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The Thursday Scramble

The Thursday Scramble: Round 5

As Kenny Rogers said, you gotta know when to Scramble!

Wow, what a round that one was. Some great games, some close games, some injuries, some low scores and even a suspension. This is what makes this game so much fun and so challenging. Add to that we are now starting to see some of our rookies not get a game and be rested. There is no better time to Scramble!

Hold ’em or Fold ’em?

We have now reached the fun part of the game…. what to do with injured and suspended players or just blokes that aren’t scoring well!  Do we hold em or do we fold em?

I would love to say there is a simple formula to this but unfortunately there isn’t. As always it comes down to the individual situation of your team. But there are a few ‘golden rules’ that I can suggest and things that I think of when we are looking at situations like this. Most seasoned players will be all over this but some of the newer players may not be.

Short Term Suspensions
We have a prime example of that this week with Caleb Daniel out for a week. Whilst there is a heavy desire to trade him out (I have that feeling personally), it may not be the best play to make. We know he is only out for one week, we know he isn’t injured so can still run and participate in full training and we know that he will come straight back into the side in Round 6. So here you need to weigh up whether or not you have cover on the benches. A few weeks ago we were all boasting about having 30 playing players in our sides, well now we aren’t so lucky and it can cause a problem. If you have someone on your bench like a Chapman from Freo then you could be forgiven for holding Daniel. This is certainly what you should be trying to do when you are playing the limited trade forms of the game. Even in AF, if you can survive for a week with Caleb on the bench then you can use your trades to fix up somewhere else in your side and be stronger once he comes back. Usually the max you want to hold here is for 2 weeks, anything longer than that you would be looking to trade.

Underperforming Premium
Caleb can fall into this category too. Two of his last three games haven’t been good and the last one was simply horrible. So even taking the above into account you may want to trade him out as we know he will lose plenty of value in the next couple of games he plays. What you can do is look to trade him out now with a view that he will be significantly cheaper in a couple of weeks and you can bring him back in then and you have effectively played the breakeven game. Certainly a very good strategy for building value in your side. The only downside here is whether or not you have the available trades or cash later on to bring them back in as we know there is always a new problem being thrown at us by the Fantasy gods.

A rookie that has had a bad score
I am sure that James Jordon is on many lists as a player that may be traded out this week thanks to his low score on Sunday at the G. This is a tough one because since the low score has only just happened. So what this means that their price will be stalled until this score drops out of the pricing cycle. What you need to consider here is whether or not this is a one off or if it is looking to be an ongoing trend. By trading him out now you may be cashing him in an missing out on potential future price rises. Normally we would look to make over $100k from a rookie at a minimum. So often we will wait to see what happens this week, that is just the risk we take.

When you get down to it the real key in terms of holding someone that isn’t playing this week is having adequate cover. If you can improve other parts of your team whilst holding your premium that is either injured, suspended or not performing quite at the right level over the last week or two then this will benefit your team in the longer term. This will take nerves of steel when you are sitting there with a superstar on the bench while you are watching a $180k rookie trying to make up some points in their place!  Good Luck!!

When do I worry about Byes?

We still have quite a few rounds to go before the byes but the time to start thinking about the byes is when you start to upgrade players that you will have in your side through that period. Don’t let it completely dominate your decision however keep it in the back of your mind and it can certainly help you as a tie breaker if you can’t split two players.

We will talk about Byes in the coming weeks but just have it in the back of your mind at this stage.

Things to Remember

  • Rookies will fail. Don’t panic, they won’t always be great each week and they will be up and down. Sometimes you just have to ride the rollercoaster.
  • If a superstar fails on a weekend, don’t worry too much as most of the competition is likely to be in the same boat.
  • Have your trades planned out and have options. We have talked about this already this season but just thought I would give you a reminder.

Sorry for the short one this week folks, I have had a very busy week which has precluded me from being able to go into too much detail for you. Hopefully you have a good weekend of scoring. Just remember that this game is a marathon not a sprint. Don’t worry too much about a low scoring week which is what we saw last week.
Have a great weekend and I will be back next week and try and provide you with some more insights to help you get to the top of your league.

A passionate Port Adelaide Fan who simply loves footy! That is how I would describe myself. Catch my weekly article "The Thursday Scramble" with all the last minute things to think about for the weekend Follow: @pkd73.

48 Comments

48 Comments

  1. Jimmy

    April 15, 2021 at 6:28 am

    You’re a legend Dunny, love these articles every week.

    Probably a double downgrade week for me, sigh. Probably swing in ROB for Flynn if I can.

    carn ports!

  2. anth80

    April 15, 2021 at 6:34 am

    Dunny.

    Awesome read yet again.
    I’m in a dilemma this week as I have another forced trade. Only my 6th so far this season.

    My question.
    What’s better.
    Highmore to Jones and Sloane to Parish or Rowe to Jones and Sloane to Ridley??

  3. Dan

    April 15, 2021 at 6:34 am

    Bowes v Treloar?

  4. Mat

    April 15, 2021 at 7:46 am

    May be in line for another donut this week :(
    Butters and Adams are the priorities to drop.
    a) Ridley/Anderson, or
    b) Jiath/Titch + 100k?

  5. Vince

    April 15, 2021 at 9:09 am

    Hi guys
    Option 1 If named Robertson this Macrae next week
    Option two Macrae this week go without Robertson more rooks to come

    • Thebopper58

      April 15, 2021 at 9:19 am

      Vince

      Refer Trent’s take – Rookies at home – it’s a big ask to expect young Macrae to score huge against the Eagles (maybe 50-60 with plenty of tackles) where if named Robertson should out score him at home (if named)
      Good luck with your choice

      • Vince

        April 15, 2021 at 9:32 am

        Thanks the bopper 58 was thinking same but on second thoughts think I want to bring danger in this week it’ll leave me no cash but I’ll have a week to look at Macrae and assess and prop double downgrade next week. I’m struggling with this one it’s still early in the season. Points vs cash gen ???

      • llizardofoz

        April 15, 2021 at 6:38 pm

        Macrae is likely to be a Collingwood staple with Adam out.
        Robertson has about 6 viable replacements on his tail.

  6. Gaffa

    April 15, 2021 at 10:01 am

    Happy Thursday lads, I am a bit lost on what trades to do this week;

    DEF: Stewart, Short, Clark, Cumming, Jiath, Idun (Koschitzke, Highmore)
    MID: Merrett, Adams, Laird, Taranto, Edwards, Gulden, Powell, Jordon (Brockman, Downie)
    RUC: Gawn, Witts (Flynn)
    FWD: Dusty, Phillips, Hind, Warner, Campbell, Robertson (A.Scott, Rowe)
    UTL: Meek

    Cash $107k

    Your expertise is appreciated, thanks in advance!

    • Cam

      April 15, 2021 at 3:18 pm

      Adams and Witt’s have to go, witts preferably to ROB/Grundy, Adams preferably to Treloar/Mitchell

  7. Grovers Guns

    April 15, 2021 at 10:47 am

    Really sweating on whether Flynn plays or not.
    Daniel to D8 for a week.
    Highmore/Bruhn to CJ/Treacy and $73k left over ATM.

    If Flynn doesn’t play then Daniel or DeGoey goes for a rookie and the get Gawn or ROB (Grundy R1, Flynn R2 and Meek R3) – the above doesn’t allow me to put Treacy as R2 for a week as have Hunter in Utility.

    Been smashed this year with 2 forced trades every week until now

  8. SlavicPrincess

    April 15, 2021 at 11:00 am

    Bring in B. Crouch, Treloar, or Titch this week?

  9. Dukx

    April 15, 2021 at 11:11 am

    Its firtually worked out well for me as I don;t have Sholl or Jiath in my team and they are the 2 I’m bringing into my team as I will be Trading out Daniel and Clark

  10. Jacob

    April 15, 2021 at 12:50 pm

    Hi all,
    I am in a bit of a tricky situation with my team as I have: Flynn, Zac Williams, Switkowski, Highmore and Koschitzke
    Would really appreciate some trade ideas from people that know more than me.
    Def: Laird, Docherty, Stewart, Cumming, Williams, Idun (Koschitzke, Highmore)
    Mid: Merrett, Taranto, Walsh, Anderson, Serong, Gulden, Jordan, Powell (Brockman, Robertson)
    Ruck: Grundy, Flynn (Meek)
    For: Dunkley, Phillips, Hind, Switkowski, Warner, Campbell (Rowe, H Jones)
    Uti: Downie

    Any help would be much appreciated, I also have $219k spare cash.

  11. Brucey Don't Like Rusty

    April 15, 2021 at 2:49 pm

    G’day Dunny & Co. Any news on Kosi playing this week? Also my trades are depending on Fantasia if he’s injured? Cheers

  12. Jacob

    April 15, 2021 at 3:45 pm

    Anyone have Switkowski and Highmore trade ideas? Also have 219k spare

    • Brucey Don't Like Rusty

      April 15, 2021 at 4:06 pm

      Highmore>LachieJones
      Switkowski>Treacy, Bergman or Magpies Rookies (FinMacrae, maybe McCreery if in)

  13. Bails

    April 15, 2021 at 3:57 pm

    Just traded Switkowski and Highmore for Jiath and F Macrae. Good trade or should I reverse?

    • Brucey Don't Like Rusty

      April 15, 2021 at 4:10 pm

      I like it. Jiath is on fire. Lachie Jones & Chapman are cheaper options

  14. ShredderPigs

    April 15, 2021 at 6:41 pm

    Can I trade Highmore out tomorrow night after saints play ?

    • Double Parked

      April 15, 2021 at 6:45 pm

      No

      • ShredderPigs

        April 15, 2021 at 6:54 pm

        Cheers mate

        • Peppa

          April 15, 2021 at 7:03 pm

          Will Treacy play? I want to trade Highmore to Treacy but dont want to lock myself out of my trades if he doesn’t play.

          • Grovers Guns

            April 15, 2021 at 7:10 pm

            Treacy will play
            If any tall drops out for Lobb it will be Meek

            • Blood Brothers

              April 16, 2021 at 9:11 am

              I’m not sure, Longmuir had plenty of praise for Meek

        • Double Parked

          April 15, 2021 at 7:25 pm

          Funnily enough, I traded out highmore but it’s saying I can reverse it.. hmm

  15. Bec

    April 15, 2021 at 11:27 pm

    my trade plans

    Daniel to CJ
    Kmart to Gawn

    what do peeps think of those trades, $117,000k left in bank

    from the girl who loves her feet slimed

    • Dulcify

      April 16, 2021 at 9:05 am

      Those trades look very good Bec, good luck.

      • Bec

        April 16, 2021 at 6:06 pm

        thx u Dulcify hope it pays off

        from the girl who loves her feet slimed

    • Allsorts

      April 16, 2021 at 8:08 pm

      who tf is kmart

      • Belly

        April 16, 2021 at 9:18 pm

        DeGoneski

  16. mc

    April 16, 2021 at 6:47 pm

    Thinking of 2 trade ideas atm.
    1. Caleb Daniel/Kozi to CJ/L.Jones (Have highmore on bench so can’t trade him) Leaving 132k
    2. Hold Daniel and trade Dow/Kozi to Treacy/L.Jones

    Team:
    DEF: Laird, Short, Daniel, Clark, Idun, Burgess (Kozi, Highmore)
    MID: Macrae, Merrett, Taranto, Walsh, Gulden, Jordon, Powell, Campbell (Scott, Lazzaro)
    RUC: Gawn, Grundy (Flynn, Hunter UTILITY)
    FWD: Dunks, Phillips, Hind, Fantasia, Warner, Bergman (Rowe, Dow)

    Cheers

    • Allsorts

      April 16, 2021 at 8:06 pm

      rowe/flynn for ROB/treacy or atkins/meek for Grundy/treacy?

    • Belly

      April 16, 2021 at 10:17 pm

      Option 2. As Daniel to CJ requires another trade at some point.
      Unless you can get Daniel up to Ridley/Mills then I would double down.

  17. Ando the brain dead barfly

    April 16, 2021 at 8:36 pm

    Who to field? Sam Berry or James Jordon?

    • Belly

      April 16, 2021 at 10:22 pm

      Jordan, ignore last week.

  18. Bill

    April 16, 2021 at 11:41 pm

    I feel a bit sorry for De Goey, but I made the right move to get rid of him a week ago.

    I made the mistake of bringing in A.Brayshaw two weeks ago, and he will be the next to go unless he picks up this week. It seems he can’t handle a tag.

  19. Justin Stitchup

    April 17, 2021 at 5:08 am

    BergMan or WaterMan?

  20. BrewDog

    April 17, 2021 at 5:46 am

    Gone Sholl over Jiath due to sealing and midfield run with Sloane and Crouch out. My question is Treloar or Danger, leaning towards Danger since I’ll need him at some point anyway. Thoughts legends?

    • Dom

      April 17, 2021 at 5:51 am

      I like Sholl and Danger. Same moves as big Cal. Jiath is on fire but can still pick him up for under £550 next week if need be. With carnage always a risk lately, I now just go for the best player possible and try to worry less about BE.

  21. Riddles

    April 17, 2021 at 5:52 am

    Agree with Dom, BE important but Sholl @ 33 and Jiath at 18 – just go whoever you think will score more. Love the Danger move. Good luck!

  22. Belly

    April 17, 2021 at 12:18 pm

    Stuck on trades, current options are:
    1. Daniel and Serong to Sholl and Treloar $20k left (means missing Jones)
    2. Daniel to Sholl and Meek to Jones 140k left
    3. Meek to Treacy and Kozi to Jones 73k left

    1 should give me highest points this week but no cash generation. 2 is a bit of both but Daniel to Sholl feels a bit sideways. 3 is best for cash gen and clears out 2 dud rooks.

    Thoughts appreciated.

  23. jezza

    April 17, 2021 at 3:20 pm

    I would go number 3 and hold Daniel and hope he can bang some decent scores out again

    • Belly

      April 17, 2021 at 4:49 pm

      Thanks Jezza. I ended up starting off option 2. Decided Daniel likely to drop 70k in the next 3 weeks and Sholl will hopefully gain that and potentially score more points. If Daniel isn’t traded this week then he’s pretty much a hold to the byes. I can now wait for teams for tomorrow and then see if either Meek or Kozi named and decide who to trade to Jones before the port game.

  24. Wolf

    April 17, 2021 at 3:27 pm

    My 3 options for my last trade are:
    1. Meek to ROB and move Flynn to the bench.
    2. Clark to Bowes
    3. Koschitzke to CJ/Sholl then Idun/Jones can go to the bench.
    If I do 2 or 3 I need to take Hunters 53.
    What do we think?

  25. fedez

    April 17, 2021 at 10:06 pm

    Take all rookie scores over 50 and trade to save a donut!

  26. Scott

    April 18, 2021 at 9:51 am

    Do u take Macrae’s score as captain (230) or risk Mitchell or Gawn (or even Laird) to score higher?

  27. dyn@mike

    April 18, 2021 at 11:51 am

    I’m going Titch as POD captain

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