Connect with us

Deck of Dream Team

Tarryn Thomas – Deck of Dream Team 2023

A heavily under-priced Tarryn Thomas should be invited to pre-season training!

Player Tarryn Thomas
Club North Melbourne
Position MID/FWD
Price $475,000
Bye R15 (4th)
2022 avg 53.6
2022 gms 10
Proj. avg 80
Draft range Late rounds

Click here for 2023 Fantasy Classic prices.

Why should I pick him?

One of the first things I do with my spreadsheet when I start playing with prices, positions and past data, is see who is under-priced.

While discounts is the obvious place to look, sometimes it comes from someone who just had a down season.

I’m going to call Tarryn Thomas’ 2022 season an anomaly (I can pronounce it, unlike Calvin). He averaged just 53.6 from his 10 games. We’re ‘lucky’ he played the 10 games as he is straight up priced at his 2022 average rather than discounted.

The differential from Thomas’ 2022 average from his 2021 return of 81.2 was 27.5 Fantasy points. It was a huge drop and we don’t see that very often. The Roo ranks fourth overall for biggest year-on-year drop with Jack Ziebell (39.4), Brayden Fiorini (33.4) and Chad Wingeard (32.2) ahead of him.

It wasn’t a great time for Tarryn off-field. The death of his Grandmother, a police investigation, injuries and some social media issues made for a tricky season that limited him to the 10 games after 47 games of a possible 61 in his first three seasons.

We were bullish on TT at the start of 2022 purely based on how he finished the 2021 season. He averaged 101 for the last eight rounds as he built some consistency in his performances.

Looking forward, Tarryn will have a point to prove. He will probably need a role similar to what he finished 2021 with to see the Fantasy points jump to making him a great pick. He averaged 34% of NMs centre-bounce attendances in 2022, down from 40% in 2021 (although that figure did grow to around 50% half-way through the season).

The Herald Sun suggested he could be the bullocking, huprib midfielder/forward or that the Roos may opt to give him a new lease on life in a quarterback role in defence. We’ll believe the latter when we see it, but it would be great for his Fantasy game.

Why shouldn’t I pick him?

Some of those scores were awful last year.

Six of them were 50 or less, including a 17 which came from 78% TOG. The only score to write home about was 90 against Freo in round eight where he had 18 disposals and 7 tackles.

Thomas was dropped “partly due to form but also for failing to meet team standards” and finished the season in the VFL. He posted some nice numbers in the last month with scores of 102, 86, 115 and 109.

If he’s playing predominently as a FWD, the upside may not be enough to warrant selection. He’d need to be pushing up the ground to not only lift is disposal numbers, but also marks – he almost halved his average marks last season – and tackle numbers which were at a career low average.

New coach Alistair Clarkson discussed Thomas’ distractions last year. “In Tarryn’s situation, he had some things going on in his life. It is a good reminder that sometimes what goes on in life is much more impotant than what happens in a footy club”.

Hopefully this is a positive thing and the relationship that they build will take Tarryn back to being the best version of himself.

It has been mentioned that Thomas had some off-season surgery, but I haven’t found anything defintive and he’s been pictured in what appears to be full training prior to Christmas.

 

View this post on Instagram

 

A post shared by Tarryn Thomas (@tarrynthomas26)

Deck of DT Rating.

JACK

Picking Tarryn could make or break your Fantasy team in 2023.

If he can push back up to that 80 average of 2021, then he’s a great selection under $500k. Being priced at 54 would need to see him do 75 at least in my opinion. The issue is the other forwards we are picking. Will be possibly go in with some more ‘set-and-forget’ premiums? Toby McLean, for a bit cheaper, is a bigger lock. Having the duo might be overkill if you’re wanting to fit in some of those big guns up forward.

There’s definite upside and Thomas has to be a pre-season watch. If Clarko can bring out the best in him, then we would want to be on the Tarryn-train this year!

FOLLOW US  ON TWITTER: @DTTALK for all things AFL Fantasy (and more). Got something to say about the Deck or AFL Fantasy in general? Join the conversation and use the hashtag… #AFLFantasy.

Co-captain of DT Talk since we started this thing in 2007. Best finish was 13th in 2009... that was a long time ago. Follow on Twitter: @WarnieDT

25 Comments

25 Comments

  1. Some random

    January 13, 2023 at 10:36 am

    Is there a “my team” coming soon Warnie? Thomas is in my preseason watchlist, wont be in my team until i see a good role for him under clarko

  2. Squid

    January 13, 2023 at 10:47 am

    As an MFer I’d say he’s a better pick than bow and arrow boy but still a pass from me at this stage.

    • BrickTop2

      January 13, 2023 at 11:42 am

      Not for me.

  3. Daicos4Brownlow

    January 13, 2023 at 12:00 pm

    Last year, his 2021 average, and the way he ended the year, had everyone thinking he was going to go 100+. At least, the build-up this year is that he may go 80s again. He sits on the watchlist, but doesn’t make the team yet – at Norf, he may not even make the team. See how (if) Clarkson uses him in the preseason. Clarkson will not select him if he is going to be a sloth.

  4. The Chosen Won™®©

    January 13, 2023 at 2:59 pm

    Need 83 min to make it work as a mid priced value pick.

    I think he will go close…

    2017 CL Champion™®©
    I smashed da Minj 2019 2020 2021 2022™®©
    Good Luck in 2023™®©

    • Squid

      January 13, 2023 at 11:06 pm

      Pending rookies or more importantly lack thereof he is a maybe but for no good reason I feel we may have better depth this year.

  5. JungleMuffin

    January 13, 2023 at 4:43 pm

    This deck of DT card seriously triggers me.

    Did me dirty last season, on my never again list, but here we are.

    Currently in my team :s

    • Phteven

      January 13, 2023 at 5:17 pm

      Don’t worry Jungle muffin, you have 62 days to offload him.

      • JungleMuffin

        January 18, 2023 at 7:23 pm

        Now what to do with the other 57? xD

    • Daicos4Brownlow

      January 13, 2023 at 6:46 pm

      The low starting price is so tempting, but memories of last year come flashing back. I can just have this vision of rage trading him early on, then having this same article again next year. At the moment, I am resisting the temptation. The decision may be made for us. If Clarko plays him, he has probably shown that he is not going to be in sloth mode, and I will consider him. If he is not putting in at training, Clarko is unlikely to select him. If he goes into sloth mode during a game, he will have a very short season in the AFL.

      • Phteven

        January 13, 2023 at 7:19 pm

        There’s a few of these mid price madness clowns on offer at similar tempting prices. Thomas, Tucker and Worpel have all been spoken to by my list management boys and they are under consideration for my team. No one has been offered a contract yet, that will happen after practice matches.

        • Daicos4Brownlow

          January 13, 2023 at 8:00 pm

          Thomas, Tucker and Worpel are all repeat offenders – all in this same conversation last year.

          • Phteven

            January 14, 2023 at 8:29 am

            It now appears that Tucker is struggling to be fit by season’s start so my list management boys have said, it’s out the door, Lenore!

        • Squid

          January 16, 2023 at 8:21 pm

          Thomas can really play though, Will be close to the top if I need a restructure.

  6. Montero Lamar Hill

    January 13, 2023 at 7:14 pm

    No way Josè

  7. Big Feller

    January 13, 2023 at 8:09 pm

    Can we please post more pictures of his missus?

  8. JungleMuffin

    January 18, 2023 at 4:30 pm

    Ok. This loser is back on the never again list.

    • Phteven

      January 18, 2023 at 5:29 pm

      My list management boys offered him a contract earlier in the day, but I am now cancelling it!

      • Daicos4Brownlow

        January 18, 2023 at 8:36 pm

        Same

Leave a Reply

More in Deck of Dream Team