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The Friday Scramble

The Thursday Scramble: Round 13

Round 1 of the Footy Frenzy is over, it is time to take stock and get ready to Scramble through round 2.

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Wow, did you all survive the Festival of Footy?  How intense was that. It has been kind of nice this week to have a couple of nights off to get our breath back. Firstly let me apologise for not posting during the compressed schedule festival. It was just too quick on the turnarounds and the games were coming thick and fast. I didn’t have time to think about my own trades let alone put out some advice for you.

Anyway, I’m here now and we can have a bit of a review of what happened and do a little thinking about the future.

What did we learn?

The last few weeks have been like no other we have ever seen in the AFL or Fantasy. A few things have been great and a few haven’t.

Team Announcements 24hrs before the game is no good.

Not knowing who is in our out towards the back end of the round makes it incredibly difficult to plan our trades. What this means for us is that we need to have multiple scenarios and trades ready to go. I found myself on a couple of occasions get to the last couple of games in a round and not being sure what to do with my last trade. I had held it in case I needed it and then I couldn’t make the best use of it.

Don’t be afraid to use all your trades early in a round.

So following on from the last point, if you have a plan and know who you want, just go ahead and do it. If you wait then your options for getting that player you so desperately want may diminish to the point you are stuck. If you have cover in case of a late out then you should be more than able to weather any storm that may arise if you have already used all your trades.

Rolling lockouts open up plenty of opportunities.

While a rolling lockout can be a bit of a pain in terms of having to be on top of the start of every game. It can also give you plenty of opportunity in regards to using not only the captain loophole but also you can do the same for your emergency players. Add to that the ability to make your trades later in the round and you have options. However, as Yoda would say, with great power comes great responsibility. By taking a loophole you can then limit your ability to cover a late out by using an emergency spot that you wouldn’t otherwise use. If all your emergencies are locked out before you find out a premium isn’t playing you can quite easily find yourself with a donut.

What of the future?

Well we have survived one Festival of Footy, we have one more to go. And this one is set to be tougher on fantasy coaches than the first.

Byes still to come

The bye structure that we have found ourselves with is very different to what we are used to. Normally we have more than 10 weeks to structure our teams so that we aren’t overloaded in players from the one bye. This time around we have only had 3 weeks. What are our options?

AFL Fantasy has made this fairly easy for us by giving us the average score of those players on the bye. So you have a known quantity. You can even trade in players and know exactly what they will score. Just don’t get caught out by the fact that they will be locked in from the start of the round. But Remember….. the player MUST have played the round previous for them to earn their average score in their bye.

RDT and SC. They are playing best 18 for those rounds so you want to maximise the number of premiums in that round. The fewer rookies you have to rely on the better your score will be. So in this case it is actually a valid option to be trading in players on their bye in rounds 14 and 16 given there are only two teams on byes in those weeks but it is still best 18. You won’t get hurt anywhere near as much as you ordinarily would in a normal bye round.

League Finals

Make sure you are across when your finals are. Supercoach and RDT have just one round of the regular season left before finals. Finals will start in round 14 but then they will skip round 15 and hence the round with 6 teams on a bye before recommencing in round 16. This means the first two weeks of finals will see teams on byes.

AFL Fantasy by default has two more weeks of regular season games before hitting the finals. So the first week of finals will be round 15 which has the multiple byes. But given they are using the average scores you should know most of the scores as you head into the game.

Not the Sic Dawg!

It was devastating to see one of our favourites go down with an ACL injury on the weekend. He was heavily owned across the Fantasy community and now we all need to find a replacement. There are plenty of players to take but it is how you replace him that is the interesting part as it affects what other trades you can make this week. There are two schools of thought on this one.

Option 1 is to replace him with the best available that you don’t have and that would be a Luke Ryan or a Jake Lloyd. This will cost you more money though so you will either need to downgrade someone else to get the money or you may have cash in the bank. This means that you will get one premium and a rookie or a mid pricer.

Option 2 is to replace him with someone a little cheaper. Not the ultimate top of the range player. What this would allow you to do is use the cash you have made by possibly downgrading Sicily to add to a maxxed out rookie and upgrade them to someone better too. However, this option will see you get a couple of good players whereas the other one will see you get a top player.

This is a question that will only be able to answered by individual coaches with the specifics of their team in mind. I think that the way I will head is to get the best available rather than two medium pricers. The reason for this is that I don’t want to have to trade out whoever I bring in again. This late in the season you don’t want to be dealing with sideswaps if you don’t have to. However, it is a viable strategy, just be prepared to hold whoever you get in as each round may bring you bigger issues to deal with (like resting, which the Eagles have already flagged they will do).’

Things to Remember

  • Cover your injuries first then get rookies off the ground. These should be your trading priorities.
  • Watch out for resting. The Eagles have already said they will be resting players like Nic Nat.
  • Check the AFL site at 6:20pm AEST each day, that is when the teams for the next day will be announced.
  • Plan ahead. Life will get in the way of Fantasy so make sure you have your plans set so that you can make quick decisions or trades while you are busy with whatever is happening in the real world.
  • Stay Safe!

Well we are about to head into our second period of Footy Frenzy and it will be just as wild as the first one. Just keep your Witts about you and plan, plan and plan some more.
Lastly I hope all of our Victorian readers are doing ok and know that we are all appreciative of what you are going through to try and rid our country of this virus. Enjoy watching the footy every night and hopefully by the time the footy season is finished you are all back out and about again.  I know I am already looking forward to coming over to a game at the MCG next season (I was supposed to come over for the Power v Tigers this season).
Best of luck with this round and see you all again next Thursday for the start of round 14!

A passionate Port Adelaide Fan who simply loves footy! That is how I would describe myself. Catch my weekly article "The Friday Scramble" with all the last minute things to think about for the weekend Follow: @pkd73.

34 Comments

34 Comments

  1. Avatar

    Brendan

    August 20, 2020 at 8:52 am

    Do the rolling lockouts continue this weekend? Can we loophole VCs?

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      David C

      August 20, 2020 at 7:57 pm

      Yes

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    Anth80

    August 20, 2020 at 9:36 am

    Thoughts on Angus Brayshaw Dunny?
    Is he a TRAP?

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      Doug

      August 20, 2020 at 11:26 am

      Hoping it’s not a trap as I’m bringing him in over Jelly to bank some $$ to upgrade Draper at R2..

      Honestly, I’d be happy with 75+ from him at this price, although if he can pump out 2-3 scores over 80, the extra $$ he earns will make it an easier move to a top 8 Mid.

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      Dunny

      August 20, 2020 at 8:27 pm

      Tough one, I like the game time and role he has had, but we have seen this in short spurts before. If you don’t have other Melb midfielders and he is what you can afford, then you may want to risk it, but there is certainly risk involved.

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    Melanie

    August 20, 2020 at 10:12 am

    Would it be weird to trade Sicily to thurlow for cash to get Duncan?

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      Terang Bowler

      August 20, 2020 at 11:01 am

      Doing it myself

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        Melanie

        August 20, 2020 at 11:08 am

        Yessssss

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      Dunny

      August 20, 2020 at 8:28 pm

      Certainly not the worst move. You can then trade Thurlow out in a week or two when he has made some cash and can get you to another Def Premium

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    Jag67

    August 20, 2020 at 12:33 pm

    Breaking News: Houston in Covid breach. Possible suspension looming.

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      Bill & Ted

      August 20, 2020 at 12:52 pm

      Yeah I seen that but should be right to play as it’s indigenous round. Will be sanctioned next weekend , cheers mate

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        David C

        August 20, 2020 at 7:59 pm

        Suspended for the next 2 games.

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      Dunny

      August 20, 2020 at 8:29 pm

      Port Also have a bye in there too. Worth trading him to someone that is Bye free if you can.

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    Jaws

    August 20, 2020 at 3:29 pm

    If Gawn doesn’t get selected this week who do you select as his replacement, Marshall, Goldy, O’brien, English etc.??

    Obviously Ladhams is now out of the question due to his Covid idiocy…..

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      Dunny

      August 20, 2020 at 8:29 pm

      For me the order is Goldy, O’Brien, Marshall. Don’t touch English, he has already burnt me once this season.

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        Jaws

        August 21, 2020 at 12:17 am

        Thanks Dunny!!

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    Deeks

    August 20, 2020 at 3:53 pm

    Imagine having Gawn, Sic Dawg, Houston AND Ladhams .. like me

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      Dunny

      August 20, 2020 at 8:30 pm

      Ouch! We will pray for you! HOpefully you have cover.
      For me you trade Gawn and Dawg first. They are worth the most and will cost you the most points by being out.

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    Fudge

    August 21, 2020 at 10:26 pm

    Serong to Angus Brayshaw or Zac Bailey to Witherden?

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      Butch

      August 22, 2020 at 9:27 am

      It’s a tough one. I have a similar dilemma, I went Rankine to Angus now I need to decide whether to go Serong to Bont/Danger or Zac Bailey to Lloyd.
      I’m worried about Zac Bailey playing forward the last couple of weeks, and Rich is back this week so unlikely for Zac to go back.

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    Andy

    August 21, 2020 at 11:41 pm

    I should have got rid of Rankine. I thought he might pull out a big one for this week.
    Next week he is gone.

    • Belly

      Belly

      August 22, 2020 at 11:22 am

      I moved him on last week, he goes missing for long periods of the game, taking the $ out of him can be better used elsewhere. There’s not that much more to play out do trading hard and getting rooks off the field ASAP is my focus.
      I only have Day on field as of this week and he seems pretty solid for 55-70.

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    Belly

    August 22, 2020 at 11:32 am

    Stuck on my final trade this week.
    Need a Mid but only have $763k so can’t get Duncan.
    Thinking Danger at the moment, I like Crouch as a unique but he has a tough game this week and tends to miss the odd game.
    The Bont is an option but have been burned by his 40’s in the past.
    Have Neale, Macrae, Titch, Conigs,Rocky,Viney, Gus, already in mids.
    Any others to look at?

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      CJ

      August 22, 2020 at 11:38 am

      I’m leaning towards Danger this week. I considered Bont but the threat of a tag and his erratic scoring scared me off. Hopefully Danger is gearing up for finals footy and goes to that next level. There’s also Menegola who I don’t think will be rested.

      • Belly

        Belly

        August 22, 2020 at 11:57 am

        Thanks CJ, yeah Menegola is a consideration he does usually get more TOG than Danger and is more unique, I’m in about 650th so to keep moving up need to pick a few sub 5% ownership from here in.

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          llizardofoz

          August 22, 2020 at 6:42 pm

          There are no degrees of uniqueness…..hence more unique is….

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    Brent

    August 22, 2020 at 12:57 pm

    Does anyone remember if Melbourne tagged Bont last time they played?

    • Belly

      Belly

      August 22, 2020 at 1:06 pm

      Jordan Lewis did a bit, but Bont got an injury and spent most of the 2nd off field. Dunkley went nuts 39 disposals, 15 tackles and 2 goals.

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        Brent

        August 22, 2020 at 1:33 pm

        Thanks Belly, ahh yes Dunks with 189, maybe his time to go bang today? And Bont with an injured 86.

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    George

    August 22, 2020 at 1:19 pm

    Best def out of Cerra, Thurlow, Z Williams and Glass/Scrim?

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    llizardofoz

    August 22, 2020 at 6:44 pm

    Ridley

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      George

      August 22, 2020 at 7:37 pm

      Too expensive- choice is now between Z williams and Thurlow

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    Andy

    August 22, 2020 at 11:25 pm

    Was Gus Brayshaw worth it? Just wait, he will burn you again.

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      WartHog

      August 23, 2020 at 8:50 am

      Bradshaw has hit 100, 100 and 80(ish). Thats amazing for his price. I think it’s a bit early to say Brayshaw is a bad pick…

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