Roy’s Trade Talk – Round 2

Roy’s Trade Talk has returned home to dreamteamtalk.com with many people comparing it to LeBron James heading back to Cleveland. I have used my Twitter feed @RoyDT to determine this weeks focus areas, with the majority of my feed filled with midfield questions.

Things just kept going from bad to worse through round 1 of the Fantasy season, highlighted by injury forcing trades to some of our gun midfielders who were proving to be great selections up until the point of injury. Most notably:

  • Steele Sidebottom with a 6-8 week broken thumb.
  • His Royal Swineness Tom Rockliff with a 6 week rib/lung injury.

There were also some mid performances that leave us questioning their current worth:

As hard as it is to say, Gary Ablett was not worth the big bucks coming off such a long lay off, he looked sore and underdone.

Dayne Beams found plenty of the ball, but couldn’t get it on the boot with the extra attention received without having Scott Pendlebury by his side.

Ryan Griffen could not break his tag, leaving owners questioning whether it’s just better to part ways.

The are many players that I haven’t mentioned here that could arguably fall into either category. Either way, there are plenty of us with forced trades, or considering luxury ‘fix up’ trades in the mids, so that will be today’s main focus.

Top 5 Premo MID replacements:

  • Jordan Lewis ($643,000) is as close to a walk-up captain as we have left, given last year’s two best performers can’t be considered. He continued the ‘off the chart’ form that he finished off 2014 after scoring 156 vs the Cats, despite not having a historically good record against them. He is currently owned by 19% of teams but I expect that to rise this week as he is the best going around. He has a BE of 80 and I expect his high scoring ways to continue against the Bombers this week.
  • Luke Parker ($588,000) is a superstar. After talking him up all pre-season, he certainly looked after me in his first game amassing 111 from 35 touches in just three quarters before Buddy knocked him out. If you didn’t start with him, it’s time to admit it was the wrong call and you are very lucky that he is still available for under 600K due to the K.O. He is owned by 16% of coaches and I would make sure you are one of them.
  • Dyson Heppell ($607,000) has become a star of the competition and his Fantasy stocks are continuing to rise in the same vein. Despite an interrupted pre-season, Hepp looked really fit and scored well in the trying conditions vs Sydney for a score of 111. He is only owned by 7% so he is still quite unique for such a gun. There is a slight concern that heavy tags will soon permanently shift from the likes of Watson and especially Stanton to try and limit his output, but having said that, he is still a great pick and sits high on my consideration list as Rocky’ replacement.
  • Michael Barlow ($622,000) is a reliable Fantasy star that will rarely let you down. Last year he elevated his game to the elite premium status by averaging over the magical 110 mark for the season which is no easy feat. Although he slowed down towards the end of game one, it was understandable given his injury concerns leading into the opening round, yet he still managed to knock up the ton with 101 including an impressive 9 marks. This week he plays the Cats at Skilled which sounds a daunting task, but in round 20 last year Barlow dominated down there with 33 touches and 137 points which should ease the concern.
  • Brad Ebert ($590,000) might sound reactionary after a massive opening round where he scored 163 from 34 touches and 14 marks. Is it reactionary? Yes, to some extent but those kind of numbers can’t be ignored, especially given it was against good competition in a close game. I am not sure I have the guts to do it, but it could be a potentially rewarding selection.

In short, some mid-pricers that could provide you the cash to patch up horrible mistakes somewhere else on the field.

Top 5 mid-priced MID replacements:

  • Daniel Rich ($298,000) makes a heap of cash, enough in fact to change the whole structure of you team if required. This would be a very bold and drastic trade because despite his impressive 111, it is not a score owners should get used to. Having said that, he is still great value with a BE of just 5.
  • Marcus Bontempelli ($408,000) I don’t know a coach that didn’t have the Bont in their team during the pre-season but only 34% of coaches went through with it and were rewarded with 104 points this week. His DPP as a forward could be very handy this week with the likely resting of Jimmy Bartel with concussion.
  • Scott Selwood ($468,000) did enough to reassure the doubters that he is still capable of averaging a ton, which leaves him heavily under-priced. He scored 101 and has a BE of 68.
  • Lachlan Whitfield ($465,000) looks set for a huge break-out and currently only 1% of the competition are going to enjoy the ride. The kid is a ball magnet and receives no attention from opposition defenders as he sits on a long line of midfield jets. He took full advantage of that this week with 31 touches, 11 marks and 114.
  • Steven Motlop ($428,000) Like the Bont, holds the handy DPP status and started the year on fire. He had 27 kicks in his 32 touches for a score of 122 and he is currently owned by only 3% of the competition.

As I mentioned earlier, making some cash out of an injured premium in order to patch up a bad pick could be an option for many of us, especially in the back line where popular selections such as the much hyped Jack Newnes, Heritier Lumumba and Kade Kolo fell well short of expectations. In Kolo’s defence, after scoring 30 in the first quarter I blame Rocket Eade for his eventual 37 after making him tag.

The two names that have sprung to mind as replacements were also pre-season hyped, but often considered too risky and left out… unlike the guys above (Irony: a state of affairs or an event that seems deliberately contrary to what one expects and is often wryly amusing as a result).

Talyor Hunt ($356,000) looked right at home in a Tigers uniform and enjoyed the significant role change from what he was used to. He scored 115 from 27 touches and 8 marks and now has a BE of just 21. There is still an element of risk, but the Tigers like the ball in his hands, and this is a good thing.

Josh Gibson ($457,000) The writing was on the wall that Gibson would keep racking up big numbers as loose man in defense. He collected 26 touches and 11 marks on his way to 110 and unless opposition teams start tagging him or they lose a key defender to injury, I can’t see the scoring dry up.

Good luck with your trades this week, discuss your moves in the comments

dtl_rd1

Price change table courtesy of www.dtlive.com.au.

156 Comments

  • Thanks mate @trockliff LEGEND made my decision now also

  • Only problem is if there are more injuries/players out of form and we don’t have a spare trade to do that….

  • Who should trade first?
    Griffen ibbotson Ablett Lumumba newnes or neale?

  • @TRockliff

    good tactic in the end mate. THinking of doing the same type of thing with Gaz and Sidey – one to a prem and the other to Rich!

  • Who to bring in: Parker or Lewis?

  • I didn’t start with Ablett, Rockliff or Sidebottom so I’m lucky that I’ve pretty much got non-forced trades this round. I was thinking of going:
    KK/Lumumba -> T.Hunt

    And depending on whether Bartel is out it could be:
    Bartel -> Different Premo Forward but I’d rather just bring Mitch Clark onto the field instead so then I can do this trade
    Neale -> Wines/Macrae/Treloar

    Thoughts?

  • Hey guys, I’m coming back from an overseas trip and in between my two 10 hour flights I am staying in Thailand for 5 hours. As i will not have Internet sconnection for 25 hours(starting from tonight 6 o’clock) I will have no knowledge of The teams for rd2 so your help will be evermore important:
    For my FWDs pick 2 to field and who to be my emergency(bartel may not play): honey church,Clark,Salem,McCarthy
    For. My defence pick 1 to field and emergency(mackie may not play):goodes,saad,Mcintosh.
    Thanks in advance

  • I’m in Rdt and one thing I’ve learnt is you don’t burn trades. There is no sence in sideways trays. If i had Ablett, i wouldnt be trading him on the back of one poor score. Hopefully you have some depth on your bench so ride it out. He will come good and everyone will be trading him in.

  • Who watched the Sydney v Essendon game on the weekend. Was Parker being tagged at all? I know he’s gun, but surely he is going to start getting all the attention! Although he does look to have the type of game to bust a tag.

  • I have Ablett in my elite, do i start him or get someone on my bench (whitfield, mundy, shuey)? Any suggestions?

  • trades this week:
    ive gone

    Sidebottom –> Whitfield

    Lumumba —> Gibson

    Thoughts?

    • other option is to trade steele to the likes of heppel, SJ and lumumba to taylor hunt or geary

  • No mention of Wines huh

  • Ablett to Barlow
    and
    KKolo to Hodge

    OR

    Ablett to Barlow
    and
    J Anderson to Rich

  • Hi all
    I was hoping not to make any trades in RDT but since I have both Rocky and Sidebottom, I don’t have much choice in the matter :(
    Thinking I might as well get in someone good who’ll make some cash rather than an expensive premium (already have Lewis and Parker). Who should I pick out of Ellis and Wines? Please help!

  • Hi guys,

    Some feedback on my team would be great thanks!

    DEF: Lumumba, Malceski, J Ramsey, Saad, Goodes, McIntosh (Oxley, Tippett)
    MID: Beams, Pendlebury, Gray, Parker, Fyfe, Heeney, Newton, Vandenburg (Cockatoo, Cripps)
    RUC: Bellchambers, Mumford (Cox, Griffin)
    FOR: Bontempelli, Bartel, Martin, Goddard, Swan, Clark (Lamb, McGrath)

    Not sure who to trade as need better defenders I think, please help

    • Heeney is way too expensive for a rookie! Get him out for Ellis-Yolmen and upgrade Ramsey/Oxley/Tippett

      • He might be expensive but scored a solid 92 on the weekend

        • Heeney a good pick in my opinion

          • this. just monitor his BE and cash in at the right time and you’ll be fine. He has a higher ceiling than CEY who is the one who would replace him anyway

    • I would keep Heeney if I were you. I’m liking Adelaide for the next few rounds. It depends how much cash you have, but I would definitely try to upgrade your defenders. Goodes and Oxley are on the bench and could end up with the green vest. Alternatively, Cockatoo to a defender through Saad is an option.

  • Jeez… what are people doing with Bellchambers?

  • Thoughts on Leuenberger?

    • Lewy will probably get injured eventually, but you could make some cash before that happens. You have two trades every week in Fantasy, so it won’t matter if you have to trade him out again.

  • I was thinking trading Mumford for Leuenberger and then trading Ramsey out to upgrade to T Hunt.
    Thoughts?

    • Ramsey is mentioned in the team, so no need to rush him out. T Hunt would be a good stepping stone if he keeps his playing position.

  • So… how long is Scooter out for?

  • Start Cripps, Vandenberg or Ellis-Yolman? (Vandenberg vest risk with Vince returning?)

  • NEWTON OR VAN BERLO ?
    I’ll have 185k if I go Newton and 125 if I go van berlo

  • Barlow, Heppell, Sloane or Trealor. Reasons?

  • My midfield rd 1 was.
    Ablett Lewis Heppell Parker Griffen Heeney Newton Cripps
    I had Bont but changed him for Griffen just before lockout.
    Why, because I was pissed. I knew better but the drink made me stupid.
    I’ll keep Ablett, he’ll come good.
    Hasta La Vista Griffen ya spud..
    Hello again Bont.
    Moral of this dribble.. don’t drink before lockout.

  • Hey fellas in the shambles for trades???? My team is currently looking like this..

    Newnes, Gibson, Oxley, saad, Macintosh, lumumba ( Goodes, hamling)

    Fyfe, Lewis, Barlow, Ellis yolmen,Parker, Heppell, heeney, vandenberg ( Cripps, Newton)

    Nic Nat, Bellchambers (Naismith, cox)

    Dahlhaus, the Bont, swan, Gray , d. Martin, hogan (Clark, Salem )