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Cal’s Scale of Hardness – Rd 18

You asked for it and here it is. A super resource to guide you home over the last few weeks.

Here it is… what you have all been waiting for, Cal’s Scale of Hardness.

WHAT IS IT?

It’s a scale that illustrates the run home of each team. Obviously, some teams have a much easier run home compared to others and when it comes down to a 50/50 trade decision, this table might help you make that critical call.

HOW WAS IT VALUED?

Basically, I’ve looked at the amount of points that each team have given up this year and assigned each team a value. GWS are by far the hardest team to play against and they got assigned the value of 1, right through to the Hawks who are easily the easiest and they we’re assigned a value of 10.

Melbourne, West Coast and Richmond were all valued at 6 each as they have been very similar in what they have given up this year. Sydney though we’re adjusted slightly as their last few weeks, do not match the season trend. They are valued at 8 along with a stack of other difficult teams to score against.

Either way… I’ve got it right and it works. Critics can get stuffed, cause I’m right.

WHY ARE SOME UNDERLINED?

Home games. Richmond play the GWS, means this is a home game for the Tigers. But then again, some are rather irrelevant, especially when you look at games such as Adelaide v Port (Rd. 20). This game is listed as an Adelaide ‘home’ game, despite both teams playing at home. So basically, most of the lines matter, but on some occasions… it’s not a huge deal.

WHEN WILL THIS BE UPDATED?

Each week. The chart to my right will obviously change as teams are drop off each week. Therefore, this will updated weekly and should be used as a super resource to guide you home over the last few rounds of the season.

 

10 Comments

10 Comments

  1. Brock

    July 20, 2017 at 11:39 am

    West Coast at home against Carlton hard??? haha

    • Bjorn

      July 20, 2017 at 11:44 am

      Hard in terms of fantasy points they’re giving up. Carlton are on average the 4th hardest team to score against.

  2. MadiNateR

    July 20, 2017 at 12:55 pm

    Kangas have the easiest run home – yet they’re just about the shittiest team for AF points for. Listless! Thanks again for the article Cal!

  3. SOgnenis

    July 20, 2017 at 1:20 pm

    Thanks Cal!
    Makes the Beams v Jelwood consideration interesting!

    • Ictopol

      July 21, 2017 at 11:13 am

      Interestingly, the only green on the Geelong row is Collingwood and they are easily Jelwood’s hardest team to score against.

  4. Marcus

    July 20, 2017 at 1:33 pm

    If as MadiNateR says about the Kanga’s having a good run home do you think that adding Cunnington from the Roo’s is a good idea as he has a Low BE of 49 with %94 chance.

    • Ben

      July 20, 2017 at 1:44 pm

      Not sure where you’ve pulled a 94% chance from, and i wouldnt go near him anyway

  5. Foo Foo the Snoo

    July 20, 2017 at 1:55 pm

    Well done mate… love it!

  6. Marcus

    July 20, 2017 at 6:53 pm

    Hi Ben I think I got that from the footywire.com website.

  7. Digga

    July 21, 2017 at 5:29 am

    Anything to help Warnie is a good idea. What a gentleman you are.

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