It’s that time of the week guys and girl! Grab a vessel and let’s chat for halfa about #AFLFantasy https://t.co/zuo76nsSWT
— Adam Roy Davey (@RoyDT) April 30, 2019
Get them in:
Caleb Daniel (FWD/DEF, $627,000)
Daniel has continued his consistent season and of course gained valuable flexibility with defender status. In the last five weeks he has dropped under 90 on just one occasion with 86 and has an awesome match up this week if you are after instant reward against the Tigers who have given up huge numbers to half backs this season. He has a break even of 84 and looks set for a season high.
Taylor Adams (MID, $654,000)
I am never one to chase a unique for the sake of it, but I am calling the next three blokes the 1 %ers (1% ownership). All of the genuine unique options and two of them tick boxes… One is fraught with danger.
The hard working Pie MID has had an interrupted start to the season but looks to have hit his straps while bottoming out in price. He has a break even of 95 on the back of his 120 and as a bonus, has only 1% ownership. He loves the match up this week against Port with scores of 111, 139, 111, 128 and 124 in his last five against the teal.
Brad Ebert (FWD/MID, $681,000)
In unconventional fashion, the former midfielders move forward has reinvented himself as an elite scorer, averaging 101 so far this season. His consistency has been fantastic with only one score under 95, while also displaying a nice ceiling with two scores over 120. Apart from the Pies game this week, he has a favourable run of opponents who give up plenty of Fantasy points in the Crows, Suns, Hawks and Saints leading into the bye. He has a BE of 104 and scored 94 and 97 in his last two against the Pies, albeit in a different role.
Toby Greene (FWD, $589,000)
Returned for just his second game of the year and in true Toby fashion, dominated the Swans for three goals and seven marks while scoring 103. He has the easiest draw in the business leading up to the byes with games against the Saints, Hawks, Blues, Dees, Suns, Crows and Roos so the only questions is whether he can stay on the park. My gut feel is no, which is unfortunate because if I can convince myself otherwise, I would be all over this move. That draw, for a guy like Greene is a mouth watering prospect.
Noah Answerth (DEF/MID, $198,000)
Is the pick of the downgrades this week after exceeding expectation with an impressive seven mark, five goal performance for 75 points. He is a great bench option, that also provides flexibility with his DPP while carrying a BE of -7.
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You… Get the Chop
Tom Liberatore (MID, $587,000)
On the surface it looks good, an average of 92 at a price under $600K but looks can be deceiving and what we have seen the last two weeks is a huge concern. After a brilliant start to the year, including a three game stretch of 106, 119 and 108, like all Dog mids he has lost the plot, only he is the worst by a long shot. Despite attending 20 centre bounces against the Dockers, he managed just 57 point which included only one tackle and this was on the back of a disappointing 72 the week prior. He has an easy match up this week against the Tigers but has done his dash with me despite an attainable BE of 103.
My Trades
At this stage my trades are Liberatore and Tom Atkins to Caleb Daniel and Noah Answorth.
Rolling 22
Update following round five. Read last week’s by clicking here.
Defenders
| Last Week | 2019 Avg | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D1 |  | Lachie Whitfield GWS Giants, DEF/MID Unlucky cork severely restricted him this week. | 39 | 112 |  |
D2 |  | Jake Lloyd Sydney Swans, DEF As predicted, first score under 120for the year. | 85 | 119 | |
D3 |  | Tom Stewart Geelong, DEF His junk time against the Eagles made him even more tempting to bring in. | 124 | 104 | |
D4 |  | Rory Laird Adelaide, DEF Been consistent without being his outstanding self. | 101 | 97 | |
D5 |  | James Sicily Hawthorn, DEF I think it’s time to get on the Sic Dawg. | 116 | 96 |  |
D6 |  | Shannon Hurn West Coast, DEF Credit where credit is due, his last three weeks have been fantastic with an average of 118. | 109 | 101 | |
In the mix: Christian Salem, Bachar Houli, Brandon Ellis, Alex Witherden
Midfielders
| Last Week | 2019 Avg | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M2 |  | Lachie Neale Brisbane, MID Hasn’t been the best couple of outings but his newfound number one status is reflective of the lack of options. | 108 | 116 | |
M3 |  | Patrick Cripps Carlton, MID Similar to Neale, not his best couple of weeks but still moves up. | 99 | 116 | |
M3 |  | Jaeger O’Meara Hawthorn, MID In outstanding form and remains a unique option. | 134 | 117 | |
M4 |  | Stephen Coniglio GWS Giants, MID Concerns about the hand injury, but keeps getting it done apart from one blemish. | 115 | 112 |  |
M5 |  | Tom Rockliff Port Adelaide, MID Pig keeps getting tagged, ready to go really big in the next few weeks. Has a great run to the bye after the Pies game this week. | 107 | 110 |  |
M6 |  | Adam Treloar Collingwood, MID Has been disappointing of late, but is doing enough to hold. | 105 | 112 | |
M7 |  | Andrew Gaff West Coast, MID Big game on the cards this week on the back of ridiculously good history at home. | 91 | 109 | |
M8 |  | Jack Macrae Western Bulldogs, MID Message sent with a drop from one to eight. Only attended 15 centre bounces last week but needs to pull his finger out regardless. | 91 | 111 | |
In the mix: Brayden Fiorini, Zach Merrett, Dylan Shiel, Tim Taranto
Rucks
| Last Week | 2019 Avg | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
R1 |  | Brodie Grundy Collingwood, RUC Did his job last week, clear number one obviously. | 123 | 112 | |
R2 |  | Max Gawn Melbourne, RUC After passing his first true test vs a recognised ruck last week, Witts is genuinely putting pressure on Max. | 112 | 104 | |
In the mix: Jarrod Witts, Ben McEvoy
Forwards
| Last Week | 2019 Avg | Change | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
F1 |  | Patrick Dangerfield Geelong, MID/FWD Huge game against the Eagles and will be in the mix for skipper duties this week. | 138 | 113 | |
F2 |  | Travis Boak Port Adelaide, MID/FWD Bounced back beautifully after a tough outing last week. | 127 | 119 | |
F3 |  | Tim Kelly Geelong, MID/FWD Star, just keeps getting it done, regardless of negative attention. | 99 | 97 | |
F4 |  | Brad Ebert Port Adelaide, MID/FWD A role change has worked wonders for Ebert and his draw after the week is outstanding. | 97 | 101 | |
F5 |  | Jack Billings St Kilda, FWD Draw starts to get a bit harder from here, will be a true test to see whether the new role is enough. | 87 | 100 | |
F6 |  | Caleb Daniel Western Bulldogs, DEF/FWD Consistency is being rewarded here and a great match up for half backs vs the Tigers this week is the cherry. | 99 | 93 | |
In the mix: Isaac Heeney, Gary Ablett, Jack Newnes
68 Comments
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Podcasts
Podcast
#FantasyLeaks 2020 – Ep. 308
Players of Interest
Roy’s Rollin’ 22: Pre-Christmas Edition
Players of Interest
Projected best 22s for 2020
Players of Interest
Basement priced players who are yet to debut
Players of Interest
Roy’s Rollin’ 22: Pre-Christmas Edition
Around The Grounds
Pre-Christmas track burners and other news
2020 Prices
2019 AFL Draftees Fantasy positions
Brenno
April 30, 2019 at 6:10 pm
Larkey a good downgrade?
Rhys Mathieson and other lions were injured. Despite Answorth’s solid 75 I have concerns he wont even be listed round 8.
Brad
April 30, 2019 at 7:47 pm
I like Larkey as an option. Looked pretty good against Port. 3 goals for his 82, but take those away and it’s still a 60 odd. VFL numbers pretty good also
Brad Scott mentioned they need more avenues to goal and that’s why Larkey is in. Also has a good bye round as well if he made it that far
DoubleA
May 1, 2019 at 1:04 pm
My thoughts as well. Answerth looked good, but Zan Bailey is listed as ‘test’ and if he doesn’t come back this week, it’ll be next week. I would like to see Answerth stay in from a fantasy perspective, but, as a Lions fan, he’s the most obvious one to make room for Bailey and Bailey is definitely ahead of him in the pecking order.
GOATMAN
April 30, 2019 at 6:12 pm
Just a few things…
Is now a good time to trade out whit? if it is, do i go Stewart or someone else. I’ve already got Lloyd and crisp.
if i should hold whitfield, 2 rooks can go. hore, lockhart, duursma, walsh, costable, ross, drew and miers- all my onfield rookies. mckay, burgess, hately, gibbons, brander, balta- benched rookies. Who goes?
if i do trade whit that’s only one rookie trade that i can do. any thoughts?
GOATMAN
April 30, 2019 at 7:31 pm
I have 150k by the way
Jahved
April 30, 2019 at 9:51 pm
Merret or brad crouch for libba? Crouch 60k cheaper
Matt
April 30, 2019 at 11:51 pm
There’s never a good time to trade out Whit period!
Sammy B
May 1, 2019 at 1:47 am
Except when everyone is complain about cash and going to Stewart nets you $120k, this is only if he misses if he plays I’d say ride it out and keep the faith with GWS’s noice draw but god damn anyone who started without him is honestly kissed
Dreg
May 1, 2019 at 9:59 pm
Kissed? Yeh missing out on 5 weeks of 120 scores is totally kissed lol.
Ando1
April 30, 2019 at 6:20 pm
1 Libba and petruccelle to Houli and Ross
2. Libba and drew to Taylor Adams and Ross
3. McMillan and petruccelle to Houli and Ross
1 2 or 3?..
Troy
April 30, 2019 at 6:29 pm
3. Libba could just be having a down-patch. McMillan isn’t picking up. And Drew could improve with Gray on the sidelines.
Brad
April 30, 2019 at 6:41 pm
Boak or Tim Kelly? Kelly 100k cheaper, but Boak in incredible form
rossco1
April 30, 2019 at 7:31 pm
I can afford either, but i’m going with Kelly. 100k cheaper and favourable match up this week. I’ll get Boak in the week after if all goes to plan.
Nathan Youngman (@Natebra14)
April 30, 2019 at 7:53 pm
Boak has his easiest draw coming up after this week. He could really hurt not having for the next few weeks.
Andy
April 30, 2019 at 7:56 pm
Dropping Liba is an over-reaction/rage trade by Roy the boy. Stick with and you will not be disappointed.
Gary
April 30, 2019 at 8:15 pm
1.constable To O’Meara And Williams to rookie
2.hore To rookie and Williams to Stewart or Sicily
1 or 2
Michael Barker
May 1, 2019 at 8:46 am
Sound like super luxury trades your team must be killing it . If you aren’t I’d do neither of these trades .
But 2 is the better one
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 9:52 am
+1 Michael.
There dudes out there doing these stupid trades and still have dropped players Burgess, Schultz, Scott, Rotham or non-playing non-rucks Hind, Koschitzke or fattenned cows Clark, Parker, Collins, Petrucelle, Drew, Rozee, Duursma etc.
For all those riding any of the above mentioned – THEY MUST GO FIRST before Constable, Williams, Brodie Smith, Walsh and Mumford!
james sicily
April 30, 2019 at 8:53 pm
bont to j ross and philips to gawn
Michael
April 30, 2019 at 9:06 pm
Chances of Jarryd Lyons averaging back in the 90s? What’s been going on with him?
Belly
April 30, 2019 at 9:44 pm
So one article says definitely keep Libba, the next day another says definitely get rid of him…
Jim
April 30, 2019 at 10:59 pm
Listen to matt, the traders give the stereotypical advice, “he has reached his breakeven, ditch him”, realistically he has richmond who give up huge fantasy numbers, libba should be 90+
He had the role and the centre bounce numbers, the experience and the scoring history
Belly
April 30, 2019 at 11:21 pm
Thanks Jim. Still playing in the guts is key, I’m holding him at this stage.
Joel
April 30, 2019 at 10:21 pm
Who to trade first out of Parker & Collins?
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 10:00 am
Collins
M1
April 30, 2019 at 10:29 pm
So no M1 and two M3’s? Ok nice proof read and edit.
Sterlo
April 30, 2019 at 11:10 pm
Why bother mate !
Clearly just a typo. Has no impact on the article content.
Do you also write to the newspapers when you spot an error ? Give me a spell !!
Sammy J
April 30, 2019 at 11:39 pm
Do you just read to try and spot errors in people’s work? Get out of your mum’s basement every once in a while, it might make you a little less bitter.
Anyway, great article Roy.
Help when you need it
May 2, 2019 at 8:16 am
You missed the 5 goals to Answerth M1. If you’re gonna nitpick, expect to get nitpicked. I expect you won’t give a sh*t just like Roy won’t give a sh*t about our nitpicking
Harry
April 30, 2019 at 11:58 pm
At this stage going:
Parker > Lewis (Bench)
Petrucelle > Ebert
Not sure about Lewis but is the only option in the fwd line atm. Would Wilkie to Answerth be better?
Sammy B
May 1, 2019 at 1:36 am
Larky had a decent enough game 82, 2 snags in that, played up the ground got a few processions in the defensive half and a noice breakeven of -12, he’s got Carlton this week as well, also has the rnd14 bye. On the flip side he plays for North enough said.
Nah but he’s spent a couple of years in the 2’s between afl games didn’t see the game but I’ll be watching this week and looking to pick him up next round if he shows a bit.
MiniMonk
May 1, 2019 at 12:29 am
Double Downgrade:
Drew > Larkey
Cousins > Answorth
Stacked up for cash for next round (749k) to grab Boak and probably Laird
Sammy B
May 1, 2019 at 1:42 am
Why don’t you upgrade this week that honestly makes no sense Answorth has seriously shaky job security Larky doesn’t have that much better although I’m more keen on him then Answorth. Think one up one down is the go.
Hold Drew trade cousins
Check out stocker if named playing off half back in the vfl should come in with newman and Simpson going down
Also my boy Hately who should score as well as constable but again job security, a good showing this week and he may be able to hold his place when Whitfield returns
David C
May 1, 2019 at 7:26 am
Brisbane give the rooks a run of games. Answerth should be fine.
MiniMonk
May 1, 2019 at 4:19 pm
Answorth BE is super low and want cash generation to kick in. Might miss boat this week on BE and if Drew is scoring low on bench and not increasing price then needs to be moved on. Hately more expensive but am thinking of getting.
Going to decide on 2 rookies based on selection, BE, and price. Double upgrade next week allows me to grab two premiums as opposed to a midpricer this week as will probably move on Scrimshaw and Duursma after this round
Sam
May 1, 2019 at 7:43 am
Guys I’ve got a question. If you had $683k to spend on a forward or a defender which one would you go with. I have Lloyd down back and Danger, Kelly, Boak, Menegola (gross I know) up front. Daniel as a swing man so I can go FOR or DEF with the $$$$.
Tossing up between Ebert, Stewart, Sicily, Ellis, Houli and whoever else. Willing to punt on the buy rounds as I’m confident a loss or too won’t hurt me too much.
Thoughts?
Harry
May 2, 2019 at 11:56 pm
Ebert all day
Sam
May 1, 2019 at 7:52 am
*bye
Kyler Murray
May 1, 2019 at 8:44 am
With Nic Newman going down, who is the best option out of Houli, Brandon Ellis and Taylor Adams (DPP)?
Travis
May 1, 2019 at 9:04 am
I need to get rid of sheed so should I bring in Fiorini this week or wait until next week to have the cash to get O’meara? Sheed is most likely going to go down this week.
Rory Shatkins
May 1, 2019 at 9:53 am
Stewart or Hurn?
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 9:58 am
Hurn – hes a trusted performer. Stewart may be affectted by Thouey being back
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 9:57 am
O’Meara has the early bye, Fiorini the late bye – check your bye structure.
Also have a look at if u can go Sheed down to Hayes or Ross and upgrade elsewhere
Liam
May 1, 2019 at 10:19 am
Hey lads stuck with trades this week
Thoughts appreciated Got 260k in bank
Tossing up to either hold Whitfield or trade and help with my second trade please
Whitfield, Lloyd, Smith, Williams, Duursma, Scrimshaw (Stack, Hore)
Macrae, Cripps, Mcrouch, Brayshaw, Bcrouch, Libba, Walsh, Constable(Hately, Atkins)
Grundy, O’brian
Danger, Kelly, Daniel, Worpel,Rozee, Drew(Petruccelle,Burgess)
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 11:42 am
Burgess to Hayes via dpp
Liam
May 1, 2019 at 1:10 pm
Thoughts on these trades- Whitfield-Stewart and Drew- Boak
Crouch
May 1, 2019 at 11:32 am
1. McMillan and petruccelle to Houli and Ross
2. Petruccelle and scrimshaw to Houli and corbet
3. Drew and scrimshaw to Houli and larkey/Noah (bris)
1 2 or 3
Bailey
May 1, 2019 at 12:12 pm
Merrett or Fyfe?
James90
May 1, 2019 at 12:39 pm
Any help would be great boys, trading out Dalhaus with $634k remaining.. options? Toby and Dusty both could be superstars or duds.. not worth holding another week with higher B.E.
Sami
May 1, 2019 at 12:57 pm
Lol Answerth did not kick 5 goals Roy you dirty dog
Mad Snake
May 1, 2019 at 7:14 pm
Roy must be cross-eyed, reading the wrong line. Answerth had 0 goals but 5 tackles!
Liam
May 1, 2019 at 1:25 pm
Thoughts on these trades- Whitfield-Stewart and Drew- Boak
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 4:44 pm
I think Stewart will drop off. Just flagging him. Drew to Boak is sound I think.
Ando1
May 1, 2019 at 1:50 pm
1. McMillan and petruccelle to Houli and Ross
2. Petruccelle and scrimshaw to Houli and corbett
1 or 2
John
May 1, 2019 at 3:21 pm
does anyone know anything about Jordan Dawson? he has a 3 game average of 102 and a low break even
Reciprocatory
May 1, 2019 at 4:43 pm
Has always racked up the points in the NEFL, but has battled to keep his spot in the best 22, because of poor disposal efficiency.
I would b worried about him getting dropped.
HAWKA
May 1, 2019 at 5:00 pm
Houli, Daniel, or Rich?
Sean
May 1, 2019 at 6:55 pm
Any injured players who are looking like coming back in the next month or so who are worth picking up off free agents in draft format and stashing
Help when you need it
May 2, 2019 at 8:28 am
Depends on how deep your league.
Blakely
Milera
Seedsman
Lids
Amon
Sier
LWeller
Cotchin
Scooter
Preuss
SJacobs
Hill
Tyson
Adam
May 1, 2019 at 11:33 pm
Thoughts?
Libba > Answerth – Answerth on bench Ross on field
Petruccelle > Caleb Daniel
$416K leftover
Rubitonurnuts
May 2, 2019 at 10:56 am
Josh Kelly has to be in the mix for mids especially with the next 6 week against opposition. 1% ownership too.
Mark Buck
May 2, 2019 at 12:19 pm
Hey Roy, where can I find the scale of hardness for easy vs hard draw coming up?
Brett
May 2, 2019 at 10:30 pm
Roy is too busy to answer questions Mark
Cripps
May 2, 2019 at 8:05 pm
Trade
1. Scrimshaw and petruccelle to Noah and Houli (play Hayes M8) or
2. McMillan and petruccelle to Ross and Houli (play Ross M8)
1 or 2
Brett
May 2, 2019 at 10:33 pm
2 easy
Aaron
May 3, 2019 at 12:42 am
I have constable, whitfield and scrimshaw all out this week.
Do you I…
1. constable to hayes, then scrimshaw to daniel- let lockart field for whitfield . 56k left
2. double downgrade burgess to answerth, atkins to hayes- bench constable, let answerth and lockhart field . 200k left
Reciprocatory
May 3, 2019 at 1:02 am
1 I think
Miyagi-san
May 3, 2019 at 12:55 pm
Hey lads, Is Stewart the real deal in DEF? or is he likely to bleed points now that Tuohy is back in their defence and working to full fitness? I can get any def sub 690k (Have lloyd, cant make Laird) – are there any better options as a Top 6 DEF at this stage? Hurn has super easy run next month so concerned he doesn’t score as well, other option I am thinking is Houli plus 100k. Thoughts?