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Deck of Dream Team

Adam Treloar – Deck of DT 2021

There’s a lot of talk about the Dogs MIDs, but is Treloar still the No. 1 man?

Name: Adam Treloar
Team: Western Bulldogs
Position: MID
Price: $812,000
Bye round: 13
2020 average: 89.7
2020 adjusted average:
109.4
2020 games played: 8
Predicted average: 110+
Draft range: 1st round

Click here for 2021 Fantasy prices.

Why should I pick him?

Adam Treloar was one of the biggest surprises from last year’s AFL Post Season trades. Along with Stephenson and Bosenavulagi, he was one of the three magpies traded out of the Collingwood Football Club due to salary cap issues. Now a Bulldog, he is injury free and is poised to attack the 2021 season.  Treloar would have a point to prove to his former club. As faith would have it, the Bulldogs are scheduled to play against the Magpies on the AFL season’s first round.  When stars align, and you faced against the team that traded you out because of salary cap issues, you bet he would have a point (on Fantasy ton) to prove but not just for the first game but for the rest of his career.

Adam Treloar is a gun midfielder. Since 2014, his AFL fantasy averages are 103,104,111, 108,105, 113, and 89 (2020 – Adjusted – 109).  He is a ball magnet, a proven AFL Fantasy accumulator, and in 2021, Treloar will be one of the gun fielders to watch. Treloar is currently priced at  105!  With the long game back in 2021, it would be hard to find a coach that can argue that he would not score 110+ this AFL Fantasy Season.

With Dunkley, Treloar, Bontempelli and Macrae, opposition teams will find it hard to target all of these players. In the past, opposition coaches tend to tag Bontempelli or specific Bulldog defenders.  I can see this trend continuing in 2021. As a result, Treloar will continue his magic at the guts to accumulate points, which will see Dunkley, Macrae and Smith rotating with him.

Treloar has a proven high ceiling and produces consistent scores as a fantasy player.  Last year his fantasy scores (unadjusted) were 105, 91, 119,68,84,76 85 and 74.  From 2016 to 2019 his fantasy highs and lows for each season were 129-75, 144-57, 147-66 and 152-74.  If you want some more numbers, these are the number of times Treloar scored a hundred points from 2016 to 2018, 14/22 (64%), 14/21 (67), and 8/13 (62%). In 2019, Treloar scored a total of 18 tons ranging from 102 to 152. These are elite mid fantasy numbers.  As most of us go back to the traditional guns and rookies strategy, it will be hard to ignore Treloar in 2021.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

While we predict that Treloar will be the number one midfielder in the Bulldog in 2021, it should have an asterisk or a disclaimer that states this is assuming that a typical coaching convention applies!  Many Fantasy coaches are all baffled by the inner thoughts of the Western Bulldogs coach.  A case study, Dunkley, a gun mid that can take on opposition players and dominate a game, “Nek Minnit, lets try him as a ruck!”.  There is no doubt that we will see Treloar play as a forward during the AFL Fantasy season. Indeed Treloar is capable of playing as a forward. The question is, will Bevo work his magic and make it a challenge for the coaches that invest in him this year? Will Bevo make it a regular occurrence and transform a gun mid into a mid/forward combo?

There is no doubt that many coaches were burnt last year by Treloar, not because of his AFL Fantasy ability but his ability to stay on the field. Treloar played a total of 8 games out of a possible 20 last year (40%).  In 2018, he also had some injury concerns, playing 13 out of 23 games (54%).  There is a strong case of buyer beware for Treloar. Many coaches will argue that injuries can’t be predicted.  However, on the other side of the boat, Treloar has a history of soft tissue injuries. We all have that visual of him flopping around doing his best, imitating a ‘silly salmon’.  There will be a case of once bitten twice shy here.

Deck of DT Rating.

ACE

Adam Treloar will be the number one midfielder in the kennel in 2021.  He is a consistent fantasy player with a high ceiling.  I can see him challenging for the top 3 AFL Fantasy midfielders by season’s end. The only concern is his body; will it stand up in 2021? Barring injury, he should reward coaches that select him. Currently priced at 105, he is undervalued at the start of the 2021 season. Pick him up at the beginning of the season.  He is ripe for the picking, he is unique (5%) and ready to go.

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12 Comments

12 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Henry

    January 21, 2021 at 7:16 am

    One of four Magpies traded – Phillips also.

  2. Avatar

    Dan

    January 21, 2021 at 7:19 am

    Sold me. I keep buying into to the negativity around the Dogs mids, but I like Treloar as an underpriced midfield premium

  3. Avatar

    Squid

    January 21, 2021 at 7:38 am

    I agree will probably be around the top 5 mids yet again but injury history (that double hammy, lol!, poor bugger) slight unknown in swapping teams and lack of real value relegate him to upgrade target for me.

  4. Avatar

    Euman

    January 21, 2021 at 8:07 am

    I just can’t trust Bevo

    • Avatar

      Blake

      January 21, 2021 at 11:30 am

      Absolute bargain. Can only play midfield. Pretty close to a lock for me

      • Avatar

        Luke Parker

        January 21, 2021 at 2:26 pm

        Croizer said late last year he may play on the wing from time to time, and maybe even off half back. Agree he’ll likely play mid only but there’s just too many mouths to feed. Dunkley at least has fwd status to minimize the risk but the others are upgrade targets IMO.

  5. Avatar

    FlyinRyan

    January 21, 2021 at 9:09 am

    Too much uncertainty with dogs loaded midfield… hunter, macrae, dunkley, bont, smith + new club etc… its a no for me

  6. Avatar

    22 guns

    January 21, 2021 at 12:56 pm

    im with you euman cannot trust bevo miss for me

  7. Avatar

    Rocky Road

    January 21, 2021 at 5:57 pm

    They have a lot of high disposal midfielders that they may rotate through the centre bounce downs so not sure of paying the price of Treloar

  8. Avatar

    Mark

    January 21, 2021 at 7:04 pm

    Just removed Matt crouch for Adam Treloar
    crouch is still getting over hip surgery
    What’s your thoughts have I done the right thing
    And took out Tom Mitchell again surgery slowing pre season and put in Taylor Adams ?

    • Avatar

      Luke Parker

      January 21, 2021 at 8:50 pm

      Crouch should be right for the community series, has recently joined outside training. He said in an interview he’s confident of playing in the AAMI series and then R1. I’ve kept him in, should be named R1 and personally trust him more than Treloar given the fewer players the Crows have going through the middle. Did the same with Mitchell, but got Gaff.

  9. Avatar

    Killingholme Clay

    January 21, 2021 at 10:24 pm

    I need to see where he’s playing preseason. If in the guts, he’s a lock.
    If not, he’s out.
    **Note to Ricontop:
    The saying is “As fate would have it” and not “faith”. (1st paragraph)
    Don’t you just hate predicive text?

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