Coronaball winners and losers

Finding value is key to AFL Fantasy as is knowing who may not offer some as they had a big season.

Below are tables of players who decreased their average by 10 or more (equivalent) points in 2020 and the players who increased their output by 15 or more (equivalent) points. These figures have been based off the BCV (x 1.25 due to shortened quarters).

Consider players who could be under-priced due to their time in the hub / awfulness of the 2020 season with a drop in average. Maybe look to avoid some of the big increases in Fantasy Classic if you don’t think they can maintain their numbers… and in Fantasy Draft, just add it to your data when considering your rankings.

Highest 2020 average decreases

2020 data includes averages of players who appeared in 10 or more games. 2019 data includes averages of players who appeared in 5 or more games.

Player	Club	2019 Average	2020 Average	2020 BCV	2020 Games	BCV Diff.
James Harmes		93.7	49.7	62.125	13	-31.575
Darcy MacPherson		87.3	48.1	60.125	12	-27.175
Rory Sloane		99.6	60.6	75.75	12	-23.85
Jarrod Witts		104.4	64.6	80.75	17	-23.65
Jeremy Cameron		87.5	51.1	63.875	17	-23.625
Phil Davis		67.6	36	45	10	-22.6
Mitch Robinson		93.5	57.7	72.125	17	-21.375
Ben McEvoy		83.3	50	62.5	16	-20.8
Mitch Wallis		79.3	47.1	58.875	17	-20.425
Jake Melksham		74.8	43.5	54.375	17	-20.425
Sebastian Ross		94.3	59.2	74	14	-20.3
Jack Redden		91.8	58	72.5	12	-19.3
Jaidyn Stephenson		80.7	49.2	61.5	12	-19.2
Tim Taranto		112.5	75.3	94.125	11	-18.375
Jarryn Geary		67.8	40	50	14	-17.8
Jake Kelly		67	39.8	49.75	15	-17.25
Toby Greene		98.4	65.7	82.125	13	-16.275
Bradley Hill		88.7	58.1	72.625	17	-16.075
Alex Keath		67.1	41.1	51.375	17	-15.725
Aaron Naughton		64	38.9	48.625	11	-15.375
Taylor Walker		63.1	38.4	48	14	-15.1
Luke Shuey		100.9	68.8	86	12	-14.9
Brad Crouch		107.6	74.2	92.75	12	-14.85
Jarrod Harbrow		70.7	44.8	56	13	-14.7
Matt de Boer		69.9	44.7	55.875	13	-14.025
Elliot Yeo		102.9	71.2	89	10	-13.9
Sam Reid		69.3	44.4	55.5	10	-13.8
Josh Dunkley		111.1	77.9	97.375	11	-13.725
Shaun Burgoyne		70.7	45.6	57	13	-13.7
Dane Rampe		79.3	52.5	65.625	11	-13.675
Jake Stringer		65.3	41.3	51.625	10	-13.675
Sam Day		63.7	40.1	50.125	17	-13.575
Jamie Macmillan		75.1	49.3	61.625	10	-13.475
Blake Hardwick		72.3	47.3	59.125	16	-13.175
Matt Taberner		86.4	58.6	73.25	16	-13.15
Heath Shaw		82.6	55.6	69.5	17	-13.1
Marc Murphy		95.9	66.4	83	17	-12.9
Adam Tomlinson		77.5	51.7	64.625	13	-12.875
Brody Mihocek		72.8	48.8	61	16	-11.8
Will Hoskin-Elliott		75.4	50.9	63.625	16	-11.775
Tom Phillips		90.5	63.3	79.125	15	-11.375
Luke Dahlhaus		77.4	53	66.25	12	-11.15
Patrick Lipinski		85.5	59.6	74.5	12	-11
Mason Redman		68.9	46.4	58	13	-10.9
David Zaharakis		79.5	54.9	68.625	10	-10.875
Steven Motlop		64.6	43	53.75	12	-10.85
Nat Fyfe		105	75.4	94.25	14	-10.75
Zac Williams		92.7	65.6	82	11	-10.7
Liam Shiels		95.4	67.8	84.75	16	-10.65
Shannon Hurn		91.4	64.6	80.75	16	-10.65
Daniel Talia		56.6	36.8	46	14	-10.6
Nick Larkey		53.8	34.8	43.5	10	-10.3
Josh Kelly		115.9	84.5	105.625	14	-10.275
Sam Petrevski-Seton		77.7	54.1	67.625	16	-10.075

Highest 2020 average increases

2019 data includes averages of players who appeared in 5 or more games.

Player	Club	2019 Average	2020 Average	2020 BCV	2020 Games	BCV Diff.
Luke Dunstan		86.1	100	125	1	38.9
Jeremy Howe		69.4	85.5	106.875	4	37.475
Matthew Kennedy		48.4	65.6	82	7	33.6
Luke McDonald		58.1	72.5	90.625	17	32.525
Christian Petracca		75.9	86.4	108	17	32.1
Cameron Guthrie		76.7	84.9	106.125	17	29.425
Zac Bailey		48.2	61.8	77.25	17	29.05
Dan Butler		48.4	60.2	75.25	17	26.85
Andrew Brayshaw		69.5	76.4	95.5	17	26
Jack Lukosius		52.3	62.3	77.875	17	25.575
Blake Acres		67.5	74.4	93	7	25.5
Jed Anderson		78.9	83.3	104.125	15	25.225
Sam Menegola		77.6	82.1	102.625	17	25.025
Jackson Nelson		48.3	58.2	72.75	14	24.45
Josh Daicos		63.2	69.8	87.25	16	24.05
Cam Rayner		45	54.3	67.875	15	22.875
Alex Witherden		74.8	77.8	97.25	6	22.45
Andrew McGrath		74.7	77.3	96.625	14	21.925
Adam Cerra		60.8	66.1	82.625	17	21.825
Jy Simpkin		66.8	70.8	88.5	17	21.7
Jordan Ridley		68	71.6	89.5	17	21.5
Zak Butters		56.7	62.3	77.875	15	21.175
Lachie Hunter		98.6	95.3	119.125	9	20.525
Jayden Short		70.4	72.7	90.875	17	20.475
Liam Duggan		66.7	69.3	86.625	16	19.925
Rhys Mathieson		56.6	61	76.25	1	19.65
Matthew Scharenberg		51.6	57	71.25	3	19.65
Taylor Adams		95.1	91.5	114.375	17	19.275
Dylan Moore		54.1	58.3	72.875	3	18.775
Steven May		57.8	61.2	76.5	17	18.7
Jack Steele		96	91.6	114.5	17	18.5
Hugh Greenwood		78.3	77.4	96.75	17	18.45
Shai Bolton		63.7	65.5	81.875	15	18.175
Nick Coffield		59.5	62.1	77.625	16	18.125
David Astbury		56.1	59.2	74	5	17.9
Lachie Neale		104.7	98	122.5	17	17.8
Bailey Smith		69.2	69.5	86.875	17	17.675
Tom Hawkins		70.9	70.8	88.5	17	17.6
Luke Davies-Uniacke		53.2	56.4	70.5	9	17.3
Bailey Williams		62	63.4	79.25	17	17.25
Charlie Dixon		56.4	58.8	73.5	16	17.1
Brett Bewley		54.3	57.1	71.375	12	17.075
Callum Mills		75.3	73.8	92.25	15	16.95
Will Setterfield		67.1	67	83.75	16	16.65
Brayden Maynard		76.6	74.3	92.875	17	16.275
Brayden Sier		50.7	53.3	66.625	3	15.925
Oscar McInerney		56.2	57.6	72	17	15.8
Lachie Schultz		47.4	50.4	63	17	15.6
Adam Saad		67.3	66.2	82.75	17	15.45
Taylor Duryea		76.7	73.5	91.875	2	15.175
Kyle Langford		70.6	68.6	85.75	16	15.15