Calvin’s Captains – Rd. 7

THE #1 MAN

With an average of 143 over his last three games, Rory Sloane is clearly the #1 man in the Fantasy game. He scored a 2017 PB 155 last week and this week, he heads to Hobart to take on the Kangaroos. He forecast for Saturday is for 19 degrees and showers. This shouldn’t bother him either way.

He has scored 84, 139 and 79 in his last three games against North Melbourne and could possibly be tagged this week Dumont who did have a run with job against Fyfe (87) not that long ago. Yes, this is a slight concern but Rory is just unstoppable at the moment and should dominate anyone he comes up against.

The final negative I have here is the fact that the Roos are the third hardest team to score against over the last three weeks, only conceding 1×120+ score against them.

With all that said, we’re talking about a guy who has a lowest score of 132 in his last 5 games.

CONSISTENT PIGLET

Across the six games so far, Tom Mitchell’s consistency has been amazing scoring between 128 and 115. You know what you’re getting with this little swine and this week he’s up against the second hardest team to score against in Melbourne.

He scored 114 on them last year and over his career he has averaged 106 against them in four games. They are tough to score on though and so far this year, many players have come unstruck against them.

Tom’s form though has been great averaging 124 in his last three and if anyone can break the trend, then he’s the man.

LIONS v EASIEST

The Sydney Swans are currently the easiest team to score against over the last three weeks, giving up 1750pts per game, over 300 more compared to the hardest team in the GWS. Last week, Carlton went bananas on them with Docherty and Simpson having monster scores of 160 odd. Seven Blues cracked the ton last week so Brisbane get their chance here and we are all hoping the result will be the same at the SCG.

Tom Rockliff is has previous scores of 132, 128 and 141 on the Swans which is enough for me. He last played at the SCG in 2013 for just 85pts but that’s not even worth mentioning. His form has been great and although he only managed 100 last week, he still ranks as the 5th best with an average of 127 over the last three weeks.

A disappointing 76 was not what people wanted to see from Dayne Zorko last week, especially after his previous two games of 157 and 139. Zorko, like Rocky, loves playing the Swans and has ripped them apart in the past with scores of 148 and 139. Expect him to bounce back this week in a big way.

Stef Martin scored 92 on Sydney last year and last week, he only managed 86, his worst score for the year. The Sydney ruck department isn’t overly intimidating and Stef should basically do as he pleases.

After seeing what the Blues did to Sydney last week, the signs here are very positive. They bleed points and we all know what our little pig gets like when this starts happening.

HOW WILL ROCKY SCORE WITHOUT BEAMS?

Yep, quick research and addition to Calvin’s Captain because that’s what I do… I’m the people’s pirate.

Firstly, hard to say with limited and old data but back to the real most recent stats of 2015, when Rocky played games that Beams missed that year it looked like this. The first time was against the Roos in round 11, 2015 and that day, he was tagged by Ben Jacobs for 53. Yep, Beams out… moves Rocky up the tag order. Sydney don’t tag.

After that… Beams then sat out the remainder of the year from round 17 onwards. Over that time the snout got larger with scores of 123, 143, 140, 159 and 149.

So to answer the question up there, how does our pig score without Beams… you be the judge!

ZACH HEADS WEST

Did you know that Zach Merrett loves playing at Domain Stadium in the west?

Oh boy he loves it. In his last three games there he has pumped out numbers of 123, 121 and 137. This week he’ll meet the Dockers there and last year against them, Zach scored that 121 that you see above.

The thing is with Zach, you can’t keep the man quiet or can you ever doubt his ability to pump out amazing scores. Last week he had just 36pts at the half, and as my #1 captains pick, my twitter fed was going off. Then you blink, and Zach has a 72pt second half and there you go. Not many players can do this… he is one of them and certainly should never be written off.

JUST QUICKLY…

Jack Steven v GWS @ Etihad Stadium – Back in the mix again after a nice 133. He scored 100 and 136 in his last two against the Giants, but they are the hardest to score against at the moment… by a mile, as they haven’t conceded a score over 120 in the last three weeks.

Adam Treloar v Carlton @ the MCG – Carlton have given up 17×100+ scores over the last three weeks but the issue here is, Treloar will be tagged by Curnow. He was in his last two games for scores of 75 and 96.

Gary Ablett v Geelong @ Metricon Stadium – Called it last week and Gaz didn’t let me down with a monster 162 from 45 touches and 9 tackles. Only had 90 against his old side last year but did have 137 and 140 before that.

Joel Selwood v Gold Coast @ Metricon Stadium – Selwood scored 115pts less this week, than he did in round 5. He does have good numbers against the Suns though with 126 and 137 coming in his last two games.

Nick Riewoldt v GWS @ Etihad Stadium – Sitting too far forward for my liking and therefore needs goals to score. Booted 4 on the weekend for his 110, and he did have 137 on the Giants last year.

Luke Shuey v Port Adelaide @ Adelaide Oval – Another 110 last week and this week, he goes for his 6th straight ton. Lowest score of only 92 on Port in his last 4 games and he’ll ton up again for sure.

Marc Murphy v Collingwood @ the MCG – Only has 1×100+ score against the Pies in his last 7 games against them and is coming off scores of 100 and 97. Oh and maybe a Greenwood tag who went to Selwood (60pts) last week. Maybe.

Patrick Dangerfield v Gold Coast @ Metricon Stadium – The Pies are one of his favourites and he needs this after averaging just 95 in his last three games this year. Scored 129 and 138 on the Suns in his last two games but only has 1×100+ score at Metricon over his career of 5 games there.

Dusty Martin v Bulldogs @ Etihad Stadium – I think Dusty could explode this week. He had 103 and 114 on the Dogs in his last 2 games and his form has been solid too.

Taylor Adams v Carlton @ the MCG – Adams had a huge 148 last week but the Blues, for some reason are the only team in his career (6 games), he hasn’t scored triple figures against.

ODDS: For those who would like to see the odds for Calvin’s Captains for round 7, please follow the link provided right HERE.

61 Comments

  • Sloane all the way, if its rainy he will get 20 hugs

  • Bringing in Zach this week and chucking the C on him straight away over Rocky. No one can ever convince me to captain a bloke against the Swans at the SCG. I know times have changed, and the numbers probably don’t back it up, but it just never feels right.

    • Adams, Treloar, Grundy and Sidebumm all had 125+ V Swans at SCG with 3 others getting tons!

      #Pigwillfeast

      Good Luck

      • You’re right… first time taking the C off Rocky last week as well and it worked. Maybe I should quit while I’m ahead!

        Wasn’t able to pick up Zach last year though and I want to make up for lost time haha…

  • These guys really do have a hard on for Rocky dont they haha.What was Rockys score last week,what was Sloanes,nuff said.

  • I have a feeling we will see a 200 this week

  • Calling it now, Rocky going 155+

  • As a Blues fan watching the game on Saturday I was amazed at how poorly the Sydney star midfielders are playing in comparison to how they have done in the past. They were completely blown away by Cripps and Co and Simpson and Doc were allowed to do whatever they liked off HB.

    I thought Swans bad start to the year was just a bad patch of form, but watching them get blown-out by our youthful midfield amazed me. Useless something amazingly dramatic happens this week, Rocky should go absolutely ham on then.

    Then you just have to add in that Beams also isn’t there for this game.

  • If McCartin is back his week Riewoldt will be back up the ground

  • I’m putting the C on Zac Dawson!

  • Nice work Cal. What are your thoughts on some of the Melbourne mids against Hawthorn? We’re bleeding points as much as anyone at the moment.
    Oliver could be a good unique captain, although unsure if I have the balls to pick him ahead of Rocky.

  • Not trying to knock any of the huge preparation that goes into these types of things, but I would honestly love to know the relevance of past form vs any given opposition. I’m no mathematician, but maybe some sort of standard deviation statistic? I might have to get onto CD

  • Anyone rate Pendles vs Carlton this week?? Coming off a massive score last round and averaging 125 in last 5 against the Blues

    • Could go well. However runs the risk of a tag from Curnow. I think Curnow more likely to go to Pendles that Treloar.
      Geelong tagged Treloar last week & Pies still won.

  • What are people doing with beams ?

  • You forgot to mention Aaron Hall in your Just Quickly section?

  • Sloane, Merret or Rocky Sloane scares me a bit as he has the potential to have a few 60-80 games as shown last year and round one this year and is obviously not going to continue his huge average.
    Thank you for your help

  • To trade in ^^^

  • thoughts on dylan roberton ?

    • I got him last week and am happy. In a new role and playing well. Unlikely to go below his BE this week, 40 in Fantasy and 0 in DT. Likely top 10 defender this year.

  • The “top 5” for the most part is getting very stale. If you know you’re gonna get 125 out of someone (tom mitchell) take it! No use gambling on the blokes who score a 140 then an 80 when tagged

  • Holy hell….this is the first time ever that I don’t have even 1 of the captain’s top five!!!

  • brought in roberton for marchbank and went from hampton to vicker-willis

    thoughts…

    • roberton’s form is pretty irresistable but i think march bank can still make you a little bit more cash, anyone else that can make that trade with? hampton is ready to go though

      • give hampton 1 more week. I called his massive score two weeks ago after a shocker, and I’m gonna call it again. He’ll go 85+ this week, as will Marchbank so don’t get rid of either, unless you have the luxury of doing so, in which case I’d be getting hampton out first.

  • bit of a conundrum, thanks for the article first off, love it as always.

    Dangerfield is my top ranked out of this list…not good.

    Danger, Treloar, Adams, Shuey, Stef Martin??? What do people reckon, just scared of danger being sore but then treloar burnt me last week and will get tagged, Adams bad Carlton record, Shuey and Stef are tempting…..arghhh ahahah

    Any thoughts would be awesome, will try and comment on others :))

    • Adams is a good option. Pies are playing Carlton at the G, and I have a feeling Bucks will try and play Adams like Simpson did last week against Sydney. I reckon he’s your best bet, but safety wise, go Treloar, he won’t have another stinker, I hope!

  • what do you think as a captain Ablett or Dangerfield

    • Gaz. Proven PIG last week, Danger played through with an injury & Duncan tagged last week, but seeing as Danger is slightly injured (minimum), Duncan will be asked to play a higher midfield role. I’d go Gaz.

  • Anyone like Jack Watts as Captain? Playing well and v the Hawks…..106 last week and building

    • I don’t like him as captain, but having him in your team, could work. Working against McEvoy in the ruck who is in career best form atm, but up forward could be dangerous. Your call.

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