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The Thursday Scramble

The Thursday Scramble: Round 8

To double down or not to double down… that is the question.

Over a third of the way through the season and how is your team shaping up?  Better than mine I hope!  As I have heard Selby say a few times now this game is getting harder and harder because the coaches are getting better and better.  There aren’t as many nuffies out there anymore with most coaches now being very astute and the volume of information out there for people is huge.  So, where does that leave us?  Well this week we will look at a couple of issues and answer a few questions as we prepare to head in to the weekend and Scramble!

Fixture Alert!

After just the one week of regular fixturing the AFL have thrown us another curve ball as we have another double header on Friday night with one game in Adelaide starting at 7:30 est and the second game in Perth starting at 8:40 est.  So you have four teams to worry about in Port, Bulldogs, Fremantle and North Melbourne.  So if you want to do any trades involving these teams (which includes flipping them around the place to get your trades done) then you have to do them before Friday night’s kick off.  What it does do though is gives you a few more chances at a VC or and E loophole.  This is particularly true in Draft games where you have lockout set to be the first game on a Saturday!

Why do we have this again this week?  It is Mothers Day on Sunday and they are traditionally poorly attended games so the AFL has just the two games scheduled for that day.

Double Down?

There are a number of rookies that are looking like guys we want to be picking up this week with Greg Clark the prime candidate.  With just the two trades in AF and three in the other formats available (via boosts) you need to seriously consider whether or not you want to do a Double Downgrade this week. We often say that we don’t want to do this as it leaves you one premium behind most other coaches right through until your team becomes a full premium side, and for what it is worth I agree. I don’t really want to do a double downgrade this week as I know there are rookies that I need to be getting off of my field.

However, there are circumstances where you would want to do this and that is where you don’t have any rookies that are scoring poorly on your field, you don’t have any rookies that have reached their peak price or there are just too many rookies that you need to take because there aren’t any on the horizon.  All of these are good reasons to do a double downgrade.  The key thing that I am weighing up is that I need to get a heap of cash to get the uber premiums as at the moment I can’t quite reach them so I may want to do it so I can go hard next week. The problem that I see with this is that who knows what next week will bring. It could bring two premium injuries and hence this will see me have to address that whilst having (and leaving) $300-$500k in the bank for a second week which is money that isn’t earning me any on field points.

Is there a right answer? Not really, it comes down to how hard you want to play the game and whether or not you are willing to risk it and not take a premium this week in order to build up a Warne-Chest.  I haven’t made my decision yet and team selection tonight may just force my decision one way or another.

To Boost or not to Boost…

AF only players have a bit of a rest for this section as this only applies to Supercoach and RealDreamteam (although hopefully AF bring this in one day as I think it is a good addition as I really want to use 3 in AF this week).

There has been a lot of chat on the Supercoach podcasts this week about the use of Trade Boosts and how many people have left.  We had 5 of them at the start of the season and they allow us an extra trade in any one of 5 weeks across the season.  So far I have used two of them. Many coaches decided to hold them for Covid issues later in the season but it seems now the majority of coaches are using them to increase the speed with which they can upgrade their sides to full premium. I am now starting to be in column B.  If you think about it, once you have fully upgraded your side you are then sitting on your trades and only really trading for an injury or a real dip in form. So if you have expedited your rise to full premium, you really shouldn’t have too many trades to do each week after the bye rounds and hence you can use those for Covid issues if they arise rather than relying on a trade boost.

However you use them, just remember they come out of your overall allocation of 35 trades, I hope you are using them wisely!

#AskDunny

This is a tricky one because in an ideal world we don’t want to have any red dots at all and we would like to have a team of green dots either earning us points or cash. For the record I had 4 last week with two due to injury. Ideally you want to have no more than 4 which means you have an emergency available on the three key lines with maybe no cover in the ruck. There are two reasons this isn’t a bad number as (depending on when your red dot plays) you can then loop your emergencies and hopefully maximise your score that way.

If you have no rookies to upgrade and have a ‘full premium’ team then you should look to start fixing up your red dots. For me though, upgrading rookies is the first priority and if one of them happens to be a red dot too, then even better.

I like both of those trades I think. But for me Carroll has only played just the one game and will he hold his spot/TOG when Hewett returns to the side?  I am also a bit unsure on Brodie going forward and if you are planning to trade him out at some stage then trade number two looks to be good as you are moving on a rookie and a mid pricer to two premiums. The only thing that will do is leave you less cash for the following week’s upgrades and you can probably get a good look at Carroll too without him rising too much if he doesn’t have a big game.

As I said above in my Double Downgrade section there are always arguments both ways.  I don’t mind the downgrades you are talking about as Rachele has to go and Clark has to come in.  McComb has already had a few price rises too.  But if you are looking to get Cripps in then you probably want to do it sooner rather than later as his price will get out of reach soon and by getting Cripps you aren’t one premium behind everyone else with your upgrade cadence.  Daicos has a high BE now and there has been talk of a sore foot and even a rest coming and Brodie is also starting to lose some cash with a high BE.
If I had to do one of those I would do Rachele to Clark and Daicos to Cripps (only because I think he is likely to get a rest soon).

Neale.  I am sure you are kicking yourself for not starting him. I just think that if you are set on one of those two I go Neale for pure point scoring just because he is in a better team. As you say all their stats are pretty even (including identical BE’s which both should attain fairly easily this week).

Things to Remember

  • Two games on Friday night so make sure your team is set before you go to the Pub for after work drinks
  • There are only 4 more rounds before the byes
  • Tickets to DTTalk Live in Adelaide are on sale now so come and have a beer with the guys (and me)

Have a great weekend everyone and Happy Mothers Day to all the Mothers that read this column each week.  Remember to just keep looking for ways to upgrade your team each week but have a view a few weeks in advance so you can at least have a plan of what you want your lineup to look like before you get there (and before injuries etc hit).

A passionate Port Adelaide Fan who simply loves footy! That is how I would describe myself. Catch my weekly article "The Thursday Scramble" with all the last minute things to think about for the weekend Follow: @pkd73.

39 Comments

39 Comments

  1. jjbkeeper

    May 5, 2022 at 10:07 am

    Re red dots, should I look at trading out Rachele+JHF given they seem to have hit their ceiling, or trading out a few of the red dot rookies? Thinking Mead+J.Smith if they aren’t named.

    • jjbkeeper

      May 5, 2022 at 10:08 am

      To clarify, it would be Upgrade+Downgrade trade (Parker+M. Rioli/J.Carroll)

      • pendles4brownlow

        May 5, 2022 at 11:09 am

        Rachele has been brilliant for our teams, but he peaked after gaining $208k and has lost $16k of that already. BE of 76, which he has not reached since round 4, so it is likely he will be hemorrhaging money. JHF’s BE is level with his average, and it is likely he will now start to lose money, but not too much, and he will play and be good cover on your bench. So, you could look at a mixed approach – Rachelle and a red dot out. I am giving JHF one more week.

        • jjbkeeper

          May 5, 2022 at 11:37 am

          Nice call. Thinking I’m keeping Smith in as a loophole option. If Mead doesn’t play, he won’t be worth a loophole given he plays on Friday night. Thanks for the feedback as usual mate.

    • JungleMuffin

      May 5, 2022 at 5:54 pm

      Upgrading has to be your first objective, and if you can do it in a way that improves subs, even better. As long as you have enough cash gen/emergiences/players for the buys, red dots start to become less important at this stage.

  2. Mike

    May 5, 2022 at 1:25 pm

    Goodbye to Daicos this week for Parker or English.
    JFH is already gone. Fielding NOD then I’ll flog him off.

  3. pendles4brownlow

    May 5, 2022 at 1:36 pm

    Get Clark off your field – out due to H&S protocols

    • Bill

      May 5, 2022 at 5:23 pm

      That’s all I needed.

  4. pendles4brownlow

    May 5, 2022 at 1:39 pm

    Daicos ill. This weekend could become a donut factory

  5. Mike

    May 5, 2022 at 4:04 pm

    Eagles are cactus. No mercy, Neale captain.

    • pendles4brownlow

      May 5, 2022 at 4:07 pm

      Yes, but VC Brayshaw, because Freo are against the other set of witches hats

      • Mike

        May 5, 2022 at 4:12 pm

        I’d better vc Neale, then if needed I’ll captain either Gawn, Trac, Steele or Cripps.

        • Ando the brain dead barfly

          May 5, 2022 at 4:48 pm

          VC Neale, C Crippa for me

  6. JungleMuffin

    May 5, 2022 at 5:23 pm

    Clark out throws a spanner into the works for people this week.

    • Mike

      May 5, 2022 at 5:28 pm

      I can reverse him still. Wait a week to get him.
      See what rookies get named.
      I’ve got Combi and Hamilton already.

  7. Mike

    May 5, 2022 at 5:31 pm

    Dusty back.

  8. The Choozler

    May 5, 2022 at 5:52 pm

    Was gonna buy Clacker this week, but will experiment with Combdog instead. Can be E on Friday night and if he performs can be looped in.

  9. JungleMuffin

    May 5, 2022 at 6:24 pm

    Is this confirmed?

  10. Tony

    May 5, 2022 at 7:17 pm

    What two combos of premiums should I get I can get two 930k or below players or a 950k player and someone below 900k

    • Tony

      May 5, 2022 at 7:20 pm

      Thinking of getting Miller and Oliver ^^

    • John1

      May 6, 2022 at 9:07 am

      If you dont have cripps, then get him, Miller the second choice. If you have either of those 2 then id take a quick look at your bye structure as well.

  11. Nic

    May 5, 2022 at 8:44 pm

    Who to captain this week? Does Gawn have a blinder against the saints or is Macrae due for a big round after 2 quiet weeks?

  12. Cooper

    May 5, 2022 at 8:49 pm

    Cooper Stephens or Cooper Hamilton?

    • LJB

      May 6, 2022 at 8:16 am

      Stephens for the extra cash

  13. LJB

    May 6, 2022 at 8:18 am

    Help! Pick one – Ollie Wines, Tim Taranto or Josh Kelly. All similarly priced?

    • jjbkeeper

      May 6, 2022 at 8:35 am

      I’d say Kelly based on value.

  14. jjbkeeper

    May 6, 2022 at 8:38 am

    Team announcements have thrown some curveballs. Suggestions on:
    Crouch\Rachele to Parker\Stewart (using DDPs)
    OR
    Crouch\Rachele to Parker\Carroll + $$

  15. Lyndon John Berwick

    May 6, 2022 at 8:54 am

    Number 1 for me mate!

  16. Borris Norris

    May 6, 2022 at 9:00 am

    Hey guys trade help please :)

    A)
    Connor McDonald > McComb
    Tim English > Taranto

    B)
    Hold English
    McDonald > Carroll
    Xerri > Parker

    C)
    Xerri > McComb
    JHF > Cripps/Miller
    Would have to play Dixon/Durdin to cover Tim English.

  17. Doug

    May 6, 2022 at 10:16 am

    Carnage, for me.. M. Crouch & C. MacDonald OUT means JHF & W. Brodie get another crack..

    Out goes Crouch & Macca.. In comes T. Miller & C. Stephens (need a green dot at M8)..

    • jjbkeeper

      May 6, 2022 at 11:19 am

      Yeah was not expecting Crouch to be dropped, even though he has been poor. At least he made me $35k, and I was wanting to get rid of him.

      • Doug

        May 6, 2022 at 11:26 am

        Ditto, he’s been serviceable at M5 – M7 at least without being great..

        Although 24 possessions, 4 marks, 4 tackles, 5 inside 50s, 3 rebound 50s, 5 clearances doesn’t scream bad game to me, looks pretty well rounded, but I guess they’re expecting 10-20% more?

  18. Daniel

    May 6, 2022 at 11:18 am

    Anyone think Dusty be good to trade for Rachele then upgrade JHF for Parker. Was thinking either Dusty or Gresham whos been pretty consistent, not sure how Dusty will go.

    • jjbkeeper

      May 6, 2022 at 11:22 am

      My thoughts have been to hold off Dusty for a week or so. It’s been a rough couple of months for him, and though he likes adversity, this is a bit different. I think he will miss his BE of 97, so might be a bit cheaper next week.

  19. Daniel

    May 6, 2022 at 11:25 am

    Cheers, Love to see Dusty back at his best, but see how he goes first. Gresham been pretty solid lately.

  20. Frank

    May 6, 2022 at 1:29 pm

    Who scores more this week?
    Stengle vs GWS or C.Curnow vs Radelaide

  21. Frank

    May 6, 2022 at 4:19 pm

    What is everyone doing with Hewett?

    • Minister for Manila

      May 6, 2022 at 4:39 pm

      Keeping Hewett and playing NOD

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