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Weekend Wash-Up

The Weekend Wash-Up – Round 10

Strap yourselves in for the wrap of round 10.

The byes are nearly here, and carnage continues to trickle through. If ever we needed some luck, it’s during the next month. I’m having flashbacks to 2018 and I don’t like it one bit. Strap in, it’s time for the weekend wash-up.

Legends

Lyons (115) – Only 115? Gun.

Docherty (108) – Weekly appreciation for Sam Docherty. He’s dominating on a wing and it could be the first ever final hour pick I’ve made to start a season that has paid off. What a legend!

Walsh (104) – His final score may not have reflected his game, I honestly thought he was going to score 200 after the first quarter. The hard tag placed on him may be a sign of things to come, he is too bloody good. Honestly who is Connor Rozee?

Mitchell (133) – Oink. Right back on track and looks a good bet to average 115+ for the remainder of the season. I want some more bacon in my team.

Selwood (134) – A blast from the past, but nothing more than that.

Blicavs (129)

Guthrie (105) – If it wasn’t for a shoulder injury Guthrie would have posted yet another monster 130+ score. Instead, his owners have to be concerned what’s to come. He braved it out but I’d be worried. It was carnage amongst the bloodbath at the cattery.

Seedsman (137) – The Seed is quietly putting together an awesome season. He’s getting his fair share of centre bounces when not stationed on a wing and looks awesome. Averaging 96 and flying nicely under the radar.

Keays (126) – This guy is just an absolute jet. He hasn’t dropped under 90 all season and now averages 106. That includes 117 in the last 5 thank you very much. 3% of the competition are howling.

Laird (117) – Legeeeeend.

Oliver (155) – I haven’t owned Clayton Oliver since he was a rookie. That is a stain on my fantasy resume and I want it fixed ASAP. Now he plays 90% TOG and it shows in his scoring. Beast mode.

Petracca (116) – Getting cheap and my first upgrade target post byes. Just so I can get behind the Tractor.

Gawn (129) – Watching the Demons is hard for me. When I finally get big Max in next week it’s going to get just a little bit easier. He may need 10 marks these days to go big, but he’s that good he’ll do it.

Macrae (153) – If you use the dream-stats app, you’ll know the fuzzy feelings you get when your captain’s score goes yellow. His 41 disposals, 9 clearances, and 9 tackles while going at 80% may not have been enough to get a SINGLE coaches vote, but don’t worry Jack. The whole Fantasy community appreciates you. L.E.G.E.N.D.

Bontempelli (138) – Unstoppable. Six rounds ago you could get him for under $750k, since then he has averaged 119. Not bad.

Smith (108) – Adam Treloar’s unfortunate injury has opened the door even further for Bailey Smith, and I think he might barge right through it. We know all about the Doggies gamestyle. They are beating up on teams. And now Bailey Smith is locked in the midfield rotation. He laid a season best 7 tackles in and under, his previous best for the season was 4. I really think he’s about to light it up, but his bye round is a pain. He’s probably worth it regardless. Lachie Hunter I need to see another week from.

Byrnes (107) – This is the kind of nonsense that changes your fortunes heading into the byes. Ryan Byrnes has gone from fringe best 22 to a lock in the Saints side with one great performance, and he is set up perfectly for the byes. Congratulations are in order if you have him. If you couldn’t tell, I don’t.

Darcy (99) – Champion data may have robbed him of a ton, but Big Sean is my boy. I love this guy… Chasing differentials is a lot of fun*

*when they score well

Mills (111) – Obligatory “Callum Mills is pretty good in the midfield” summary. Obviously.

Franklin (117) – Never take this mans greatness for granted. All timer.

Whitfield (119) – Primed for an upgrade in round 13 or 14. He’s going to be a must have.

Green (114) – Wow. Sometimes a players performance and impact just stands out above the rest, and Tom Green had me walking away from that game needing him in my fantasy ASAP. There’s so much Clayton Oliver about him. The inside bull that just needed to be fully unleashed. What’s the difference lately? He has become a legitimate threat in the forward line, so much so that he was hit up on the lead from full forward multiple times. That will take him from a 60-65% TOG player to an 80%+. The midfield clock is also there. I’m all aboard, I think he averages 100+ from here on and is a must pick player next season. Toot toot.

Ward (103) – Talk about a captains last quarter. Not every midpricer has come off, but Callan is picking up steam. I may have 4 GWS midfielders heading into the byes and I regret nothing. Fantasy friendly football.

Grundy (142) – Is it Grundy? It’s Grundy.

Crisp (117) – Taylor Adams didn’t slow him down. Gun.

Poulter (108) – Read above on Byrnes. In fairness Poulter may have been showing glimpses, I honestly didn’t know who he was until this week. Take this to the bank and lock him in until his bye. I’m not chasing these scores, but I can understand why you would and it may pay off.

Hall (122) – I would pay $700k for him in a heartbeat. He’s averaging 120.5 this season. Worth every penny, even with the risk attached. Fantasy legend and genuine gun.

Cunnington (115) – Fair play to Cunnington, I underestimated how good he would be. Another dose of salt into the wound where I would have started him instead of Serong. We move.

Heppell (105) – Hurting Ridley but helping his owners no end, jumping on after his DPP was the play. Legend.

Parish (144) – Hang on, what’s the best player in the competition averaging in his last 5?

Losers

Short (61) – Given the abundance of reliable defenders and the lack of premium forwards, I have huge amounts of drafters regret on Jayden Short. As useful to my team as a chocolate teapot. Dismal.

Martin (66) – That’s what you get from Dusty. He laid what must be a career PB 5 tackles and still only scored 66. In fairness to him Richmond’s last 5 weeks have been as tough as it gets. Just go and look at his next 5 fixtures and you’ll realise he’s still a great option. I think he goes big this week.

Jiath (57) – Jiath snapped his run of going hot and cold by producing two absolute stinkers in a row. If you get a chance to drop him and have Powell off your books, I think he goes. He has been great for those that got on early though! Do what’s best for both parties, don’t let the relationship get toxic.

Phillips (57) – There is no saving this relationship. What a bitch. He’s not even worth my time.

McEvoy (62) – I’ve got my new rule of thumb. Don’t let the relationship get toxic. Cheers for your efforts big boy.

Duncan (62) – This game just sucks sometimes. Duncan was a sure thing to post yet another 130+ score. Instead he’s going to bleed some cash and miss a week. It sucks, but just lick your wounds and move on. Please do not trade him. It’s one week off, an extra week to rest up and then you get the best player in fantasy back for Round 13. If he didn’t have the round 12 bye I’d be packing it, I think it will all work out for Duncan owners. Hang in there.

Smith (49) – Guys. It’s Zach Smith. He has averaged over 70 once in his entire AFL career and he’s coming off an ACL. Head scratcher.

Markov (55) – What a bot. Depending on how things pan out over the next week, I may need Markov until after the byes. That doesn’t give me an ounce of confidence. Ideally he goes this week, but let’s face it there’s too many other problems to deal with. How else has Tom Phillips made it this far.

Anderson (65) – The regret I have for missing Noah Anderson has vanished as quickly as his scoring. That is probably because his scoring has vanished. I just realised I speak total nonsense and I’m not sure why anybody even reads this article. Play on.

O’Brien (63)

Sholl (73) –

Jordon (64) – Is it incredibly harsh to put a rookie in the losers for a score of 60 on the back of him just going 110? Absolutely it is. That doesn’t mean he’s not on the block this week! Harmes is eating into his midfield clock, Viney is nearly back and we’re now relying on 9 tackles to get him to his 60 in 60% TOG. There are alarms going off everywhere in the cockpit and having seen what’s happened to Powell, Warner and Gulden I’m ready to eject. Might be gone next week.

Crouch (73) – This kind of embarrassing performance is why it is so hard to justify owning a St Kilda player. Capable of melting at any given moment, I won’t be going near them. The team is almost as important as the player. Billings, Clark and Ross can all fall under the same banner. Steele might be the only exception, but only when cheaper. Frauds.

Treloar (37) – There’s nothing I can say here that will ease your pain. He scored 37 points, lost $50,000 and now has to be traded. Basically, you’re f**ked. I’d be going to Bailey Smith and using the cash to upgrade a rookie to another value option like Dusty, Heeney or Green. There’s no consolation in that though. Gutting.

Warner (57) – The relationship is quickly souring. He should have gone to Heeney last week, I’ll be fixing that error this week. Thanks for the memories Chad.

Serong (75)

Cumming (67) – It’s all falling apart for my midpricers, and I can’t get rid of them quick enough. It’s lucky Isaac Cumming had kick-outs or this score would have been vomit worthy. Lift.

Houston (45) – How cheap does he have to get for me to trust this? That shoulder must be about to detach. Yikes.

Rozee (48)

Ridley (77) – I still don’t think you can go wrong with Ridley at his current price, but he’s just not that top 6 100+ guy. Temper and adjust your expectations, if he starts to go big it’s a bonus.

Powell (45) – It’s a shame the AFL couldn’t give this jet a rising star when he deserved one, because Finlay Macrae is just as likely to get a nomination at this stage. He has hit the wall and some, pack your bags son.

This Game Sh*ts Me

There’s a lot that Mitch Duncan owners can relate to Nick Holman’s suspension. You execute a perfect move, get rewarded for it and it ends up screwing you. Shame he’s their enemy number one. This game sh*ts me.

The Other Bits and Pieces

2226. 2018 is repeating itself. The utter disaster I faced until Round 5 left me ranked outside the top 14,000, but the blueprint was there. Five weeks later and I’ve been ranked inside the top 1,500 each round, taking me inside the top 1,500 on the season. That’s what happens when you get kissed on the d**k when it really matters. Dunkley, Neale, Treloar, Bolton, Ridley, Dangerfield, Dusty, Houston, Williams. No worries. Stephenson barely counts as his time was nearly up and Reilly O’Brien was self inflicted.

What really scares me is this Round was when my season nearly unravelled. I had done all the bye planning a man could do, only for hours of work to go to waste. Never has someone taken so many bullets in a single week. Fyfe got himself suspended, Dusty pulled his calf and jetted off to New Zealand. Jack Billings finally got dropped. Coniglio gets hurt and rested before his bye. On top of the injuries a young Ridley gets dropped along with two other rookies and Nick Coffield is nowhere to be seen. Suddenly I was staring at 10 red dots on my field. Not even a best 18 is saving that rabble.

What is the point of all this? DO NOT sit there and think I have three trades next week, I can get myself to 18 and be right. It just won’t be that simple. Having said that, sometimes circumstances get taken out of your own hands. The only thing you can do is have an evenly balanced side and hope for the best. Remember, every player you trade in this week will have a week off over the next three weeks.

I made things harder on myself by trading in a permanent red dot in Ronin O’Connor. His value is worthless and the only way I’m sideways trading a basement rookie is if I lay in a body bag and Warnie takes over the reins. The extra 40-80 points it nets me in the worst case scenario I suffer donuts in both weeks still isn’t worth chasing.

I’m very light on in Round 14, in fact Rory Laird and my rucks are the only premiums I own in the final bye. As much as I’d love to get Dusty this week, I’m taking Heeney instead. I’d also love to get Bailey Smith in the guts, but the same story holds. I am praying to the Fantasy gods that Highmore comes in for me this week, it would truly be a godsend. If he doesn’t, I’ll be teetering on the edge of fielding 18 in Round 12 before this weekend even kicks off. Tom Green will have to wait two weeks and Adam Cerra will be my guy. Not ideal, but I like what I saw from Cerra and I just don’t see any legitimate Round 14 options under Christian Petracca.

Powell -> Green/Cerra

Warner -> Heeney

I’m just going to do everything I can to not jinx myself this week. It will be a close my eyes and pray job, score aside I just want one more clean bill of health. Is that too much to ask? Probably. Good luck legends, we’re going to need it.

52 Comments

52 Comments

  1. Cooper

    at

    G’day Matt, Bailey Smith or Lachie Hunter? Cheers

    • Aby Benny

      at

      hunter

      • Cooper

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        Thanks AB, appreciated mate

      • JoelSelwood#1

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        Joel Selwood is a better pickup imo. Due to his price and recent and hopefully upcoming performances. With danger and duncan out I hope to see him increase against collingwood this weekend.

        • Aby Benny

          at

          yeah good point.

    • Matt

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      Smith

  2. Squid

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    You did read the article yeah?

    • Cooper

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      Needed to see Lachie one more week do mean? SC Talk peep are leaning to Lachie. I’m not sure either way having owned both last year

      • Jame

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        think he was talking about the dude saying to pick up selwood.

      • Matt

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        Weirdly, Lachie Hunter wasn’t on the wing after Treloar went down. Mitch Hannan moved onto the wing in the last quarter, and Hunter only scored 16 points. Hence why I’m wanting to wait a week on Hunter, Bailey Smith looks set to go.

  3. Squid

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    Thanks again Matt, great stuff as usual except for one little thing, you’ve been smashing it for weeks! It must be hard keeping the rage when you’re wiping the floor with the competition. That said well done and I hope you can keep it up but I do feel a bit guilty looking forward to the almighty rant to come in the event it all goes pear shaped.

    • Matt

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      Hahaha it’s coming mate, I know it.

  4. JMD012

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    Hey Matt! No love for Cripps?
    My dilemma looks like this
    Cripps (Trade in) and then Waterman (already have in team but would need to play field)
    Hunter (Trade in) and then Byrnes (already have in team but would need to play field)
    Am not sure which combination will be most beneficial for the next 2 weeks especially because that is when Waterman will be traded out. Then beyond after the byes.
    What does everyone think?

    • Kate

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      I was in the same boat re: bringing in Cripps vs Hunter. However I’ve gone rogue with my trades and instead bringing in Hall & Byrnes (aiming for a league win only). I’m hoping I can get Crippa next week.

    • JOEL SWELLEDOOD

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      NOPE ALL BAD JOEL SWELLDOOD

    • Matt

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      Yep I noted Cripps, my issue is he has had 10 tackles the last two weeks. If you think that’s sustainable then by all means. Just don’t think he has the ceiling I’m chasing, I prefer Green and Smith that are even cheaper

      Byrnes on field would be nice though. I’d take Hunter over Cripps

      • Kate

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        Good points, thanks Matt.

      • JMD012

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        Thankyou ever soo much Matt, Very Insightful, I think that is very Valid, and am swaying toward Hunter now

  5. Screech

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    so do I trade treloar to Petracca or b smith and pocket the cash?

  6. TJ

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    Is Kyle Langford a decent option?

    • Matt

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      Very intriguing centre bounce numbers since Stringer went down. On the watchlist for me this week, I won’t stop you

  7. cody

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    considering hunter has 6% less ownership and isn’t that much more expensive would be be the pod play? gonna go treloar to either hunter/green/smith and either farrar or jones to poulter

    • Daniel

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      won’t be a pod anymore if everyone thinks like that… plus that is not 6% of everyone still playing but 6% of the entire thing. There are tonnes of registrations but less than half actually still play

  8. Matt

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    I am team Bailey Smith this week, love Green too. I need to see one more week from Lachie Hunter, he went missing late. Dogs may have just been trialling things because the game was won of course.

  9. LB

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    Treloar and Powell to:

    Oliver/Poulter
    Dusty/Cripps or Prestia or someone below 624k

    • Aby Benny

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      option 1.

  10. Blake

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    Who should i trade for Treloar if i already have b smith?

    • Aby Benny

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      if you don’t have either RCD, byrnes or poulter, and you have a decent amount of mid premiums already, I’d bank the money by trading to them. But on the other end if you don’t have macrae get him in. Depends on your rookie and bye situation.

  11. Nathan Ablett

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    Powell and farrar to Byrnes and Heeney or byrnes and weightman. With on obviously leaving more cash in the bank for upcoming weeks.

    • Aby Benny

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      hopefully heeney produces more good scores, I’d go first option. Unless your planning a needed upgrade in the coming weeks (like some cheaper ruck to gawn/grundy), I’d go first option. Heeney underpriced as well.

  12. Daniel

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    Already have b smith after holding since r2, wondering if I hold farrar one more week if he doesn’t play because then I can trade warner and get a good premium (like petracca), or I could get tom green but I really don’t want to trade him in with the r12 bye

  13. JC

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    Serong – Kelly and Powell – Poulter
    or
    Powell – Weightman and Warner – Fyfe
    Thanks

    • Aby Benny

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      option 1 everyday, kelly top 3 fwd and poulter good js and cash gen after his ton. You can always hold warner until his bye (last round bye), which is when you should trade him.

  14. Jmak

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    Just wondering what peoples thoughts are on Taylor Garner v Cody Weightman
    Taylor Garner Nth Melb 407K
    averaging 89.5 (scored 89 and 90 in the last two games)
    Plays STK the week
    vs
    Cody Weightman Western Bulldogs $295k
    Averaging 74.5 (scored 73 and 76 in the last two games)
    Plays Melbourne This week

    My main concern is that Weightman score consists of two goals a game, however he is 100k cheaper
    and reckon his job security is safter

    • Aby Benny

      at

      Yeah garner underrated, and he should score well against saints, who give up a lot of points. Weightman’s a good pick and should hold his spot after a few good performances. But weightman’s be is negative, so tempting. Either option you can play BE game and if one of them fails you can jump off and they’ll have made a good amount of cash. Hard choice, but I’d save the money and go weightman as they’re both probs not keepers till end of season, and could be similar prices in a few rounds as I don’t think garner will keep this score up (after the saints match).

    • Phteven

      at

      I was thinking the same with Garner versus Weightman. Was initially gonna roll with Garner, but have discovered his history is riddled with injury.

    • Aluniesheis

      at

      Not just that, Garner’s injury history means he has struggled to play lots of consecutive games, and not with a high scoring profile (except for the last two games- but against Hawthorn and Essendon- buyer beware).

  15. Brad

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    What’s this dream stats app then? Can’t seem to find it in the App Store.

  16. Pesh

    at

    What about Narkle? Any love there or will these scores disappear once Duncan is back?

    • Aluniesheis

      at

      Narkle, I liked him last year and then he went by the wayside. I’d buy him if Geelong had the last buy, but he could play and score 100 this week and then for their next game be out of the midfield if Duncan, Guthrie and Danger all back.

  17. ShredderPigs

    at

    Do we trade O’Brien out? And why? Why not?

    • Aby Benny

      at

      If you have no forced trades or more important things, I’d get him to gawn or grundy ASAP. Not worth holding. If you want to save coin the best value pick would be darcy.

      • ShredderPigs

        at

        Thanks mate. Was thinking Darcy for the moment then swing him forward. Great value pick

    • Aluniesheis

      at

      The trade was last week to Ladhams or Darcy, but maybe right now you think about him like you would any mid pricer coming into the bye and thus if you can get him to a premium you do it.

  18. Bec

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    hey Kate, hope u r a girl, nice to see another chick on here :)
    I like your Trades of Hall and Byrne, a bit of cash being spent.
    Hope the rest of ur team is ok . Hall has been going great guns, just hope u havnt missed the boat, he should still go up in price.

    from the girl who loves her feet slimed

    • Aluniesheis

      at

      I got Hall a few weeks ago, I was just responding to a question about Hall or Whitfield. I think you need both, but with Hall’s BE of 62, this is your last week unless you wait until R13, but that’s when you want to buy Whitfield.

  19. Tom

    at

    Hey mate – any reason dream stats got removed from App Store

  20. Matt

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    Still there for me but I’m android

  21. Yamzz

    at

    Duncan for Crisp?

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