— Calvin (@CalvinDT) August 9, 2017
It’s like a Brownlow shoot-out, but let’s be honest… it’s not really.
Patrick Dangerfield returns this week after sitting out a game and at home he should be out to absolutely dominate on a ground he has averaged 137 at this year. He is still carrying a lowest score of only 107 in his last 12 there and this week, of course, he’s up against Richmond.
The Tigers have been tough in the last three weeks, only conceding 6×100+ and 1×120+ scores. Last year Danger only managed 93 against them and is coming off an 88, in the game he was suspended.
After controversially being rubbed out… Danger will be out to fire this week but he’ll have to get past the new Brownlow favourite, Dusty Martin.
Dusty had 117 last week to average 115 in his last 3. He scored a huge 132 against the Cats last year and even has a lowest score of just 94 against them in his last 5. Making Dusty captain here looks like a good thing to do. But playing the Cats (#2 hardest at the moment) at Skilled Stadium… just doesn’t sit right for me. This one could be a tough one but with Selwood ad Duncan on the sidelines, maybe he’ll find the room to rack up plenty.
SLOANE TO RUN ALONE
Essendon do not tag and Bryce Gibbs found this out on the weekend when he was let loose for a much needed 125. This will have Rory Sloane licking his lips as he hates taggers.
Sloane had 124 last week and against the Bombers in the past, he has gone gang busters against them scoring 143 (this year), 128 and 136. Essendon will let him off the hook again and this is a man who is as cheap as chips at the moment. Trade him into your team, consider giving him the big ‘C’ and if things go like they have in the past… you’ll progress through to your Preliminary Final next week.
It’s also worth mentioning here… the Crouch Brothers.
Matt Crouch ranks #4 on form averaging 118 in his last 3 and his brother Brad Crouch ranks at #7 with an average of 115 after his nice 129 last week. Although they’re not captain material, they have certainly been getting the job done.
SPECIAL K BIG DAY
FACT: West Coast give up plenty of points to opposition ruck man.
Longer 112pts (51 hit outs), Martin 113pts (50 hit outs) and Grundy 127pts (42 hit outs) are the last three gentleman to go against the Eagles and this week, Matthew Kreuzer will have his turn.
Kreuzer has been in fine form this year and shrugged off his concussion last week with a huge 124. The Eagles are by far the easiest team to score against at the moment giving up 19×100+ scores in the last three weeks along with 6×120+ scores. The most in the game.
St Kilda had 5 guys score 112 or more last week on West Coast and when you add to this the fact that the Eagles are playing without a ruckman and sharing the duties between Petrie and McGovern (occasionally Darling)… you can see why I love Special K in this one.
WHO WILL BE HUGE HERE?
On Saturday afternoon, Brisbane v Gold Coast will be a huge game in the context of Fantasy finals this week, but who will be huge? But how will a new Sun’s coach change the shape of what was going to be a Fantasy fest?
Honestly… a new coach will have very little impact. Especially so late in the season so don’t read too much into it.
Dayne Beams was coming off back to back 140s before his 80 last week and still should in the mix here. He’s still ranked #2 on form averaging 122 in his last three. The Suns are easy to score against at the moment with Neale (152), Fyfe (132), Ryan (126) and Hill (119) having a field day against them last week.
For me though, it has to be Dayne Zorko who scored 116 against them already this year. In fact, he’s averaged 114 on the Suns in his last 6 games and will carve them a new one this week. Zorko can win you your final this week off his own boot. If he registers one of his top scores this week, look-out! So far this year he has had 181, 157, 157, 139 and 131 and this week, the writing is on the wall for it to happen again.
Expect Stef Martin to be solid again, as he’ll only be up against Dan Currie. Stef has averaged 101 in his last 3 this year, but last week, Griffin (96) scored well against Currie, and I’ll be tipping big Stef can go even better.
Finally, we have the man himself, Gary Ablett. Just like Zorko, Gaz can be big on his day like the 162, 153, 152, 138 and 127 we’ve already seen this year. He managed just 85 (33 touches) last week and although he clocked up the touches, he failed to fill up the other stat lines. Expect him to be back ina big way this week too.
TOM BACK IN TASSIE
After scores of 99 and 94, I’ve looked long and hard to find a reason why we should turn our back on Tom Mitchell and if you can look past his last two games, there isn’t one.
Up against North Melbourne this week, Mitchell played them twice last year (as a Sydney Swan) and scored 97 and 163. Last week when Collingwood played them, they had 7 guys crack the ton, and their main ball winners in Treloar (34 touches) and Adams (30) found the pill with ease as they went on to score 103 and 134 respectively.
Now, the Kangaroos are ‘rebuilding’ and playing kids. This one should be a walk in the park for Tom down in Tassie, a place he has dominated this year with scores of 143, 132 and 125.
Josh Kelly v Bulldogs @ Etihad Stadium – 131 last week and the Dogs are the 4th easiest to score against in the last 3 weeks. Had 91 on them this year, and under the roof he’s scored 107 and 11 this year.
Dan Hannebery v Fremantle @ the SCG – Pffthh, averaging 77 in his last 3. Yuk.
Sam Docherty v West Coast @ Domain Stadium – Could be big over in the west after having 134 on the Eagles last year. They’re bleeding points at the moment but his form is down a little scoring 97, 11 and 93 in his last three games. Still a beast and could be big.
Lachie Neale v Sydney @ the SCG – Darling Season high 152 last week and had 131 on Sydney last year. Tick tick… but not for me.
Luke Ryan v Sydney @ the SCG – Sounds silly doesn’t it, but coming off 126 and 138, Ryan loves his new role and last week against Sydney, Geelong’s Henderson and Mackie combined for 19 marks between them. He’ll rack them up again!
Dyson Heppell v Adelaide @ Etihad Stadium – Form says yes with 138, 105 and 101 in his last three, I still say no.
Marcus Bontempelli v GWS @ Etihad Stadium –122 last week was bloody impressive, against the Giants though… it’s another story.
Luke Parker v Fremantle @ the SCG – He’ll be big this week after 116 last week and at the SCG he has averaged 105 this year. Even had 118 on the Dockers last year.
Bryce Gibbs v West Coast @ Domain Stadium – Saints had 5×112+ v West Coast last week and they have given up 19×100+ scores in their last three games. Hutchings is tagging though and went to Steven (90) last week and will most likely find Gibbs on Saturday night.
Max Gawn v St Kilda @ the MCG – In form is big max with 140 and 113 coming in his last two. Saints rank at #1 for least amount of ton given up recently, but he’ll find triple figures again here you’d think.
Taylor Adams v Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval – #1 man ranked on form, Adams had 111, 139 and 111 in his last 3 against the Power and this one is at Adelaide Oval where he has scored 123 and 139 in his last two. So close to my top 5 this week, but the Adelaide Oval does scare me sometimes.
Nat Fyfe v Sydney @ the SCG – 132 and 120 in his last two runs – Fyfe is back! 99 last year on the Swans, nearly gave him 6 tons straight against them. Impressive.
Adam Treloar v Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval – Port are the 3rd easiest to score against at the moment giving up 14×110+ scores in the last 3 weeks and 4×120+ scores. Treloar had 122 and 100 on them in his last two runs and should be good here.