tbetta’s Bullets: Round 8

  • About Time

After a lean month, I’m glad to say that things are returning to the status quo. Most of our players are on the park, our Captain has returned, and our Guns are starting to put up the scores that their hefty price-tags warrant. Sure, we had Gibbs, Duigan, Curnow, Judd, Murphy and Yarran off with the bye, but after the MBR’s and the Pies bye, this barely registered as an obstacle for most coaches. How quickly we adapt!

Overall, this was a much better week for coaches than in recent times, with the majority scoring in the 1900s and a fair chunk on the brighter side of 2000.

 

  • The True Definition of Junk Time

I, like many other coaches, was following the Western Derby’s live scoring on Fanfooty ( I also watched the game live – how good were the Eagles?!) as it was the last match of the round, and inherently decided a lot of match-ups over Round 8. With time winding down and the result beyond doubt, it was just a matter of collecting the trash until the siren blew.

But none has junked it as heavily as Nat Fyfe did, kicking a snap over his shoulder for a goal with 1 second remaining! Apparently, this +9 affected a few results, as the DTers unleashed on the Fanfooty chat log! Check it out here if you want a chuckle.

 

  • The Replacements

Late changes continue to affect teams. This week Milburn, Hurley, Pittard, Embley, Kerr and Balantyne were a few players to exit teams at the last minute, always making it tough on coaches. Especially Embley, who has been in great form this year, but couldn’t take to the field because he injured his hamstring in the warm-up. Kerr was also a big out, especially for those who took the leap of faith during the week after his 110.

But where there are Outs, there must be Ins. After some confusion, Michael Hibberd came in for his 2nd game, scoring 72 across halfback. Youngsters Pitt, Christenson and Gaff all came in to their respective sides, although none scored well enough to make any serious cash.

I should also mention that Jobe Watson may need replacing next week after his hammy was iced up midway through Saturday’s game. With the bye in two weeks, it was make sense that he would take this week off to get a decent rest. Watch this space.

 

  • Drop Knee

Every now and then I use the Bullets as an avenue to take out my frustration on some of the issues with the game. Watching the Essendon-Brisbane clash on Saturday evening had me hanging out for Monday morning so I could put this into words: Monfries, man up and play some footy! Stop dropping your knees and playing for free kicks you girl!

There. That feels better. Watching his game had my so frustrated I could barely enjoy my Boags. I mean, if you’re going to be a cheap footballer, at least duck your head or something – the umpires, to their credit, are all over that at the moment. But you put them, and opposition players, in a terrible position when you just drop to your knees searching for high contact. It’s despicable.

Don’t get my wrong, it’s not just Monfries. Milne and Betts are also repeat offenders. Doesn’t mean that it should be part of the game.

 

  • The Full M0nty

This week in the All-Stars League I went head-to-head with m0nty of Fanfooty fame. Apart from running the most popular and successful live scoring site for fantasy AFL, he’s a great bloke and a clever Dreamteamer.

Anyway, he had quite a good week, with Chaplin scoring 112 and Shaw (whom he just traded in) with 124, along with Stevie J’s 127. With Sunday’s game to go, he had 141 points up on me to go with Mitchell and Conca, against my Fyfe and Boyd as Captain. Very close stuff.

Here’s where I admit that I didn’t learn my lesson last week when I said never change your Captain last minute. I had Swanny with the Big C all week, but I got spooked big time with the 1) Friday night match 2) Quality opponent in Geelong and 3) Wet weather, and hastily changed it to Boyd just prior to lock-out. As we know, Swan finished with 115 (after being on 104 at 3Q time, around the same time I was swearing at the tv and throwing my stubby holder across the room) and I was left to wait to Sunday to find out if my move was successful. But I was also sweating on Boyd posting a big score for my league match with m0nty!

To my delight, he was as solid as ever, scoring 120 (which was later amended to 115), and Mitchell was locked down with 61. That left Fyfe to bypass 45, and I was home-free.

Moral of the story – DON’T CHANGE CAPTAIN LAST MINUTE! I would have had the exact same result with Swanny as Captain, but with half the stress.

 

  • Makers and Breakers

MAKERS:

1. Ablett 156

2. Hodge 132

3. Suckling 133

4. Shaw 124

5. Nahas 119

Number one spot this week goes to a player who would have regularly topped this list for the past 3 or 4 years, Gary Ablett Jnr. He was magnificent against the Crows, especially in the first term where he notched up 14 touches and slammed 3 goals to give the Suns an early advantage. While he couldn’t carry them to a victory, he kept them competitive and lead from the front. He is a superstar. He’s now price at 404k with a healthy BE, so after Round 9 is the perfect time to acquire him if that’s the way you want to go. The runner up is Hodge, who has had a terrible season so far, but bounced back and earned a long overdue 132 in a BOG performance. I wonder if this is a turning point, or an aberration in what will continue to be a disappointing season? With Jack Grimes out for the season, two of the most popular replacements were Suckling and Shaw. Both dominated, posting 133 and 124 respectively. Both are playing a zoning, spare-man sort of a role, which may be the only potent DT scoring style that we’ve seen from defenders so far this year. Unfortunately, the forward tag is a killer for that kind of scoring, so let’s hope it stays away. Rounding out the list is the increasingly impressive Nahas, who backed up his recent performances with a 119 against quality opposition in the Bulldogs. Incredibly, he has the highest 3-Round average with 131, topping Geelong star Selwood, who is next best with 126.33.

BREAKERS:

1. Goddard 54

2. Didak 60

3. Mitchell 61

4. B. Smith 11

5. Dal Santo 51

While there were many impressive scores this week, there were a few stinkers from some big names, which make up the majority of this week’s list. The biggest sinner was Goddard (see what I did there?), who is continuing his shocking form deeper into the season that any of us expected. He has dropped 120k now since Round 1, and if you were one of those coaches who I scoffed at when I learned you traded him out early, I take it back. It was a good call as it turns out, because he is bleeding cash while he serves up these dirty scores. Continuing the theme is Didak, who has been way down on last year’s production, and has dropped 79k accordingly. He only generated 60 points on Friday night, which is probably due to the Pies tweaking their forward line this year, with Dawes and Cloke forming an effective scoring combination. Mitchell was locked down by Clinton Jones on Sunday, and as a result only scored the 61, ending his previously unbeaten run of tons so far this year. Brodie Smith (sorry mate, not you fault) gets a spot on the list for his heavily sub-affected 11. Normally I wouldn’t consider a sub, but with Gibbs and Duigan out for many teams, his score would have affected a lot of league matchups. Completing the list is Dal Seagull who, in line with St Kilda’s woes, only managed 51. The entire Saints outfit is in disarray, but if they want to get back on track and salvage their season, it has to come from guys like Dal, Montagna and Goddard.

 

  • A Gloomy Week

No suns this week, so get your team sorted now! Hopefully you can use the DPP of Prestia to cover any doughtnuts this week, and you have sufficient cover for Harris, Matera, Swallow, McKenzie, Stanley and Toy. Normally I would recommend you downgrade one over the next two weeks, but none seem to have have reached their peak, with McKenzie ($238,700, Avg. 70.7, BE 52) the closest I can see.

On the flipside, you have two weeks to trade in gun forward Tom Lynch if you desire. With scores of 92 and 95 to go with a BE of -92, he is looking like a very tasty downgrade option in the forward line!

Until next week.

 

Contact me @tbetta9 on Twitter.

 

295 Comments

  • Who would you trade for Gram?
    Cause he really sucks

  • Need to get rid of Hale. Max Bailey? Any chance this week?

  • ok so i accidently posted this in the wrong section

    Lower>Sucking and 60ish k
    Stanley>Sucking and 20ish k

    would rather keep onto stanley because his scoring better and i think he has further to go up

    but 40k is tempting

    • Lower – sucking?….hehe :)

      Stanley is putting out some decent scores of late, Lower might get dropped plus hes had a few sub affected scores so id get him out before Stanley

    • 40k is tempting now but it’ll be more later and you know you’ll need it…

      Sitting there round 16… got two mid guns out and Libba is your mid cover. He hasn’t had a break since round 8 and the Bulldogs bye is not till rd 20. He’s only got an expected rise of 6k and because Wallis is playing well and Rocket wants some experience and accountability to cover Judd, Murphy and Simpson – General Soreness.

      You’ve got 40k and Libba’s money leaving you 25 short of getting Kieran Jack who is back and coming good over a couple of weeks (which brought his price down) juicily ready for his game against Gold Coast.
      And the p–ck who you play in your most important league match hasn’t changed his team (nor won a game) since round 2 and has him and Goodes and Malceski (fresh off his first 120 for the season) because he used autopick Sydney after he manually grabbed Swan, Sandi and Chappy. You can still afford… Daniel Wells – crap…. Still he got 150 a while back and is good for a big score against a dud team…

      …who’s he playing?

  • Should i go swallow or libba to ablett next round?

    • tough call either way , GC won’t have another bye after this week where as the Bulldogs do is one point , Bulldogs have more injured players to come back is another point , so will Libba spend more time on the bench if and when that happens … however Libba played fantastic on the weekend and appears to look like the real deal … so as i said , tough call either way …

  • Heath Hocking is suspended for 3 matches…looks like Dr Hibberd should be ok to get games i reckon now…hopefully anyway

  • thinkin, J.irons (port) to mzungu
    mckernan to poupolo.
    need to see the b/e’s first

  • Guys,

    S.Buckley Or B.Jacobs ?

    • Jacobs unless you enjoy pissing money away. Its like paying 50% more for the same shoes.

      Don’t quote me on the exact percentage xx

  • I wanted to bring in Ryan O’keefe but worked out I won’t be able to afford him.

    New plan is to bring in N Riewoldt…he is playing crap but still averaging 80 and 316,700. His break even is 63 so his price is probably at it’s lowest.

    I reckon worst case scenario he keeps playing crap and averaging 80, which is fine by me for that price.

    Best case scenario he improves and starts getting hundreds, even better!

    What do you guys think?

  • when will prestia and polec got a run. got them wasting valuable space on my bench, to lesser price to downgrade and upgrade.

  • Thinking of,

    Otten -> Puopolo
    Prestia -> Smith

    Then next week,

    Foley -> Ablett/Hodge (Both on the up i reckon)
    Lower -> Adcock/Shaw/Rawlings

    THEN,

    Matera -> Mzungu
    Petrie -> Cox

    Gimme advice!

    • i’d get on board the hodge train this week, it’s leaving the station express IMO. I’ll be boarding, I think the Hawks are a very momentum side and should come home strong…

      • Why Hodge over Ablett? Ablett out of form has been averaging near 100. In form 120 plus. Not to mention Hodge is inconsistent

    • I would avoid Smith and Prestia may become useful in the next multi bye.

      Look at Lynch from GC and Parker from Sydney.

    • Is mzungu good

  • looks good mate!

  • Looking at a FWD upgrade this week who do you guys reckon out of Pavlich or Sylvia?
    Thanks in advance.

    • Sorry should say my FWD line is already:
      Franklin, Goodes, Chapman, Knights, NVolt, Darling, Krak (matera, mckernan, C.rich)

      • Thats a hard one, Pav is a bit cheaper but Sylvia averages a little more so depends whats more important to you?

        • hmm… yeah same multi bye week as well it’s tough might have to flip a coin?
          Don’t know alot about Sylvia (first year DT) he’s not injury prone or anything is he?

          • Yes Sylvia is quite injury/suspension prone. From 2005 to 2010 average around 16/22 games with the highest being 18. Pav averages around 20 + games a season so I would go the Pav for that reason

          • yes he is

    • Both in the same multi bye so if you have Fyfe and or Tappy you could be in trouble.

    • fyfe

  • which one sounds better?
    trade stanley to poo, and upgrading harris or prestia to mundy + 71,400k
    or
    trade stanley to poo, and upgrading lower to sucking

    • You need keepers on the bench and with GC having thier second bye of the round you may want to keep Stanley and Prestia. Lower has had his 3rd or 4th sub effected score of the year, I would look at putting him on the chopping block.

    • mundy would have to be the better option!

      has been dominating each week.

    • dont get rid of harris, he’s better than prestia

    • Suckling at the moment becoz he is scoring very well and will rise quicker. If you go Mundy first be prepared to pay more for Suckling next week.

  • will polec and prestia get a run soon?

  • hopin mzungu will play this week, thinkin
    J.irons to mzungu then
    mckernan to poupolo that way i have plenty i cash in the bag for next week :)

    • Why take a chance on someone that hasn’t played yet? Why not get Isaac Smith or Tom Lynch who have both had 2 games in a row and both scored well (especially Lynch, 2 90s!)

      If Mzungu does well in his first 2 games get him in after that when your more certain about him

      • i have issac smith and i cant get day cos im doing the trade in the midfield and he’s not a mid. i’ll try to get him in somewhere tho. thanks. :)

    • i took the punt on getting in jacobs a few weeks ago before he was even really been talked about just to free up some cash… worked out well for me, i say get mzungu in now, im doing it this week, but for tapscott. he’ll play eventually but until then his dpp could come in really handy!

  • is this the week you trade out watson to either a boyd or swan? then it saves having to trade him on the very last round aswell. plus its only a 30k upgrade to get either….

    • Or you could upgrade a rookie to cover Watson, then in 4 weeks time you get Watson back without having to use a trade to get him back or another premium

  • whats the average amount of trades everyone has at the moment?

  • Deledio, Gibbs, Adcock, Shaw, Heppell, Goddard, Puopolo (Stanley, Lower, *OTTEN*)

    Swan, Boyd, Pendles, Libba, Smith (Swallow, *Harris*, Hibberd)

    Sandilands, Cox (Smith, Derickx)

    Franklin, Chapman, Goodes, Knights, N. Riewoldt, Darling, Tapscott (Matera, Pitt, Prestia)

    CASH LEFT: $227, 900 15 trades left.

    Thinking of the following trades for the next two weeks:

    Otten > Jacobs
    Harris > Mundy/Selwood
    CASH LEFT: $114, 300/129, 000

    Tapscott > Lynch
    Swallow > Ablett
    CASH LEFT: $96, 200

    What do you think of my plan and any trading tips after these two would be excellent.

    • I reckon your first priority if finding out where your 6th midfielder went.

      • hahahahaha, i was looking for the same thing…

      • LOL

        • Bartell

          • so much cash, that needs to be invested.

            get rid of otten. should have done that a couple of weeks ago but i don’t know your trade history. bring in jacobs or someone cheaper because they wont be needed.

            bring in fyfe or slyvia before ablett so you can cover your forward line. then you will have 2 extra DPP in and can change with smith or prestia. also knights should be a target for an upgrade.

  • My overall position each week so far:

    Round 1 – 32871
    2 – 16353
    3 – 14911
    4 – 11412
    5 – 4208
    6 – 1708
    7 – 1421
    8 – 819

    Watch out leaders, I’m coming!

    • Nice work

    • I’ve gone from 40,000 in Round 1 to 9,000 atm… good effort nonetheless

    • didnt find out about dt talk till like rnd 4 so i was 144,000 now im 85,000 and got 2086 this week the 4412 best score overall

    • Dont get to number 1 too early, you can only go backwards from their.

  • delidio, gibbs,adcock,shaw,goddard,enright,heppel (lower, Stanley Duigan)

    swan,boyd,pendlebury,pav,krakour,harris (jacobs,prestia,polec)

    sandilands,cox (smith,bailey)

    Sylvia,franklin,goodes,knights,riewiolt, darling, tapscott (matera,pit,richardson)

    Cash: 68,600
    Trades:18

    thinking of 3 downgrades over next 2 week

    lower – poo
    tapscott- smith

    matera/pitt-lynch
    krakour- ablett

  • Will only have 8 trades left at the end of round 10, but you gotta risk it to get the biscuit!

    • 8 trades with 14 rounds to go!!! my god and I thought I was cutting it fine :)

  • What do you guys think is a better trade?

    Option 1: Lower to Suckling

    or

    Option 2: Petrie to Sandi

    • Both when you can

      • They will drain mass cash each leaving it a long time until the next. Which will be more successful points wise?

        • bring in sandi but get both when you can. maybe round 18 after hawthorn have had their 2nd bye and if you can put up with Lower scoring rubish.

          im downgrading lower this week. you wont gain alot out of him from now until round 18 so if you can downgrade him and depending on your bench look at upgrading one of them later. someone like puopolo and hibberd will give you the same results until you can afford to bring in suckling.

          but at the moment suckling looks too pricey for you, assistant coach reckons he will drop to 300k by round 14 between then and round 18 after the bye is your window to bring him in.

          • Thanks mate. Probably more consistent too.

          • The only way Suckling is going to fall to $300k in round 14 is if he starts scoring so badly that his average gets dragged down to about 80 (from 96).
            If you think this is going to happen why do you want him in your team?

            He has a BE of about 20 and is going to hit $370k in 3 or 4 weeks if he keeps scoring the way he has been.

    • Petrie to Sandilands… thats what Im doing this week with 160k in the bank. Petrie’s BE is 83 so I think he has reached his peak.

  • Please help… Over the last 3 weeks have tumbled from 1500 to 7000 ish.
    Team at the mo
    Def: god,Gibbs,adcock,heppell,lower,duigan,Stanley (Jacobs,smith,batchelor)
    Swan, selwood, Mitchell, Watson, cross, kraks (Libba, Harris, curnow)
    Sandi, cox (smith,Bailey)
    Sylvia,chappy,buddy,Stevie,didak,darling,tapscott(matera, Richardson,Harper)
    $213,400 in bank and 16 trades.
    Thoughts this week were to boost def by:
    Smith-fisher
    Curnow-carrazzo ( dpp swap with Jacobs)

    But I have jobe injured… Plan here is to hold off for a week and do a straight swap fir ablett. Harris or Libba will become Pendles.

    Smith, mzungu and lynch look like my downgrade options in the fwd line.

    Thoughts on def trades this week?

    Btw I am aware of my dpp stuff ups

  • Mark Harvey just said on 6PR that muzungu is a chance to play this week

  • Thoughts on these trades?

    Duffield -> Puopolo

    Tapscott -> Sylvia??

    I reckon that Puopolo will get same or better than duff each week and sylvia in will gain me 40 points also.
    Sylvia also gives me more flexibility.

    Thoughts?

    • anyone?

      • Looks good to me mate :) Chappy will bottom out next week if you don’t already have him?

    • looks good to me. but you will have puopolo starting, i would be planning a further upgrade before doing that. he might be good as an 7th/ 8th defender and to cover byes but i would want more from a starter.

      at the moment i have puopolo and stanley one of these 2 will be my 8th defender. do this trade but depending on how many rookies you will have on the field by finals time you will need more to win league/ eliminator match ups.

  • next week

    libba > ablett
    petrie> lynch

    the following week/the week after
    conca > pendles
    richardson > chapman

    leaving my team as

    Goddard, Gibbs, Delidio, Adcock, Heppell, Puopolo, Lower
    Stanley, Duigan, Otten

    Swan, Selwood, Judd, Pendlebery, Pavlich, Ablett
    Swallow, Harris, Krakouer

    Cox, Sandilands
    Smith, Keefe

    Chapman, Fyfe, Franklin, Voldt, Johnson, Darling, Knights,
    Lynch, Smith, Matera

    i will then have 14 trades and about 150k in bank

    I would love to fix my backline up but there is nobody good in defence to get in
    does what i am doing look good?
    thanks in advance

    • What trades have you done this week?

    • best js
      1 Jacobs
      2 Puopolo
      3 Hibberd

      best player
      1 Hibberd
      2 ??
      3 ??

      Who would you get
      1 Jacobs
      2 Puopolo
      3 Hibberd

      Thats just my opinion. Jacobs is probably going to play more in a shyt team. Puopolo and Hibberd’s job security is not that great.

  • Need help in selecting a premium midfielder. I can buy any player for trading out Harris. Here’s the line-up at the moment:

    Swan, Pendlebury, Boyd, Bartel, Montagna, Liberatore (Swallow, Harris, Wallis)

    Who would be my best option? I’ve been thinking along the lines of Mundy, Mitchell or Ablett Jnr.

    I’m trying to steer clear of Watson, Murphy, Joel Selwood etc, anyone from Geelong, North Melbourne, Carlton and Essendon due to these teams having byes during the Dream Team Finals and would prefer not to trade in players from these teams now only to have to trade them out later on in the year, thus burning an unnecessary trade.

    What would be my best option?

    • get in jelwood and back yourself to win the first week of dt finals so it doesn’t become an issue with joel out!

      • +1
        Can’t go past Selwood as one of the best 3 midfielders. If you really don’t want to get in any Cats I’d get Mundy. I’ve been very happy with him in my team and I think Ablett is going to cop some hard tags and still have some lower scores in a pretty average team

    • Ablett has no more byes after this week the rest do …

    • Mundy, ranked 5th highest dt scorer for the year, will have played all his byes and is so durable you wont have to worry about him missing

  • what would you do out of these options

    irons (108k) to mzungu (97k)
    then
    mckernan (177k) to poupolo (92k)
    theny plenty of cash next trade

    SECOND OPTION

    Irons (108k) to mzungu (97k)
    then
    Mckernan to a 220K defender

    THIRD OPTION
    none of the above (explain)

  • Watson to miss 1-2 weeks

  • what do you guys think of going

    Otten > Puopolo ( 110k in the bank)

    B.Smith > Suckling

    good trade or bad trade?

    • good stuff

    • puopolo, hibberd or jacobs. i dont want to make ur decision any harder but jacobs and hibberd are bot dpp and poo isnt. lol uim workin with the same options and leaning towards poo or jacobs cos i dont have any port

  • soz fa askin lots of questions but answer these please 1-3

    Options. hibberd, jacobs, puopolo

    best js
    1
    2
    3

    best player
    1
    2
    3

    Who would you get
    1
    2
    3

    anything you want to add:

  • Hmm, thinking perhaps – McKernan > I.Smith then Lower > Shaw/Scotland/Carrazzo/Suckling/Deledio

    Gets rid of two average players and can help my sagging defence.

    (Current backs: Gibbs, Goddard, Adcock, Enright, Heppell, Duigan, Stanley, Hibberd, Lower, Retzlaff)

    • Bah, actually, got to get another mid in first for Swallow or cop a zero.

      Already got Boyd, Pendlebury, Bartel, Redden, Libba (Swallow, Harris, Prestia, Irons)

      Seeing both Swallow and Harris are going ok, Prestia seems the likely upgrade but less $’s to play with.

      Lower > Puopolo then Prestia > Fyfe/Goodes perhaps?

      OR using Harris opens it up to > Mundy/Selwood/Mitchell/Rockliff/Montagna/Judd

      • just depends on your forward line also, with DPPs. no one can come to the midfield for prestia?

        good trades anyway and need to be done in the end

        i would do lower to puopolo and prestia to fyfe/ goodes wont matter. i have goodes and will get fyfe this week also.

        swallow or liba are strong contenders for a good bench player in the end to cover byes.

        you dont want donuts.

    • yeah do this good trades. just a matter of preference on who you bring in bearing in mind how many players in pother positions you have from that team to cover byes.

      i am looking at keeping stanley as my 8th defender to cover byes. we have similar defenders

      i think most will keep heppell for a while, maybe just had a bad week. same with goddard, currently have OK averages.

  • do you think its a better idea to get rid of goddard or didak? i want to get rid of one of them

  • Your a clown tbetta calling Monfries a diver! Smart footy players know how to earn free kicks! Next you’ll be calling Selwood a diver, Monfries puts his head over the footy and thats how he wins so many free kicks! Your an absolute clown champ

    • Mate, I’m as bigger fan of Monfries as you obviously are, at least i used to be. Players like Stevie J and Milne have damaged their reputations playing for free kicks, so much so that that’s what they’ll be remembered for.

      But Monfries is still young, and he doesn’t have to continue down the path he’s headed.

  • Thinking of doing the following.

    Harris, Swallow or Libatore to Mundy.

    Thoughts on this or should i go for another gun.