Round 3 DT bets @ sportingbet.com.au

Ok, so it’s Saturday morning and I need to kill a few hours before the footy starts so I thought I’d check the DT market and set myself up to make some cash over the weekend with a few DT bets. After a scan of the games, here are a selection of my favorites. Ideally I would like this post to become a discussion of bargain bets you find so we can clean up together!! Click here to get amoungst it.

NOTE: The “field” is a group of players selected by sportingbet, it is not all the remaining players on the ground.

Western Bulldogs vs Gold Coast

Matthew Boyd to outscore Daniel Cross and Gary Ablett. $2.15 – $15.00 outlay

Dean Cox vs the field. $3.55 – $10.00 outlay.
Cox has scored  102 and 129 in his last 2 vs the Swans. In his last 2 games at Subi he has scored 125 and 142.

Geelong vs Port Adelaide

Paul Chapman to outscore Jimmy Bartel and Joel Corey. $2.35 -$15 outlay
Chappy’s last 3 games vs Port have come at an average of 123, while his last 3 at Skilled have produced 118 per game. Jimmy only averaged 90 and 87 in his last 3.

Steve Johnson vs the field. $4.30 – $5.00 outlay.
I just have a funny feeling Steve is going to go to town on these guys today.

Adelaide vs Fremantle

Greg Broughton vs the field. $8.00 – $10.00 outlay
This is a bit of a left field roughy (especially considering his poor start to the year) but historically Broughts loves playing the Crows with scores of 117 and 120 in his last 2.

Melbourne vs Brisbane

Tom Rockliff vs the field. $5.75 – $10.00 outlay
This is another risky one. If Rocky can put in his first 4 quarter effort for the year he is a real chance in this matchup. He has been scoring mid 90’s after barely reaching double figures in quarter 1. Scored 107 in his last game vs the Dees.

Goodluck and give me a few of your “hot tips”.

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13 Comments

  • I’ve got $50 on Boyd for the “best of the best” midfielders @ $7.50 – very happy to see Swanny pick up only (lol) 116 last night.

    Also took $10 on a multi for overall odds of about $29 or so;

    Swan to beat Pendles and Gibbs @ 1.85 – tick!
    Mitchell to beat Franklin and Deledio @ 2..35 – should be a gimme, unless Franklin kicks 6+ goals
    Grimes to beat Rockliff and Black @ 2.70 – should have a field day rebounding off half-back against Brisbane
    Chapman to beat Bartel and Corey @ 2.50 – for much the same reasons as Calvin above :)

    • I like that multi housn!

      I have my fingers crossed for you with Grimes – I am not sure on that one, but you are in with a great chance.

      I put one on Mitchell, Chappy and the Boyd bet Roy has up top – paying $12.37…

      On a side note – I hope a few people put some cash on Shuey for Rising Star when I mentioned it during round one. I got $25 on him at $13…

      • Cheers mate. Grimes is certainly the biggest risk in that group, but I’m quietly confident for the moment. Will find out soon enough!

        Now hoping that Boyd’s 125 will be enough to beat Bartel, Dal Santo, Montagna and Mitchell. Could be a little closer there than I’d hoped for…

    • Ok, so with Mitchell withdrawing from tonight’s game…

      I understand that the Boyd to win the “best of the best” section is now a void bet as all players had to play for it to count.

      But, the multi is recalculated without that leg included. So my odds above are now about 12.50 instead. Better than nothing, I guess.

  • Just got a couple of little flutters this weekend.

    Dane Swan vs the field @ 2.15 – DING!

    Matthew Boyd Best of the Best @ $7.50 – Hoping he rips up GC

    Jack Darling to beat Nic Naitanui @ $2.01 – Bit of a smokey, but I suspect Sydney will make a point of shutting NicNat out of the game.

    Mitchell v Franklin v Deledio @ $2.35 – Same as above

    Dean Cox vs the field @ $3.55 – Was already logged into my SB account when I read this post, so I thought ‘Why the hell not?’ Haha.

  • I’m all for a Dream Team punt, but these Sportingbet markets are amongst the worst value I’ve ever seen. I understand they are a site sponsor you you have to push them, but the three player markets are framed at 111%, while the full field market is at an outrageous 126%! If you’re going to have a serious DT punt, stick to the 2 player head to head markets which are around the 107% mark (still a bit rich if you ask me).

    If you’re not aware of what these percentages mean, I suggest you do some research before parting with any more of your hard earned. To put things simply, if the market is framed at anything over 100% it means the bookies are starting with an advantage over you. This is fair enough, as they need to make their money, but anything over 105% is getting a bit excessive. Casinos have a smaller edge than this and we all seem to realise we’re getting screwed there – so why should sporting punts be any different?

    • I got on board these markets last year and did pretty well. I think you get some good match ups early on and then they clue in to close matchups a bit later on.
      I’m on board the Franklin v Voldt train this week with a few other small ones to top it off! go BUDDY! they look pretty good odds to me….

    • Good post.

    • I totallt agree mate. They do not sponsor us! We are affiliated… We just love betting and talking DT. But the odds are really safe by them.

      I dont do DT bets often, I use my DT skills (ha) in other areas and have been doing really well. Unless there is something mega obvious in the DT section.

      Cox 11.00 – most disposals in Grp B, Adam Selwood the fav.
      WCE to win by <40 = paying 2.60
      Burgoyne most disposals paying 6's
      Buddy most goals paying 3's

      See how they go hey!

  • What’s the General discussion thread for this round?

    I need a bit of positive reinforcement, I’m thinking my smokies aren’t going too bad, but at the same time, I’m only scoring mid 1900’s. Is everyone else scoring a bit low this round, or is it just me?

  • Does Boyd in the best of the best midfielders not stand now if he wins because of mitchell? Has disappeared off my pending bets. Not even with Mitchells odds taken out? Pretty unfair if thats the case – Odds should be adjusted and paid taking Mitchell into account if Boyd gets up

  • Yeah, doesn’t stand. Says as much on the screen when you place the bet in the first place; “All players must enter field for bets to stand”.

    Given that I think Bartel beat him anyway, it’s probably just as well !!