Lampe’s Price Watch – Prelimary Final’s

What carnage Round 21 hit us with. In one of the hardest hitting weeks of the year, popular fantasy guns such as Picken, Boyd, Mitchell, Parker, Armitage and Ziebell were all outs.

There’s already been a few massive omissions this week and the teams haven’t even landed yet! Hodge’s suspension and Fyfe’s injury having given a lot of coaches one, if not two forced trades, with the primary question being what to do with them?

Here is this weeks Price Watch, with a particular emphasis on recent form and players final two opponents.

Defenders:

Buy:

Bachar Houli ($498,000): I said to someone a few weeks ago that I wouldn’t get Houli as I didn’t have complete confidence in him heading into finals. I still don’t have 100% trust but given Hodge’s omission, injury concerns to the big guns and his exceptional form, Houli should be seriously looked at. Bachar scored a massive 121 last weekend, bringing his three and five round averages to 108.7 and 105.8 respectively. Very impressive numbers. A downgrade from Hodge will net you a cool 82k, especially handy at this time of year, and could really help in securing an elite-premium with your second trade. My major concern is that Houli only managed 64 and 56 against the Bombers and North earlier this year (his next two opponents) but he must be odds on to be markedly better than that second time around.

He is one of the in-form fantasy defenders of the competition and is still fairly unique, with just over 10% ownership. With a break-even of 64, he can easily be side-ways traded if things go disastrously awry (which they really shouldn’t).

Rory Laird ($491,000): Another fantastic option to consider when trading Hodge, or simply completing your backline. Laird has been in good form posting two straight hundreds and has a five round average of 97.6. He has truly broken out in the second half of the season, scoring 7 hundreds in his last 11 matches, compared to none in his first 8. He faces West Coast and Geelong in the next two rounds, having already notched 107 in Adelaide’s loss to West Coast earlier this year.

If you are looking to save cash or already have Boyd, Picken and Mundy, Laird is really worth considering. He is only in 4.41% of teams, so if he comes up with the goods it will pay off big time.

*Once again*- Jarrad McVeigh ($506,000) is an outstanding option. He has three big hundreds in his last four matches (125, 131, 112) and posted 129 and 131 in his last outings against the Saints and Suns.

50/50:

Matt Rosa ($346,000): If you desperately need to save cash, upgrade an underperforming rookie elsewhere on your field, or have limited funds at your disposal, Rosa could be a handy plug option. His year has been seriously interrupted through injury, playing only one game in three months throughout the middle of the season. This has significantly affected his output, averaging just 72 points per game, compared to four years in his career where he has averaged over 85 (including two which were 90+). Rosa has been in reasonable form scoring 78 and 91 in his last two, although he did wear green before that, scoring just 18 and resulting in his drastically diminished price. He scored 92 earlier in the season against the Crows and 109 in his 2014 encounter against the Saints.

Rosa is definitely not a first choice defender, but he has the ability to go 85+ if played in a fantasy friendly role.

Avoid/Trade Out:

Kade Simpson ($425,000): I’m going to put my hand up and say that I may have gotten this one wrong (At least I followed my own advice and traded him in as well). To be fair, he hasn’t been dreadful but he has only had 74 and 65 in his last two matches and now has ten consecutive weeks without a hundred. Simpson still has the potential to bounce back against GWS this week, as long as he doesn’t cop a tag, but a luxury upgrade may give you the necessary edge heading into a preliminary final.

Sorry if you followed my advice and got Simpson, and even though he hasn’t been awful, it’s not what’s expected from a player of his calibre. Hopefully he can come home strong, or you decide to get rid of him at the right time.

*Hopefully* You didn’t miss the boat and traded out Elliot Yeo ($376,000) last week (I know a lot of people wanted to but couldn’t, due to injuries). After 31 points and dropping 41k, it is now harder to upgrade him to a top defender, but it is still worth the trade if you can manage it.

Midfielders:

Buy:

Andrew Gaff ($554,000): What a phenomenal break-out year Gaff is having. He has broken free of the hefty attention he receives most weeks and has averaged just under 106 fantasy points per game. Gaff has registered 14 hundreds from his 20 matches, including an incredible patch of 10 consecutive tons between rounds 8-17. He faces the Crows this week, a team he demolished for a season high 152 earlier this year, followed by the Saints whom he had 115 against in round 8.

If you’re looking for a midfield option whose only a reasonably small upgrade from Fyfe (38k) and has gone 110+ on ten occasions this year (including on his next two opponents), then Gaff is your man.

Brandon Ellis ($531,000): Ellis is the kind of player that I love to have a couple of in my midfield. He doesn’t always go huge, but much like Priddis, he is the consistent, bankable type during tough times. Ellis has only gone under 80 once this year (69 against the Crows) and is averaging just under 104 points per game. He faces the depleted Bombers this week and must be in line for another big score, having posted 108, 123, 104 and 143 in his last four against them. He encounters the Roos the following week, and with the Bastinac tag likely to go to Cotchin, Deledio or Martin, he should be left free to roam the wings once again.

If you’re concerned about the output of other premiums over the final rounds, Ellis is a safer option to ponder.

Avoid/Trade Out:

Marc Murphy ($541,000) and Nat Fyfe ($516,000) are the two obvious ones that must be traded. It’s a shame, as both could have been in line for strong finishes to the season. Brad Ebert ($486,000) is one that I still believe you can do better than. I’m probably a bit harsh on him due to the fact he’s in my team and I haven’t been happy with his recent returns, but two hundreds in his last nine matches is less then ideal (do be aware he plays Gold Coast this week and if he is ever going to come good it MAY be now).

Rucks:

Buy:

Here is my prediction of the top 3 scorers this week.

1) Todd Goldstein ($640,000)– He should absolutely belt Campbell (if the Bulldogs big man gets up from his cork) but should be very good regardless.

2) Stefan Martin ($629,000)- The in-form ruckmen of the comp, even accounting for how good Goldy has been. He plays Hawthorn this week, whose relative weakness is probably their rucks, and he should be good once again.

3) Aaron Sandilands- Sandi should smash Melbourne this week. Maxy Gawn had been keeping ruckmen to low scores before the last two matches, but it should be three straight hundreds against the Demon’s Giant.

50/50:

Zac Smith ($370,000): With Nicholls out for the remainder of the season, Smith should be a solid option given his low price and the fact he is now the lone ruckmen. He is a player with massive upside but hasn’t been able to capitalize on his prodigious talent in his first five years at senior level. He scored 97 in his first match back last week, having posted 76 and 110 before that, three of his highest four totals of the year.

You wouldn’t get Smith unless you’re strapped for dollars, but you could do a lot worse given he is now the lone ruckmen and will be looking to impress while he can. I’m backing him in to go 80+ in his last two.

Forwards:

Buy:

As I have mentioned the usual culprits at length this year (players such as Bartel, Mitchell, Dahlhaus, Riewoldt and Adams) and almost all good teams have Swan, Gray and Martin, here is a few 50/50’s to ponder this week.

Aaron Hall ($465,000): Where has this guy come from!? Despite my reservations (which aren’t completely gone) he can’t be denied any longer. Hall has been in sublime touch, chalking up 121, 114, 112 and 111 in his last four matches. This has led to a five round average of 109.2, making him the fourth highest averaging forward since round 17. It’s more of a gut feel, but I probably still wouldn’t acquire Hall given what’s at stake in the next two rounds. I am however, becoming more tempted with each passing day…

Hall may be finally starting to live up to his obvious talent and his fantasy results are showing this. I am personally too risk averse to trade him in, particularly during finals, but there must be many coaches who are strongly considering it.

Dayne Zorko ($506,000): Other than one poor score of 59 in round 18, it may come as a shock to see how good Dayne Zorko has actually been. Since round 13, he has posted scores of 97, 108, 125, 124, 82, 59, 119, 91 and 121. Supreme numbers. Zorko looked like a man on a mission last weekend, coming out with a fire in his belly after the rumours of tension between him and Rockliff. None of us really knows how true this is, but it did seem like he had a very obvious point to prove. Do be aware that he has a tough run home against the Hawks and Doggies, but as they generally don’t use out and out taggers, his strong form should continue.

Zorko is a unique option, with just 6.85% ownership and has flown under the radar this season. The knock on his fantasy game has always been his consistency, but the odd stinker seems to be becoming more of a rare occurrence.

Avoid:

Jack Crisp ($470,000): Unfortunately the young Collingwood gun has plummeted back down to Earth, shortly after I pumped him up (Thanks for that Jack…). Crisp has now played five straight games without reaching the ton and his drop in form looks to be highly correlated with Collingwood’s fortunes. I still rate his fantasy game but if you have the luxury of a mini-upgrade, it may be worthwhile trying to squeeze out every last point you can.

Crisp has a reasonable run home against the Cats and Dons, but his five round average of just under 79 is a clear indication of the rough patch he is in. I would upgrade him to one of the uber-premium forwards.

Around The Grounds:

Like many teams, Lampshade’s Lads were hit hard by the injury chaos of last week. As such, I had to play a few rookies and scored 2205. Not terrible, but less than hoped for given how late it is in the season. Consequently, I dropped 213 places to 1828th overall. I’m looking at trading Hodge to either McVeigh, Houli, Laird or Enright (Sorry for the lack of specifics but I’m having a huge internal debate about what to do myself). With my second trade, I’m looking at upgrading Kane Lambert to Tom Mitchell (as long as he’s named), finally completing my side.

If you have any comments, questions or queries I will be more than happy to respond to you in the section below, or on Twitter @David_Lampe1

Good luck to all those in Preliminary finals this weekend, hopefully you get through to the Granny and all coaches keep pushing for their highest ever season ending ranking.

91 Comments

  • Hey lampe, just wondering which option you think is better

    1. Trading jake Kolo (D7) to someone cheap like matt dick and having him emerg and then going yeo up to Mcveigh

    2. Trading Nankervis to a 120k Ruckman at r4 and upgrade yeo to Enright

    • Tough one, if you’ve got Mundy solid bench cover is extremely useful I think, I’d probably gamble on desperate for finals Enright.

    • Option 2 sounds solid mate. Keep Kolo as he as good JS as D7

    • Hey Aaron I would prefer the first option and get McVeigh mate, especially if you can get a 120k rookie who is named.

  • Ellis, Gaff or Sloane? My other trade in is McVeigh

    • Personally I’m getting Ellis this week due to what could be a massive two games but Gaff does have r23 vs St Kilda

    • I’m leaning towards Gaff mate. Very slightly ahead of Ellis and Sloane third. I really like the McVeigh trade as well.

  • which of hibberd > enright/laird or bont > ellis is the bigger upgrade?

    • Hibberd to Enright will give you a bigger points difference than Bont to Ellis as Bont can still pump out 90s-100s

    • Hey Bob, I’m trying to work out which has the higher combination of points and it’s very tight. I would personally go Bont to Ellis this week, but try and upgrade Hibberd next week if you can.

  • Which two trade ins look the best?
    1: Barlow and Houli
    2: Ellis and Gibson
    3: Gray and Higgins
    Leaning towards 2 with 10k left with Gibson and Ellis having a favourable run home. Cheers

    • Yeah, i reckon option 2..

      Can you please help below? Thanks

    • Hey mate, I would probably go with option two as well. Ellis should be the best of all of those, and Gibson has a very soft draw coming home. The other two options should be close though, especially for this week, as Barlow plays Melbourne and Gray plays Gold Coast.

  • Hey Lampe, great read…
    Im stuck on what option i should have this week, any help would be great…

    1. Shaw and Hunter
    2. Enright and Hall
    3. Enright and Titchell
    4. Gilbert and Dahlhaus
    5. Laird and Titchell

    My oppenent doesn’t have any of those players too…

    • Hey SpagBol, option 3 looks solid as long as Titch is named. Titch finishes with St Kilda and GC and he will score big. Enright loves to score big on Pies and Crows, as he did with 150 earlier this year. Cheers for above!

      • Cool.. thanks!

        If titch is not named what would be the 2nd best option??

        • Probably Shaw and Hunter due to their run home. Hall is good, but finishes with Port and Sydney who have gun midfields so i wouldn’t go him. So if Titch isn’t named go option 1. :)

    • Thanks SpagBol. My number one would definitely by Enright and Titchell. I’d actually go Enright and Hall second and Laird and Titchell third. All are good options though mate.

  • Hey Lampe, nice work mate I to fell victim of Simpson but am glad to upgrade him this week.
    Looking at finally getting in Houli for Simpson, and Gibson to Enright.
    I was thinking of trading Ebert but not sure, he could go well.
    Cheers for the help

    • Also considering:
      Simpson – Enright and Ebert – Gaff/Ellis/Titchell I can afford anyone up to 580K
      Thoughts?

      • On second thought, I would actually go Simpson to Enright and Ebert to one of those gun mids mate (probably Gaff or Ellis first). It provides more security and Gibson has a very good draw coming home.

    • Thanks Kingzy. I like those trades mate, two good options and both should be solid mini-upgrades. I’m in the same dilemma with Ebert…I’m thinking of holding him simply because he plays Gold Coast this week (although I’m not really confident in him to be honest).

  • Sounds like we had the same issues last week Lampe – I had to sit Boyd, Picken, Armitage & Mitchell on the pine and play Dick, Atkins, Knight & Fantasia but still managed 2306. Lucky I was already through to 7/11 prelims and ended up winning 3/4 semi’s last week.

    Looks like you’re the one that needs some advice – suggest you get in McVeigh for Hodge – no brainer for me. And like your Lambert > Mitchell – actually surprised you didnt already have him.

    My trades will be Hodge > Ellis via DPP and Lambert > Greenwood as he is the best for the dollars I have left. Fingers crossed that the four mentioned above all play this week.

    • Yep was smashed with injuries mate. Good stuff…10/11 is very good numbers!

      Haha maybe I do, I did have Mitchell but traded him last week as I thought he was the least likely of my injuries to get back (other than Parker of course).

      I really like the first trade mate, and Greenwood could be good as long as he isn’t the sub and is played in a fantasy friendly role. Have you considered Barlow?…not ideal but he is very cheap and does play Melbourne this week.

      • Barlow is a worry and just felt safer with Greenwood – take out his sub score he has averaged 104 is his last 3 games. Plus Greenwood is fresh and keen and most likely not carrying any niggles after missing the first 15 games. Also with Collingwood playing Friday night I will know if he is sub or not. If he sub will jump straight on Barlow. Cheers for your thoughts and help :)

  • That’s just made it harder!
    Not sure whether to get Picken + Titchell or Houli + Gaff/Ellis

    • Picken and Titch all the way

    • I’d go Picken and Titchell as well, Sammy B. Both have injury concerns but as long as their named you have to back them in given how exceptional they have been this year.

  • Lampe fantastic article.

    Can you answer this question, I have 417k to get in a defender. I already have Gilbert. I was thinking either

    Suckling
    Gibson
    Burgoyne

    As Hawks have a great run home and with hodge out they may see more of it.

    Can you offer any advice on which one to get or any others you have in mind??

    • In the same boat, so im leaning towards Gibson as he can rack them up from halfback. Anyone else with advice on this please comment.

    • What about Duryea? If he can avoid the vest he will go large – he seems to often against the lower teams.

      • Hey Tommygun, Duryea does have the potential to go big and he is more likely to do so with such a soft draw ahead, but I wouldn’t do it due to the high risk and stakes of the next two rounds.

        • Thanks Lampe, good advice and definitely high risk, surely better than Yeo though! I’m still thinking about it.

    • Thanks Leighroy, I appreciate it mate.

      I agree that the Hawks are very tempting given their run home. I’d probably take Gibson or Burgoyne out of those three (maybe Gibson just) but it’s only a gut feel. You could also consider Cross and Docherty for that price. Neither have set the world on fire lately but have upside at their value.

  • yeah I would go Gibson I think will play that loose man with hodge out

    when hodge plays and goes back there it pushes Gibson to play on a man but with hodge out and Gibson ability to read the ball coming in so well I think he will rack up the +6 in the last 2 weeks

    I may be wrong but that’s how I see it hope it helps

    • I like that call Yogi-Berry, not a guarantee but I think it makes the chances of him playing the loose man and scoring higher significantly greater.

  • hey guys at the moment my backline looks like this

    Picken Boyd Shaw Newnes Gibson Hodge

    now hodge has to go and I could get anyone but my conundrum is I want goldy this week so my options are

    Hodge > McVeigh
    Blicavs > goldy leaving Kruzer as 2nd ruck

    or

    Hodge > KK/hibbard even a mackie
    Kruzer > Goldy

    what’s people’s thoughts I’m stuck on what to do also I lil scared of McVeigh getting a visit from the general

    • Option 1. Trade out Blicavs. Kruezer vs Hawks last round and GWS this round who both lack a ruckman that can win taps so plenty of plus 1’s. Go option 1.

    • Also McVeigh is an absolute gem!

    • Hey Yogi. I’d go with option one mate. I think against GWS (and their second string ruckmen) Kreuzer has a massive chance of going 100+ this week. I think they would be two exceptional trades.

  • Best Defender under 425k other than Gilbert? Need cash to get Ellis. Cheers :)

    • Zach Williams worth a look – very consistent and still underpriced.

    • Burgoyne is a safe option, looks good for an 80 every week. Gibson probably offers a bit more potential if he plays a loose man role in the coming weeks.

    • Hey mate. I’d probably rate my top three from best to worst as: 1)Gibson 2)Docherty 3)Burgoyne.

  • Otherwise one of the Hawthorn defenders would prob be your best option.

  • Nice work again Lampe, unfortunately I was one of the ones to pick up Simpson.. Doh!
    Would love some advice with trades this week, 6k in bank

    DEF: Hodge*, Boyd, Picken, McVeigh, Newnes, Simpson* (Hamling, Dick)
    MID: Pendles, Rocky, Sloane, Selwood, Ward, Barlow, Wallis, Lambert* (Atkins, Dumont)
    RUC: Jacobs, McEvoy* (Holmes)
    FWD: Martin, Swan, Mitchell, Martin, Motlop, Bartel (Daniel, Marsh)

    Need to trade one of McEvoy, Simpson or Lambert along with Hodge..
    Cheers mate, love your work

    • Could look at getting in Houli/Laird/Enright for Hodge and Simpson.

      Another option could be going Hodge down to Enright and then Lambert up to Barlow. Dockers need to win in the coming weeks and with Fyfe out he should be getting more midfield time.

    • Thanks Port. I reckon Hodge to Enright leaving you with 108k in total is a very good trade. Simpson to Houli or McEvoy to Blicavs/Sandi could be good. I’d like to trade out Lambert if I was you, but then you would have to get a much lower quality defender in order to do so. It is up to you if you are willing to do that.

  • Motlop is having a bit of a purple patch but never seems to rate a mention. Worth a look as the last upgrade in my forward line?

    • For sure – good matchup vs Collingwood this week too.

    • Definitely worth a look Gon. I’ve given him a couple of plugs (as well as a few hits earlier in the year) but he should be good in his last two with a friendly draw ahead. Expecting 100+ in both matches. The only thing is that he is slightly more risky and volatile than some of the other guns around his price.

      • Must admit I don’t view these as frequently as I used to so saying he never gets mentioned might have been a bit harsh.

        Thanks a lot for the reply Lampe and good article as always. Really looking for a POD in my GF matchup with a bloke having a very similar team to mine. Hopefully he gets the job done!

        • Haha no worries mate, were all busy people I know. As a POD in the forwards I think he is definitely a good option mate.

  • Hannebery, JPK or Gaff?

  • (1) danger &enright (2) gaff Shaw (3) Picken Ellis?

    • Picken and Ellis

    • Gaff Shaw

    • All fantastic options Steven. I’d go from best to worst: 1) Picken and Ellis, 2) Danger and Enright, 3) Gaff and Shaw. I am slowly leaning towards Danger and Enright though, with Picken named in a forward pocket and coming back from injury.

  • Option 1, 2 or 3?
    Option 1: Hodge >> Shaw and Titch >> A. Hall
    Option 2: Hodge >> Enright and Titch >> T. Adams
    Option 3: Hodge >> Houli and Titch >> Goddard

    • Pretty sure Mitchell is going to play so wouldn’t be trading him out!

    • Hey Ethan. I wouldn’t trade Mitchell myself, not even close actually, but out of the options you suggested I would choose number two, just. All three are good if you really aren’t backing in Mitchell though.

  • Trying to decide between Houli or Enright to replace Hodge. Also need a mid between JPK, Gaff and Ellis?

    • Enright is known to go big against Pies and Crows so go him. For JPK Gaff or Ellis I would go JPK as he plays Gold Coast last round who have a depleted midfield

    • Hey Subdud, I would back in Enright myself. Houli has been in incredible form and is playing Essendon, but I prefer the assurance of Enright in such a big round. He also has a 150 on the Pies earlier this year. All fantastic mid options, but I would probably go JPK, Gaff and Ellis, from best to worst.

  • Pick 2 from JPK Gaff Ellis Dangerfield.

    • JPK and Gaff for me (especially if we’re counting over both rounds). All terrific options though mate.

  • I have a really tough game this week and struggling to decide what to do.

    Option 1:
    Everitt -> Ah Chee (to field)
    Fyfe -> Danger/Gaff/Kennedy

    Option 2:
    Fyfe -> Mitchell/Heppell
    T.Greene -> Stevie J
    Keep Everitt

    Option 3:
    Fyfe -> Danger/Gaff/Kennedy
    Everitt -> Downgrade for cash next week
    Field Lambert instead of Everitt.

    What do you think?

    • Hey Gregenson. Good luck for it mate. I would go with option three. I have a big thing not trading in rookies who you think can continue scoring like premiums (look at O’Brien and Jake Kelly for two clear examples this year). As such, I would go with option three, as I think Lambert should be good against the Dons, and if you make it through to GF the cash will come in very handy.

      • Thank you very much Lampe.
        With Cotch out Lambo will spend a lot of time around contests I reckon. Hopefully he’ll be in for a big score.

        • He should get more time around the ball indeed…hopefully it translates into an 80+ score.

  • Just a shout out to Lampe from all of us, probably the only writer who has week in week out, responded to our questions. Thank you ❤️

    • Thanks for that! I really appreciate it. Hopefully I have given more good than bad advice…

  • Hey guys this is my first post on DT Talk and I am also quite new to AFL Fantasy. I have fluked my way into a Semi Final and would really like some help.

    I have no issue with money and I need to bring in one MID player, hoping to maximize my score.

    Who do I bring in?

    Here are the options: Dangerfield, Gaff, Priddis, Stanton, Lewis, Stevens, Ellis, Treloar, Stanton, Sidebottom

    Many thanks

  • Good stuff mate, good to hear you’re picking it up quickly.

    My top three from best to worst would probably be: 1) Gaff 2) Dangerfield 3) Priddis. All of those options you suggested are good though.

  • Which 2 mids to trade in?
    Gaff, Pendles, JPK?

    • Very tough sickos. I absolutely love Pendles, but I am actually leaning towards JPK and Gaff slightly ahead of him right now. Pendles looked a bit hampered last week and the other two have great runs home. Mr consistent is probably still the safer option though…

  • Consistently one of the best articles each week Lampe, thanks mate.

    I’m in 5/5 prelim finals this week, including a couple of cash ones so need to get this right! Before Fyfe’s injury I was set – Clurey to a $120k and Yeo to Enright and I was set…best laid plans and all that…

    DEF: Boyd, McVeigh, Newnes, Hibberd, Yeo, Gilbert [Clurey, Fields]
    MID: Rockliff, Pendlebury, Swan, Macrae, Heppell, Selwood, Sloane, Fyfe [Harmes, Glenn]
    RUC: Martin, Jacobs [Holmes, Cox]
    FWD: Goddard, Dahlhaus, Gray, Martin, Mitchell, Bartel [Fantasia, Marsh]
    $45k

    1. Yeo -> Enright (swing Mitchell to MID) Fyfe -> Hall
    2. Yeo -> Rosa, Fyfe -> Any mid (Danger, Gaff, JPK, Ellis, Steven, Lewis, Hannebery etc)
    3. Yeo -> Enright, Fyfe -> $470k mid (Johnson, Rischitelli)
    4. Yeo -> Gibson, Fyfe -> $532k mid (Ellis, Neale, Armitage, Guthrie, Shuey, Motlop, Zorko…)
    5. Something I haven’t thought of!

    Any opinions appreciated.

    • I’d pick option 1 – though you could also consider Yeop to Gilbert and see what that can do for your Fyfe trade

    • Thanks Tex, I appreciate it mate.

      Great stuff with the leagues but unfortunately that kind of thing happens with injuries, especially at this time of the year. I would go with option four. I have a gut feeling Gibson should score well over the last two rounds, with his good draw and may play the loose man role with Hodge out. Ellis and Neale could be great in the last two rounds as well.

  • Hey Lampe. Another great article as usual! I hope you will be continuing on next season?!

    I have made it to my Fantasy grand final but with Hodge and Fyfe out my initial trade plans have been thrown out. My current team is ($68K in bank):

    D – Hodge*, Shaw, Newnes, McVeigh, Simpson, Edwards* (Hamling, Colquhoun)
    M – Pendles, Montagna, JPK, Priddis, Lewis, Selwood, Rocky, Fyfe* (Lambert, Glenn)
    R – Goldy, Jacobs (Holmes, O’Brien)
    F – Swan, Dusty, Dahlhaus, Bartel, Gray, Bont (McGuane, Knight)

    I am not confident in playing Hamling on field in defence this week so I think I will need to hold Fyfe and play Lambert in his place – he has the potential to score better than Hamling. This means I can use my two trades on Hodge and Colquhoun.

    So my options are to trade Hodge > Boyd, leaving $116K, and then get the best available for Colquhoun which includes Birchall, Gibson, Docherty, Gilbert….not really inspiring choices!

    Otherwise I could go for some more value picks (get the best two I can afford) like Laird/Hibberd/Enright/Higgins/Murphy???

    Any help would be much appreciated as always. Thanks.

    • If you can get Houli and Enright then do it – otherwise i see no problem with Boyd and Gilbert/Gibson

    • Thanks Jess, I am…the boys said they’d have me on again which is good. Great stuff in making it to the GF, bad luck with the injuries but hopefully you can still get up!

      I think that playing Lambert may be the right thing to do, it’s still a gutsy call, but I think it gives you slightly better odds of getting up.

      I’m quite torn on what advice to give you with the trades. I have a gut feel that Boyd and Gibson may score the most but it is probably more risky than picking two of the others. If you were going to choose two of the rest, I would go with Laird and Enright myself. Go with your gut feel on which combination of players will score the most overall and back it in though, it’s obviously served you well so far.

  • have 600k to spend on a Mid, however i want some cash for the GF as i have a good shot in my prelims this week, although i want to have the best possible team as theres no point planning for a Grand Final without winning the Prelim first
    so Which mid should i bring in out of Gaff, Dangerfield or Stevens?

  • hey Lampe would you mind if I had some final thoughts on my options?

    1. Hodge + McEvoy – Enright + Sandi
    2. Hodge + McEvoy – Duryea/Rosa + Goldy
    3. Hodge + McEvoy – Mundy + Kreuzer
    4. Hodge + Simpson – Enright + Houli
    5. Hodge + Simpson – Mundy + Birchall
    6. Hodge + Lambert – Mackie/Birchall + Greenwood
    7. Hodge + Lambert – Boak + Gilbert

    Leaning towards 2 just for the Goldy factor :)
    Good luck this week!

    • Hey Port, I also have a gut feeling Goldy could be absolutely unreal…in the rucks against Redpath!? It has the potential for 150+…although we don’t want to count our chickens before they hatch!

      My gut feel on the top three, from best to worst is: 1) Goldy + Rosa (slightly ahead of Duryea, maybe?), 2) Mundy + Kreuzer, 3) Enright + Sandi.

      I think Goldy and Rosa is the most risky of those three, (we don’t know what Rosa will do at all really, and Goldy may not produce as high as we think) but it also has the highest return possible imo. If you want less risk, I think Mundy and Kreuzer should still be a great option (as long as Mundy gets up, which he really should now that Fyfe is out, and he should score well against the Dees).

      • Thanks a lot for that mate, definitely helped me! Lots of food for thought, might go with Goldy!

  • Hey Zac, I’d probably go with Gaff slightly ahead of the rest. Steven has been amazing this year but has been slightly down of late, and Dangerfield is just slightly less consistent than Gaff in my eyes (although if Adelaide get going he could be huge, and he did dominate the Eagles earlier this year…but, so did Gaff against the Crows as well).

    All in all I would go: 1) Gaff, 2) Danger, 3) Steven. I think Danger has the potential to go biggest this week but Gaff the most likely to score the highest. All are terrific options though mate.

  • Lampe mate Ive thoroughly enjoyed your article every week! Brilliant writing

    Have the Hodge and Fyfe dilemma this week

    Hodge > Picken/McVeigh/Enright

    Fyfe > Danger/JPK/Ellis

    Thoughts on these options?