training early and looks fit as a fiddle. Assistant coach Jarrad McVeigh said: “I had to do a running session with him the other week and he was flying. Looking at him, he’s just so keen to get out there.”

I also wouldn’t worry that Buddy didn’t take the field last year. Think of it as a reset for his body so he’s fit and firing for Round 1 in the Swans’ quest to climb back up the ladder. There was no rush for him to return, just a focus on rehab and recovery so the team could reap the rewards in 2021.

It’s easy to forget that we’re talking about a man who’s averaged over 90 eight times and hit 100 twice. He even scored 117 and 107 in 2019, showing he’s still got it. He’ll be eyeing off goal number 1000 this year and will be a force to be reckoned with.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Buddy’s about to turn 34 and his body’s showing the wear and tear of 16 seasons. It wasn’t just one injury that ruined his 2020 – it was a knee surgery in the pre-season, a hamstring strain in May, and then groin soreness to finally draw a line through the year.

These ongoing soft-tissue injuries have kept Buddy to just 10 games in two years and we’ve heard about him burning up the track in pre-season before, only to succumb to a strain that jeopardises his year. Do we really want to pick a player who’s sure to miss a week or two and cause panic at lockout?

$377,000 is also an awkward starting price to trade Buddy if he gets injured early. You’d have to downgrade to a rookie who can’t be trusted on the field, or find the cash to upgrade to a premium. The safest option might be finding $111,000 now to start Jeremy Cameron instead, considering he’ll play all 22 games and is also under-priced compared to his previous output.

Deck of DT Rating.

QUEEN

It’s high risk, high reward but Buddy presents too much value to be scared off by a possible injury, as long as you’re treating him like an inflated cash cow rather than a keeper.

We’ll need to monitor his pre-season, however, and playing at least one of his two Community Series games is a must.

And imagine owning him for that +9 that makes him just the sixth man to boot 1000 goals!

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Ben

Ben's a Swannies supporter whose love of fantasy footy far exceeds his skill. He coaches the Beaufort Beaus and is on the hunt for a hat. Is a fifth year breakout on the cards? Follow on Twitter: @BeaufortBeaus.

5 Comments

5 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Euman

    January 28, 2021 at 7:12 am

    Thanks again. Never been a Lance fan in regards to fantasy, like him as player and a person though. Too much risk for me. Question though is there 2 practice games or one? You know NAB cup, or Marsh series I’m not sure what it’s called this year is it community series games? I thought they announced teams would only play one match over one week

    • Avatar

      BzG

      January 28, 2021 at 8:17 am

      My understanding is there will be 1 Marsh game then an additional local derby game for each club, eg Swans v Giants.

  2. Avatar

    Squid

    January 28, 2021 at 7:29 am

    Welcome back to the Squids Buddy, hope you’re refreshed and raring to go for one last year of dominance before easing through the remainder of your contract. Seriously what a gift, think of him as an expensive rookie with great JS rather than a fallen premo, if he plays he will bank coin and be a late upgrade or possibly keeper if he finds his groove Richo style, if he breaks down he is an easy downgrade releasing cash for improvements like an on field Warne chest. Plus it’s exciting when he comes up against weak opposition because you never know if he’s going to explode for one of those 10 goal 200 point games which I feel he may have 1 or 2 of left in the tank. North Melbourne I’m looking at you.

    • Avatar

      Euman

      January 28, 2021 at 8:36 am

      Tempting words, been stung before. Buddy price player goes down but I also then have another player go down albeit by the new concussion rule and also 2 of my starting rookies are not selected round 2. I then need to do 2 sideways style trades just to make a team and overall JS has dropped as buddy was my lock JS expensive rookie. Next week another rookie is not named another trade come round 3 I’ve done 6 trades and not improved my team and made very little cash. In a season like this with the concussion rule on top I think you have to approach it like limited trade formats and select durable players just good for thought

  3. Avatar

    Dulcify

    January 28, 2021 at 9:34 am

    I feel Schoenberg offers better value than Buddy. $7000 less too.

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