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Trent’s Take: More bye round planning

Last year’s winner looks at some more ideas ahead of the byes.

Last week was a tough week for those who captained Merrett (like me), but there is always next week, and so we delve into the second of our pre-bye planning weeks. This week we look at some of the sides who have a tough run to isolate some potential pitfalls and maybe a hidden gem. The focus for this week is Fremantle, Bulldogs, St Kilda, Carlton and Collingwood.

Collingwood

How weird is Fantasy, Will Hoskin Elliott off a wing scored 113. But if you’ve been following our discussion over the SCG Eastern wing, the ball lives on that side (someone might be able to tell me why- think Nik Cox). There are two potential buys at Collingwood and the rest should not be touched: Crisp and Daicos. After his gastro game last week Daicos bounced back with 91 and Crisp is a consistent gun who can be bought any time with confidence.  The ruck nemesis Hickey weaved his magic against Grundy, but he is against Ladhams this week. The problem for Collingwood is they play Port who stifle midfielders and then Geelong.  The upshot is, unless you love Crisp or think Maynard will stop tagging then Collingwood are off limits.

Fremantle

Fremantle now have 2 hard games against Sydney and Port Adelaide. The only real buys to consider are Brayshaw and Fyfe, although some may like Cerra after his injury lay off. These are Brayshaw’s OS scores this year, 127, 54 (tagged), 121, 103. The question becomes will Hewett tag Brayshaw (soft-tag on Pendlebury for 80).  Essendon give up a truckload of points to midfielders so just maybe Hall and Cunnington will be the big scorers this week.  I think Fyfe is value (injury history aside) and he averages 102 against Sydney, 101 Port and 102 Bulldogs. A smokey is Cerra at 590 K (Be of 115). Injured on 17 with 86 against Essendon in his first game back. He could be a bye option for those strapped for cash and wanting to upgrade Powell (remember though Powell is playing Essendon- although I think he is a sell) or Bergman/Farrar via DPP.

Western Bulldogs

Coming off a tough game against midfielders at Port and they now go up against St Kilda, who didn’t use Ross to tag against Geelong, and then Melbourne and Fremantle. It looks tailor made for the helmeted one Caleb Daniel (who like many sold him weeks ago). But he is down back again and a BE of 63 and priced at 584K. I hate buying the same player twice in a season, but if you’ve never owned him, you could go Bergman to Daniel (personally I’d go Ridley). Again, St Kilda gave up midfield scores and so if for some reason you only own 1 Bulldog player, here is your chance to buy another. On the other hand, a ballsy move might be to upgrade Treloar (BE of 123) to a premo gun like Lyons.

St Kilda

I was itching to talk about Brad Crouch, which might be redundant if he is out with a busted cheekbone, but until last week, Crouch scores well when St Kilda play well and goes hopeless when they don’t. I thought St Kilda played well and should have won, and Crouch was superb considering the amount of time he spent off the ground, his scores in other games St Kilda have played well, 125, 105, 109 and now 111 whilst his low scores have been 72, 86, 49. So if Crouch is fit and you think St Kilda will play well against Bulldogs, North, Swans and Adelaide than he is a buy this week (BE of 80 at 671K) As we’ve mentioned before, Billings is still an option with a BE of 74. The other factor now is the St Kilda midfield minus Marshall. I will at least look before I buy.

Carlton

They play the Hawks and the Swans, so if you have Walsh and Docherty, it should be good- but there is a warning.   Hawthorn’s defence looks jittery and Carlton’s forwards like McKay might kick 6 (if his shoulder stays in).  Look for Curnow to go to Mitchell but will Worpel go to Walsh. Too many risks for me with Carlton. One day some team will tag Walsh all around the ground- maybe the worpedo will be the first, but maybe Hewett also to follow.

Best of the rest

We’ve warned you off a few players, but here are some players I will be targeting over the coming weeks based on draw and bye coverage. I want a Brisbane Lions player and will buy one of these four because they score huge in wins and at the Gabba: Lyons, Zorko, Rich, or McCluggage.  If your bye coverage is locked in, you could go a Geelong player like Duncan, Guthrie or Stewart, although I have noticed he is man marking far too much in the last 2 weeks.

Upshot: Get Ridley or one of the big dogs in Guthrie, Duncan, Lyons: Avoid: St Kilda, Collingwood, and Carlton midfield. Long shot: Cerra. Game: Look at the North v Essendon game as there will be some big scores and will the tagging nemesis of Turner go to Merrett or to the now equally dangerous Parish.

Score was well down with Merrett as captain and now ranked 1555. Well, them’s the breaks and we carry onto this week.

Trent Sutcliffe, coach of 'aluniesheis', won AFL Fantasy Classic in 2020, one of the most challenging seasons to date.

131 Comments

131 Comments

  1. Scott

    May 20, 2021 at 2:13 pm

    Thanks for another great read Trent.
    I currently don’t have a playing R3 (have the two G’s). Do you think I can get through R14 without a ruckman if I can make my other lines stronger or should I get Ladhams now for next 4 weeks?

    • Aluniesheis

      May 20, 2021 at 4:13 pm

      I am doing the same (well, virtually with Flynn). I am just going to have 18 on all other lines for R14, or I could push McEvoy back for a week. You can do that with Ladhams and Darcy also if required.

  2. Scott

    May 20, 2021 at 2:20 pm

    Thinking of Ladhams next week when his price drops – for rounds 11-14

    • Aluniesheis

      May 20, 2021 at 4:12 pm

      Ladhams BE is 72, I am not sure he will be dropping after his solo ruck 98 last week, but he might only go up 10 K. Remember his score projections are largely based on being second ruck to Lycett.

  3. James

    May 20, 2021 at 2:35 pm

    Hi Trent.
    Would you go

    Walsh + 0k
    B crouch + 100k
    Dusty + 200k

    • Aluniesheis

      May 20, 2021 at 4:10 pm

      Dusty

  4. Harmes

    May 20, 2021 at 4:00 pm

    Best trade ins

    1. B crouch and poulter or
    2. Dusty and Heeney?

    • Aluniesheis

      May 20, 2021 at 4:09 pm

      Both options have 1 area of concern, Crouch with his cheekbone and Heeney with his ankle second up, but between the two I think option 2 is more likely to score 180 than option 1.

  5. Double Parked

    May 20, 2021 at 6:28 pm

    Brayshaw unfortunately out this week. Need to get another rookie off ground so looking at:
    Bray -> Cerra/Ridley
    Powell -> Dusty.

    Can also still afford to go Bray to JKelly but means I’ll be down to max 20 players for Rd12 assuming Scott, Dev Rob and RCD hold their spots.

    I could keep Bray for the week and bring in Dusty but will mean I have 6 rooks which is far from ideal

    Much to think about..

    • Aluniesheis

      May 21, 2021 at 4:15 pm

      Yep. If only you knew if Brayshaw definitely back next week. Otherwise trades are good

  6. Don

    May 20, 2021 at 7:22 pm

    Poulter and Fyfe

    Or

    Weightman and Zorko

    Cheers!

    • Aluniesheis

      May 21, 2021 at 4:14 pm

      Tough, I think Poulter has better JS

      • Don

        May 21, 2021 at 4:17 pm

        Thanks Trent.

        I’m also now thinking Ridley or Daniel instead of the forwards (more confidence and cheaper). Also, I don’t trust Dusty (nor his record against the Lions).

  7. Hello to everyone

    May 20, 2021 at 10:58 pm

    Hi Trent.

    Would you trade or keep Brayshaw? If I keep then 1 less rookie on the ground next week when he comes in. Thoughts?

    • Aluniesheis

      May 21, 2021 at 4:13 pm

      If he comes in, calf soreness hopefully is a week. But if you can loop an eme early in the round and see if you can use Brayshaw that way.

  8. Hello to everyone

    May 21, 2021 at 1:19 pm

    Hi Trent

    Bergman to Harmes or
    Flynn to Dusty?

    • Aluniesheis

      May 21, 2021 at 4:12 pm

      Let seleion dictate, but if all in the you keep Flynn for another week

  9. Battered Savs

    May 21, 2021 at 4:24 pm

    Farrar to Poulter / Fantasia to Dusty
    Or
    Farrar to Byrnes / Fantasia to Ridley/Small Potato

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